Energito11: Bros God4bid that we have ikwerre in Biafra pls we dont need them and ph.

Sloan: A thread like this can only be started by the insecure people of the SE. Funny enough, they forget they will lose the most in any war / breakup situation! I wonder why SpikeC is saying Yorubas are the ones that can break the country up, and I ask why? The Yorubas will be more than glad to have our own country, and send out all the aliens but right now, a looney from the SS, Ebeledumb Jomathan is in power, what is he doing? The Yorubas are undoubtedly the most forward-thinkers in Nigeria and forward-thinkers will always tell you the correct solution, on the other hand people like Ebelechukwu Retarddenic from Ijawland is a drunkard, too dense to think even with a 1,000 advisers. The easterners are emotional creatures 100% of the time and have a wrong view of the thinking space (the world) hence they've always been wrong. The northerners have been completely sold out intellectual capacity to think for Islamic (religious) fundamentalism - they will never be able to make an objective thought about anything because for them, it is only one answer for all problems - religion!

In all these, Nigeria needs to be restructured but the retardeenic president from the SS is too busy enjoying the benefits of office to care that someday, he will no longer be president. Then, if the new president comes from another part of the country, he will also continue doing mostly what Jonathan is doing : sharing the cake! Jona and his people can complain till they are blue in the face but now that he has an opportunity to do it, he has failed, I only see Ijaws and most Nigerians crying for a long time for their laziness and incompetence to act.

Nnewi1stSon: I never said we needed them, i just outlined the possible scenarios that could play in the event of disintegration. Besides we need their ports that's all

Sloan: ... I wonder why SpikeC is saying Yorubas are the ones that can break the country up, and I ask why? ...

spikesC:
If the Niger Deltans initiate it, it might go awry as the elites would try to bring them back because of their oil.
For me, the Yorubas are in a better position to break the country in a peaceful way.
But then, we'll have to wait for eternity

Nnewi1stSon: The north wont be sending an army, but would use guerrilla tactics like they've doing in Jos, and recently Kaduna,Benue etcetera... So tell me how do you fight an enemy you cant see? It will take more than a Miracle to save Northern Minorities. From Kebbi to Gombe,Bauchi,Kaduna, Taraba,Plateau and Nassarawa. The north wont part with one inch of land wouldnt hesitate to commit genocide just to keep it.

Nnewi1stSon: The north wont be sending an army, but would use guerrilla tactics like they've doing in Jos, and recently Kaduna,Benue etcetera... So tell me how do you fight an enemy you cant see? It will take more than a Miracle to save Northern Minorities. From Kebbi to Gombe,Bauchi,Kaduna, Taraba,Plateau and Nassarawa. The north wont part with one inch of land and wouldnt hesitate to commit genocide just to keep it.

spikesC:

This is war, not insurgency. You can't use guerrilla tactics during war because you have to keep the enemy out and protect your border at all times. Else, you risk a massive invasion

AkinEgba:

But when the war is won and lost there will be guerrilla warfare all over the place. Read my first post on page 1.

spikesC:

That, is when border security experience comes in.
Now, the people at such risk are the middle belt. They will need to develop their border security to world class.
We're talking about giving away heavily mined hectares of land as border between them and the north. Military barracks placed at key points

They certainly don't want to live their lives like the Isrealites, but sadly, that might be what's gonna happen

EasternLeopard:

Son you are wrong

Do you know why Jos, Southern Kaduna etc were not overrun by Arewas.? Igbo factor

Tivs are brave but lack man power needed to secure the MB.

To secure the MB, btw 5-10 million shock troops will be needed against a massive invasion from AREWA.

That man power can't be supplied by the Tivs.

Sooner or later

Other Southern groups will be asked for helped.

kmariko: @Op please can you explain to naivettees like me how BOKO HARAM activity will lead to declaration of
War. And how will this be done or carried out

FrancisTony:

Get your fact right.

Igala isn't fighting Igbo but Aguleri. They are two different thing.

It's just like two communities fighting over who owns 'something' like how Aguleri and Umuleri have been fighting meanwhile they're both Ibo. It's just a community thingy not a tribal thing.

kmariko: @Op please can you explain to naivettees like me how BOKO HARAM activity will lead to declaration of
War. And how will this be done or carried out

Nnewi1stSon: I never said we needed them, i just outlined the possible scenarios that could play in the event of disintegration. Besides we need their ports that's all

torkaka:

Kindly shed more light on the igbo factor of your statement

kettykin: This reminds me of the permuttations made before the first Civil war how some people on their drawing board analysed and concluded that Ojukwu would be captured within 48 Hours using Police Action only while in actual fact it took more than 30 gruel months and very heavy military casualties for the Federal Army despite their international backing and heavy civilian casualties for the Biafran Army as a result of the sabotage of farm lands, much lessons about the war still can count in the present permuttations.

First any war to break out would not rule out allignments and counter allignments.
While i expect the South East and South South to naturally form a super allignment that could be backed by the NATO/US/Europe and the North West and borno/Yobe to form nother super allignement that will be backed majorly by the Arabs, Russia much can not be said about the yourbas and their Edo allies who might prefer to remain neutral initially and try to join the winning side eventually.


I also believe with facts on the ground that the middle belt will likely be the next theatre of war with Kogi, Abuja, Kaduna, Nassarawa as major centres of conflict while Benue, Plateau, Taraba will back the eastern allies while bauchi , parts of Gombe, parts of Adamawa, Niger will join the core north

Energito11: We dont need their port or PH,what i always pray and wish is for T,O orji to start the construstion of obuaku seaport at abia state.we dont ikwerre people.

AkinEgba:

Depending on how Igbo and Yoruba play their respective games in the south, there could also be guerrilla activities in the south from the minorities.

EasternLeopard:

Most MB tribes are few and economically weak

It was when the war took religious dimension that the Igbos who are economically strong and internationally connected to arms business brought out guns to repel the demons on rampaged

Is it clear now.


You need money and connection to arms to fight African wars.

The things above, most MBs lack and the Arewas have through their connection with radical Islamic nations eg Iran, Sudan etc

How do you think BH fund their war or acquire their weapons.

torkaka:

And it doesn't occur to you that oil is a good reason to enhance an igbo/igalla conflict?

Nnewi1stSon: Either way the canal linking the port to the atlantic would still have to pass through Ikwerre territory! Same problem the port @ onitsha would encounter!

IdomaLikita: OP, God Bless You!
Since 2011, I have spent at least 30mins of every single Day thinking about this eventuality!
The MB will suffer Tremendously irrespective of any action she takes!
1st, the War will assume a Religious Dimension and the Persecution of Christian Minorities all over the Core-North will Lead to a Southward Migration of Huge Numbers of People leading to a Massive Humanitarian Crisis in so-called Safe Heavens like Benue, Kogi,Nassarawa,and Southern Taraba!
The Sheer Responsibility of Catering to these New Arrivals will surely Cripple whatever Coalition Government that may be in charge then(a good number of Middle beltan Elites would fly abroad and leave their people to their fate)!
2ndly, I expect the East to quickly shut its Border and concentrate its forces there(having learnt few lessons from the Civil War regarding "Father Christmas"! The west may or may not follow suit!
Then there'll be a Lull, with Negotiations going on and Humanitarian Corridors being negotiated, all the while, Starvation and Disease would be ravaging my people!
Lastly, the North would be expected to go on Full Offensive. Feeble Attempts would be made by the MB to resist! But in-fighting, lack of trust amongst the numerous tribes and greed for power will work to the North's advantage!
The East may only offer economic assistance and maybe, just maybe send some Weapons across, to ensure an effective Buffer zone between herself and the North!
The only Option left to the MB is to get weapons through the Camerounian Border, which will also teem with Refugees or a UN intervention (which ALWAYS comes when half the Population have been decimated)!

Either way, the Consequences would be Catastrophic for me people!

Kosovo, Darfur, Kashmir, etc come to mind!

God Help Us All.

IdomaLikita: OP, God Bless You!
Since 2011, I have spent at least 30mins of every single Day
thinking about this eventuality!
The MB will suffer Tremendously irrespective of any action
she takes!
1st, the War will assume a Religious Dimension and the Persecution of Christian Minorities all over the Core-North
will Lead to a Southward Migration of Huge Numbers of
People leading to a Massive Humanitarian Crisis in so-called
Safe Heavens like Benue, Kogi,Nassarawa,and Southern
Taraba!
The Sheer Responsibility of Catering to these New Arrivals will surely Cripple whatever Coalition Government that may
be in charge then(a good number of Middle beltan Elites
would fly abroad and leave their people to their fate)!
2ndly, I expect the East to quickly shut its Border and
concentrate its forces there(having learnt few lessons from
the Civil War regarding "Father Christmas"! The west may or may not follow suit!
Then there'll be a Lull, with Negotiations going on and
Humanitarian Corridors being negotiated, all the while,
Starvation and Disease would be ravaging my people!
Lastly, the North would be expected to go on Full Offensive.
Feeble Attempts would be made by the MB to resist! But in- fighting, lack of trust amongst the numerous tribes and
greed for power will work to the North's advantage!
The East may only offer economic assistance and maybe,
just maybe send some Weapons across, to ensure an
effective Buffer zone between herself and the North!
The only Option left to the MB is to get weapons through the Camerounian Border, which will also teem with Refugees or
a UN intervention (which ALWAYS comes when half the
Population have been decimated)! Either way, the Consequences would be Catastrophic for me
people! Kosovo, Darfur, Kashmir, etc come to mind! God Help Us All.