tit: The middle belt groups would unite to ward off any jihad in their land.
They may lose ground initially but as they build alliances, they will recover.
Places like southern borno and southern kaduna would be sparsely inhabited.
Roving bands of men from both sides would decimate any opposing ethnicities they find there.

IdomaLikita: Torkaka, you talk like a Naïve Person!
The SE is about the most Fortified Part of the Country Today!
You find Concrete Storey Buildings and Bunkers from Cities to Villages! Excellent Hiding Place for Snipers!
An Artillery Barrage is unlikely because Batteries have to be set up in MB Territory to achieve effective Range! Where and How will they get that Foothold?
The Sheer Economic Prowess of the East and Coastal Access means they can prosecute the War for as long as they want and unlike during the Civil War, they will take full possession of the Navy this time around, ensuring unhindered maritime Traffic!
The Organized Society in the S.E would also Prevent Chaos which would be a Common factor in the North and MB!
The 1st Side to get weary would be the North as most Productive Young Men would be in the Front instead of their Farms, and the Capacity of the Nigerian and Chadian Govts to keep Supplying Food and other Logistics to the Northern Hordes would be strained! They have Problems of their own, remember?

Air Raids by the North would be Unlikely due to its expensive cost and massive Anti-aircraft defence!

tit: The middle belt groups would unite to ward off any jihad in their land.
They may lose ground initially but as they build alliances, they will recover.
Places like southern borno and southern kaduna would be sparsely inhabited.
Roving bands of men from both sides would decimate any opposing ethnicities they find there.

torkaka:

Fortified concrete buildings?? Are you for real??

Let me place reality for you, if at all Nigeria turns to a war zone, kogi and kwara like the op said will be the first focus of the war. The north for obvious reasons will be the aggressor, the west will not be their priority as taking on the west will over stretch them,neither will attacking from taraba will not be viable as it would make no economic scense. Certain elements in kogi will naturally align with the north (I.e nupe, bassa and to an extent igbira), when the battle of kogi is over (which will definitely fall to the north) setting up rocket launchers will be as easy as the ukrainian rebels bringing down the malaysian plane.

Ground troops will not even set foot in the east for it to fall, I hope you all are watching what is happening in the middle east?


Whereas the north has only one central target location when attacking the east (the 5 states are jam packed), attacking the northen cities is a different ball game!!

Eastern Nigeria (igbo states) as viable as it may seem, is a sitting duck as far as mordern warfare is concerned.

Chairman, a fortified state in war is not one with concrete buildings, but one which is difficult to logistically to attack.

torkaka:

Fortified concrete buildings?? Are you for real??

Let me place reality for you, if at all Nigeria turns to a war zone, kogi and kwara like the op said will be the first focus of the war. The north for obvious reasons will be the aggressor, the west will not be their priority as taking on the west will over stretch them,neither will attacking from taraba will not be viable as it would make no economic scense. Certain elements in kogi will naturally align with the north (I.e nupe, bassa and to an extent igbira), when the battle of kogi is over (which will definitely fall to the north) setting up rocket launchers will be as easy as the ukrainian rebels bringing down the malaysian plane.

Ground troops will not even set foot in the east for it to fall, I hope you all are watching what is happening in the middle east?

Whereas the north has only one central target location when attacking the east (the 5 states are jam packed), attacking the northen cities is a different ball game!!

Eastern Nigeria (igbo states) as viable as it may seem, is a sitting duck as far as mordern warfare is concerned.

Chairman, a fortified state in war is not one with concrete buildings, but one which is difficult to logistically to attack.

EasternLeopard:

When the MB is attack the women and children will flee south into Igboland.

That will stirr the Igbos to take up arms and keep the war as far North as possible.

Now imagine what will happen if Igbos raise 10 million soldiers comprising them and other Southern groups who knows that their survival defends on winning the war.

Son face reality

That army will keep the war as far North as possible and push back the invading horde if it goes offensive.

torkaka:

Chief, face the harsh reality, the location of the igbo states makes the region a sitting duck!!

More than any other group, they need alliances!! Don't for a second be deceived by the concrete fortification LOL

torkaka:

Chief, face the harsh reality, the location of the igbo states makes the region a sitting duck!!

More than any other group, they need alliances!! Don't for a second be deceived by the concrete fortification LOL

EasternLeopard:

When the MB is attack the women and children will flee south into Igboland.

That will stirr the Igbos to take up arms and keep the war as far North as possible.

Now imagine what will happen if Igbos raise 10 million soldiers comprising them and other Southern groups who knows that their survival defends on winning the war.

Son face reality

That army will keep the war as far North as possible and push back the invading horde if it goes offensive.

kettykin:
Do you think igbos will fight with much human soldiers or will refine some of the war technology like the ogbunigwe, rocket launchers etc

EasternLeopard:

One thing that gives me joy is that your fellow MBs are reading my viewpoint and are not opposing but some telling you to rethink

May I ask you

How many chibok christians have order MB tribes gone to save.

enigmaotr: The Hausa/Fulani will have too much to do trying to keep the Core-North Minorities to think of moving Southward. The Fulani Kingdom falls the day Nigeria falls apart.

spikesC:

You're missing a vital variable in 21st century warfare.
International support.

Trust me, this war is going to be awful if it ever happens. We're looking at religious conflicts here.
Massive weapon sales. Islamic extremists versus superpowers.
One side who likes to fight, and the other who wants to sell weapons.

The Arab and Muslim extremists should never be ruled out. Look at what is happening in Syria and other middle east countries. Rebels from far away countries just come and join the fight.

That is what is going to happen in Nigeria if care is not taken. The war needs to end as soon as it starts, else we risk unending rivalry between the super powers and the extremists, ALL IN OUR LAND.

torkaka:

Why should the MB go to save them? What was fedora hat man elected for??

torkaka:

Chief, face the harsh reality, the location of the igbo states makes the region a sitting duck!!

More than any other group, they need alliances!! Don't for a second be deceived by the concrete fortification LOL

IdomaLikita:


Indeed International Support plays a role, and even in that regard, expect the SE, SW and SS to enjoy this! Reasons below:
1. The Decimation of Muslims in CAR did not evoke any material response from the Global Mujahideens in favour of Seleka! The Palestinian Situation nko, how many Arabs have poured into Gaza to fight? The black man would be left to fight on his own!!

2. Resources: whoever has the Gold, makes the rules! Oil lies in the South, and Southern Armies control it! Only a Hopeless country would align with a North that has no resources to offer in exchange! Who do you think buys Oil from the Iraqi Govt today when Kirkuk lies in the hands of ISIS and so are its huge refineries? As much as the Countries would want us to believe they offer support based on religious and ideological grounds,truth is,interest determines allegiance! So we expect a strong international fervour in the South!

3. Diaspora: The Igbos have a formidable diaspora whose contribution both material and otherwise would quickly swing the war in their favour! So have the Yorubas!

in all of this, the equation remains the same. A Formidable South, A Desperate North and a Desolate Middle!

torkaka:

Chief, face the harsh reality, the location of the igbo states makes the region a sitting duck!!

More than any other group, they need alliances!! Don't for a second be deceived by the concrete fortification LOL

IdomaLikita:


Indeed International Support plays a role, and even in that regard, expect the SE, SW and SS to enjoy this! Reasons below:
1. The Decimation of Muslims in CAR did not evoke any material response from the Global Mujahideens in favour of Seleka! The Palestinian Situation nko, how many Arabs have poured into Gaza to fight? The black man would be left to fight on his own!!

2. Resources: whoever has the Gold, makes the rules! Oil lies in the South, and Southern Armies control it! Only a Hopeless country would align with a North that has no resources to offer in exchange! Who do you think buys Oil from the Iraqi Govt today when Kirkuk lies in the hands of ISIS and so are its huge refineries? As much as the Countries would want us to believe they offer support based on religious and ideological grounds,truth is,interest determines allegiance! So we expect a strong international fervour in the South!

3. Diaspora: The Igbos have a formidable diaspora whose contribution both material and otherwise would quickly swing the war in their favour! So have the Yorubas!

in all of this, the equation remains the same. A Formidable South, A Desperate North and a Desolate Middle!

saintneo: Hmmm......alliances......nna we no want fight again


but in any case we(Igbo people) will defend ourselves against the enemy, alliance or no alliance

torkaka:

Fortified concrete buildings?? Are you for real??

Let me place reality for you, if at all Nigeria turns to a war zone, kogi and kwara like the op said will be the first focus of the war. The north for obvious reasons will be the aggressor, the west will not be their priority as taking on the west will over stretch them,neither will attacking from taraba will not be viable as it would make no economic scense. Certain elements in kogi will naturally align with the north (I.e nupe, bassa and to an extent igbira), when the battle of kogi is over (which will definitely fall to the north) setting up rocket launchers will be as easy as the ukrainian rebels bringing down the malaysian plane.

Ground troops will not even set foot in the east for it to fall, I hope you all are watching what is happening in the middle east?

Whereas the north has only one central target location when attacking the east (the 5 states are jam packed), attacking the northen cities is a different ball game!!

Eastern Nigeria (igbo states) as viable as it may seem, is a sitting duck as far as mordern warfare is concerned.

Chairman, a fortified state in war is not one with concrete buildings, but one which is difficult to logistically to attack.

torkaka:

You must be a poor student of history to think western international support will favour the SW, SE and SS.

On the contrary, it is the support from the islamic jihadist that will ultimately count, recent events have shown that where ever the west steps in, those places head deeper into crisis and eventually fall to the islamist, Iraq, Libya, Syria, Somalia, Afghanistan come to mind!!

There's a new frontier in warfare now, quit playing the ostrich and get yourself in tune with evolving events around the world!

Nigeria has the largest muslim population in Africa, and I bet you, in the event of instability, the islamist will have a field day. What ISIS is presently doing in iraq and syria will look like child's play.

CAR as you mentioned has a small muslim population with not oil, Nigeria on the other hand, has lots of oil with a staggering muslim number!

WESTERN COUNTRIES WILL PLAY FROM AFAR!!

ignis: When will the war erupt?

torkaka:

You must be a poor student of history to think western international support will favour the SW, SE and SS.

On the contrary, it is the support from the islamic jihadist that will ultimately count, recent events have shown that where ever the west steps in, those places head deeper into crisis and eventually fall to the islamist, Iraq, Libya, Syria, Somalia, Afghanistan come to mind!!

There's a new frontier in warfare now, quit playing the ostrich and get yourself in tune with evolving events around the world!

Nigeria has the largest muslim population in Africa, and I bet you, in the event of instability, the islamist will have a field day. What ISIS is presently doing in iraq and syria will look like child's play.

CAR as you mentioned has a small muslim population with not oil, Nigeria on the other hand, has lots of oil with a staggering muslim number!

WESTERN COUNTRIES WILL PLAY FROM AFAR!!

0rlando0woh:
Why must Nigeria remain one under whatever circumstances?
Are we slaves or animals?
What kind of useless mentality is this?

0rlando0woh:
This guy you are a big fool raving around!
Tell me one move the Yorubas have made towards secession or even regionalism, even in the confab they only played lip service to regionalism, you fools never pushed for it!
One Yoruba fool said he wanted every region to control its resources EXCEPT oil, another Yoruba fool said he wanted regionalism with Lagos given a special status (i.e. Continue to be developed with resources from across Nigeria) is any of those two proposals true regionalism?
You îdiots keep screaming about how you called for regionalism without any support, but I keep looking for where and when you actually did that without seeing anything!
Typical Yorubas talking from both sides of their mouths! Begin to direct all your insults and frustration to your Yoruba brothers because they never, I repeat, they NEVER called for regionalism?

IdomaLikita:

How many Conflicts in Africa this Year have Rockets Played a Decisive factor?

How many Rockets can the North Fire into the East?(Consider the Cost of One)

How fast will their Conquest of Kogi be? Considering that Igalas are very Tough Guys and their Proximity to the Idomas in Benue State would Invariably Draw them into the Conflict.

Sir, a Well Positioned GPMG and AAG can hold off a Hundred Men for weeks until mortar fire is used to soften that location!

Eastern Generals are not Dumb enough to allow the North come close to their Borders before launching an Attack! Most Eastern soldiers would be based in the Kogi you mentioned to keep the North at Bay!
An Incursion into Eastern Territory is already a recipe for defeat and they WILL NOT just let that happen!
They will Dig in and wait a good Kms in Kogi territory!
The North striking too hard at kogi may open up their Eastern flank to attacks through Taraba, Jos and Bauchi!
Their topography even makes it easier for MB guerrilla fighters to Ride Fast, hit some cities and retreat!

Ukraine and Middle East no be Africa! Use South Sudan and CAR as your examples! They are closer to home!