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Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. - Politics - Nairaland

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Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by JaaizTech: 11:06pm On Mar 14, 2015





Analysis has been done putting into consideration data from the 2011 election and general observation of the populace in 2015.
Re: Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by cola: 11:33pm On Mar 14, 2015
Couldn't help lol
Re: Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by DebateNigeria: 11:35pm On Mar 14, 2015
Lol
Re: Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by bogolobango(m): 11:41pm On Mar 14, 2015
Analysis kee



Sai buhari joor

Leave story for tortoise

12 Likes

Re: Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by Zuria(f): 11:44pm On Mar 14, 2015
Nigeria is a complex nation...thanks for the political-joke grin grin grin

1 Like

Re: Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by dave2meek(m): 12:17am On Mar 15, 2015
Gej continua
Re: Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by omoalaro: 12:52am On Mar 15, 2015
Hmm, bookmarked.
Re: Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by bighead1(m): 3:21am On Mar 15, 2015
Make i buy votes land
Re: Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by Elbubs(f): 5:47am On Mar 15, 2015
As far as Buhari wins, shikenan.

7 Likes

Re: Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by bencobenz(m): 6:20am On Mar 15, 2015
I think the turn out this time around will be much, also most of the States that PDP won massively will reduce. Apart from the South East and some states in the South South, I don't see see APC getting less than 30℅ in any State.



#IHaveDecided!

9 Likes

Re: Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by raayah(f): 6:29am On Mar 15, 2015
bogolobango:
Analysis kee



Sai buhari joor

Leave story for tortoise

Shey you look the data? Its buhari that won
Re: Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by ManMountain(m): 6:34am On Mar 15, 2015
I think the use of the PVC will alter the pattern drastically, when compared to the 2011 election.

2 Likes

Re: Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by buharisambisada: 6:34am On Mar 15, 2015
USA want to come and rig election in Nigeria let's see how possible.
Re: Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by buharisambisada: 6:38am On Mar 15, 2015
Sambis and Daura waiting baba he needs to rest.
Re: Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by buharisambisada: 6:43am On Mar 15, 2015
A.boki cannot be accredited some would have damaged their pvc by now some would not have the patience to get accredited some would not vote some would come with dirty thumbs and it might take the whole day to get accredited USA don't know what's going on here they think nigeria is america ni?JEGA is not ready for this election.
Re: Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by WORLDPEACE(m): 6:58am On Mar 15, 2015
buharisambisada:
A.boki cannot be accredited some would have damaged their pvc by now some would not have the patience to get accredited some would not vote some would come with dirty thumbs and it might take the whole day to get accredited USA don't know what's going on here they think nigeria is america ni?JEGA is not ready for this election.
Some would not have the patience to get accredited? Of all the things you said, i disagree with this. The ordinary northerner and illiterates in general have all the patience in the world. It is the 'enlightened' south you should be worried about where patience is corncerned.
Re: Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by 2Brains1(m): 7:56am On Mar 15, 2015
who no know go know say Buhari go win this election
Re: Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by Nctrice(m): 8:15am On Mar 15, 2015
the summary of the whole data is that
PDP would win more state, but the few state Apc will win would have more voter!

I can't see what PDP wants when they crave that the PVC should not be used, I think it's to their advantage that the PVC is used!

Any I still see PDP winning the Election!
Re: Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by disloman(m): 8:21am On Mar 15, 2015
WORLDPEACE:

Some would not have the patience to get accredited? Of all the things you said, i disagree with this. The ordinary northerner and illiterates in general have all the patience in the world. It is the 'enlightened' south you should be worried about where patience is corncerned.
WORD

1 Like

Re: Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by JaaizTech: 8:21am On Mar 15, 2015
bencobenz:
I think the turn out this time around will be much, also most of the States that PDP won massively will reduce. Apart from the South East and some states in the South South, I don't see see APC getting less than 30℅ in any State.



#IHaveDecided!

I think the turnout will be lesser. There was a lost of drive to vote in 2011, and mass rigging that saw some states having relatively high voter's turnout. This is likely to be mitigated by the PVC, I expect the PVC to drop the supposed large no. of voter's turnout by at least 30%. The election will surely be very close this time around. In 2011, the top 10 states for PDP was: Rivers, Imo, Delta, Lagos, Kaduna, Abia, Akwa-Ibom, Anambra, Plateau. Of this top 10, APC has increased support in 5 of them i.e: Rivers, Imo, Lagos, Kaduna, Plateau.
Re: Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by Nutase: 8:27am On Mar 15, 2015
lipsrsealed
Re: Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by JaaizTech: 8:32am On Mar 15, 2015
Nctrice:
the summary of the whole data is that
PDP would win more state, but the few state Apc will win would have more voter!

I can't see what PDP wants when they crave that the PVC should not be used, I think it's to their advantage that the PVC is used!

Any I still see PDP winning the Election!

The PDP is scared of fair-play; without PVC all PDP needs to do in the worst case scenario is keep a close eye on the voting figures of APC, do the maths and add the additional votes necessary. PVC would make that more difficult now but not impossible. PDP still has a very good shot at this election, but the problem is there is also a realistic chance they lose it and that is what frightens them, the realistic possibility that they can lose it. A similitude is when Floyd Mayweather avoided fighting Manny Pacquiao; Floyd can definitely beat Pacquaio, but Pacquaio also has a good chance of beating him; Floyd avoided that fight just as PDP is trying to avoid an APC contest. Now they both need retirement package, hence they can risk it.
Re: Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by ManMountain(m): 9:01am On Mar 15, 2015
Aside the sobered incumbency and slush money, I still can't get how GEJ will win the presidency
Re: Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by JaaizTech: 3:38pm On Mar 15, 2015
ManMountain:
Aside the sobered incumbency and slush money, I still can't get how GEJ will win the presidency
Well, that has been the major deciding factor in Nigeria's election. Take out GEJ from the Presidency for a single day and He would struggle to even win a gubernatorial seat in Bayelsa.
Re: Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by Nctrice(m): 6:44pm On Mar 15, 2015
JaaizTech:


The PDP is scared of fair-play; without PVC all PDP needs to do in the worst case scenario is keep a close eye on the voting figures of APC, do the maths and add the additional votes necessary. PVC would make that more difficult now but not impossible. PDP still has a very good shot at this election, but the problem is there is also a realistic chance they lose it and that is what frightens them, the realistic possibility that they can lose it. A similitude is when Floyd Mayweather avoided fighting Manny Pacquiao; Floyd can definitely beat Pacquaio, but Pacquaio also has a good chance of beating him; Floyd avoided that fight just as PDP is trying to avoid an APC contest. Now they both need retirement package, hence they can risk it.
I like your psychology!
Re: Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by sexyfatima: 6:49pm On Mar 15, 2015
Make I hear say buhari go win.infact if buhari win make I bath naked for asorock.
Nutase:
lipsrsealed
Re: Projected 2015 Presidential Election Outcome. Analysis By Harvard Specialist. by AgentOfAllah: 3:52am On Mar 16, 2015
JaaizTech:





Analysis has been done putting into consideration data from the 2011 election and general observation of the populace in 2015.
This crap has no statistical credence whatsoever. It is based on spurious speculations and should be disregarded. If this is the best a "Harvard specialist" - whatever that means - can come up with, then you'll be better served investing your kobo on discovering flying pigs!

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