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Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU - Foreign Affairs - Nairaland

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Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by theoneJabulani(m): 9:14am On Jun 24, 2016
http://www.vox.com/2016/6/23/12021222/brexit-what-happens-next

Voters have voted in favor of Brexit: British exit from the European Union. That means that in the coming months, British and European leaders will begin negotiating the terms of Britain's departure.
Britain's exit will affect the British economy, immigration policy, and lots more. It will take years for the full consequences to become clear. But here are some of the most important changes we can expect in the coming months.
Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by theoneJabulani(m): 9:15am On Jun 24, 2016
The process of leaving the EU will take years

A Brexit vote is not legally binding, and there are a few ways it could theoretically be blocked or overturned. However, as the BBC notes, "it would be seen as political suicide to go against the will of the people as expressed in a referendum."
Article 50 of the Treaty on European Union establishes the procedures for a member state to withdraw from the EU. It requires the member state to notify the EU of its withdrawal and obliges the EU to then try to negotiate a withdrawal agreement with that state.
A Brexit vote, however, does not represent that formal notification. That notification could take place within days — for example, when EU member countries meet for a summit that is scheduled for June 28 to 29. Or British officials might wait a few months to pull the trigger.
Once Britain invokes Article 50, it will have a two-year window in which to negotiate a new treaty to replace the terms of EU membership. Britain and EU leaders would have to hash out issues like trade tariffs, migration, and the regulation of everything from cars to agriculture.
In the best-case scenario, Britain may be able to negotiate access to the European market that isn’t that different from what it has now. Norway is not a member of the EU, but it has agreed to abide by a number of EU rules in exchange for favorable access to the European Common Market.

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Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by theoneJabulani(m): 9:17am On Jun 24, 2016
The vote could topple the British government:


British Prime Minister David Cameron didn’t want to hold a vote on Brexit at all. But in 2014, he faced growing pressure from the populist right over immigration and Britain’s EU membership. To mollify dissenters in his own party and stop the rise of the far-right UK Independence Party, Cameron promised to hold a referendum on leaving the EU if his Conservative Party won the 2015 election.
The Conservatives surprised pollsters by winning an outright majority in Parliament, and Cameron kept his promise. But he wasn’t personally in favor of exiting the EU, and he campaigned vigorously for a "Remain" vote. At the same time, he allowed other members of his government to campaign on the other side. This created the spectacle of senior members of the UK government, from the same party, campaigning on opposite sides of one of the biggest issues in British politics in decades.
The victory of the "Leave" campaign could fatally weaken Cameron’s standing within his own party. Cameron had vowed to continue in office even if voters rejected his stance on EU membership. But that position may prove untenable. A revolt among Conservative members of Parliament
could force him out of office. That could lead to a new Conservative government run by a more Euroskeptical prime minister, or it could lead to new elections.

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Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by theoneJabulani(m): 9:19am On Jun 24, 2016
Brexit will cause problems for Britain's economy:

In the short run, uncertainty about Britain’s future relationship with the EU, its largest trading partner, could push the UK into a recession. Market watchers predict an "explosion of volatility" on Friday morning as the markets process the implications of Britain’s exit. Many economists expect both the British stock market and the pound to open lower on Friday morning. Britain’s chancellor of the exchequer, George Osborne, even hinted that he could suspend stock market trading if Britons voted to exit the EU.
In the long run, the situation could be worse. If Cameron’s government falls, Britain’s prospects of negotiating a favorable deal with the EU could be weakened. The EU may decide to strike a hard bargain to discourage other countries from leaving the EU. Or the UK’s new leader might not be willing to accept the kind of restrictions that come with a Norway-style deal.
And that could create serious problems for businesses based in the UK.
"If you are Nissan or some other car producer with major production in the UK, today, the same safety standards and environmental standards allow you to sell everywhere in the European market," Jacob Funk Kirkegaard, an economist at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, told me. But if the UK leaves the EU, "you would no longer be able to sell into other European markets, not because you face a small tariff but because you'd have to go through another set of safety certifications. This kind of thing would be repeated in every industry you can think of."
Critics say the economic effects could be large. The UK government has estimated that exiting the EU could cause the British economy to be between 3.8 and 7.5 percent smaller by 2030 — depending on how well negotiations for access to the European market ultimately go. Other reports have found smaller but still significant impacts.

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Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by votemysticgal16(f): 9:21am On Jun 24, 2016
Following.
Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by theoneJabulani(m): 9:23am On Jun 24, 2016
Brexit means significant uncertainty for migrants:

Nigel Farage, leader of the UK Independence Party, campaigned for Leave on an anti-immigration platform.
One of the most important and controversial achievements of the EU was the establishment of the principle of free movement among EU countries. A citizen of one EU country has an unfettered right to live and work anywhere in the EU. Both Britons and foreigners have taken advantage of this opportunity.
There currently are about 1.2 million Brits living in other EU countries, while about 3 million non-British EU nationals live in Britain. Thanks to EU rules, they were able to move across the English Channel with a minimum of paperwork. Britain’s exit from the EU could change that profoundly.
It’s possible, of course, that Britain could negotiate a new treaty with the EU that continues to allow free movement between the UK and the EU. But resentment of EU immigrants — especially from poorer, economically struggling countries like Poland and Lithuania — was a key force driving support for Brexit . So the British government will be under immense pressure to refuse to continue the current arrangement.
At a minimum, that would mean that people moving to or from Britain would need to worry about passports and residency rules. And it could mean that some British immigrants may
lose their right to continue living and working in the UK and be deported.
"The withdrawal process is unprecedented," a British government spokesperson said a few weeks ago. "There is a great deal of uncertainty about how it would work."

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Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by theoneJabulani(m): 9:25am On Jun 24, 2016
Critics say Brexit could trigger a breakup of the UK:

Kirkegaard told me last week that Brexit could also change the United Kingdom in a more fundamental way. It's called the "United" Kingdom because it's made up of four "countries" — England, Wales, Scotland, and Northern Ireland. But if the United Kingdom votes to leave the EU, it may not stay united for very long.
Polls have shown that people in Scotland broadly support remaining in the EU. And the Scots in particular have never been entirely satisfied with English domination, as shown by the 44 percent of Scottish people who voted to make Scotland an independent country in 2014. They like having the UK be part of the EU in part because it provides a counterweight to English power within the UK.
Kirkegaard predicts that if the UK leaves the EU over the objections of voters in Scotland, it will strengthen the hand of separatists there. That could lead to an independent Scotland, which would most likely petition for admission to the EU in its own right.
But Brexit supporters dispute this analysis. They note that Scottish support for independence has waned in the two years since the Scottish vote — in part because falling oil prices have reduced the value of Scotland’s offshore oil fields. And British economist and economist Andrew Lilico, a Brexit supporter, told me last week that Brexit could actually strengthen Scottish loyalty to the UK.
"Scottishness as a political identity grows as Britishness withers," he argues. "If Westminster is a middleman between Edinburgh and Brussels, they can cut out the middleman. But if Britain reestablishes itself, the Scots will increasingly see themselves as defined by a British identity again."

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Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by theoneJabulani(m): 9:26am On Jun 24, 2016
credits: vox.com

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Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by Tycike: 9:29am On Jun 24, 2016
Now those eastern Europeans that frustrated my life when I was studying in UK will know what it is to be an immigrant.

108 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by Umennajiego(m): 10:54am On Jun 24, 2016
I follow!!!
Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by crunchyg: 12:43pm On Jun 24, 2016
Ok
Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by FakeNEWSevryday: 12:43pm On Jun 24, 2016
Let wait n see cool
Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by hotprayerzones: 12:43pm On Jun 24, 2016
Ok na
Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by martineverest(m): 12:44pm On Jun 24, 2016
pounds have already started plummenting on a 32 year record low.


Britain attracted investors due to eu policies,with this referendum,investors are likely going elsewhere...samsung,LG are planing to move their europe headquaters away from britain:google,apple and microsoft are already planing to do so......huge tax paid by compaanies will also worsen the situation.



Premiership will find it harder to buy players from other european league,due to hostility and high exchange rate....other leagues will find it cheaper to buy from epl due to favourable xchange rate.......xpect unfavourable ucl draws for epl teams.


Since scotland and northern ireland want to join european union,expect disintegration of united kingdom into smaller countries.

There might likely be another referendum to reverse this ugly one

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Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by hakeem4(m): 12:45pm On Jun 24, 2016
But what's my own


Lemme focus on Nigeria, these white folks don't even send us grin

34 Likes 1 Share

Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by Nobody: 12:45pm On Jun 24, 2016
It's surprising how they voted to leave but they know best.

David is a very respectable man stepping down to let the brexit leaders come and ride the boat they built

18 Likes

Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by ttmacoy: 12:45pm On Jun 24, 2016
Hahahaha so funny. At least one benefit for us.


Tycike:
Now those eastern Europeans that frustrated my life when I was studying in UK will know what it is to be an immigrant.

3 Likes 1 Share

Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by Kelvdats: 12:46pm On Jun 24, 2016
votemysticgal16:
Following.
Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by Lilimax(f): 12:47pm On Jun 24, 2016
This Brexit saga is somehow to me embarassed No comment yet! Does it mean MP Jo Cox was just murdered for nothing... cry

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by Nobody: 12:49pm On Jun 24, 2016
Why do they have to leave EU?
Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by lolawilliams(f): 12:49pm On Jun 24, 2016
No more champions league for england teams

4 Likes

Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by Edubrazilnwa(m): 12:50pm On Jun 24, 2016
IPOB hope don dey,this one na confirm yardstick......we can get it through Referendum it must not be through War!!!

All hail Biafra and whoever wants to disintegrate from Nigeria

27 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by Etinosajay(m): 12:50pm On Jun 24, 2016
A lot of things to look out for
Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by dgr8truth(m): 12:51pm On Jun 24, 2016
To me the take home of this brExit from EU is this, as a nation and as a government we should start discussing the effects of an IPOD exit from Nigeria.

Because as it is now it is no longer a question of 'if' but 'when'.

Association is not by force but choice and even our constitution lends voice to it.

25 Likes

Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by goldfish80(m): 12:51pm On Jun 24, 2016
Well,in the short term apparently, the pound’s value dropping so much means that the UK is no longer the 5th largest economy in the world – in a nicely symbolic move, they’ve been overtaken by France.
Unfortunately an awful lot of people were voting leave because of Xenophobia and Islamaphobia and ‘Them brown people taking our jobs and bombing us’. Or as someone put it ‘we just let them in and they go around raping who they want’. Which is just so beyond uninformed it’s unreal.There have also been a lot of people using this opportunity to vote as a ‘Bleep You’ to the conservative party and the ruling elite. Whilst actually having no or very little information on what the benefits/disadvantages of leaving the EU would be. I’m not sure that a lot of these people realise that whether we stay or go they will be getting shafted regardless.

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Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by GBAGAAUN(m): 12:52pm On Jun 24, 2016
undecided undecided
Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by GBAGAAUN(m): 12:52pm On Jun 24, 2016
Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by Nobody: 12:52pm On Jun 24, 2016
ok
Re: Effects Of Britain Leaving The EU by refiner(f): 12:53pm On Jun 24, 2016
Thats Serious... shocked shocked

Why did they leave?

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