Beer parlor gist...

This writeup is nonsense i.e it does not make sense.

It is too early for anybody to even contemplate any move. Before 2019, a lot of dynamics would have been introduced that will make this thread useless.

But as at today, PYO has the best position. He can even destroy his "enemies" with federal might. With the backing of Tinubu and Obasanjo, he stands ahead of everybody. If Buhari can not finish his term then Osinbajo is the next President even after 2019.

[s][/s]

maclatunji:
President Buhari is about to complete his first 2 years in office as an elected civilian president of Nigeria and the 2 major issues in the polity presently in Nigeria are; his current state of health begging the question on whether he is fit to continue in office and perhaps more importantly if he will run for reelection in 2019.

This article takes a look at the major contenders for his position should he not run for reelection in 2019. It is safe to say that in any election cycle in Nigeria; about 50 individuals have at least a remotely objective chance of being president. However, some contenders have more clout than others. The following 10 are the ones with the most clout in my opinion in no particular order.

1. Alhaji Sule Lamido

Alhaji Sule Lamido is a former 2-term governor of Jigawa state with considerable influence in his home state and neighbouring Kano. He as a northern aristocrat who has connections far and wide, he has also safely kept away from the current storm ravaging his party, the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) which could make him a favourite for party nomination as presidential candidate in 2019 if the Ali Modu Sheriff and Makarfi factions of the PDP can close ranks and resolve their bitter dispute. His current trial for allegedly inciting his followers to violence during the forthcoming local government elections in Jigawa state is an immediate challenge he has to surmount though.

2. Senator Ali Modu Sheriff

A former 2-term governor of Borno state and Senator, Alhaji Ali Modu Sheriff is currently the chairman of the PDP and reportedly a billionaire with deep pockets to finance a possible presidential bid. In fact, his opponents in the ongoing PDP crisis have suggested that the source of conflict is Senator Ali Modu Sheriff’s presidential ambition in 2019. If he can get his party to nominate him as its presidential candidate, he could be a formidable opponent especially when his money starts ‘talking’.

3. Governor Aminu Waziri Tambuwal

Former Speaker of the House of Representatives and Current Governor of Sokoto State, Aminu Waziri Tambuwal is a relatively young smart and articulate leader with connections all over Nigeria. He is a member of the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) who could be sold to the country as a vibrant fearless leader that can lead Nigeria to a great future. His obstacles to power would be mainly the other heavyweights in the APC who might run in the event that President Buhari does not. However, if a stalemate is reached, an individual like Tambuwal may become attractive as a compromise candidate. The fact that he is governor of the Sokoto, the ‘Seat of the Caliphate’ might help in no small measure as well.

4. Governor Nasir El Rufai

Former Minister of the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) and current Governor of Kaduna State, Mallam Nasir El Rufai tends to be controversial but he is also well-respected as a reformer during his time as the Director General of Bureau of Public Enterprises (BPE) and Minister of the FCT under former President Obasanjo. Currently in Kaduna, he is also embarking on sweeping reforms in the governance of a leading state in the North. However, his handling of political opponents even within his party and pronouncements on the recent inter-communal conflict in Kaduna have made some observers question his leadership credentials. It might be a case of being misrepresented but the governor has to explain why he is very susceptible to misrepresentation. It is also unclear what his relationship with President Buhari currently is like –whether good or strained, this might be a critical factor in his presidential ambition for 2019.

5. Senator Bukola Saraki

Former 2-term governor of Kwara state and President of Nigeria’s Senate, Dr. Bukola Saraki has defied Political gravity so far and will fancy his chances of becoming president if the incumbent does not run. Allegations of corruption trail him though and despite his best efforts to avoid it, his trial at the Code of Conduct Tribunal continues. He has a loyal base in the Senate and in Kwara state, his friend and ally Senator Dino Melaye will be assuring him that he has Kogi state as well. However, there are many power brokers in the APC who are against Senator Saraki and they will do all in their power to prevent him from being the party’s candidate in the event President Buhari refuses to run for 2019. However, as a former member of the PDP, he still has friends who might decide to combine forces with him in a new party, such is the nature of Nigerian politicians, it would not be difficult to defect to a new party and run on such a platform. His popularity within Nigeria would then be tested as a presidential candidate.

6. Vice President Yemi Osinbajo (SAN)

If a president cannot run for a second term, who better to replace him as his party’s candidate than his vice president? This simple logic is what makes Professor Yemi Osinbajo (SAN) a strong contender in 2019 based on our initial assumption. He showed in just over a month of President Buhari’s extended medical leave that he can be a pragmatic leader that connects with the people. However, his performance so far has largely been with the support of the president. There is a strong possibility that it is only with the support of President Buhari that Professor Osinbajo will have a strong footing to run for the highest office in 2019. He would also be looking towards Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu for support in such a scenario. While not a guaranteed deal, Vice President Osinbajo is certainly in the mix for 2019 without a doubt.

7. Alhaji Atiku Abubakar

Former Vice President, Alhaji Atiku Abubakar is a political heavyweight in Nigeria with considerable political machinery especially in Northern Nigeria. The challenge he seems to have is salability to Nigerians as the man to lead us. Since 2007, he has been trying to no avail. Could 2019 be his year? He definitely seems to believe so, as he has been going round the country delivering lectures on ‘restructuring Nigeria’ and explaining to us how things are not going well. He has also been pictured drinking sachet water a.k.a. ‘pure water’ in local parlance. Whether all these are enough is to be seen, he has a penchant for changing parties to pursue his ambition and might have to do so again to have a chance to run for president in 2019. Time will tell what the Turakin Adamawa has in store for us politically.

8. Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu

Former 2-term governor of Lagos state, Senator Bola Ahmed Tinubu is the biggest power broker in Nigeria at the moment, President Muhammadu Buhari admitted this much in his acceptance speech after being declared winner of the 2015 election. No doubt, both men have high regard for each other. Now, if President Buhari does not run, what strategy will Asiwaju Tinubu deploy? Will he run for president or support another person and remain the power-broker he has been for about a decade.

He has already told us that if President Buhari does not run, he will consider running himself. As events in the Senate, House of Representatives and even the Executive have shown since President Buhari was sworn-in, Asiwaju Tinubu cannot expect to get his way all the time. He is usually the first to recognize and admit this which is what makes him such a difficult politician to come-up against, political master-strategist with growing influence in the North which is critical for any presidential bid in Nigeria. Just how big is the Jagaban Borgu in the North and what will be the outcome if President Buhari and Asiwaju Tinubu have a meeting behind closed doors might be 2 critical factors that determine the success or failure of a Tinubu presidential bid in 2019.

9. Alhaji Muazu Babangida Aliyu

A 2-term former governor of Niger state, Alhaji Babangida Aliyu is a good orator and respected politician in the North regardless of his current trial by the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) for alleged corruption. If can survive his current travails and play his politics well, he might be a good compromise candidate for the 2 factions of the PDP. His oratory skills and connections with the Southwest where he had is tertiary education at the University of Ibadan may also prove helpful for a presidential bid. If the APC presents a candidate that his unpopular, Alhaji Babangida Aliyu might have a chance. It also helps his cause that 2 powerful former Heads of State, Gen. (Rtd.) Ibrahim Babangida and Gen. (Rtd.) Abdulsalam Abubakar come from his state. A few hilltop mansion meetings may do wonders for his candidacy.

10. Alhaji Aminu Bello Masari

Let us look at this scenario, President Buhari is not running for a second term, members of the APC are agitated about this and the quest for power by different blocks threatens to tear the party apart. A compromise needs to be reached quickly and it is decided that the governor of Kastina state where the President comes from should replace him as candidate while the party changes its constitution to formally codify zoning of the presidency to the south in 2023. Under this scenario, Alhaji Aminu Bello Masari, current governor of Katsina state would emerge APC candidate and would in all likelihood win such an election. He shares the advantage of having connections all over the country as former speaker of the House of Representatives with Governor Tambuwal of Sokoto state. This and the fact that he is the current president’s governor cannot be overlooked in the equation of 2019 where a President Buhari does not run.

Conclusion

These permutations might be rendered useless if President Buhari does decide to run, we definitely wish him good health and a speedy recovery from illness. However, it might be asking too much to expect him to campaign in most states of the country in a bid for reelection going by his old age and state of health.

So, what do you think about these potential candidates for president in 2019. Do you think there are people that should have made my top 10 list? Let me know by dropping a comment.

Source: http://www.opinions.ng/top-10-contenders-presidency-2019-president-buhari-fails-run/

cc: Lalasticlala, Mynd44

there are only 4 contenders namely Buhari, Osibanjo( if buhari steps down),Atiku and peter Obi(if he steps up).

birmingham04:
I have the link and you must be 75 yrs old above.

What is this suppose to mean ?

ade712:
This writeup is nonsense i.e it does not make sense.

It is too early for anybody to even contemplate any move. Before 2019, a lot of dynamics would have been introduced that will make this thread useless.

But as at today, PYO has the best position. He can even destroy his "enemies" with federal might. With the backing of Tinubu and Obasanjo, he stands ahead of everybody. If Buhari can not finish his term then Osinbajo is the next President even after 2019.

The Benin use to bury their king with a slave, u know Buhari is King of the North?

There is another saying that, u fool me once shame on you but u fool me twice, shame on me.

The north be u like people that u can fool twice? I dey ask u?

Connoisseur:


You make very good analysis when you want to be sincere.

True PYO has little or no chance in 2019 given the politics of the time. The north will be most skeptical at this time given the GEJ experience. If him a chance in 2019 and he would want a second term.Also his name is not Goodluck.

As for Tambuwal and El Rufai: going for second term wouldn't stop them from taking a shot at the presidency, ask Rochas. Tambuwal stands a chance, he's a rugged politician but El Rufai hs more antecedents to his name.

If I were PYO, I would accept any deal at this time to be president. I would check all ambitions in 2019 but I would use the owners of the presidency to support a candidate of my we choosing, someone who's least expected.

PYO better go siddon for one corner bro. Thing is PYO can't influence who wins APC ticket in 2019, he got no structure loyal to him... not even in his Ward

maclatunji:


Let me use football as an example. A team that loses to the eventual winner of a tournament will not make it to the final. Yet, it may be stronger than the losing finalist.

Kwakwanso could easily place second because those that would have voted for an Atiku Abubakar for example voted for Buhari.

May I remind you Kwankwaso edged Atiku in the previous primary election. Plus NW is Kwankwaso's base not Atiku. therefore, it's those who'd vote for Kwankwaso that voted PMB.
Anyway let's wait and see.

maclatunji:


Anything can happen but analysts will always analyze.

Ur analysis is flawed, i bet u nobody on that list make it to Aso Rock in 2019. This was exactly how analyst completely missed Yaradua and Jonathan.

Most of the people commenting on this thread may not know the top contenders for their LGA Councillorship, chairman or state and federal lawmakers positions.
Meanwhile they are the ones whom we can directly address our concerns to and who can better deal with issues on our behalf.
Are we not our own worst enemies?

Fineman87:


Seriously. You mean odds favour muazu the lizard as your president. Gosh. Pathetic slave. What about you. Cant you contest. I will rather favour a disintegrated Nigeria since yaribas hav surrendered their destiny to the north.

Guy park well! Don't you know the application of question mark?

This guy isn't current!

Kwankwaso not in the list is like a car without fuel.

wrong list

nii zan gudu ghana wallahi!!

As long as I have my business running, can import and inflate the prices of my goods and make good profit, still make babies, I don't give a flying fuuuck what animal rules the cesspit! Nigeria is a contraption that's on the verge of collapse.

maclatunji:
President Buhari is about to complete his first 2 years in office as an elected civilian president of Nigeria and the 2 major issues in the polity presently in Nigeria are; his current state of health begging the question on whether he is fit to continue in office and perhaps more importantly if he will run for reelection in 2019.

This article takes a look at the major contenders for his position should he not run for reelection in 2019. It is safe to say that in any election cycle in Nigeria; about 50 individuals have at least a remotely objective chance of being president. However, some contenders have more clout than others. The following 10 are the ones with the most clout in my opinion in no particular order.

1. Alhaji Sule Lamido

Alhaji Sule Lamido is a former 2-term governor of Jigawa state with considerable influence in his home state and neighbouring Kano. He as a northern aristocrat who has connections far and wide, he has also safely kept away from the current storm ravaging his party, the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) which could make him a favourite for party nomination as presidential candidate in 2019 if the Ali Modu Sheriff and Makarfi factions of the PDP can close ranks and resolve their bitter dispute. His current trial for allegedly inciting his followers to violence during the forthcoming local government elections in Jigawa state is an immediate challenge he has to surmount though.

2. Senator Ali Modu Sheriff

A former 2-term governor of Borno state and Senator, Alhaji Ali Modu Sheriff is currently the chairman of the PDP and reportedly a billionaire with deep pockets to finance a possible presidential bid. In fact, his opponents in the ongoing PDP crisis have suggested that the source of conflict is Senator Ali Modu Sheriff’s presidential ambition in 2019. If he can get his party to nominate him as its presidential candidate, he could be a formidable opponent especially when his money starts ‘talking’.

3. Governor Aminu Waziri Tambuwal

Former Speaker of the House of Representatives and Current Governor of Sokoto State, Aminu Waziri Tambuwal is a relatively young smart and articulate leader with connections all over Nigeria. He is a member of the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) who could be sold to the country as a vibrant fearless leader that can lead Nigeria to a great future. His obstacles to power would be mainly the other heavyweights in the APC who might run in the event that President Buhari does not. However, if a stalemate is reached, an individual like Tambuwal may become attractive as a compromise candidate. The fact that he is governor of the Sokoto, the ‘Seat of the Caliphate’ might help in no small measure as well.

4. Governor Nasir El Rufai

Former Minister of the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) and current Governor of Kaduna State, Mallam Nasir El Rufai tends to be controversial but he is also well-respected as a reformer during his time as the Director General of Bureau of Public Enterprises (BPE) and Minister of the FCT under former President Obasanjo. Currently in Kaduna, he is also embarking on sweeping reforms in the governance of a leading state in the North. However, his handling of political opponents even within his party and pronouncements on the recent inter-communal conflict in Kaduna have made some observers question his leadership credentials. It might be a case of being misrepresented but the governor has to explain why he is very susceptible to misrepresentation. It is also unclear what his relationship with President Buhari currently is like –whether good or strained, this might be a critical factor in his presidential ambition for 2019.

5. Senator Bukola Saraki

Former 2-term governor of Kwara state and President of Nigeria’s Senate, Dr. Bukola Saraki has defied Political gravity so far and will fancy his chances of becoming president if the incumbent does not run. Allegations of corruption trail him though and despite his best efforts to avoid it, his trial at the Code of Conduct Tribunal continues. He has a loyal base in the Senate and in Kwara state, his friend and ally Senator Dino Melaye will be assuring him that he has Kogi state as well. However, there are many power brokers in the APC who are against Senator Saraki and they will do all in their power to prevent him from being the party’s candidate in the event President Buhari refuses to run for 2019. However, as a former member of the PDP, he still has friends who might decide to combine forces with him in a new party, such is the nature of Nigerian politicians, it would not be difficult to defect to a new party and run on such a platform. His popularity within Nigeria would then be tested as a presidential candidate.

6. Vice President Yemi Osinbajo (SAN)

If a president cannot run for a second term, who better to replace him as his party’s candidate than his vice president? This simple logic is what makes Professor Yemi Osinbajo (SAN) a strong contender in 2019 based on our initial assumption. He showed in just over a month of President Buhari’s extended medical leave that he can be a pragmatic leader that connects with the people. However, his performance so far has largely been with the support of the president. There is a strong possibility that it is only with the support of President Buhari that Professor Osinbajo will have a strong footing to run for the highest office in 2019. He would also be looking towards Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu for support in such a scenario. While not a guaranteed deal, Vice President Osinbajo is certainly in the mix for 2019 without a doubt.

7. Alhaji Atiku Abubakar

Former Vice President, Alhaji Atiku Abubakar is a political heavyweight in Nigeria with considerable political machinery especially in Northern Nigeria. The challenge he seems to have is salability to Nigerians as the man to lead us. Since 2007, he has been trying to no avail. Could 2019 be his year? He definitely seems to believe so, as he has been going round the country delivering lectures on ‘restructuring Nigeria’ and explaining to us how things are not going well. He has also been pictured drinking sachet water a.k.a. ‘pure water’ in local parlance. Whether all these are enough is to be seen, he has a penchant for changing parties to pursue his ambition and might have to do so again to have a chance to run for president in 2019. Time will tell what the Turakin Adamawa has in store for us politically.

8. Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu

Former 2-term governor of Lagos state, Senator Bola Ahmed Tinubu is the biggest power broker in Nigeria at the moment, President Muhammadu Buhari admitted this much in his acceptance speech after being declared winner of the 2015 election. No doubt, both men have high regard for each other. Now, if President Buhari does not run, what strategy will Asiwaju Tinubu deploy? Will he run for president or support another person and remain the power-broker he has been for about a decade.

He has already told us that if President Buhari does not run, he will consider running himself. As events in the Senate, House of Representatives and even the Executive have shown since President Buhari was sworn-in, Asiwaju Tinubu cannot expect to get his way all the time. He is usually the first to recognize and admit this which is what makes him such a difficult politician to come-up against, political master-strategist with growing influence in the North which is critical for any presidential bid in Nigeria. Just how big is the Jagaban Borgu in the North and what will be the outcome if President Buhari and Asiwaju Tinubu have a meeting behind closed doors might be 2 critical factors that determine the success or failure of a Tinubu presidential bid in 2019.

9. Alhaji Muazu Babangida Aliyu

A 2-term former governor of Niger state, Alhaji Babangida Aliyu is a good orator and respected politician in the North regardless of his current trial by the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) for alleged corruption. If can survive his current travails and play his politics well, he might be a good compromise candidate for the 2 factions of the PDP. His oratory skills and connections with the Southwest where he had is tertiary education at the University of Ibadan may also prove helpful for a presidential bid. If the APC presents a candidate that his unpopular, Alhaji Babangida Aliyu might have a chance. It also helps his cause that 2 powerful former Heads of State, Gen. (Rtd.) Ibrahim Babangida and Gen. (Rtd.) Abdulsalam Abubakar come from his state. A few hilltop mansion meetings may do wonders for his candidacy.

10. Alhaji Aminu Bello Masari

Let us look at this scenario, President Buhari is not running for a second term, members of the APC are agitated about this and the quest for power by different blocks threatens to tear the party apart. A compromise needs to be reached quickly and it is decided that the governor of Kastina state where the President comes from should replace him as candidate while the party changes its constitution to formally codify zoning of the presidency to the south in 2023. Under this scenario, Alhaji Aminu Bello Masari, current governor of Katsina state would emerge APC candidate and would in all likelihood win such an election. He shares the advantage of having connections all over the country as former speaker of the House of Representatives with Governor Tambuwal of Sokoto state. This and the fact that he is the current president’s governor cannot be overlooked in the equation of 2019 where a President Buhari does not run.

Conclusion

These permutations might be rendered useless if President Buhari does decide to run, we definitely wish him good health and a speedy recovery from illness. However, it might be asking too much to expect him to campaign in most states of the country in a bid for reelection going by his old age and state of health.

So, what do you think about these potential candidates for president in 2019. Do you think there are people that should have made my top 10 list? Let me know by dropping a comment.

Source: http://www.opinions.ng/top-10-contenders-presidency-2019-president-buhari-fails-run/

cc: Lalasticlala, Mynd44

Where is Kwankaso?

Nobody From south south. ?After somebody will be telling me one Nigeria .mietheeeww

good for the zoo, cause no biafran is in that list . for sure we are going before 2019

TheCabal:


I said it before and I will say it again. "the north sleeps well when the west rules" but it will never sleep if the South East or any well known friend to the South East goes even an inch close to the presidency , the reason's are obvious and the present call for Biafra from the South East has made it so much so that several other ethnic groups would rather they never do.

@TonyeBarcanista claims that Osinbajo is not the favored candidate for 2019, however he has provided no facts. Let me start buy reminding you that the north supported Obasanjo twice for the presidency and Jonathan once (Jonathan fell out of their graces when it was evident, he favored the east more than the west and north and his lackadaisical attitude towards insurgency in Borno state)



^{PDP ticket will go to the north because they need it for votes. APC ticket will go to whomever will guarantee , stability after the presidential election has been won by the APC. APC has Buhari, so the idea of bringing a northern candidate would be stupidity when all Buhari as to do, is raise your hand in a crowd and say "namu ne". He can do this for anyone and they would win, this has been proven by the victory so many candidate won in the north simply because of Buhari. You need Buhari support to win 2019, not a northern candidate}

V.P Osinbajo is the most favorite member of the APC at the moment after Buhari. Tinubu recently received accolades for states as far as Borno.
Lagos alone can provide funding for the entire 2019 presidential election and Lagos is Tinubu domain.

Osinbajo was placed as the acting president of the country for 50 + days and he performed excellently , he received accolades for several notable Nigerian's and has also been identified as the reason Nigeria's oil production numbers have risen.

Buhari has praised Osinbajo several times for his performance. He has given him various important roles in which his leadership skills have been displayed. As the V.P Osinbajo is the natural successor to Buhari - this is political tradition in Nigeria, and it is not about to change.

It is very unlikely that Buhari would annoint a candidate other than Osinbajo, even though he has done so several times indirectly. The recent would be Osinbajo attendace of Pres. Buhari P.A wedding several governors and traditional leaders from the north where in attendance. We all know wedding have always been an avenue for political meetings , introductions and affirmations. Osinbajo has made friends in areas where it matters - the North for the votes and the Niger-Delta for the oil.

@TonyeBarcanista need to tell us how Osinbajo would not emerge the Presidential candidate for 2019. Let us not forget, he is also married to Pa. Awolowo's grand daughter. This is a natural succession. PDP does not stand a chance.

Zee

See them. But for the fact that Prof Osinbajo is my brother, I for answer you. All of those insults for Jonathan. Tonye don't respond joor

I SEE THIEF PEOPLE.

professor osinbajo will be my choice!! I think he will make a better leader.. He has been there and so well understands what it means to rule Nigeria. He showed that during his few days in office that he can listen and listening as you know in leader is responsibility. I believe he will be the right man to sail Nigeria to greatness.

EazyMoh:

May I remind you Kwankwaso edged Atiku in the previous primary election. Plus NW is Kwankwaso's base not Atiku. therefore, it's those who'd vote for Kwankwaso that voted PMB.
Anyway let's wait and see.

Yes, because those that would have voted Atiku voted Buhari. If Buhari did not contest, Atiku would win that primary in a head-to-head with Kwakwanso. He needs to do more to build his base.

The people I listed can benefit from support of others if the conditions are right. I just don't see anybody supporting Kwakwanso outside of his hard-core supporters.

Rochas okoroawusa

Toks2008:

Where is Kwankaso?

You can put him at No. 11.

TheCabal:


I said it before and I will say it again. "the north sleeps well when the west rules" but it will never sleep if the South East or any well known friend to the South East goes even an inch close to the presidency , the reason's are obvious and the present call for Biafra from the South East has made it so much so that several other ethnic groups would rather they never do.

@TonyeBarcanista claims that Osinbajo is not the favored candidate for 2019, however he has provided no facts. Let me start buy reminding you that the north supported Obasanjo twice for the presidency and Jonathan once (Jonathan fell out of their graces when it was evident, he favored the east more than the west and north and his lackadaisical attitude towards insurgency in Borno state)



^{PDP ticket will go to the north because they need it for votes. APC ticket will go to whomever will guarantee , stability after the presidential election has been won by the APC. APC has Buhari, so the idea of bringing a northern candidate would be stupidity when all Buhari as to do, is raise your hand in a crowd and say "namu ne". He can do this for anyone and they would win, this has been proven by the victory so many candidate won in the north simply because of Buhari. You need Buhari support to win 2019, not a northern candidate}

V.P Osinbajo is the most favorite member of the APC at the moment after Buhari. Tinubu recently received accolades for states as far as Borno.
Lagos alone can provide funding for the entire 2019 presidential election and Lagos is Tinubu domain.

Osinbajo was placed as the acting president of the country for 50 + days and he performed excellently , he received accolades for several notable Nigerian's and has also been identified as the reason Nigeria's oil production numbers have risen.

Buhari has praised Osinbajo several times for his performance. He has given him various important roles in which his leadership skills have been displayed. As the V.P Osinbajo is the natural successor to Buhari - this is political tradition in Nigeria, and it is not about to change.

It is very unlikely that Buhari would annoint a candidate other than Osinbajo, even though he has done so several times indirectly. The recent would be Osinbajo attendace of Pres. Buhari P.A wedding several governors and traditional leaders from the north where in attendance. We all know wedding have always been an avenue for political meetings , introductions and affirmations. Osinbajo has made friends in areas where it matters - the North for the votes and the Niger-Delta for the oil.

@TonyeBarcanista need to tell us how Osinbajo would not emerge the Presidential candidate for 2019. Let us not forget, he is also married to Pa. Awolowo's grand daughter. This is a natural succession. PDP does not stand a chance.

I dont know why this afonjas love to live in fool's paradise .So in ur mind u think the North wud vote for any Southern candidate? buhari or no buhari the North wud never vote for osinbanjo or tinubu.they wud rather vote for apga if apga has a northern candidate .
All u wrote are nothing but trash.

TheCabal:


The north has always been content with a westerner in power. It is the east, they have a problem with.

GEJ's candidacy was opposed in the beginning yes, that was Turai Yar'adua doing not the north. As soon as it was obvious that GEJ can guarantee a steady flow of oil revenue. The matter was settled , immediately. He would have had a second term but he made the biggest mistake of presenting himself as the South East's best friend. And, once the Boko haram issue spiralled out of control and he was fingered several times for not showing concern in the issue. It was obvious, who would not rule.

Once you make to many friends in the east and not find a balance in the north and west you become politically impotent. The east does not have the numbers or influence nor has it at any time provided funding for presidential election, it also does not have any prominent politicians. Chuba Okadibo was the last. Okadigbo was a close friend of Buhari , infact he was fingered for a VP position until his demise.

Please if you don't mind, can you list some scenarios or cases where Good luck Jonathan favoured the east against the north during his tenure...I just need 5 scenarios.

TonyeBarcanista:
It is too early to even make prediction considering that there is lots of horse trading, alignment and realignment of forces that is ongoing.

But one truth and fact we must embrace is that whether Buhari runs or not, APC and PDP tickets will go to northern candidates. That means those calling Yemi Osinbajo as favorite are on a long thing. He will even be lucky to emerge runnerup in his party primary against the candidate supported by the power bloc within the Presidency, which is in firm grip of APC machinery at present. This truth Tinubu knows.

Tambawal and Mansari will most likely go for second term. Elrufai would run for second term if Buhari group refuse to back him as replacement for Baba.

Kwankwaso can never win APC nomination, even his return ticket as Senator for Kano Central is not sure as Ganduje is determined to crush him.

Atiku candidacy within APC is not sure, perhaps he may move to the new mega party to give it a shot.

Saraki giving a shot at the Presidency is unlikely, but if he has such it will be interesting.

Sule Lamido is trying to build is base but a divided PDP could force him to either stay or seek a ticket elsewhere other than APC.


However, we can always wait to see the outcome of what is going on behind the scene with respect to the much talked mega party. That could be the deal breaker.


2019 WILL be interesting

TheCabal:


The north has always been content with a westerner in power. It is the east, they have a problem with.

GEJ's candidacy was opposed in the beginning yes, that was Turai Yar'adua doing not the north. As soon as it was obvious that GEJ can guarantee a steady flow of oil revenue. The matter was settled , immediately. He would have had a second term but he made the biggest mistake of presenting himself as the South East's best friend. And, once the Boko haram issue spiralled out of control and he was fingered several times for not showing concern in the issue. It was obvious, who would not rule.

Once you make to many friends in the east and not find a balance in the north and west you become politically impotent. The east does not have the numbers or influence nor has it at any time provided funding for presidential election, it also does not have any prominent politicians. Chuba Okadibo was the last. Okadigbo was a close friend of Buhari , infact he was fingered for a VP position until his demise.
Please if you don't mind, can you list some scenarios or cases where Good luck Jonathan favoured the east against the north during his tenure...I just need 5 scenarios.

And do you see a way-forward for an all-embracing integrative government that will birth a properly restructured, productive and stable Nigeria along "Federated" lines from the present chaos from all these recycled "fumblers", political-prostitutes and unrepentantly nepotic despots-to-be's?!

Especially the mallams...?!

deji15:
None from SE?

They want Biafra not Nigeria's presidential seat. SE and SS votes cannot make anyone the president and since they have been calling other regions different names like parasite (North) and back-stabbers (South-West), the NE, NW, NC and SW will never ever vote for them. So, they should be contented with their militancy and IPOB touting.

Nijeriya,sai Talba. Lol #3secondsofmadness

stifYan:
for christ sakes..is it dat d Igbos are no longer part of d country??
If dem shout biafra 2moro wuna go de beg dem to calm down...
Why

Jux Hold it dia!!..Shey u no see where d Op talk say u fit add ur own?..Oya add dem ur igbo bloodas na, afterall its jux a trend..Small tin una go wan dey cry..ahan!!..and hu's beggin Biafrauds to calm down??..oya mek una no calm down again,do ur Worst