Kagd10:
like Jonathan won the primaries and got endorsed by Miyetti, only to betrayed? They knew it was Southern turn na. However they ran to Pdp, like they ran to Apc in 2015. In the next 8 years, they will run back to Apc again.

On Peter Obi, Bayelsa people are supporting him. All the SS are supporting him because of Tinubu's Muslim Muslim ticket.

Point is Tinubu should open his votes for everyone. That's what is right. Regardless of Hausa and Fulani betraying or not, Tinubu need to clear the North central and get some major votes from South South which can only be achieved if Lalong is brought in.

No,south turn ended in 2007.gej agreed in 2011 not to recontest in 2011 so he had to be dealt with plus gej never had friends and connection up north like tinubu.

garfield1:


How? In se,he will get 95% in anambra,60% in ebonyi,50% in IMO,50% in Enugu and 40% in abia...

In ss,highest he will get is 40% thats 60% in edo,50% in rivers,30% in delta,25% in aks,30% In crs and 15% in bayelsa

-Mr. Obi will get only 40% in Abia State? Who will the rest of 60% voters cast their ballots for? Are you sure you're normal?

garfield1:


No,south turn ended in 2007.gej agreed in 2011 not to recontest in 2011 so he had to be dealt with plus gej never had friends and connection up north like tinubu.

Which ended? The North have been ruling the most since 1960. They didn't vote Jonathan in 2011. So what are you saying exactly? Jonathan's mistake in 2015 was overlooking the Yorubas while banking on the Fulani and Hausa who promised him and even got him endorsed by Miyetti, only for them to betray him. Same thing Tinubu is repeating.

Point is Tinubu needs two Zones he can be assured of but he's only got 1 zone which is SW while hoping the Hausa and Fulani wouldn't betray him. There's no reason to limit one's voting power while banking on people who could end up betraying you. The best is to throw it open and include everyone hence Lalong should be brought in. If the Fulani and Hausa repay their gratitude by voting Tinubu, then, it would be additional votes to make Tinubu win by landslide. That's what anyone with good intention should be clamouring for.

PDJT:


-Mr. Obi will get only 40% in Abia State? Who will the rest of 60% voters cast their ballots for? Are you sure you're normal?

Atiku 35%,tinubu 25%

garfield1:


Atiku 35%,tinubu 25%

-Hmm. I ask again; are you normal? When did tinubu started campaigning for votes in Abia State?

-As for Atiku, those who could buy votes for him are only interested in saving their selfish ambitions this time around.

-Abia State vote for a Muslim-Muslim ticket in this 21 century? Tell Tinubu to pay his first ever visit to Abia and test his "25%" popularity . Even OUK will not sale that Muslim-Muslim ticket in Abia north.

kettykin:

. your analysis was good at his weak points in the middle belt ,as for south south, peter obi is taken them with minimum of 69%

Peter Obi will not win any state in the SS.

Kagd10:
If Obi sweep the whole South East and South South.

And pick some major votes from Northern region. He can get a upper hand.

He wont win any state outside SE, and he wont win all southeast states. Eg Ebonyi

garfield1:


How? In se,he will get 95% in anambra,60% in ebonyi,50% in IMO,50% in Enugu and 40% in abia...

In ss,highest he will get is 40% thats 60% in edo,50% in rivers,30% in delta,25% in aks,30% In crs and 15% in bayelsa

garfield1, 60% in Edo? How? Nawao. So PDP and APC will share just 40% of Edo votes. Wow!!! I bow for you oo.
50% in Rivers? With none of Amaechi, Magnus Abe or Wike supporting him? Kai.

Obi will not see 25% in Rivers, the only state he might get 25% is in Edo.

Ttalk:


I don't understand this your Atiku won't get 25% in Borno. Borno has substantial concentration f enlighten people with divergent view, just like we have in Kano, Lagos, no matter the states political leaning, there would always be chunks of opposition.

That is too bogus and doesn't reflect the permutation of a realistic Tinubu fan.

Though am a Tinubu fan I disagree with you on this

Atiku wont get 25% in Borno know this and know peace. In the last election he got 7% , how will he improve this time that Zulum performed excellently and Shettima is in the ballot? Borno will the the most one sided state in this election followed by Zamfara.

garfield1:
He will of course win the 5 south east states.he will get 25% in edo,rivers,delta,cross river.he may not get it in akwa ibom but he won't get it in bayelsa.highest he will see in bayelsa is 15%.
Apart from lagos,he won't get it in any other south western state.he can try in ondo or Oyo but I dont see him exceeding 20% there.he won't see 10% in ekiti,Osun and Ogun.
In the north central, he will get in benue,plateau and fct and perhaps nasarawa but won't get it in kwara or niger.I dont see him getting above 20% in kogi..
He will get it narrowly in Kaduna thats if he wins Kaduna south.between Adamawa,taraba and gombe,he should get it in 2 states...
In summary,10 from ss/se,2 from sw,4 from nc,2 from ne,one in nw which is less than 20 states.
Atiku won't get 25% in borno,yobe,zamfara,kano and Kaduna if obi gets 25%. He won't get it in lagos,ekiti,Ogun.he won't make it in anambra,Enugu,ebonyi and IMO.he will fail the test in rivers and edo and maybe crs...

Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Nplfmod
Kyase
Benuejosh
Asgard
Meleszenawi
Penguin2
Asa593
Bayelsaowei
Idisule
Mymouth
Cajal
Muykem
Wwwihy
Legendhero
Immaculatejoe
Esseite

No one is voting a Mu Mu ticket. Never forget that.

donphilopus:


Bro, he's right. There's no way Atiku would get 25% in states like Borno, Yobe and Zamfara. They don't condone PDP in those areas. You can check 2015 and 2019 Presidential election results.

I am surprised someone is doubting Borno. Shettima and Zulum have Borno on lockdown. Even more than Buhari will get there

CapitalCee:


He wont win any state outside SE, and he wont win all southeast states. Eg Ebonyi

SE and SS won't support Tinubu with Muslim Muslim ticket. Tinubu has to change his Vp to Lalong.

CapitalCee:


I am surprised someone is doubting Borno. Shettima and Zulum have Borno on lockdown. Even more than Buhari will get there

Borno alone can't help Tinubu. If Hausa and Fulani betray Tinubu for Atiku, it's over. Point is Tinubu shouldn't limit his vote but should include everyone hence bring in Lalong. Shettima can always get another role.

Kagd10:
SE and SS won't support Tinubu with Muslim Muslim ticket. Tinubu has to change his Vp to Lalong.

You are talking trash. You dont know politics. Tinubu will score huge votes in Bayelsa, Delta, Edo, Rivers and CRS. Wetin concern rural dwellers with muslim/Muslim ticket. Open your eyes clearly

muykem:
Peter Obi will not win a single state outside South east.

They dont know this. And he wont even win all the Southeast states

CapitalCee:


You are talking trash. You dont know politics. Tinubu will score huge votes in Bayelsa, Delta, Edo, Rivers and CRS. Wetin concern rural dwellers with muslim/Muslim ticket. Open your eyes clearly

Wetin concern who? Lmao. You're the one talking trash. All what they need to hear is Tinubu's Muslim Muslim ticket and they will run for cover. Wike has severally said he won't support Muslim Muslim ticket. Hence Tinubu should change his vp. He violated the federal character principle in the first place.

Ttalk:


Obi can't get 25% in 4states from SW just like Tinubu won't get 25 %/in 3SE states

Lol, this one thinks everyone is doing tribalism like him. Of course, there is no way a senile old man can get 25% in any SE or SS state. Tinubu is rejected because he is old and both physically and mentally sick. Also, he has a terrorist as Vice. These are issues sensible Yorubas just like Igbos won't overlook.

Peter Obi will get 25% in all SW states bar non!

CapitalCee:


Atiku wont get 25% in Borno know this and know peace. In the last election he got 7% , how will he improve this time that Zulum performed excellently and Shettima is in the ballot? Borno will the the most one sided state in this election followed by Zamfara.

You really must be the most deluded nairalander for writing such trash. Don't worry, una eyes go soon open!

Vote4Obi:


You really must be the most deluded nairalander for writing such trash. Don't worry, una eyes go soon open!

Who are you supporting Obi or Atiku? Or you are simply a bitter, sad Tinubu hater?

garfield1:
He will of course win the 5 south east states.he will get 25% in edo,rivers,delta,cross river.he may not get it in akwa ibom but he won't get it in bayelsa.highest he will see in bayelsa is 15%.
Apart from lagos,he won't get it in any other south western state.he can try in ondo or Oyo but I dont see him exceeding 20% there.he won't see 10% in ekiti,Osun and Ogun.
In the north central, he will get in benue,plateau and fct and perhaps nasarawa but won't get it in kwara or niger.I dont see him getting above 20% in kogi..
He will get it narrowly in Kaduna thats if he wins Kaduna south.between Adamawa,taraba and gombe,he should get it in 2 states...
In summary,10 from ss/se,2 from sw,4 from nc,2 from ne,one in nw which is less than 20 states.
Atiku won't get 25% in borno,yobe,zamfara,kano and Kaduna if obi gets 25%. He won't get it in lagos,ekiti,Ogun.he won't make it in anambra,Enugu,ebonyi and IMO.he will fail the test in rivers and edo and maybe crs...

Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Nplfmod
Kyase
Benuejosh
Asgard
Meleszenawi
Penguin2
Asa593
Bayelsaowei
Idisule
Mymouth
Cajal
Muykem
Wwwihy
Legendhero
Immaculatejoe
Esseite

The problem is, Obi is popular only in the urban centers in states outside the southeast, what about the rural areas where there is huge voting populations? Honestly, I don't see obi winning any state outside the southeast apart from plateau and Benue..

MyMouth:

The problem is, Obi is popular only in the urban centers in states outside the southeast, what about the rural areas where there is huge voting populations? Honestly, I don't see obi winning any state outside the southeast apart from plateau and Benue..

Which Benue?