Saddam Hussein Is Dead

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Easyy (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #224 on: January 06, 2007, 12:30 PM »

Quote from: 4 Play on January 06, 2007, 03:06 AM
Iraq was not a terrorist haven before the war?Which begs the question how Ansar Al Islam(a terrorist organisation) managed to gain territorial control over large swathes of Northern Iraq before the war and operate with total impunity
How come Al Zarqawi managed to operate from Iraq before the war

U resort to the usual argument of the anti-war brigade-we want Saddam out but not in the manner it was done-Problem is no one has suggested how this outcome would have been acheived

If the Shia and Kurdish insurrections of the 80s and 90s succeded,won't that have brought about sectarian conflict as we are witnessing

Most Iraqis today die through sectarian conflict,if the likes of Saddam had ruled Iraq in an equitable manner by allowing the Shias and Kurds a fair crack at governance,we won't have a sectarian conflict today.Full blame for the present predicament lies with past Iraqi leaders and the British colonial authority.

What is happening now was bound to happen,if u have a minority rule of Sunni Arabs and their Christian cronies-a quasi-apartheid system-at some point the majority peoples(Kurds and Shias) are going to start reacting violently when given the opportunity

The removal of Saddam has created a situation whereby the majority of the Iraqi populace have a stake in governance but apparently some Sunnis find this intolerable.

If the idea is that Saddam should remain in power so that Sunnis can continue their domination of Iraq,most Iraqis still think that the present level of violence is worth the overthrow of a Govt that made them second class citizens in their own country,killing them in huge numbers simply for being in the wrong sectarian group

If you come up with genuine instances of terrorism in Iraq before George Bush's terrorist activities there, you would have a better point.

I'm sure if there was terrorist activity by a certain George Bush during the Abacha era in nigeria, our country will also be burning now and people with your kind of slant would say that it had to be done to save us from the tyranny of the killer dictator.
4 Play (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #225 on: January 06, 2007, 03:25 PM »

Some folks suggest that the abscence of  suicide bombings in Iraq before  the invasion means that Iraq was not a terrorist haven which is a wonderful way of reasoning.By that same logic the abscence of such suicide bombings in Afghanistan before 9/11 means that Afghanistan was not a terrorists haven before 9/11

We can ignore the fact that terrorists set up training camps and operated with total impunity in both nations before the Americans came in. That is perhaps the essence of a terrorists "haven",a place where terrorists can operate training camps without anyone challenging them  .It is only when they are challenged in in their own "safe havens" that they respond in kind with widescale suicide bombings ,like in Iraq and Afghanistan

When Bin Laden was based in Sudan,how many suicide bombings where reported in the Sudan?None

The Clinton Adminstration refered to Saddam's Govt as one of the leading state sponsor of terror while it was in power

We can attack the present situation as much as we want,the fact remains that when Shias and Kurds were being oppressed by the influential Sunni minority,most people said nothing.

Who remembers the expulsion in 2000,of 4,000 Shia families from Baghdad.Where was the outrage?Apart from the State Dept and a few human rights org,the Arab street did not react
Afam (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #226 on: January 06, 2007, 03:31 PM »

Quote from: 4 Play on January 06, 2007, 03:25 PM
We can ignore the fact that terrorists set up training camps and operated with total impunity in both nations before the Americans came in. That is perhaps the essence of a terrorists "haven",a place where terrorists can operate training camps without anyone challenging them .It is only when they are challenged in in their own "safe havens" that they respond in kind with widescale suicide bombings ,like in Iraq and Afghanistan

Another clear lie being sold here. Iraq was never a terrorist haven nor was it ever a nation that had training camps for any terrorist groups.

Now far can one go to tell a lie? We have heard enough and are really tired of these blatant lies.
4 Play (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #227 on: January 06, 2007, 03:57 PM »

Quote from: Afam on January 06, 2007, 03:31 PM
Another clear lie being sold here. Iraq was never a terrorist haven nor was it ever a nation that had training camps for any terrorist groups.

Now far can one go to tell a lie? We have heard enough and are really tired of these blatant lies.

@Afam

Maybe u did not know that Ansar Al Islam had training camps in Northern Iraq before the war- http://www.spinsanity.org/columns/20031107.htmlI decided to get you a link from an article critical of Bush so u don't make excuses about the source .U can research further on Ansar Al islam at your leisure

When u have finished reading on Ansar Al Islam ,I will like to hear your excuses as to why u thought it was a blatant lie that no terror organisation had training camps in Iraq before the war
Afam (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #228 on: January 06, 2007, 04:06 PM »

You will be joking if you imagine I will spend my time arguing with you even when the article you searched and referenced made nonsense of what you are trying to say.

Rather than attempt to redeem your credibility that you have rubbished by your many lies here you are trying to confuse yourself with articles on the internet, good luck. Your style of selective reading, understanding or thinking is bad.

I hope other people will read the article and make up their minds based on the information presented.

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Strategic ambiguity about Ansar al-Islam
By Bryan Keefer
November 7, 2003

In recent weeks, a number of Bush administration officials have renewed efforts to build a rhetorical linkage between Ansar al-Islam, an Al Qaeda-backed terrorist group operating in Iraq, and Saddam Hussein. Despite the slim evidence of any operational connection between the two, these officials have continued to use strategically ambiguous language to imply a connection.

Prior to the war, Ansar al-Islam operated in Kurdish-controlled areas in the northeastern Iraq, a region that had been outside of Saddam's control since the Gulf War in 1991. At the time, administration officials suggested the group was directly connected to the Iraqi dictator. In his February speech to the United Nations, for instance, Secretary of State Colin Powell suggested that there was contact between Saddam and the group, and cited it as a potential link between the Iraqi dictator and Al Qaeda.

However, evidence found at a Ansar al-Islam training camp in March indicates that the group had ties to Al Qaeda, but it did not demonstrate a connection to Saddam. At this point, the strongest evidence to date for a linkage was presented by General Richard Meyers, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, who told the Senate Armed Services Committee on July 24 that "We do know that Iraqi intelligence service had people involved back and forth" with the group. Deputy Secretary of Defense Paul Wolfowitz also claimed there were unspecified "links" between Saddam and the group in testimony before the Senate Armed Services Committee on September 9, stating that both Saddam and Ansar al-Islam "went to very great lengths to bury and hide the links that they had with one another. So you have to recognize, we'll probably see only the tip of the iceberg, but we certainly see links."


In short, the evidence is muddled, but there is little proof of a direct connection between Saddam and the group, particularly prior to the war. Rather than acknowledging this, members of the Bush administration have repeatedly attempted to link Ansar al-Islam with the deposed dictator (and thereby help justify the war) by claiming that the group operated in Iraq prior to the war, while pointedly neglecting to mention that the area in which it operated was not under Saddam's control.

Most recently, Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld made three such claims in separate interviews last Sunday, as Matthew Yglesias pointed out on the American Prospect's Tapped weblog. On NBC's "Meet the Press," Rumsfeld stated that "The Ansar al-Islam was already in Iraq. There were Al Qaeda already in Iraq. The Iraqis were engaged in terrorism themselves. They were giving $25,000 to suicide bombers' families, who would go in and kill innocent men, women and children." On "Fox News Sunday," Rumsfeld claimed that "There's an organization called Ansar al-Islam, which was in Iraq when Saddam Hussein was there, it was functioning, and Saddam Hussein knew all about it." And on "This Week," he stated, "take the terrorist organization Ansar al-Islam. It was in Iraq. Saddam Hussein knew it was in Iraq. It was functioning." All of these statements, as Yglesias points out, clearly suggest that Saddam had a hand in the organization's operations.

Rumsfeld, however, is only the latest in a long line of administration figures who have made similar claims in the last several months. In July 24 testimony to the Senate Armed Services Committee, Sen. Jack Reed (D-RI) asked Meyers, "Prior to the initiation of hostilities in Iraq, Secretary Rumsfeld indicated that he had bullet-proof evidence that there were Al Qaeda elements within Iraq,  But the implication, obviously, of the secretary's comments was that within Baghdad, within the control of the Saddam Hussein regime there were Al Qaeda elements. Have you found any of those elements?" Meyers answered that "The elements that we know have a direct connection to Al Qaeda are the Ansar al-Islam elements that I think you were referring to because they were up there in northeastern Iraq before the Iraqi conflict began." While this is technically true, it unfairly implies that Saddam had some control over this group and therefore a link to Al Qaeda.

At an August 20 press conference, State Department spokesman Richard Boucher stated in response to a question that "Iraq has been on our terrorist list before the war. Iraq was a place that harbored terrorists. So terrorism existed in Iraq. And we know groups like Ansar al-Islam, Al Qaeda-associated groups operated in Iraq before the war."

On September 8, National Security Advisor Condoleezza Rice stated on the "Sean Hannity Show" on ABC Radio that "Well, we do know that there are some foreign jihadists coming in. We're not sure what organizations. One is probably Ansar al-Islam, which was an organization that was operating in Iraq before the war, up in the north."

And in September 25 testimony to the Senate Armed Services Committee, Paul Bremer, Administrator of the Coalition Provisional Authority in Iraq, claimed that "Saddam Hussein supported terrorism. He was identified as a state sponsor of terrorism for almost 20 years. He played host to terrorists to Abu Nidal, Abu Abbas. There were connections with Al Qaeda over the last decade. There was particularly a strong connection with an Al Qaeda-related group called Ansar al-Islam." He went on to note that members of the group had escaped into Iran and recently re-entered Iraq.

These comments echo assertions by Rice and Vice President privates Cheney attempting to link Saddam to Al Qaeda and the September 11 attacks by virtue of geography (there is no evidence linking Saddam to the attacks directly). In a July 30 interview with Jim Lehrer, Rice asserted, "What we knew going into the war was that this man [Saddam Hussein] was a threat,  He was sitting astride one of the most volatile regions in the world, a region out of which the ideologies of hatred had come that led people to slam airplanes into buildings in New York and Washington. Something had to be done about that threat. And the President was not prepared to simply allow this brutal dictator with dangerous weapons to continue to destabilize the Middle East." Cheney made a similar linkage between Saddam and the September 11 attacks in a September 14 appearance on NBC's "Meet the Press," claiming that "If we're successful in Iraq ,  we will have struck a major blow right at the heart of the base, if you will, the geographic base of the terrorists who have had us under assault now for many years, but most especially on 9/11."

There is little doubt that such comments reinforce perceptions that Saddam Hussein had substantial ties to Al Qaeda and was involved with the September 11 attacks, neither of which are supported by hard evidence. As the Bush administration must be aware, geographic proximity does not imply an operational connection. To continue to make such strategically ambiguous statements is utterly disingenuous.
4 Play (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #229 on: January 06, 2007, 04:16 PM »


Quote from: Afam on January 06, 2007, 04:06 PM




However, evidence found at a Ansar al-Islam training camp in March indicates that the group had ties to Al Qaeda, but it did not demonstrate a connection to Saddam.


I linked the article primarily because it was anti-Bush piece so that u don't question the source.The important thing was that it acknowledged training camps

i am really enjoying how u are trying to get away from your claim that there were no such training camps

Everyone knows that Ansar Al Islam ran such training camps even critics of the Bush adminstration

Tell me ,did the article say that there were no training camps,it only said that the organisation had no proven links with Saddam

But u in your infinite wisdom ,said this
Quote from: Afam on January 06, 2007, 03:31 PM
Another clear lie being sold here. Iraq was never a terrorist haven nor was it ever a nation that had training camps for any terrorist groups.

Now far can one go to tell a lie? We have heard enough and are really tired of these blatant lies.

No training camps  before the war right? Grin
Reverend (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #230 on: January 06, 2007, 04:30 PM »

Talking about there being no terrorists in Iraq is like saying that there are no Yahoo boys in Lagos  Tongue Tongue Tongue

ps. Here is a video of a guy kicking the asses of the 419'ers http://youtube.com/watch?v=eU9WqhCiQ8g

Now back to the topic  Wink

Hundreds of people die weekly from the indiscriminate explosive devices which are set off all over Iraq. I can not believe that these people have access to explosives at the supermarket or on prescription from their local chemist. These people are terrorists and have existed for many years.

I am not saying that they are Al Qaeda, but nonetheless terrorists!

Saddam Hussein is dead was the original theme of this thread. All I can say is who cares. I for one don't give a monkeys uncle   Lips sealed

It would be far more productive if we concentrated on exterminating all the Yahoo boys in Nigeria,  now those would be worthwhile and productive executions  Grin Grin Grin Grin

Just imagine, Yahoo boys being hanged live on Nigerian TV each evening ,  Fetch me the beer and the popcorn  Grin Grin Grin
4 Play (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #231 on: January 06, 2007, 04:44 PM »

@Reverend

U keep going on about theses Yahoo boys ,that is only drop in the ocean of fraud perpetrated on Americans

Remember the figure they gave-183 million dollars

E-commerce fraud in the US in 2005 cost about $3 billion ,so 183 million dollars is not exactly a big deal

In the UK fraud alone cost £16 BILLION per annum,about $30 billion  of which Nigerian fruadsters are said to cost about £200 million.
Reverend (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #232 on: January 06, 2007, 04:53 PM »

Heard it time and time again. Other people are also scamming so why can't we  Sad Sad

The key is not the amount of fraud committed as the whole, but the percentage committed by nationals of one Country  Undecided

If you want to see the disgraceful way a Nigerian community reacts when a group of scammers are caught then look at the clip below:-


http://youtube.com/watch?v=5fLn86Q4wSM

Shameful and sorry to say expected  Lips sealed
McKren (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #233 on: January 06, 2007, 07:43 PM »

Forget all this trash, White men are fraudulent too,  the only difference is that their's is perpetrated by the state and backed by the law. ABC News that reports those trash will not report how banks collude with African leaders to loot the continent.
Howmany of our resources are stashed in the western bank why are they not saying anything about it?

Only recently UK discovered acts of Fraud in a deal between UK and Saudi and refused to investigate it because it will jeopardise business interest. We are talking of an issue that involves the British government called of by the chief judge in the house of lords. So forget it they are all corrupt as well.
4 Play (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #234 on: January 06, 2007, 08:40 PM »

Back to the issue we were talking about ,there were training camps run by Al Qaeda linked Ansar Al Islam before the war in Northern Iraq near the Iran border.

The spin given today is that Iraq was a bed of roses before the Americans came and spoilt everything

Nobody mentions that at the time Saddam came to power iraq had living standards the same as that of Portugal,by the time he left living standards where down to below levels in Nigeria

Meanwhile he continued to kill Iraqis ,especially Shias and Kurds,

Only the Iraqis who were the victims of Saddam are in the best position to decide his fate and I think they were generally in support of hanging Saddam.My misgivings about the hanging pertain to the speedy and  shoddy way it was done.Not even the signature of the 2 vice-presidents required before a hanging were obtained and only the Dujail massacre was considered in court

Funny enough in Dujail,the attempt on Saddam's life was conducted by Maliki's Dawa party.
ronkebaby (f)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #235 on: January 06, 2007, 09:24 PM »

Quote from: alabiyemmylink=topic=34173.msg799873#msg799873 date=1168112458
How many blacks did the white minority in South Africa killed during the repressive apartheid regime? Please answer this. How long did it take for Mandela to kill the people responsible? He didnt, he called for reconciliation so that the country will move forward, Saddam kept alive would, in my opinion, have formed a basis for reconcilliation, the fact is that America wanted him gone and gone for good, they said he had WMD, they found none, they said he harbours Terrorists, they couldnt trace one, suddenly it became wiping out a dictator for the people of Iraq, who made Ameria the soldier of the world? Who? There was no UN resolution to go to war, hence Bush went, so who is a terrorist here? Who has caused crime against humanity with over 600,000 dead in a meaningless war? Tell us!

It was not the IRAQis that pushed Saddam from power, it was America - so don't fool us by saying IRAQis wanted him out because he was a dictator. Iraqis are now left on their own after America's failure to keep peace, who will account for the souls of over 600,000 people killed in IRAQ so far? Who will acccount for the souls dead in Afhganistan? Who?.

so in love with your reasoning. you have always spoken my mind as regards this topic
Easyy (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #236 on: January 06, 2007, 09:40 PM »

4 Play, If I read the article well, it states very clearly that the group you mentioned were located in a part of Iraq that was outwith the control of Saddam. It was in Kurdish controlled territory; the brutality of Saddam against the Kurds is one of the latter excuses or justification for attacking Iraq.

So how do these align with the invasion and decimation of the people of Iraq?
Easyy (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #237 on: January 06, 2007, 09:45 PM »

Quote from: 4 Play on January 06, 2007, 08:40 PM
Back to the issue we were talking about ,there were training camps run by Al Qaeda linked Ansar Al Islam before the war in Northern Iraq near the Iran border.

The spin given today is that Iraq was a bed of roses before the Americans came and spoilt everything

Nobody mentions that at the time Saddam came to power iraq had living standards the same as that of Portugal,by the time he left living standards where down to below levels in Nigeria

Meanwhile he continued to kill Iraqis ,especially Shias and Kurds,

Only the Iraqis who were the victims of Saddam are in the best position to decide his fate and I think they were generally in support of hanging Saddam.My misgivings about the hanging pertain to the speedy and shoddy way it was done.Not even the signature of the 2 vice-presidents required before a hanging were obtained and only the Dujail massacre was considered in court

Funny enough in Dujail,the attempt on Saddam's life was conducted by Maliki's Dawa party.

Who has given the impression that Iraq was a bed of roses? Are just twisting things to make them sound more amenable?

I also have problems accepting the shoddy way Saddam's trial was conducted. Besides, if he was convicted for a crime which seems to have now been committed by the guy who signed his death warrant.

I hoped he would have been tried for gassing the Kurds becuase the hypocrisy of America would have been exposed. They were Saddam's pals even after he gassed the Kurds.
McKren (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #238 on: January 06, 2007, 11:55 PM »

I think the UK has innitiated for itself an exit strategy from Iraq. Mark my words with Gordon Brown suggesting that the manner in which Saddam was hanged is deplorable which goes a long way to corroborate the statement by John Prescott that whoever was behind the execution of Saddam should be ashamed of themselves.
I will not be suprised to see Blair handing over to Brown and Brown danming all consequences to announce immediate withdrawal of troops from Iraq just as the current PM of spain did when he took over from Mario Aznar.
People if you see that don't be suprised because it could as well be a well thought out plan between Blair and Brown to resolve an issue which has turned out to be a failure.

Watch out!!!!!!!
Mariory (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #239 on: January 07, 2007, 12:00 AM »

Now you are saying Saddam was murdered? I hope the next mass murderers of our generation are listening. This is how to have your cake and eat it. You can satisfy your lust for murder or power via whatever means so long as you hold two fingers up to the "Establishment" there will always be people willing to fight for you in Death.
I guess it's like they say. "Life's wasted on the living."
McKren (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #240 on: January 07, 2007, 12:42 AM »

sorryI meant to say hanged, however I do think US just killed him in a desperate attempt to proove they are succeeding.
Mariory (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #241 on: January 07, 2007, 12:59 AM »

The US didn't kill him. He was killed by the Iraqi government.
Easyy (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #242 on: January 07, 2007, 06:21 PM »

Quote from: Mariory on January 07, 2007, 12:00 AM
Now you are saying Saddam was murdered? I hope the next mass murderers of our generation are listening. This is how to have your cake and eat it. You can satisfy your lust for murder or power via whatever means so long as you hold two fingers up to the "Establishment" there will always be people willing to fight for you in Death.
I guess it's like they say. "Life's wasted on the living."

They'll escape with mass murder if they are friendly to George Bush
McKren (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #243 on: January 07, 2007, 09:18 PM »

This is for Mariory who finds every opportunity to deffend the west for reasons only he would know.  The war in Iraq is all about oil period.

Quote
Blood and oil: How the West will profit from Iraq's most precious commodity

The 'IoS' today reveals a draft for a new law that would give Western oil companies a massive share in the third largest reserves in the world. To the victors, the oil? That is how some experts view this unprecedented arrangement with a major Middle East oil producer that guarantees investors huge profits for the next 30 years
Published: 07 January 2007
So was this what the Iraq war was fought for, after all? As the number of US soldiers killed since the invasion rises past the 3,000 mark, and President George Bush gambles on sending in up to 30,000 more troops, The Independent on Sunday has learnt that the Iraqi government is about to push through a law giving Western oil companies the right to exploit the country's massive oil reserves.

And Iraq's oil reserves, the third largest in the world, with an estimated 115 billion barrels waiting to be extracted, are a prize worth having. As Vice-President privates Cheney noted in 1999, when he was still running Halliburton, an oil services company, the Middle East is the key to preventing the world running out of oil.

Now, unnoticed by most amid the furore over civil war in Iraq and the hanging of Saddam Hussein, the new oil law has quietly been going through several drafts, and is now on the point of being presented to the cabinet and then the parliament in Baghdad. Its provisions are a radical departure from the norm for developing countries: under a system known as "production-sharing agreements", or PSAs, oil majors such as BP and Shell in Britain, and Exxon and Chevron in the US, would be able to sign deals of up to 30 years to extract Iraq's oil.

PSAs allow a country to retain legal ownership of its oil, but gives a share of profits to the international companies that invest in infrastructure and operation of the wells, pipelines and refineries. Their introduction would be a first for a major Middle Eastern oil producer. Saudi Arabia and Iran, the world's number one and two oil exporters, both tightly control their industries through state-owned companies with no appreciable foreign collaboration, as do most members of the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries, Opec.

Critics fear that given Iraq's weak bargaining position, it could get locked in now to deals on bad terms for decades to come. "Iraq would end up with the worst possible outcome," said Greg Muttitt of Platform, a human rights and environmental group that monitors the oil industry. He said the new legislation was drafted with the assistance of BearingPoint, an American consultancy firm hired by the US government, which had a representative working in the American embassy in Baghdad for several months.

"Three outside groups have had far more opportunity to scrutinise this legislation than most Iraqis," said Mr Muttitt. "The draft went to the US government and major oil companies in July, and to the International Monetary Fund in September. Last month I met a group of 20 Iraqi MPs in Jordan, and I asked them how many had seen the legislation. Only one had."

Britain and the US have always hotly denied that the war was fought for oil. On 18 March 2003, with the invasion imminent, Tony Blair proposed the House of Commons motion to back the war. "The oil revenues, which people falsely claim that we want to seize, should be put in a trust fund for the Iraqi people administered through the UN," he said.

"The United Kingdom should seek a new Security Council Resolution that would affirm,  the use of all oil revenues for the benefit of the Iraqi people."

That suggestion came to nothing. In May 2003, just after President Bush declared major combat operations at an end, under a banner boasting "Mission Accomplished", Britain co-sponsored a resolution in the Security Council which gave the US and UK control over Iraq's oil revenues. Far from "all oil revenues" being used for the Iraqi people, Resolution 1483 continued to make deductions from Iraq's oil earnings to pay compensation for the invasion of Kuwait in 1990.

That exception aside, however, the often-stated aim of the US and Britain was that Iraq's oil money would be used to pay for reconstruction. In July 2003, for example, Colin Powell, then Secretary of State, insisted: "We have not taken one drop of Iraqi oil for US purposes, or for coalition purposes. Quite the contrary,  It cost a great deal of money to prosecute this war. But the oil of the Iraqi people belongs to the Iraqi people; it is their wealth, it will be used for their benefit. So we did not do it for oil."

Paul Wolfowitz, Deputy Defense Secretary at the time of the war and now head of the World Bank, told Congress: "We're dealing with a country that can really finance its own reconstruction, and relatively soon."

But this optimism has proved unjustified. Since the invasion, Iraqi oil production has dropped off dramatically. The country is now producing about two million barrels per day. That is down from a pre-war peak of 3.5 million barrels. Not only is Iraq's whole oil infrastructure creaking under the effects of years of sanctions, insurgents have constantly attacked pipelines, so that the only steady flow of exports is through the Shia-dominated south of the country.

Worsening sectarian violence and gangsterism have driven most of the educated élite out of the country for safety, depriving the oil industry of the Iraqi experts and administrators it desperately needs.

And even the present stunted operation is rife with corruption and smuggling. The Oil Ministry's inspector-general recently reported that a tanker driver who paid $500 in bribes to police patrols to take oil over the western or northern border would still make a profit on the shipment of $8,400.

"In the present state, it would be crazy to pump in more money, just to be stolen," said Greg Muttitt. "It's another reason not to bring in $20bn of foreign money now."

Before the war, Mr Bush endorsed claims that Iraq's oil would pay for reconstruction. But the shortage of revenues afterwards has silenced him on this point. More recently he has argued that oil should be used as a means to unify the country, "so the people have faith in central government", as he put it last summer.

But in a country more dependent than almost any other on oil - it accounts for 70 per cent of the economy - control of the assets has proved a recipe for endless wrangling. Most of the oil reserves are in areas controlled by the Kurds and Shias, heightening the fears of the Sunnis that their loss of power with the fall of Saddam is about to be compounded by economic deprivation.

The Kurds in particular have been eager to press ahead, and even signed some small PSA deals on their own last year, setting off a struggle with Baghdad. These issues now appear to have been resolved, however: a revenue-sharing agreement based on population was reached some months ago, and sources have told the IoS that regional oil companies will be set up to handle the PSA deals envisaged by the new law.

The Independent on Sunday has obtained a copy of an early draft which was circulated to oil companies in July. It is understood there have been no significant changes made in the final draft. The terms outlined to govern future PSAs are generous: according to the draft, they could be fixed for at least 30 years. The revelation will raise Iraqi fears that oil companies will be able to exploit its weak state by securing favourable terms that cannot be changed in future.

Iraq's sovereign right to manage its own natural resources could also be threatened by the provision in the draft that any disputes with a foreign company must ultimately be settled by international, rather than Iraqi, arbitration.

In the July draft obtained by The Independent on Sunday, legislators recognise the controversy over this, annotating the relevant paragraph with the note, "Some countries do not accept arbitration between a commercial enterprise and themselves on the basis of sovereignty of the state."

It is not clear whether this clause has been retained in the final draft.

Under the chapter entitled "Fiscal Regime", the draft spells out that foreign companies have no restrictions on taking their profits out of the country, and are not subject to any tax when doing this.

"A Foreign Person may repatriate its exports proceeds [in accordance with the foreign exchange regulations in force at the time]." Shares in oil projects can also be sold to other foreign companies: "It may freely transfer shares pertaining to any non-Iraqi partners." The final draft outlines general terms for production sharing agreements, including a standard 12.5 per cent royalty tax for companies.

It is also understood that once companies have recouped their costs from developing the oil field, they are allowed to keep 20 per cent of the profits, with the rest going to the government. According to analysts and oil company executives, this is because Iraq is so dangerous, but Dr Muhammad-Ali Zainy, a senior economist at the Centre for Global Energy Studies, said: "Twenty per cent of the profits in a production sharing agreement, once all the costs have been recouped, is a large amount." In more stable countries, 10 per cent would be the norm.

While the costs are being recovered, companies will be able to recoup 60 to 70 per cent of revenue; 40 per cent is more usual. David Horgan, managing director of Petrel Resources, an Aim-listed oil company focused on Iraq, said: "They are reasonable rates of return, and take account of the bad security situation in Iraq. The government needs people, technology and capital to develop its oil reserves. It has got to come up with terms which are good enough to attract companies. The major companies tend to be conservative."

Dr Zainy, an Iraqi who has recently visited the country, said: "It's very dangerous ,  although the security situation is far better in the north." Even taking that into account, however, he believed that "for a company to take 20 per cent of the profits in a production sharing agreement once all the costs have been recouped is large".

He pointed to the example of Total, which agreed terms with Saddam Hussein before the second Iraq war to develop a huge field. Although the contract was never signed, the French company would only have kept 10 per cent of the profits once the company had recovered its costs.

And while the company was recovering its costs, it is understood it agreed to take only 40 per cent of the profits, the Iraqi government receiving the rest.

Production sharing agreements of more than 30 years are unusual, and more commonly used for challenging regions like the Amazon where it can take up to a decade to start production. Iraq, in contrast, is one of the cheapest and easiest places in the world to drill for and produce oil. Many fields have already been discovered, and are waiting to be developed.

Analysts estimate that despite the size of Iraq's reserves - the third largest in the world - only 2,300 wells have been drilled in total, fewer than in the North Sea.

Confirmation of the generous terms - widely feared by international non government organisations and Iraqis alike - have prompted some to draw parallels with the production-sharing agreements Russia signed in the 1990s, when it was bankrupt and in chaos.

At the time Shell was able to sign very favourable terms to develop oil and gas reserves off the coast of Sakhalin island in the far east of Russia. But at the end of last year, after months of thinly veiled threats from the environment regulator, the Anglo-Dutch company was forced to give Russian state-owned gas giant Gazprom a share in the project.

Although most other oil experts endorsed the view that PSAs would be needed to kick-start exports from Iraq, Mr Muttitt disagreed. "The most commonly mentioned target has been for Iraq to increase production to 6 million barrels a day by 2015 or so," he said. "Iraq has estimated that it would need $20bn to $25bn of investment over the next five or six years, roughly $4bn to $5bn a year. But even last year, according to reports, the Oil Ministry had between $3bn and $4bn it couldn't invest. The shortfall is around $1bn a year, and that could easily be made up if the security situation improved.

"PSAs have a cost in sovereignty and future revenues. It is not true at all that this is the only way to do it." Technical services agreements, of the type common in countries which have a state-run oil corporation, would be all that was necessary.

James Paul of Global Policy Forum, another advocacy group, said: "The US and the UK have been pressing hard on this. It's pretty clear that this is one of their main goals in Iraq." The Iraqi authorities, he said, were "a government under occupation, and it is highly influenced by that. The US has a lot of leverage,  Iraq is in no condition right now to go ahead and do this."

Mr Paul added: "It is relatively easy to get the oil in Iraq. It is nowhere near as complicated as the North Sea. There are super giant fields that are completely mapped, [and] there is absolutely no exploration cost and no risk. So the argument that these agreements are needed to hedge risk is specious."

One point on which all agree, however, is that only small, maverick oil companies are likely to risk any activity in Iraq in the foreseeable future. "Production over the next year in Iraq is probably going to fall rather than go up," said Kevin Norrish, an oil analyst from Barclays. "The whole thing is held together by a shoestring; it's desperate."

An oil industry executive agreed, saying: "All the majors will be in Iraq, but they won't start work for years. Even Lukoil [of Russia], the Chinese and Total [of France] are not in a rush to endanger themselves. It's now very hard for US and allied companies because of the disastrous war."

Mr Muttitt echoed warnings that unfavourable deals done now could unravel a few years down the line, just when Iraq might become peaceful enough for development of its oil resources to become attractive. The seeds could be sown for a future struggle over natural resources which has led to decades of suspicion of Western motives in countries such as Iran.

Iraqi trade union leaders who met recently in Jordan suggested that the legislation would cause uproar once its terms became known among ordinary Iraqis.

"The Iraqi people refuse to allow the future of their oil to be decided behind closed doors," their statement said. "The occupier seeks and wishes to secure,  energy resources at a time when the Iraqi people are seeking to determine their own future, while still under conditions of occupation."

The resentment implied in their words is ominous, and not only for oil company executives in London or Houston. The perception that Iraq's wealth is being carved up among foreigners can only add further fuel to the flames of the insurgency, defeating the purpose of sending more American troops to a country already described in a US intelligence report as a cause célèbre for terrorism.

America protects its fuel supplies - and contracts

Despite US and British denials that oil was a war aim, American troops were detailed to secure oil facilities as they fought their way to Baghdad in 2003. And while former defence secretary Donald Rumsfeld shrugged off the orgy of looting after the fall of Saddam's statue in Baghdad, the Oil Ministry - alone of all the seats of power in the Iraqi capital - was under American guard.

Halliburton, the firm that privates Cheney used to run, was among US-based multinationals that won most of the reconstruction deals - one of its workers is pictured, tackling an oil fire. British firms won some contracts, mainly in security. But constant violence has crippled rebuilding operations. Bechtel, another US giant, has pulled out, saying it could not make a profit on work in Iraq.

In just 40 pages, Iraq is locked into sharing its oil with foreign investors for the next 30 years

A 40-page document leaked to the 'IoS' sets out the legal framework for the Iraqi government to sign production- sharing agreement contracts with foreign companies to develop its vast oil reserves.

The paper lays the groundwork for profit-sharing partnerships between the Iraqi government and international oil companies. It also lays out the basis for co-operation between Iraq's federal government and its regional authorities to develop oil fields.

The document adds that oil companies will enjoy contracts to extract Iraqi oil for up to 30 years, and stresses that Iraq needs foreign investment for the "quick and substantial funding of reconstruction and modernisation projects".

It concludes that the proposed hydrocarbon law is of "great importance to the whole nation as well as to all investors in the sector" and that the proceeds from foreign investment in Iraq's oilfields would, in the long term, decrease dependence on oil and gas revenues.

The role of oil in Iraq's fortunes

Iraq has 115 billion barrels of known oil reserves - 10 per cent of the world total. There are 71 discovered oilfields, of which only 24 have been developed. Oil accounts for 70 per cent of Iraq's GDP and 95 per cent of government revenue. Iraq's oil would be recovered under a production sharing agreement (PSA) with the private sector. These are used in only 12 per cent of world oil reserves and apply in none of the other major Middle Eastern oil-producing countries. In some countries such as Russia, where they were signed at a time of political upheaval, politicians are now regretting them.

The $50bn bonanza for US companies piecing a broken Iraq together

The task of rebuilding a shattered Iraq has gone mainly to US companies.

As well as contractors to restore the infrastructure, such as its water, electricity and gas networks, a huge number of companies have found lucrative work supporting the ongoing coalition military presence in the country. Other companies have won contracts to restore Iraq's media; its schools and hospitals; its financial services industry; and, of course, its oil industry.

In May 2003, the Coalition Provisional Authority (CPA), part of the US Department of Defence, created the Project Management Office in Baghdad to oversee Iraq's reconstruction.

In June 2004 the CPA was dissolved and the Iraqi interim government took power. But the US maintained its grip on allocating contracts to private companies. The management of reconstruction projects was transferred to the Iraq Reconstruction and Management Office, a division of the US Department of State, and the Project and Contracting Office, in the Department of Defence.

The largest beneficiary of reconstruction work in Iraq has been KBR (Kellogg, Brown & Root), a division of US giant Halliburton, which to date has secured contracts in Iraq worth $13bn (£7bn), including an uncontested $7bn contract to rebuild Iraq's oil infrastructure. Other companies benefiting from Iraq contracts include Bechtel, the giant US conglomerate, BearingPoint, the consultant group that advised on the drawing up of Iraq's new oil legislation, and General Electric. According to the US-based Centre for Public Integrity, 150-plus US companies have won contracts in Iraq worth over $50bn.

30,000 Number of Kellogg, Brown and Root employees in Iraq.

36 The number of interrogators employed by Caci, a US company, that have worked in the Abu Ghraib prison since August 2003.

$12.1bn UN's estimate of the cost of rebuilding Iraq's electricity network.

$2 trillion Estimated cost of the Iraq war to the US, according to the Nobel prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz.

WHAT THEY SAID

"Oil revenues, which people falsely claim that we want to seize, should be put in a trust fund for the Iraqi people"

Tony Blair; Moving motion for war with Iraq, 18 March 2003

"Oil belongs to the Iraqi people; the government has,  to be good stewards of that valuable asset "

George Bush; Press conference, 14 June 2006

"The oil of the Iraqi people,  is their wealth. We did not [invade Iraq] for oil "

Colin Powell; Press briefing, 10 July 2003

"Oil revenues of Iraq could bring between $50bn and $100bn in two or three years,  [Iraq] can finance its reconstruction"

Paul Wolfowitz; Deputy Defense Secretary, March 2003

"By 2010 we will need [a further] 50 million barrels a day. The Middle East, with two-thirds of the oil and the lowest cost, is still where the prize lies"

privates Cheney; US Vice-President, 1999


Hohohoho America is rebuilding Iraq!!!!!!!!!   Who is fooling who? Tell me why they will wish the war to end. Maybe now we should better understand why Bush is sending in 30,000 more troops when the whole is calling for withdrawal.
I personally think there could even be conspiracy between those who used their mobiles to video the taunting of Saddam so as to incite more violence.
The more the violence the longer they stay.

If only Iraqis are wise they will reconcile fast so as to make further stay of America illegal.
shahan (f)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #244 on: January 07, 2007, 10:51 PM »

While Saddam ruled, things were calm - but Iraqis were scared. Dictatorship is not freedom; tyranny is not a plausible alternative - and Saddam exercised both. . . on Iraqis themselves.

Enter the Bush-led allied forces; knocked down the reminiscences of Saddam. . . Iraqis for the first time in decades danced on their own streets!

Enter the insurgents - who turned on their own people, the Iraqis! Anti-Americanism fuels the propaganda that Bush is killing everybody!

The allied forces may not have achieved much and only left a backlash of sad occurences in Iraq, engineered on the round table of internal American politics.

Question: what message are the Iraqi insurgents sending out to the world by attacking their own people and culture in the name of anti-American protests??
4 Play (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #245 on: January 07, 2007, 11:06 PM »

Saddam presided over one of the most tyraniccal regimes in the 20th century which resulted in the death of hundreds of thousands of Iraqis.During his reign of terror,the muslim world kept silent.He was still feted as a hero on account of his anti-american stance

As soon as he was toppled by the Americans,they suddenly discovered a love for the Iraqi people which did not exist before.Suddenly they started noticing that Iraqis were going through a hard time

Were where they during the killings in the 90s?

Where were they when 4,000 Shia families were forcibly removed from Baghdad in 2000 ?

The familiar rebutal is to say that America did nothing before ,as if that excuses the deafeaning silence of the rest of humanity.Remember the US is only one of 190 nations on earth,why didn't anyonelse do anything?

The roots of the present sectarian debacle were laid all those years when atrocities were perpetuated on Shias and Kurds.The idea that since Saddam managed to dampen the sectarian fevor by sheer brutality and so should not have been removed is utterly indefensible

One would not say that since life was better for Black Zimbabweans during White Rule than now then they would have been better of remaining under White Rule.Same apllies to Iraq

dakmanzero (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #246 on: January 08, 2007, 01:02 PM »

saddam is dead. hurray.

I'm hungry. I need to eat. can't eat saddam's death.

CNN is a big action film for us down here, people. How many of these global events actually affect your life. Quite a few, actually, in ludicrously indirect ways, but I'm sure saddam's death is NOT one of them. So a dude with a silly mustache was hanged. Big deal. People are hanged, crucified, blown up, gassed and beheaded every day. Welcome to Humanity.

TayoD (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #247 on: January 08, 2007, 01:37 PM »

@4_Play,

Quote
Saddam presided over one of the most tyraniccal regimes in the 20th century which resulted in the death of hundreds of thousands of Iraqis. During his reign of terror,the muslim world kept silent.He was still feted as a hero on account of his anti-american stance

Why are you trying to paint Sad-man-insane (I meant Saddam Hussein) in good light? Did you intentiaonally leave out the deaths the hundreds of thousands of Iranians?  Undecided Grin
McKren (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #248 on: January 08, 2007, 01:40 PM »

Quote from: dakmanzero on January 08, 2007, 01:02 PM
saddam is dead. hurray.

I'm hungry. I need to eat. can't eat saddam's death.

CNN is a big action film for us down here, people. How many of these global events actually affect your life. Quite a few, actually, in ludicrously indirect ways, but I'm sure saddam's death is NOT one of them. So a dude with a silly mustache was hanged. Big deal. People are hanged, crucified, blown up, gassed and beheaded every day. Welcome to Humanity.



Those who refuse to learn from history end up being lessons of history.
If we learn of the clandestine activities of these world powers we will realize how important we must defend our national interest no matter the language we speak or our religion.
Reverend (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #249 on: January 08, 2007, 01:47 PM »

Quote from: dakmanzero on January 08, 2007, 01:02 PM
saddam is dead. hurray.

I'm hungry. I need to eat. can't eat saddam's death.

CNN is a big action film for us down here, people. How many of these global events actually affect your life. Quite a few, actually, in ludicrously indirect ways, but I'm sure saddam's death is NOT one of them. So a dude with a silly mustache was hanged. Big deal. People are hanged, crucified, blown up, gassed and beheaded every day. Welcome to Humanity.


CNN or as I like to call it CHICKEN NOODLE NETWORK is not a reliable news source, but can be very entertaining  Grin

Most global events effect our lives in many ways. You are right, the guy with the silly mustache is dead, but there are a few million more crazy people with even sillier mustaches and beards to take his place  Undecided Undecided
Mariory (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #250 on: January 08, 2007, 02:26 PM »

Quote from: McKren on January 07, 2007, 09:18 PM
This is for Mariory who finds every opportunity to deffend the west for reasons only he would know.  The war in Iraq is all about oil period.

Ignorance they say is bliss.

-------------------------------
I refuse to believe the Iraqi government has no clue of what it wants. It wanted Saddam executed, and it executed him. Plain and simple.
stanech
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #251 on: January 08, 2007, 03:24 PM »

The war in Iraq is not justified? says who?  You guys forgot how sadam publicly made a statement after the 911 that God has decided to repay the Americans even when other leaders are sending condolence messages. This guy was becoming a treat to the US govenment and as the number one country in the world and a world power you will not expect them to sit-back and watch when things are going wrong anywhere in the world.

That guy deserved what he got.

Put yourself in the position of those guys that sadam executed, their families and loved ones, how will they feel? You expect them not to be happy Sadam is killed?
Afam (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #252 on: January 09, 2007, 11:23 AM »

Education does not equal knowledge. That people knowingly or unknowingly twist issues and facts even in the face of well documented events and evidences goes to show that there is no limit to the extent some people are willing to go to lie and misinform the general public.

The good thing is that these people have effectively put themselves in a position that suits them - a state of complete irrelevance as far as issues are concerned.
Sijien (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #253 on: January 09, 2007, 01:29 PM »

saddam was evil
TayoD (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #254 on: January 09, 2007, 02:06 PM »

Saddam's hanging can never be said to be UNJUST!
ATTAHDYE (m)
Re: Saddam Hussein Is Dead
« #255 on: January 09, 2007, 06:23 PM »

history keeps 2 records, of those who did the exceptional ether positively or negatively the remaining majority will end up in achives. sadam has his place in history we can judge sadam , iraq and america. the big question is will our name be recorded on the pages of history or be casted into obscurity in the back vaults of achives? think about it
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