Our 'Oil Rich' Nigeria Is Actually Oil Poor!

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Author Topic: Our 'Oil Rich' Nigeria Is Actually Oil Poor!  (Read 1133 views)
Seun (m)
Our 'Oil Rich' Nigeria Is Actually Oil Poor!
« on: January 09, 2006, 11:48 PM »

Chippla has done some simple maths to reveal that Nigeria is actually quite poor despite the so-called oil wealth.  According to his calculations, the country only makes about 2100 naira per month ($15) per citizen.  So because of our enormous population, oil wealth is not going to be enough to guarantee us a good standard of living, even if there is zero corruption!

Quote
Let's now do the math: 108 billion Naira + 36 states x 2 billion Naira + 774 LGAs x 65 million Naira = 230 billion Naira ($ 1.77 billion).

There are about 120 million people living in Nigeria. Lets divide this sum by 120 million.

Amount per head = 230 billion Naira/120 million people = 1920 Naira/person = $15/person.

Thus, the total amount received by all tiers of government in Nigeria for the month of October 2005 comes to a mere $ 15 per person. Sounds like a very poor nation despite its so-called oil wealth!
http://chippla.blogspot.com/2006/01/poverty-beyond-corruption.html

What do you think about this?  I think we have to look for ways to make every man, woman and child in Nigeria productive.  Create jobs people, we shouldn't all be jostling for jobs in the oil sector or banking sector!
Princess-J (f)
Re: Our 'Oil Rich' Nigeria Is Actually Oil Poor!
« #1 on: January 09, 2006, 11:52 PM »

i always thought nigeria was quiet rich cuz of the OIL RESOURCES!!!! Huh

xxxprincessxxx
Princess-J (f)
Re: Our 'Oil Rich' Nigeria Is Actually Oil Poor!
« #2 on: January 09, 2006, 11:58 PM »

i guess i was rong!!
thanx for da info!!  (by da way your CLEVER!!! Wink )

xxxprincessxxx
Seun (m)
Re: Our 'Oil Rich' Nigeria Is Actually Oil Poor!
« #3 on: January 10, 2006, 12:57 AM »

Not me, but Chippla
Princess-J (f)
Re: Our 'Oil Rich' Nigeria Is Actually Oil Poor!
« #4 on: January 10, 2006, 01:12 AM »

OH! OK then, Thanx Chippla!!!
LoverBwoy (m)
Re: Our 'Oil Rich' Nigeria Is Actually Oil Poor!
« #5 on: January 10, 2006, 04:10 PM »

you should have known this since!!!!

thats why they usually say we are one of the poorest nations....seems like theyve stopped using that term now in the news....cos we have potentials i guess

thats how they calculate they the less da $1 dollar per day against the $2 dollar/cow subsidies get get  Wink
Chxta (m)
Re: Our 'Oil Rich' Nigeria Is Actually Oil Poor!
« #6 on: January 11, 2006, 09:29 AM »

I showed Chippla's article to someone and he laughed it off as government propaganda...
otokx (m)
Re: Our 'Oil Rich' Nigeria Is Actually Oil Poor!
« #7 on: January 11, 2006, 09:30 AM »

this is very revealing and also very challenging if it is proved to be true after a rigorous empirical investigation.
owo (m)
Re: Our 'Oil Rich' Nigeria Is Actually Oil Poor!
« #8 on: January 11, 2006, 11:34 AM »

From time 'imo -river' this information and 'grimmier' ones have been known by all discerning minds.
It was the basis on which Nigeria went on a borrowing spree in the early eightees... in an attempt to diversify the economy.
It was the basis on which the national rolling plan of the late seventies was made.

Operation feed the nation, Green revolution, etc were targetted at ensuring that dependence on an 'already insufficient amount of oil money' is reduced to the barest minumum.

Invested wealth always multiplies and grows itself. squandered wealth ends up in the 'rest' room. Therefore Oil wealth would have been enough to ensure a decent standard of living if it was invested and nurtured, but alas, it was stolen and still being stolen.

The real wealth of a soceity of country is its people. It then beats the imagination why and how men/women/children are being killed, maimed and incapacitated just because there is oil under their houses/farms and settlements.

Nigeria's undoing is this gross misplacement of focus/attention.

Human beings are the real wealth (or source of wealth) in any system or society. The failure of leadership and followership in Nigeria has been the failure to fully grasp this fact, its import and to fully implement the issues that arise therefrom.
ono (m)
Re: Our 'Oil Rich' Nigeria Is Actually Oil Poor!
« #9 on: January 12, 2006, 11:55 AM »

Just another angle to it:

We produce some 2400000 (two million four hundred thousand) barrels of oil per day on the average. Right? OK, lets say 2million barrels.

So, with a barrel of oil costing some $56.00 (on the average), that means:

We make some $56*2000000 = $112,000,000. That's some $1.12billion dollars daily.

Now, we know that it's not only oil that's a revenue earner for the country. If we add all the other sources of revenue for the country, we could say we ain't doing badly, though.


But, na wah o. $1.12 billion dollars per day! Men, surely, there must be a way of spreading the proceeds around. It's huge!
Seun (m)
Re: Our 'Oil Rich' Nigeria Is Actually Oil Poor!
« #10 on: January 12, 2006, 04:10 PM »

It's huge, but you know the revenue the government gets comes from the taxes paid by the oil companies. Ignorance.
owo (m)
Re: Our 'Oil Rich' Nigeria Is Actually Oil Poor!
« #11 on: January 12, 2006, 05:41 PM »

Bros.... 56 * 2,000,000 is $112m. and not $1.2 bn

that comes to about $40.88bn per annum.

the revenue is therefore 40bn
- less the annual  JV funding of about $4bn
- less about 42.5% that goes to the JV partners


the revenue comes to about $19,5 bn for a year or about $53 milliion per day or
or $0.407/day/person
That is pittance because if the oil industry were to crumble today, then about 40% of customs revue would be wiped out in addtion to over 70% of the revenue due to the maritime authorities.

Summary: In monetary terms, Nigeria is an extremely poor country.... indeed one of the poorest in the world. In human terms, one of the richest. As written earlier, it baffles the mind ones best resources are trampled upon, in an attempt to chase the least of resources.
It reminds one of those people that chase beautiful butterflies in a gold mine while others are busy bringing out the precious gold from the same area.
ono (m)
Re: Our 'Oil Rich' Nigeria Is Actually Oil Poor!
« #12 on: January 13, 2006, 08:33 AM »

Owo blow! U're right! My mistake. I stand corrected.
ono (m)
Re: Our 'Oil Rich' Nigeria Is Actually Oil Poor!
« #13 on: January 13, 2006, 08:38 AM »

I guess we've got to start looking 'inwards' for alternative source of revenue.
Chxta (m)
Re: Our 'Oil Rich' Nigeria Is Actually Oil Poor!
« #14 on: January 13, 2006, 05:04 PM »

Looking inwards is what we should have been doing since 1973... We should have invested the oil boom money properly!
oasis
Re: Our 'Oil Rich' Nigeria Is Actually Oil Poor!
« #15 on: January 14, 2006, 04:46 AM »

This is all voodoo economics.  It's called per capita income, when total earnings is divided by population.

The fact is, Nigeria is not expected to hand raw cash to its citizens, so $15 per person from the calculation doesn't make any sense.

What makes sense is that with all the guaranteed oil billions coming in, if Nigeria used the money to develop its telecommunications system, brought telephones into every home, modernised NEPA for stable power supply, built good roads for easy commute, funded research in schools, built hospitals for better health, spent money on banishing 419'ers, launched a massive campaign for honesty in Nigeria, etc, we'd still have billions left over.  Yes, after all that spending, we'd still have money left to blow.

Now imagine the changes that the above developments would bring to Nigeria.  First and foremost, doing business in Nigeria would become attractive to the world.  The more businesses that start up, the more jobs that are created for Nigerians. 

Furthermore, because Nigerians can now communicate better with the world, more people can enter into legitimate business ventures via the Internet. 

You see where I'm going with this?

Suddenly, we'd be raking in tourism dollars, because Nigeria would be a place tourists want to visit.  Tourists are big spenders.  Now we can sell them worthless trinkets for good money.  Instead of us going after the money abroad, the money is now coming home to us.

Basically, by merely putting the basics in place (roads, hospitals, R&D, electricity, telecom, modern banks, etc), there would be a domino effect that ripples through the system.

So, do not believe those lies about Nigeria being poor because of low per capita income.  We're poor only because most of our money always find its way into foreign banks, doing the average Nigerian no good at all.
owo (m)
Re: Our 'Oil Rich' Nigeria Is Actually Oil Poor!
« #16 on: January 14, 2006, 10:51 AM »

Part of the voodoo in the economics is that with the best of intentions Nigeria's revenue base, sources and level is precarious.

Below is a list of the so called fortune 500 companies with their accompanying revenues and profits for year 2005
                                                                Revenue m$             Profit  m$
1   Wal-Mart Stores                   288,189.00   10,267.00
2   Exxon Mobil                   270,772.00   25,330.00
3   General Motors                   193,517.00   2,805.00
4   Ford Motor                   172,233.00   3,487.00
5   General Electric                   152,363.00   16,593.00
6   ChevronTexaco                   147,967.00   13,328.00
7   ConocoPhillips                   121,663.00   8,129.00
8   Citigroup                                   108,276.00   17,046.00
9   American Intl. Group   98,610.00   11,050.00
10   Intl. Business Machines   96,293.00   8,430.00
11   Hewlett-Packard                   79,905.00   3,497.00
12   Berkshire Hathaway                   74,382.00   7,308.00
13   Home Depot                   73,094.00   5,001.00
14   Verizon Communications   71,563.30   7,830.70
15   McKesson                                   69,506.10   646.5
16   Cardinal Health                   65,130.60   1,474.50
17   Altria Group                   64,440.00   9,416.00
18   Bank of America Corp.   63,324.00   14,143.00
19   State Farm Insurance Cos   58,818.90   5,308.60
20   J.P. Morgan Chase & Co.   56,931.00   4,466.00
21   Kroger                                   56,434.40   -128
22   Valero Energy                   53,918.60   1,803.80
23   AmerisourceBergen                   53,179.00   468.4
24   Pfizer                                   52,921.00   11,361.00
25   Boeing                                   52,553.00   1,872.00
26   Procter & Gamble                   51,407.00   6,481.00
27   Target                                   49,934.00   3,198.00
28   Dell                                   49,205.00   3,043.00
29   Costco Wholesale                   48,107.00   882.4
30   Johnson & Johnson                   47,348.00   8,509.00
31   Marathon Oil                   45,444.00   1,261.00
32   Time Warner                   42,869.00   3,364.00
33   SBC Communications   41,098.00   5,887.00
34   Dow Chemical                   40,161.00   2,797.00
35   Albertson's                   40,052.00   444
36   Morgan Stanley                   39,549.00   4,486.00
37   MetLife                                   39,535.00   2,758.00
38   Walgreen                                   37,508.20   1,360.20
39   United Technologies                   37,445.00   2,788.00
40   UnitedHealth Group                   37,218.00   2,587.00
41   Microsoft                                   36,835.00   8,168.00
42   United Parcel Service   36,582.00   3,333.00
43   Lowe's                                   36,464.00   2,176.00
44   Archer Daniels Midland   36,151.40   494.7
45   Sears Roebuck                   36,099.00   -507
46   Safeway                                   35,822.90   560.2
47   Lockheed Martin                   35,526.00   1,266.00
48   Medco Health Solutions   35,351.90   481.6
49   Motorola                                   35,349.00   1,532.00
50   Intel                                   34,209.00   7,516.00
51   Allstate                                   33,936.00   3,181.00
52   Wells Fargo                   33,876.00   7,014.00
53   Merrill Lynch                   32,467.00   4,436.00
54   Walt Disney                   30,752.00   2,345.00
55   CVS                                   30,594.30   918.8
56   AT&T                                   30,537.00   -6,469.00
57   Caterpillar                   30,251.00   2,035.00
58   Northrop Grumman                   29,868.00   1,084.00
59   Goldman Sachs Group   29,839.00   4,553.00
60   Sysco                                   29,335.40   907.2
61   PepsiCo                                   29,261.00   4,212.00
62   American Express                   29,115.00   3,445.00
63   Delphi                                   28,700.00   -36
64   Prudential Financial                   28,348.00   2,256.00
65   Wachovia Corp.                   28,067.00   5,214.00
66   DuPont                                   27,995.00   1,780.00
67   Sprint                                   27,428.00   -1,012.00
68   New York Life Insurance   27,175.50   1,213.30
69   Viacom                                   27,054.80   -17,462.20
70   International Paper                   26,722.00   -35
71   Johnson Controls                   26,553.40   817.5
72   Tyson Foods                   26,441.00   403
73   Caremark Rx                   25,801.10   600.3
74   J.C. Penney                   25,678.00   524
75   Honeywell Intl.                   25,601.00   1,281.00
76   Ingram Micro                   25,462.10   219.9
77   Best Buy                                   24,901.00   705
78   FedEx                                   24,710.00   838
79   Alcoa                                   23,960.00   1,310.00
80   HCA                                   23,502.00   1,246.00
81   TIAA-CREF                   23,411.30   540.5
82   Sunoco                                   23,226.00   605
83   Mass. Mutual Life Ins.   23,159.20   677
84   Merck                                   22,938.60   5,813.40
85   St. Paul Travelers Cos.   22,934.00   955
86   Duke Energy                   22,779.00   1,490.00
87   BellSouth                                   22,729.00   4,758.00
88   Hartford Financial Services   22,693.00   2,115.00
89   Weyerhaeuser                   22,665.00   1,283.00
90   MCI                                   22,615.00   -4,002.00
91   Cisco Systems                   22,045.00   4,401.00
92   Coca-Cola                   21,962.00   4,847.00
93   Bristol-Myers Squibb   21,886.00   2,388.00
94   Lehman Brothers Hldgs.   21,250.00   2,369.00
95   Electronic Data Systems   21,033.00   158
96   Plains All Amer. Pipeline   20,975.50   130
97   Wellpoint                                   20,815.10   960.1
98   News Corp.                   20,802.00   1,533.00
99   Nationwide                   20,558.00   1,010.00
100   Abbott Laboratories                   20,473.10   3,235.90


NIGERIA     (population  - 130m)         22,000.00                          

Taiwan       (population -   23m)          49,000.00      

With a population less than one fifth (1/5) of Nigeria, Taiwan with no oil or abundant 'Natural resources' has a revenue that is more than double that of Nigeria with 'all' the oil, ores and others.
The secret.... It developed its human resources...eg .It makes more computer motherboards than any other country on earth, its research and development efforts are top of the range.

In addition to the voodoo, consider the american military budget.
American military budget estimate(2006)          $441,000.00m

It easy to fall into the temptation of giving historical and  social reasons/excuses as to why there are disparities in the income level..... If so, then consider south korea, taiwan and malaysia that started out with us in the 60's. This place can be the best place in the world.....It can.

Can Nigeria grow and move on from here?.... Yes
Will it grow?.... No.... unless it is restructured, realigned, reorganised or broken into growth based units. Its current constitution/organisation/set-up is aimed at systematically underdeveloping all its contituent units. That explains why it has over a million of its best brains in the US alone and an innumerable multitude scattered accross the globe.

The companies listed above make their money from harnessing the power of the human brain within its fold.....No organisation can grow beyond the intellectual capability of its men/women.same for any soceity.

The point here is ... Without corruption, Nigeria with all the oil money does not have enough money to invest or feed itself. Even the small peanuts is poorly invested dues to crass ignorance and illiteracy
In any case, there will be no domino effect when siting infrastructure depends on where the presidents hails from. Go and check Minna Airport that has near zero traffic and compare it with Port Harcourt Airport that handles the 'oil money' traffic. Consider the economic relevance of the state of both roads. It will tell you the story

As important as tourism is, it must not be a first line source of income. If it was so good, how come the carribeans economies are still in their doldrums. Accurate statistics do not lie. France that receives the highest no. of tourists does not rely on it as a first line source of income. Rather they they ensured that they have some of the best brains in the world. The Eiffel tower for instance has the name of the great scientists (Largrange, Bernouli, marie- Curie, and the like) that worked in paris

Whether it is per-capita or what ever name..... this soceity is desperately poor and in need of an urgent revamp. The young at heart, will keep quiet at their (and children's) own peril.

Starting with your brother, uncle, village-man, town-man etc , present the facts, data, information and ideas on what needs to be done to move us forward. Their hearts will be stirred and prayers will be answered.
oasis
Re: Our 'Oil Rich' Nigeria Is Actually Oil Poor!
« #17 on: January 14, 2006, 07:02 PM »

There isn't a single plan that is capable of making Nigeria a better country than it currently is.
Instead you need a good mix of everything.  R&D, modern infrastructure, tourism, drive for success among the citizens, good health, guaranteed safety for investors, bilateral trade relations with other countries, etc.

The Carribean is no more than an extension of Nigeria.  That is why their tourism income fails to better their economy.

Once again, Nigeria is not a poor country by any stretch of the imagination.  You use money to make money.  If Nigeria puts its oil money to good use, we'd shoot up very quickly as one of the top players in the world. 

Most countries in the world today can't do things that Nigeria can, because they'd have to resort to borrowing to fund things.  Yet, we classify Nigeria as poor?  How so?

Most people are book smart.  And theories are all they know.  However, sometimes you have to look beyond theories to see the facts.  Look at George Bush.  A few years ago he received scathing criticisms for his tax-cut plans.  Everybody said he was giving money to the rich.  But the truth is, only the rich create jobs to keep the economy going.  Of course, his critics are now silent on that matter, now that the US economy is booming. 

So why the criticisms to begin with, if Bush's plan actually works.  Well, because his critics are book-smart, but lack simple common sense.

We need common sense leaders in Nigeria.
owo (m)
Re: Our 'Oil Rich' Nigeria Is Actually Oil Poor!
« #18 on: January 15, 2006, 09:18 AM »

The consequence of positive investments were clearly stated as the quote below shows

Quote from: owo on January 11, 2006, 11:34 AM

Invested wealth always multiplies and grows itself. squandered wealth ends up in the 'rest' room. Therefore Oil wealth would have been enough to ensure a decent standard of living if it was invested and nurtured, but alas, it was stolen and still being stolen.
The real wealth of a soceity of country is its people. It then beats the imagination why and how men/women/children are being killed, maimed and incapacitated just because there is oil under their houses/farms and settlements.

Nigeria's undoing is this gross misplacement of focus/attention.


But that is talking about possibilities that would have been if the monies of yesterday were positively invested. Even today, there is still no positive investment.

In tomorrow's terms... Nigeria may be classified as potentially 'rich' (after all since the early seventies, its potentials have never been in doubt). It would smack of denying today's reality to build hopes and draw conclusions on what Nigeria could possibly become tomomrow.

In any case, all the economic projections/predictions concerning the outcome of our 'investments' over the last 35 years  have failed. What then is the basis on which the supposed 'future' wealth of Nigeria is built?

Therefore, if today's wealth (and not future possibilities) is the index to judge/determine wealth then, Nigeria is grossly poor. Indeed, very poor as previously shown. Projections and possiblities have been with humans from ancient times, but it has never been the basis of judging current realities.

Declaring wealth based on tomorrows possibilities would amount to making the same mistake that our forbears made  - that of assuming that we can always have an economic miracle when we want it. No nation has ever had an overnight economic miracle. It has always been the result of constant, steadfast positive investment in people (first), social infrastructure, harmony and people politics.  Even this is not being done in today's Nigeria

In all of today's terms, Oil 'rich' Nigeria is desperately poor.






oasis
Re: Our 'Oil Rich' Nigeria Is Actually Oil Poor!
« #19 on: January 15, 2006, 06:26 PM »

Yes, Nigeria today is desperately poor.  But not because we don't have the money to make things better, but because our resources are shamelessly squandered.

So, the message is clear, and all attempts to obfuscate the truth about our wealth and worth would be rebutted.
ono (m)
Re: Our 'Oil Rich' Nigeria Is Actually Oil Poor!
« #20 on: January 16, 2006, 08:45 AM »

Oasis and Owo, I've learnt quite a lot from you both. Thanks.
DoubleRevv (m)
Re: Our 'Oil Rich' Nigeria Is Actually Oil Poor!
« #21 on: January 17, 2006, 03:59 PM »

This may be irrelevant but $15 per month may not be real. As i understand it, this is GDP per capita for 1 month. However the Gdp should include all expenditure( assuming all the monies allocated are spent in the month) that is Government expenditureand expenditure by the private sector. Investments(fdi's) i think should also be added.

Recently i saw an article that  the notion that poor countries have people living on less than $1 may after all be false. The argument being that the most prevalent occupation in such countries is primarily subsistence agriculture,hence most of the populace are self dependent as regards their feeding.
oasis
Re: Our 'Oil Rich' Nigeria Is Actually Oil Poor!
« #22 on: January 17, 2006, 07:53 PM »

Quote
Recently i saw an article that  the notion that poor countries have people living on less than $1 may after all be false. The argument being that the most prevalent occupation in such countries is primarily subsistence agriculture,hence most of the populace are self dependent as regards their feeding.

I agree.

Besides, $1 in poor country may be worth $10 in the USA.
tayelolu (m)
Re: Our 'Oil Rich' Nigeria Is Actually Oil Poor!
« #23 on: January 24, 2006, 03:50 AM »

According to CIA factbook, Chippla is far from right, the CIA factbook estimates says 1000 per annum, which means about $2.75 per day. you can look it up www.cia.gov



GDP (purchasing power parity):   
$132.1 billion (2005 est.) 
GDP (official exchange rate):   
$78.08 billion (2005 est.) 
GDP - real growth rate:   
5.2% (2005 est.) 
GDP - per capita:   
purchasing power parity - $1,000 (2005 est.) 
GDP - composition by sector:   
agriculture: 26.8%
industry: 48.8%
services: 24.4% (2005 est.) 
Labor force:   
57.21 million (2005 est.) 
Labor force - by occupation:   
agriculture 70%, industry 10%, services 20% (1999 est.) 
Unemployment rate:   
2.9% NA (2005 est.) 
Population below poverty line:   
60% (2000 est.) 
Household income or consumption by percentage share:   
lowest 10%: 1.6%
highest 10%: 40.8% (1996-97) 
Distribution of family income - Gini index:   
50.6 (1996-97) 
Inflation rate (consumer prices):   
15.6% (2005 est.) 
Investment (gross fixed):   
23.1% of GDP (2005 est.) 
Budget:   
revenues: $12.86 billion
expenditures: $13.54 billion, including capital expenditures of NA (2005 est.) 
Public debt:   
11.2% of GDP (2005 est.) 
Agriculture - products:   
cocoa, peanuts, palm oil, corn, rice, sorghum, millet, cassava (tapioca), yams, rubber; cattle, sheep, goats, pigs; timber; fish 
Industries:   
crude oil, coal, tin, columbite, palm oil, peanuts, cotton, rubber, wood, hides and skins, textiles, cement and other construction materials, food products, footwear, chemicals, fertilizer, printing, ceramics, steel, small commercial ship construction and repair 
Industrial production growth rate:   
2.4% (2005 est.) 
Electricity - production:   
15.59 billion kWh (2003) 
Electricity - consumption:   
14.46 billion kWh (2003) 
Electricity - exports:   
40 million kWh (2003) 
Electricity - imports:   
0 kWh (2003) 
Oil - production:   
2.451 million bbl/day (2005 est.) 
Oil - consumption:   
310,000 bbl/day (2003 est.) 
Oil - exports:   
NA (2001) 
Oil - imports:   
NA (2001) 
Oil - proved reserves:   
36 billion bbl (2005 est.) 
Natural gas - production:   
15.68 billion cu m (2001 est.) 
Natural gas - consumption:   
7.85 billion cu m (2001 est.) 
Natural gas - exports:   
7.83 billion cu m (2001 est.) 
Natural gas - imports:   
0 cu m (2001 est.) 
Natural gas - proved reserves:   
4.007 trillion cu m (2005) 
Current account balance:   
$9.622 billion (2005 est.) 
Exports:   
$52.16 billion f.o.b. (2005 est.) 
Exports - partners:   
US 47.4%, Brazil 10.7%, Spain 7.1% (2004) 
Imports:   
$25.95 billion f.o.b. (2005 est.) 
Imports - partners:   
China 9.4%, US 8.4%, UK 7.8%, Netherlands 5.9%, France 5.4%, Germany 4.8%, Italy 4% (2004) 
Reserves of foreign exchange and gold:   
$30.16 billion (2005 est.) 
Debt - external:   
$37.49 billion (2005 est.) 
Economic aid - recipient:   
IMF $250 million (1998) 
Currency (code):   
naira (NGN) 
Exchange rates:   
nairas per US dollar - 132.59 (2005), 132.89 (2004), 129.22 (2003), 120.58 (2002), 111.23 (2001) 
Fiscal year:   
calendar year 
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