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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (2811) - Nairaland

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 8:58pm On Dec 07, 2017
PETERiCHY:


Some folks rightnow grin grin

Which day you go repent?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Calebbold: 9:13pm On Dec 07, 2017
yok:
WHERE MSCI INVESTED ADDITIONAL FUNDS ON 6 DECEMBER 2017/SOME EQUITIES APPROACHING RESISTANCE LEVELS

For 6 December 2017. MSCI uploaded on Dangote Sugar, Diamond and Fidelity. No wonder those equities were good gainers for that day.

The Equities that are close to major resistance level includes: Dangote Sugar, Fidson. For Transcorp, this level of NGN1.53 seems to be a liquidation point for some major holders, previous posts on this forum have indicated this. Let us see if Transcorp will go past this level in this bull season.

The problem of Transcorp seems to be the fact that so many people have loaded up immediately after the release of the 3rd Quarter report, but price failed to advance as expected (see daily chart of 15 October, level has been strong since July 2017) and as at now are in a loss/just want to breakeven and get out.

Below were the additions by MSCI. I will continue to monitor this, but may now be weekly or monthly. If want the excel sheet, you can e-mail me.

Caution: Investing is a risky venture. This is just my opinion and I cannot be liable for any loss suffered as a result of following this recommendation All data used are assumed to be correct, but you may need to verify some of the figures independently.



My brother, well done for your enlightening post. I sent you an email since yesterday but you are yet to reply.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ukay2: 9:19pm On Dec 07, 2017
MORGAN CAPITAL Yet to update my purchase of share i bought today till now.....i did not even get alert from CSCS.....my account yet to be debited.....wetin de happen...........anybody with the same problem?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by leo1234(m): 9:19pm On Dec 07, 2017
DaV8King:


Fully loadedgrin grin

Regards to awon gurus in the building especially currentprice,
I want to be like you when I grow up sir! FA toh bad gaan

Regret selling NAHCO @ N4.10 but it was monkey hunting for me
cool shocked

Why regret Did you sell at a loss?
You want every stock you sell to start moving down? grin

Those of you shouting full offer should better consult Fxuser and bullbear. For me the market is still bullish.
Most of the quality stocks that were on full offer today made significant appreciation this week and even opened higher today. Somebody was happy he sold Fidelity this morning and hoping to buy lower but I just saw Fidelity among the 52 weeks high. grin
Do not be deceived by the octopus. grin
Plan your trade and trade your plan

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by makashava(m): 10:26pm On Dec 07, 2017
The question is "what happens when the sanction is lifted on Oando.".and the reaction to elucidate.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by GANDALF1(m): 10:44pm On Dec 07, 2017
bigjay01:


retained earnings must be in +ve territory before we talk about dividends. Still under lock and key though.

Saw ur post and felt i should do a little analysis for you. i will start by posting some screenshots before doing the main calculations.

here we go

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by GANDALF1(m): 10:50pm On Dec 07, 2017
screenshot 2

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 10:54pm On Dec 07, 2017
GANDALF1:
screenshot 2

Continue. I'm with you sir
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by GANDALF1(m): 11:00pm On Dec 07, 2017
screeenshot 3

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by PharmAlfred: 11:06pm On Dec 07, 2017
GANDALF1:
screeenshot 3

I am following. Keep it coming sir.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 11:10pm On Dec 07, 2017
Waiting oooo
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by GANDALF1(m): 11:13pm On Dec 07, 2017
Sorry guys. Network palaver

Here is the final shot

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by GANDALF1(m): 11:22pm On Dec 07, 2017
now lets start the class.

As of today, the total accumulated profit of Dangote flourmills Plc (inclusive of the asset sale ) is N307,038,000.

From the 2nd shot, the company made N2,623,416,000 in the first 3months of this year.

From the 3rd shot, the company made N5,791,787,000 in the first 6 months of this year.

Meaning the company made 5,791,787,000 - 2,623,416,000 = N3,168,371,000 in the 2nd 3months of this year.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by GANDALF1(m): 11:31pm On Dec 07, 2017
kindly note that we are working with the group's figure here and not the company alone. grin

Now, the company sold off its noodles arm to Dufil prima for N3,743,858,000

and in all, it declared a profit of N13,052,852,000 PAT as shown in the pic below

1 Share

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by GANDALF1(m): 11:39pm On Dec 07, 2017
Meaning the company declared the following profits PAT for the Quarters already gone

Q1 - N2,623,416,000

Q2 - N3,168,371,000

Q3 - N13,052,852,000-N2,623,416,000-3,168,317,000-N3,743,858,000 = N3,517,261,000 cheesy Notice the increasing Profit Trend

It is therefore only rational that the company will declare a quarterly profit of more than N3Billion in the final quarter of 2017

If you add it to the current accumulated profit of N307,038,000, thats already close to N3.5Billion minimum accumulated Profit as at 2017 ending.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by PharmAlfred: 11:42pm On Dec 07, 2017
GANDALF1:
kindly note that we are working with the group's figure here and not the company alone. grin

Now, the company sold off its noodles arm to Dufil prima for N3,743,858,000

and in all, it declared a profit of N13,052,852,000 PAT as shown in the pic below

Okay. Following. Thank you.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ukay2: 11:44pm On Dec 07, 2017
PharmAlfred:


Okay. Following. Thank you.

No be only you oooooo


A beg make una tell morgan capital to update my purchase order today ooo
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by GANDALF1(m): 11:45pm On Dec 07, 2017
Now, this company declared a dividend of 10k from a profit of N677m+ for the last time in 2011 and after that, the loss started flowing till when it recovered in 2016.

with the number of tired shareholders and Alhaji Dangote's investment which needs to bring something after 6yrs of famine, are you saying the company will not pay something after making N3billion+

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by PharmAlfred: 11:48pm On Dec 07, 2017
[quote author=GANDALF1 post=63079020]Meaning the company declared the following profits PAT for the Quarters already gone

Q1 - N2,623,416,000

Q2 - N3,168,371,000

Q3 - N13,052,852,000-N2,623,416,000-3,168,317,000-N3,743,858,000 = N3,517,261,000 cheesy Notice the increasing Profit Trend

It is therefore only rational that the company will declare a quarterly profit of more than N3Billion in the final quarter of 2017

If you add it to the current accumulated profit of N307,038,000, thats already close to N3.5Billion minimum accumulated Profit as at 2017 ending.[/quote


So what's the verdict? You 've done a good job.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by GANDALF1(m): 11:49pm On Dec 07, 2017
now, there is another angle to it which is the main reason why any loose share of dangote flour mill should be mopped up as soon as it appears on the exchange, at least for the next 6months. Lets compare Dangote Flour Mill to Flour Mills of Nigeria Plc

grin grin grin grin grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by PharmAlfred: 11:52pm On Dec 07, 2017
GANDALF1:
Now, this company declared a dividend of 10k from a profit of N677m+ for the last time in 2011 and after that, the loss started flowing till when it recovered in 2016.

with the number of tired shareholders and Alhaji Dangote's investment which needs to bring something after 6yrs of famine, are you saying the company will not pay something after making N3billion+

DF might even give bonus shares and pay little dividend.
Let's see how it goes. Honestly, the company seems to be doing well now. The increasing profit trend is an indication that serious work is being done for a turn around. This stock might be in the #20 after q1 2018 if performance continue to improve.

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by currentprice: 11:53pm On Dec 07, 2017
GANDALF1:
now, there is another angle to it which is the main reason why any loose share of dangote flour mill should be mopped up as soon as it appears on the exchange, at least for the next 6months. Lets compare Dangote Flour Mill to Flour Mills of Nigeria Plc

grin grin grin grin grin

Following cool
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by GANDALF1(m): 11:59pm On Dec 07, 2017
the latest financials of Flourmills Nigeria Plc is shown below

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ukay2: 12:01am On Dec 08, 2017
GANDALF1:
now, there is another angle to it which is the main reason why any loose share of dangote flour mill should be mopped up as soon as it appears on the exchange, at least for the next 6months. Lets compare Dangote Flour Mill to Flour Mills of Nigeria Plc

grin grin grin grin grin

That has been the angle i have always seen DF....the more i think sbout the potential of DF, the more i mopp it at any available price....maybe DF overtaking FMN in the next 24 months may be allowed
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by GANDALF1(m): 12:11am On Dec 08, 2017
In the 6months period from March 2017 to September 2017, the financials state that Flour Mills made a total unaudited profit of N9,377,837,000 with an Eps (earnings per share) of 317kobo. While i wont want to dwell of their finance cost and others factors which if not checked will push them to unprofitability very soon, i think Dangote flour is a clear winner here because in the same period, it achieved a combined profit less the asset sale of N3,168,371,000+N3,517,261,000 = N6,685,632,000 with an EPS of N1.37k when you divide the profit by the oustanding shares of 5billion.

this simply shows that dangote flour is taking over the market from flour mills and will dominate this sphere next year.

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by GANDALF1(m): 12:16am On Dec 08, 2017
Now my verdict.

If you have Dangote flour in your portfolio, treasure it for the next 6months to 1year. When the price is compared to flour mill's price of 33+, thats a great discount for a stock that should be selling above Flour mill's price as of today.

My humble prediction is that while, they might declare a little dividend, say 50k or 40k, the possibility of a bonus share is very high and the only thing holding it is that move.

Dangote flour mill is Gold and That's It.

3 Likes 1 Share

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 12:36am On Dec 08, 2017
GANDALF1:
Now my verdict.

If you have Dangote flour in your portfolio, treasure it for the next 6months to 1year. When the price is compared to flour mill's price of 33+, thats a great discount for a stock that should be selling above Flour mill's price as of today.

My humble prediction is that while, they might declare a little dividend, say 50k or 40k, the possibility of a bonus share is very high and the only thing holding it is that move.

Dangote flour mill is Gold and That's It.

Have you bothered to think whether they might need the proceeds from asset sale to plough into the business? You dividend expectation might be a tall call

As per comparison with FMN.....hmmmm

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 12:55am On Dec 08, 2017
GANDALF1:
Now my verdict.

If you have Dangote flour in your portfolio, treasure it for the next 6months to 1year. When the price is compared to flour mill's price of 33+, thats a great discount for a stock that should be selling above Flour mill's price as of today.

My humble prediction is that while, they might declare a little dividend, say 50k or 40k, the possibility of a bonus share is very high and the only thing holding it is that move.

Dangote flour mill is Gold and That's It.
2. Fixed and Floating Debenture over borrower’s Tank Farm (including LM on the land on which the tank farm is built if it has ‘C of O’) covering 20% of facility amount plus additional LM over property in category A location with FSV covering 50% of facility amount.


don tey i enjoy fundamentals like this
nice one
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by safepaulooo(m): 5:09am On Dec 08, 2017
GANDALF1:
Now my verdict.

If you have Dangote flour in your portfolio, treasure it for the next 6months to 1year. When the price is compared to flour mill's price of 33+, thats a great discount for a stock that should be selling above Flour mill's price as of today.

My humble prediction is that while, they might declare a little dividend, say 50k or 40k, the possibility of a bonus share is very high and the only thing it is that move.

Dangote flour mill is Gold and That's It.

Very nice and explicit FA. Remember that uncertainty is greatest risk to share price.....factor in the one kobo rule soon to commence, can't say for sure where prices of stocks will be by February. Great need for CAUTION going forward
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by safepaulooo(m): 5:17am On Dec 08, 2017
GANDALF1:
In the 6months period from March 2017 to September 2017, the financials state that Flour Mills made a total unaudited profit of N9,377,837,000 with an Eps (earnings per share) of 317kobo. While i wont want to dwell of their finance cost and others factors which if not checked will push them to unprofitability very soon, i think Dangote flour is a clear winner here because in the same period, it achieved a combined profit less the asset sale of N3,168,371,000+N3,517,261,000 = N6,685,632,000 with an EPS of N1.37k when you divide the profit by the oustanding shares of 5billion.

this simply shows that dangote flour is taking over the market from flour mills and will dominate this sphere next year.

Flourmills eps is almost 3 times DF.....I. e 317k vs 137k, at least the price gap logically should equate same multiple

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 6:14am On Dec 08, 2017
GANDALF1:
Now my verdict.

If you have Dangote flour in your portfolio, treasure it for the next 6months to 1year. When the price is compared to flour mill's price of 33+, thats a great discount for a stock that should be selling above Flour mill's price as of today.

My humble prediction is that while, they might declare a little dividend, say 50k or 40k, the possibility of a bonus share is very high and the only thing holding it is that move.

Dangote flour mill is Gold and That's It.

Wow. Very good job. Slept off before you could finish but after going through your presentation, I have no doubt that my decision not to sell any of my units yesterday was an excellent one.

The dividend call might be tough though I am expecting a bonus of like 1 share for every 4 held. So if dividend comes, that's Jara.

You should do this often please. Won't mind paying though.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 6:20am On Dec 08, 2017
Agbalowomeri:


Have you bothered to think whether they might need the proceeds from asset sale to plough into the business? You dividend expectation might be a tall call

As per comparison with FMN.....hmmmm

Going by the rules, if you dispose a company's asset, you are supposed to share the proceeds amongst the shareholders and creditors if the coy is bankrupt or the shareholders alone if the coy has positive retained earnings.

It is left for the shareholders to now decide wether to give you back to further the business and that will be decided at the AGM.

1 Like

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