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Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) - Politics (4) - Nairaland

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The Average Nigerian Will Make 18% Less In 2015 / Buhari’s Victory Would Have Failed Forensic Analysis – PDP / PDP: 17 States, APC: 16 States, Swing: 4 States (2) (3) (4)

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Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by abduljabbar4(m): 10:25am On Feb 28, 2015
If this was in favour of pdp they would have been saying something else. What can I say? KILL YOURSELVES.
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by Nobody: 10:26am On Feb 28, 2015
So twitter self dhe do accreditation undecided?
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by rusher14: 10:30am On Feb 28, 2015
maestroferddi:
Elections are won at the grassroots and that is where the PDP are masters of the game.

Do these grassroots include parts of Borno and Yobe?
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by ZUBY77(m): 10:30am On Feb 28, 2015
aanumama:
Change is what we need
Change is what we seek, and
Change is what we will get God willing!
We are tired of useless power,that oppresses the masses!

I hope change is welcomed in Lagos too
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by fasbat(m): 10:30am On Feb 28, 2015
kolonigga:
The Nigerian political space is heating up ahead of its March general elections. In a race most prominently contested by the ruling PDP and the main opposition party – APC, a local consulting firm has set out to “get a feel of who might possibly win the country’s presidential election.”

The firm, Sterling & Greenback is using an in-house tool they call Brandseeker to conduct a sentiment analysis of discussions around and about the presidential election that is ongoing over the internet.

“[We] developed a windows service that uses Twitter’s API to retrieve tweets related to the Nigerian presidential elections. The algorithm selects only tweets which were generated within the borders of Nigeria,” said S&G’s Obi Igbokwe in an email conversation with TechCabal.

According to Obi, their algorithm is able to discern sarcasm, examine retweets, and look at the whole context to determine the sentiment.

Sentiment analysis has been around for a while, but it’s also received its fair share of criticism. In 2012, USA Today partnered with Twitter analytics platform, Topsy to provide a sentiment score for the race between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney. Marc Smith, a local sociologist notably criticized the exercise, claiming the data was “remarkably poor”. He argued that extracting meaningful information from social network is more complicated than measuring “the noise of the crowd”.

A lot of the online conversation around Nigeria’s elections is happening on Twitter. But, not all of it. BrandSeeker doesn’t analyse data from Facebook and other social networks. This is significant because of the recurring question of whether Twitter conversation is truly representative of the broad conversations on social subjects.

“Most academic papers agree that it is sufficient,” Obi says. “Twitter unlike most of the other, does not require you to ask the permission of users to mine their messages. Facebook does not even allow third parties search status updates of users because of privacy reasons.”

It was revealed in 2014 that Facebook privacy concerns or no, the company is not above using the data from users of the platform for sociological experiments. But the ethics of such activity aside, they would hardly make such information available to agencies like Obi’s.

BrandSeeker also analyses political issues and the sentiment on a state by state basis. Obi thinks this could provide veritable intelligence for party campaign teams. “The data we have have out on the site would probably make more sense to political analysts,” Obi explains, “for instance, if you were in the Buhari camp and your team was going to campaign in Ondo State, the data shows that Health is the most talked about political issue there. It would thus make more sense to focus more on how to improve health services than job creation, which is the number one issue in Anambra.”

The data available on the website http://www.kingmakers.com.ng/ at the time of this writing is interesting enough. If the algorithm is to be believed, the ruling PDP has 1.82% national penetration against the opposition APC’s 15.98%. Another interesting datapoint is that corruption is the most discussed political issue, ahead of security, jobs and economy.
http://techcabal.com/2015/02/23/introducing-twitter-meter-nigerias-presidential-election/
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by butanep(m): 10:32am On Feb 28, 2015
Omooba77:

Writing out a script;they will be surprised by the landmark victory of GEJ. Do you know how many twitter handles some of them have. Buhari has always won on social media since time immemorial
you re a big liar.
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by ZUBY77(m): 10:32am On Feb 28, 2015
Sunnybobo3:


Come March 28, you'll realize that elections are not won on social media.

Especially African elections
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by Abayhormy(m): 10:33am On Feb 28, 2015
Sunnybobo3:


Come March 28, you'll realize that elections are not won on social media.
They are won by rigging and using federal, people/constitutional given power to coerce, constrain/ push the military to guide the election an favour of the incumbent party abi ??
YOU GUYS WILL SOON KNOW THAT GOD KNOWS THIS COUNTRY EVEN BEFORE YOU WERE BORN. AND GOD IS MORE THAN ALL OF YOU, FROM YOUR SO-CALLED COMMANDER IN CHIEF AND HIS POWER DRUNK WIFE TO YOU SYCHOPHANTS .
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by motherlode: 10:34am On Feb 28, 2015
cheesy very interesting! cool
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by danielmichael(m): 10:34am On Feb 28, 2015
aanumama:
Change is what we need
Change is what we seek, and
Change is what we will get God willing!
We are tired of useless power,that oppresses the masses!
Look at all these kpomor girls
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by abduljabbar4(m): 10:37am On Feb 28, 2015
kastonkastrol:
come march 28, you will also realize that 2015 election will be different from 2011 election were there wasn't any strong opposition.
guy why did you reply him? Check his profile pic and see if he deserves to be replied by a chicken
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by JustCalMeDBoss(m): 10:37am On Feb 28, 2015
Which APC warriors are more than PDP warriors by a factor of over 7-1, when we tell these keyboard and keypad warriors that the change movement on the internet does not translate to reality they shout us down. These election would suprise many ppl. Nigerians is not yet ready for a revolution tru the internet. APC clowns the most delusional.
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by lyntiffany(f): 10:37am On Feb 28, 2015
adekennis:


We are talking about economy u are here talking about cup of melon... U well so?typical Nigerian housewife
pls if you don't read peoples quote properly don't mention me.Go back and read the post of the guy I replied.
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by joncom(m): 10:38am On Feb 28, 2015
haulagehandlers:
yes you are right "elections are not won on social media" but they are won by social media users who vote,so any which way you look at it,the sentiments expressed on social media is a reflection of the yearning of the electorate.

It is not.

Let's take MTN for example, if a poll is called on those who hate MTN, the response will be massive. Why, because those online are paying through their nose to get internet access.

But thesame can not be said if you sample the opinion of ordinary Nigerians like those in our villages and the elites. They will still be in support of MTN cos' of many other reasons like:
*Connectivity,
*All their family members are on the network,
*The fear of other networks doing worse,
*they are satisfied with what they are getting,
*they are not crazy about d internet, etc

So, GMB can lead on twitter. No wahala
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by SkyyLord(m): 10:38am On Feb 28, 2015
Sunnybobo3:


Come March 28, you'll realize that elections are not won on social media.
How is it won then?... By RIGGING I guess?
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by abduljabbar4(m): 10:38am On Feb 28, 2015
Sunnybobo3:


Come March 28, you'll realize that elections are not won on social media.
do you taste your food when cooking?
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by Abayhormy(m): 10:39am On Feb 28, 2015
28 days to presidential elections. If you're voting
remember these factors;
1. The chibok Girls.
2. NNPC Scam
3. Missing Police pension fund
4. Missing $20Billion
5. $9million Arms deal
6. Nigeria Immigration job scam/Tragedy
7.17 people that was killed during Jan 2012 Fuel Subsidy Civil protests.
8. Otedola & Farouk lawal fuel subsidy bribery video tape.
9. Stella's Oduah Aviation Scam
10.Denziani $10 billion aircraft charter in a year.
11. Ekiti election Army compromise tape by Capt. Sagir Okoli .
12. Bomb Blasts.
13. National Assembly unconstitutional gate locking.
14. Naira exchange rate to Dollar.
15. Oil thefts.
16. Power outages.
17. Skyrocketed electricity Bills.
18. ASUU & poly Strikes
19. Doctors Strike
20. Kerosene subsidy
--------------
They Didn't Raise 21Billion for Ebola,
They Didn't Raise 21Billion for dilapidated hospitals.
They Didn't raise 21Billion for flood Victims,
They Didn't raise 21Billion for children dying of Vaccine
preventable disease,
They didn't raise 21Billion for the homeless.
BUT they all gathered to raised 21Billion for another 4
Years of INEPTITUDE AND BAD GOVERNANCE. There is GOD ooooooooo. Ur vote is ur right.
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by Omooba77: 10:40am On Feb 28, 2015
butanep:
you re a big liar.
Don't worry God bless you,March28 will tell
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by Abayhormy(m): 10:40am On Feb 28, 2015
joncom:


It is not.

Let's take MTN for example, if a poll is called on those who hate MTN, the response will be massive. Why, because those online are paying through their nose to get internet access.

But thesame can not be said if you sample the opinion of ordinary Nigerians like those in our villages and the elites. They will still be in support of MTN cos' of many other reasons like:
*Connectivity,
*All their family members are on the network,
*The fear of other networks doing worse,
*they are satisfied with what they are getting,
*they are not crazy about d internet, etc

So, GMB can lead on twitter. No wahala
28 days to presidential elections. If you're voting
remember these factors;
1. The chibok Girls.
2. NNPC Scam
3. Missing Police pension fund
4. Missing $20Billion
5. $9million Arms deal
6. Nigeria Immigration job scam/Tragedy
7.17 people that was killed during Jan 2012 Fuel Subsidy Civil protests.
8. Otedola & Farouk lawal fuel subsidy bribery video tape.
9. Stella's Oduah Aviation Scam
10.Denziani $10 billion aircraft charter in a year.
11. Ekiti election Army compromise tape by Capt. Sagir Okoli .
12. Bomb Blasts.
13. National Assembly unconstitutional gate locking.
14. Naira exchange rate to Dollar.
15. Oil thefts.
16. Power outages.
17. Skyrocketed electricity Bills.
18. ASUU & poly Strikes
19. Doctors Strike
20. Kerosene subsidy
--------------
They Didn't Raise 21Billion for Ebola,
They Didn't Raise 21Billion for dilapidated hospitals.
They Didn't raise 21Billion for flood Victims,
They Didn't raise 21Billion for children dying of Vaccine
preventable disease,
They didn't raise 21Billion for the homeless.
BUT they all gathered to raised 21Billion for another 4
Years of INEPTITUDE AND BAD GOVERNANCE. There is GOD ooooooooo. Ur vote is ur right.
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by lyntiffany(f): 10:42am On Feb 28, 2015
Omooba77:

Writing out a script;they will be surprised by the landmark victory of GEJ. Do you know how many twitter handles some of them have. Buhari has always won on social media since time immemorial
your correct , they will be surprise at what will happen on that very day. It will be dem like movie just like in the days of moses that the people of Israelites cross the redsea leaving Egyptians behind.
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by anigbajumo(m): 10:43am On Feb 28, 2015
lyntiffany:
twitter ko twitter ni, the market women, the farmers, commercial drivers dey twitter bah?APC I go clear una for eyes for march 28 when Gej go dey win on ground una go dey busy with online pool and pls don't forget to tell jega to buy I-pad to calculate your foolish online pool.
Gej till infinity.

ur faz gonna clear on march 29....
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by haulagehandlers(m): 10:43am On Feb 28, 2015
joncom:


It is not.

Let's take MTN for example, if a poll is called on those who hate MTN, the response will be massive. Why, because those online are paying through their nose to get internet access.

But thesame can not be said if you sample the opinion of ordinary Nigerians like those in our villages and the elites. They will still be in support of MTN cos' of many other reasons like:
*Connectivity,
*All their family members are on the network,
*The fear of other networks doing worse,
*they are satisfied with what they are getting,
*they are not crazy about d internet, etc

So, GMB can lead on twitter. No wahala
noted,but I make bold to say that he is more popular and far more acceptable now than when he contested against GEJ in 2011,no?.
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by joncom(m): 10:43am On Feb 28, 2015
adekennis:


We are talking about economy u are here talking about cup of melon... U well so?typical Nigerian housewife

That typical housewife are those that will vote.

Just imagine if all the 'typical housewives' comes out and vote?

Do the sum
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by Seun360(m): 10:44am On Feb 28, 2015
GEJ must be booted back to Otueke.

1 Like

Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by misterh(m): 10:47am On Feb 28, 2015
joncom:


If you are not jobless, then you must be either sentimental, or tribalistic. I don't know the rational for supporting GMB.

There is something most of you are not telling us, maybe this government has not favoured you. Its more than just you not liking GEJ, its more of who will favour ur cronies.

I have spoken.
But when people of the South-South vote for GEJ because he's their son, it's not tribalistic or sentimental, right? Tell families who have lost loved ones to BH or youths who fell for the NIS scam or people who are aghast that a convict was given a presidential pardon or me who isn't having electricity despite paying my bills that we're the sentimental ones and we don't have a rationale for wanting the govt out.
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by bakila: 10:49am On Feb 28, 2015
spott:


Nobody is saying you can win election on Twitter, you can get Nigerians thoughts and opinions on issues with it. So from the analysis I can see there, Nigerians are fed up with PDP/GEJ administration with their photoshop transformations, Nigerians want change simple.
Good analysis, don't bother yourself explaining. Those who will vote GEJ are confined to a certain area. They think that wining the election depends on results in third area and PDP's invincibility.
They do not know that the party has offended a lot of people including those that provide the charm that makes them invincible.
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by joncom(m): 10:49am On Feb 28, 2015
Abayhormy:
28 days to presidential elections. If you're voting
remember these factors;
1. The chibok Girls.
2. NNPC Scam
3. Missing Police pension fund
4. Missing $20Billion
5. $9million Arms deal
6. Nigeria Immigration job scam/Tragedy
7.17 people that was killed during Jan 2012 Fuel Subsidy Civil protests.
8. Otedola & Farouk lawal fuel subsidy bribery video tape.
9. Stella's Oduah Aviation Scam
10.Denziani $10 billion aircraft charter in a year.
11. Ekiti election Army compromise tape by Capt. Sagir Okoli .
12. Bomb Blasts.
13. National Assembly unconstitutional gate locking.
14. Naira exchange rate to Dollar.
15. Oil thefts.
16. Power outages.
17. Skyrocketed electricity Bills.
18. ASUU & poly Strikes
19. Doctors Strike
20. Kerosene subsidy
--------------
They Didn't Raise 21Billion for Ebola,
They Didn't Raise 21Billion for dilapidated hospitals.
They Didn't raise 21Billion for flood Victims,
They Didn't raise 21Billion for children dying of Vaccine
preventable disease,
They didn't raise 21Billion for the homeless.
BUT they all gathered to raised 21Billion for another 4
Years of INEPTITUDE AND BAD GOVERNANCE. There is GOD ooooooooo. Ur vote is ur right.

Hahahaha, begging for VOTES
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by jibrilaminu003(m): 10:50am On Feb 28, 2015
kolonigga:
The Nigerian political space is heating up ahead of its March general elections. In a race most prominently contested by the ruling PDP and the main opposition party – APC, a local consulting firm has set out to “get a feel of who might possibly win the country’s presidential election.”

The firm, Sterling & Greenback is using an in-house tool they call Brandseeker to conduct a sentiment analysis of discussions around and about the presidential election that is ongoing over the internet.

“[We] developed a windows service that uses Twitter’s API to retrieve tweets related to the Nigerian presidential elections. The algorithm selects only tweets which were generated within the borders of Nigeria,” said S&G’s Obi Igbokwe in an email conversation with TechCabal.

According to Obi, their algorithm is able to discern sarcasm, examine retweets, and look at the whole context to determine the sentiment.

Sentiment analysis has been around for a while, but it’s also received its fair share of criticism. In 2012, USA Today partnered with Twitter analytics platform, Topsy to provide a sentiment score for the race between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney. Marc Smith, a local sociologist notably criticized the exercise, claiming the data was “remarkably poor”. He argued that extracting meaningful information from social network is more complicated than measuring “the noise of the crowd”.

A lot of the online conversation around Nigeria’s elections is happening on Twitter. But, not all of it. BrandSeeker doesn’t analyse data from Facebook and other social networks. This is significant because of the recurring question of whether Twitter conversation is truly representative of the broad conversations on social subjects.

“Most academic papers agree that it is sufficient,” Obi says. “Twitter unlike most of the other, does not require you to ask the permission of users to mine their messages. Facebook does not even allow third parties search status updates of users because of privacy reasons.”

It was revealed in 2014 that Facebook privacy concerns or no, the company is not above using the data from users of the platform for sociological experiments. But the ethics of such activity aside, they would hardly make such information available to agencies like Obi’s.

BrandSeeker also analyses political issues and the sentiment on a state by state basis. Obi thinks this could provide veritable intelligence for party campaign teams. “The data we have have out on the site would probably make more sense to political analysts,” Obi explains, “for instance, if you were in the Buhari camp and your team was going to campaign in Ondo State, the data shows that Health is the most talked about political issue there. It would thus make more sense to focus more on how to improve health services than job creation, which is the number one issue in Anambra.”

The data available on the website http://www.kingmakers.com.ng/ at the time of this writing is interesting enough. If the algorithm is to be believed, the ruling PDP has 1.82% national penetration against the opposition APC’s 15.98%. Another interesting datapoint is that corruption is the most discussed political issue, ahead of security, jobs and economy.
http://techcabal.com/2015/02/23/introducing-twitter-meter-nigerias-presidential-election/




So happy to see this. it shows that Nigerians need change. we are tired of a dictator hiding under the shade of democracy.
Sai baba
Sai GMB/PYO
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by abduljabbar4(m): 10:50am On Feb 28, 2015
waternogetemeny:
Buhari and APC have an IT location with internet warrior with multiple monikers that comments and like post.

Nairaland user go reach 5000 fake monikers this election month.

APC and desperation.

Busted!
die of anger
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by Omooba77: 10:51am On Feb 28, 2015
Abayhormy:
28 days to presidential elections. If you're voting
remember these factors;
1. The chibok Girls.
2. NNPC Scam
3. Missing Police pension fund
4. Missing $20Billion
5. $9million Arms deal
6. Nigeria Immigration job scam/Tragedy
7.17 people that was killed during Jan 2012 Fuel Subsidy Civil protests.
8. Otedola & Farouk lawal fuel subsidy bribery video tape.
9. Stella's Oduah Aviation Scam
10.Denziani $10 billion aircraft charter in a year.
11. Ekiti election Army compromise tape by Capt. Sagir Okoli .
12. Bomb Blasts.
13. National Assembly unconstitutional gate locking.
14. Naira exchange rate to Dollar.
15. Oil thefts.
16. Power outages.
17. Skyrocketed electricity Bills.
18. ASUU & poly Strikes
19. Doctors Strike
20. Kerosene subsidy
--------------
They Didn't Raise 21Billion for Ebola,
They Didn't Raise 21Billion for dilapidated hospitals.
They Didn't raise 21Billion for flood Victims,
They Didn't raise 21Billion for children dying of Vaccine
preventable disease,
They didn't raise 21Billion for the homeless.BUT they all gathered to raised 21Billion for another 4
Years of INEPTITUDE AND BAD GOVERNANCE. There is GOD ooooooooo. Ur vote is ur right.
The functional railways
Our agriculture sectors on the increase
Airport modelling
Ghost workers being fished out
HCN privatisation
Also remember the toll on existing roadsMore than 8years of suffering on orile-badagry roads
All the personal estates everywhere
Tax in the name of Alpha beta
16 years of family business in Lagos
Fighting corruption by surrounding your self with most corrupt individuals

1 Like

Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by Sunnybobo3(m): 10:52am On Feb 28, 2015
SkyyLord:
How is it won then?... By RIGGING I guess?

Elections are won at the grassroot level. Most of the voters at that level are not on the social media.
Re: Twitter Meter Analysis: PDP, 1.87% National Penetration And APC, 16.18%(PICS) by abduljabbar4(m): 10:52am On Feb 28, 2015
waternogetemeny:
Buhari and APC have an IT location with internet warrior with multiple monikers that comments and like post.

Nairaland user go reach 5000 fake monikers this election month.

APC and desperation.

Busted!
die out of anger

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