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Solution to the Nigerian Economy - Politics (2) - Nairaland

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Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by richidinho(m): 1:10pm On Jan 22, 2016
ok
Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by harmless011: 1:14pm On Jan 22, 2016
Y
Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by vodkat: 1:18pm On Jan 22, 2016
gohome:
We have a problem.
1. Weak Fiscal Policy and political structure.
2. Executing good economic policies.


I will only touch on 2 because the ruling party does not have the nerve to dismantle the fiscal structure we have now. Also so unfortunate the last one could not. In the next elections, we should vote for the guy that will stop handouts to states. The gain of just this single decision is too enormous to mention in this thread. Will create another thread highlighting this

I will go ahead with number 2. Solutions to number 2 start with a good plan (budget). Unfortunately we have started off in the wrong foot. The growth rate of a country depends on rate of saving and investment. For this purpose, budgetary policy aims to mobilise sufficient resources for investment in the public sector. Therefore, the government makes various provisions in the budget to raise overall rate of savings and investments in the economy. what I have seen so far in this years budget is not impressive. Hopefully next year will be much better.


Another example as regards to policy is curbing inflation rate. Look around you, you can hardly find anything manufactured in Nigeria. So what it means is that inflation is going to be in double figures because of a devalued Naira at 310 to a dollar. It's a bad policy to fix the Naira and not let market forces work. A good example to explain this bad policy is the way and manner we have handled our forex. Firstly, the entire policy to control our outflow was not carefully thought through. What we are doing is fixing the roof because of bad foundation. Or repainting the car and feeling good when your engine is about to knock. Bad precedence we have laid in the past 50 years. Keeping the right to set the dollar price exclusively to CBN is a recipe for disaster. It's only a matter of time and that time will be when oil is worthless. Do you know that the CBN gathers all our dollars and print Naira equivalents of these dollars. They flood this Naira in the economy and because the GDP growth is not equivalent to the Flooded Naira, inflation starts to kick in, the CBN the go ahead to reduce to cash in circulation by raising interest rate, selling T bills and even borrowing from bank at huge cost. Imagine! The simple solution to this is to let it stand on its feet. Every body source for your dollars and let your customers buy it at any price.

But wait a minute, the decision to do that is not so simple, the dollar will reach 500 Nairas, so politically, it will be suicidal considering the fact that 1 Naira was suppose to be of equal value to the dollar.

A true devalued Naira may be a solution to our problems. It will reignite the real sector. Manufactured good in Nigeria can now compete with foreign goods In Nigeria. Thousand of Jobs will be created. We will get better at it and even start to export. There is hope people.

That's the only way. For you to increase your outflow, you have to be able to sell manufactured products, resources like oil etc can not cut you in. To be able to manufacture competively with China, Germany etc, you will need

1. Technology
2. Fiscal policies, tax cuts import waivers on heavy duties etc
3. Most important, Infractructural development (1 Trillion US at least).This will include power, rail, roads, ports etc. unfortunately, we have squandered billions of hard earn forex that should have been used for this
4 Human Resource - STEM professionals, technicians etc
5. Strong Policing- strong police force, legal framework etc.
6. Strong Foreign policy

What do we do?
1. Can we as citizens reach out to our legislators that the budget should reflect the above and don't be passed until it is changed.

2. Can we also push for a well laid out fiscal policy

3. Can we also push for a policy that will ban all forms of commodities except heavy duty equipment from accessing forex from the CBN

4. Can we set a hard target for the power problem to be fixed. (Milestones included). All projects in the world have targets

5. We consume 40 million liters a day of PMS. Dangote refinery will do 10 million liter max. Can we rigorously push for 4 Dangotes to build refineries especially from the oil majors in country.

6. With just a 10% increase in GDP and 30% increase in manufacturing, 2.2 million barrel a day of oil we produce will not be enough for local consumption.






Came across the link below and I thought it might be interesting.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?sns=fb&v=xex7NAhTR_w


The growth rate of a country is dependent on manufacturing .

First of all nigeria needs to be self sufficient

All pms used in nigeria should be producded in nigeria.
From exploration to refining .

Things like rice should not be imported infact we need to export .

Alll this r common sense.

Electiricty shd be powered by gas plants which we have in abunfanxw
Solve this ones first and u create thousands of jobs.

Finally all politicans stealing money shd be given life sentence or executed like they did in china.

We have to allow true public servants enter office or else we are wasting our time.

What we have is business men disguised as politicans.

4 Likes

Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by Dyt(f): 1:19pm On Jan 22, 2016
mrvitalis:
Bro the solution is not on grammar we need urgent solutions and I would propose the following
Government should set up a farm company like NNPC allocate unfarmed land to the company
Develop seedlings true the ministry of agriculture... Farm to substitute the things we import simple as a b c
Allocate 200000 hecters for wheat farming
1 million hecters for rice farming
Just like that.. .

I am on this with you but I thought there's a body that controls this

What happens to the steel too?
Let it all come alive
I read on here how these Asians steals them and all they do is take bribe
We can do this

They want to loot
More money to loot
More job creations

An average Nigerian just cares about his upkeep and worries less about looting so long he's earning too
Except the greedy ones sha

1 Like

Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by frankwyte: 1:23pm On Jan 22, 2016
The reason i stopped commenting on national discuss that will assist this nation is when you tell the truth, some people just are not comfortable with the truth rather they results to name calling or better put ..... Strange to be criticize, that way they remain stagnant, and cant move forward or interact without having grudges; but they soon forget that you need interaction and criticism to appreciate the beauty of life itself otherwise yu are dead!

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by vodkat: 1:24pm On Jan 22, 2016
tuniski:
let them recover what ever money that has been looted. However, fighting corruption must be a continuous endeavor not a govt policy! Moreso, recovered loots can only be bonus not what we will run the economy with. Forward we must look to regenerate not a backward looking attempt at hiding incompetence neither will blame game deliver posterity!
Having welfarist/socialist trial and error during a period of harsh economic realities is a complete disaster. Enterprise must be encouraged. No one grows wealth without growing humans but, govt dependency only helps in breeding corruption as enterprise!

Let us earn forex by doing small exchanges from items in our backyards. Depending on oil for over 90% of our forex earning is a disaster we are witnessing. In all, vilifying other nigerians of different political and ideological leanings instead of tapping into the collective reservoir of our human capital is negating genuine effort at regeneration!


Price of oil will.go as low. As 5$ per barrell.especially when other countries start using shale techique to get oil.

As of now only the actions of us scattered the market.

Us prefers low prices becuaae it weakens Russia and arab terrorist who.r 90% dependent on oil as source of income

3 Likes

Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by InvertedHammer: 1:32pm On Jan 22, 2016
/
There is no solution to the problem. Everything the OP outlined is analysis based on textbook. Economics is not science. When US economy was teetering on the brink of abyss in 2008, the Fed Chairman had to think outside the box and Congress made laws to abate the situation. A lot of textbooks were written about it and some will read and pass them off as enlightened.

Nigeria is like the banker who made N200k/month, lived like a king and when laid off, found out that he had no savings. The banker gets a new job that pays N50k/month and keeps whining that the new salary is not enough to maintain the lifestyle he is accustomed to. The keyword emphatically is Savings! Savings!! Savings!!!.

Saudi Arabia is feeling the pinch too. But they have hundreds of billions of dollars saved to cushion the effect of the shock. They can tap into the reserve to balance their budget.

The greatest problem facing Nigeria is that the leaders have no imaginations. They live on the present. Meaningful countries have outlined their policies direction for the next few years and will tweek same when necessary and appropriate. Nigeria has no goals. Any monkey can run the economy which goes thus: Sell oil, share the proceed, party hard, and repeat. And while this is going on, be hopeful that nothing throws a wrench into the works.

/

7 Likes 1 Share

Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by Babs015(m): 1:35pm On Jan 22, 2016
This is very interesting.... Please move to front page
Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by baralatie(m): 1:36pm On Jan 22, 2016
gohome:


Can we discuss without name calling? Plus I need solutions not blames. Please let us focus on the solutions to our problems with minimal or no blame
As you can see from comments on your thread.some people are so comfortable in blaming than in solving problems.
The present administration has the easiet work on pursuing economic growth but it has a problem with itself.if it does not free itself from throwing or casting blames it spends unnecessary energy in getting solutions that require little energy expenditure.
Maybe when the is a more open minded thread
Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by academics1: 1:40pm On Jan 22, 2016
gohome:
We have a problem.
1. Weak Fiscal Policy and political structure.
2. Executing good economic policies.


I will only touch on 2 because the ruling party does not have the nerve to dismantle the fiscal structure we have now. Also so unfortunate the last one could not. In the next elections, we should vote for the guy that will stop handouts to states. The gain of just this single decision is too enormous to mention in this thread. Will create another thread highlighting this

I will go ahead with number 2. Solutions to number 2 start with a good plan (budget). Unfortunately we have started off in the wrong foot. The growth rate of a country depends on rate of saving and investment. For this purpose, budgetary policy aims to mobilise sufficient resources for investment in the public sector. Therefore, the government makes various provisions in the budget to raise overall rate of savings and investments in the economy. what I have seen so far in this years budget is not impressive. Hopefully next year will be much better.


Another example as regards to policy is curbing inflation rate. Look around you, you can hardly find anything manufactured in Nigeria. So what it means is that inflation is going to be in double figures because of a devalued Naira at 310 to a dollar. It's a bad policy to fix the Naira and not let market forces work. A good example to explain this bad policy is the way and manner we have handled our forex. Firstly, the entire policy to control our outflow was not carefully thought through. What we are doing is fixing the roof because of bad foundation. Or repainting the car and feeling good when your engine is about to knock. Bad precedence we have laid in the past 50 years. Keeping the right to set the dollar price exclusively to CBN is a recipe for disaster. It's only a matter of time and that time will be when oil is worthless. Do you know that the CBN gathers all our dollars and print Naira equivalents of these dollars. They flood this Naira in the economy and because the GDP growth is not equivalent to the Flooded Naira, inflation starts to kick in, the CBN the go ahead to reduce to cash in circulation by raising interest rate, selling T bills and even borrowing from bank at huge cost. Imagine! The simple solution to this is to let it stand on its feet. Every body source for your dollars and let your customers buy it at any price.

But wait a minute, the decision to do that is not so simple, the dollar will reach 500 Nairas, so politically, it will be suicidal considering the fact that 1 Naira was suppose to be of equal value to the dollar.

A true devalued Naira may be a solution to our problems. It will reignite the real sector. Manufactured good in Nigeria can now compete with foreign goods In Nigeria. Thousand of Jobs will be created. We will get better at it and even start to export. There is hope people.

That's the only way. For you to increase your outflow, you have to be able to sell manufactured products, resources like oil etc can not cut you in. To be able to manufacture competively with China, Germany etc, you will need

1. Technology
2. Fiscal policies, tax cuts import waivers on heavy duties etc
3. Most important, Infractructural development (1 Trillion US at least).This will include power, rail, roads, ports etc. unfortunately, we have squandered billions of hard earn forex that should have been used for this
4 Human Resource - STEM professionals, technicians etc
5. Strong Policing- strong police force, legal framework etc.
6. Strong Foreign policy

What do we do?
1. Can we as citizens reach out to our legislators that the budget should reflect the above and don't be passed until it is changed.

2. Can we also push for a well laid out fiscal policy

3. Can we also push for a policy that will ban all forms of commodities except heavy duty equipment from accessing forex from the CBN

4. Can we set a hard target for the power problem to be fixed. (Milestones included). All projects in the world have targets

5. We consume 40 million liters a day of PMS. Dangote refinery will do 10 million liter max. Can we rigorously push for 4 Dangotes to build refineries especially from the oil majors in country.

6. With just a 10% increase in GDP and 30% increase in manufacturing, 2.2 million barrel a day of oil we produce will not be enough for local consumption.






Came across the link below and I thought it might be interesting.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?sns=fb&v=xex7NAhTR_w

1. every state should go back to agriculture like anambra's governor obiano
2. more private people like dangote should build companies that will make us stop importing products like fuel etc and create jobs

1 Like

Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by kayfra: 1:40pm On Jan 22, 2016
mrvitalis:

Government can set up this farms..Run them for five years when the private companies are ready they sale them off..... ....
The LNG is a good model to follow.. .. Government can own 80% but allow the company that owns 20% to run it and government supervise
Nigerian government need cash .... and I see quick cash in the agricultural industry

That's the bane of our problem. The role of the government is not to setup and run farms. It's to create an enabling environment for entrepreneurs to run farms. Government can subsidize farmers especially those interested in mechanized and large scale operation, but asking for government to setup and run anything is an invitation for continous failure and looting. Haven't you learnt anything from NNPC and different comatose parastatals?

When will you people realize how difficult it is to act fast in a democracy with varying interests? This is not government by military decree or fiat. You have different interests both good and bad. You just don't wake up and declare this or that.

3 Likes

Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by baralatie(m): 1:40pm On Jan 22, 2016
frankwyte:
The reason i stopped commenting on national discuss that will assist this nation is when you tell the truth, some people just are not comfortable with the truth rather they results to name calling or better put ..... Strange to be criticize, that way they remain stagnant, and cant move forward or interact without having grudges; but they soon forget that you need interaction and criticism to appreciate the beauty of life itself otherwise yu are dead!
Don't give up.there are some threads that are straight to the point.anytime I sight one.
I hook you up
Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by BekeeBuAgbara: 1:44pm On Jan 22, 2016
Hmm

1 Like

Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by musicwriter(m): 1:44pm On Jan 22, 2016
gohome:
We have a problem.
1. Weak Fiscal Policy and political structure.
2. Executing good economic policies.


I will only touch on 2 because the ruling party does not have the nerve to dismantle the fiscal structure we have now. Also so unfortunate the last one could not. In the next elections, we should vote for the guy that will stop handouts to states. The gain of just this single decision is too enormous to mention in this thread. Will create another thread highlighting this

I will go ahead with number 2. Solutions to number 2 start with a good plan (budget). Unfortunately we have started off in the wrong foot. The growth rate of a country depends on rate of saving and investment. For this purpose, budgetary policy aims to mobilise sufficient resources for investment in the public sector. Therefore, the government makes various provisions in the budget to raise overall rate of savings and investments in the economy. what I have seen so far in this years budget is not impressive. Hopefully next year will be much better.


Another example as regards to policy is curbing inflation rate. Look around you, you can hardly find anything manufactured in Nigeria. So what it means is that inflation is going to be in double figures because of a devalued Naira at 310 to a dollar. It's a bad policy to fix the Naira and not let market forces work. A good example to explain this bad policy is the way and manner we have handled our forex. Firstly, the entire policy to control our outflow was not carefully thought through. What we are doing is fixing the roof because of bad foundation. Or repainting the car and feeling good when your engine is about to knock. Bad precedence we have laid in the past 50 years. Keeping the right to set the dollar price exclusively to CBN is a recipe for disaster. It's only a matter of time and that time will be when oil is worthless. Do you know that the CBN gathers all our dollars and print Naira equivalents of these dollars. They flood this Naira in the economy and because the GDP growth is not equivalent to the Flooded Naira, inflation starts to kick in, the CBN the go ahead to reduce to cash in circulation by raising interest rate, selling T bills and even borrowing from bank at huge cost. Imagine! The simple solution to this is to let it stand on its feet. Every body source for your dollars and let your customers buy it at any price.

But wait a minute, the decision to do that is not so simple, the dollar will reach 500 Nairas, so politically, it will be suicidal considering the fact that 1 Naira was suppose to be of equal value to the dollar.

A true devalued Naira may be a solution to our problems. It will reignite the real sector. Manufactured good in Nigeria can now compete with foreign goods In Nigeria. Thousand of Jobs will be created. We will get better at it and even start to export. There is hope people.

That's the only way. For you to increase your outflow, you have to be able to sell manufactured products, resources like oil etc can not cut you in. To be able to manufacture competively with China, Germany etc, you will need

1. Technology
2. Fiscal policies, tax cuts import waivers on heavy duties etc
3. Most important, Infractructural development (1 Trillion US at least).This will include power, rail, roads, ports etc. unfortunately, we have squandered billions of hard earn forex that should have been used for this
4 Human Resource - STEM professionals, technicians etc
5. Strong Policing- strong police force, legal framework etc.
6. Strong Foreign policy

What do we do?
1. Can we as citizens reach out to our legislators that the budget should reflect the above and don't be passed until it is changed.

2. Can we also push for a well laid out fiscal policy

3. Can we also push for a policy that will ban all forms of commodities except heavy duty equipment from accessing forex from the CBN

4. Can we set a hard target for the power problem to be fixed. (Milestones included). All projects in the world have targets

5. We consume 40 million liters a day of PMS. Dangote refinery will do 10 million liter max. Can we rigorously push for 4 Dangotes to build refineries especially from the oil majors in country.

6. With just a 10% increase in GDP and 30% increase in manufacturing, 2.2 million barrel a day of oil we produce will not be enough for local consumption.






Came across the link below and I thought it might be interesting.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?sns=fb&v=xex7NAhTR_w

I got interested in this because you mentioned STEM and Germany. That tells me you know something about development which our government seem to know nothing about.

Recently, I heard the CBN governor blaming imports for our bad economy. Well, that's right, but what he seem not to understand is that import dependent economy is a symptom that something is wrong. What's wrong?. The root cause is lack of STEM in schools. The root cause of our economic problem whether in Nigeria or other African countries is lack of Science, Technology, Engineering and Math education- STEM.

We don't know science!!. NO NATION WILL INDUSTRIALIZE WITHOUT SCIENCE!. Only science can solve the poverty problem of any nation!.

Aside this, every other thing you listed is chasing shadows, the same old treating symptoms instead of the cause of sickness.

To begin any economic development in Africa, the first thing that needs be done is restructure education in Africa. Ban English and French is schools and give free education/scholarship to every student studying sciences; chemistry, physics, biology, mathematics.

Fiscal policy or investments or whatever you call them are cosmetic solutions, they're treating symptoms as you rightly stated. Africa cannot develop with the current western brainwashing model of education we inherited from Britain and France. Western education is anti-development!!.

No need to write an epistle here, cause all these was discussed in full in part 1 and 2 of the link on my signature.

3 Likes

Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by BekeeBuAgbara: 1:45pm On Jan 22, 2016
.
Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by AfroBlue(m): 1:47pm On Jan 22, 2016
Good to see the nation working on the corruption and looting problem at the government level. Flight of capital doesn't help the the economy in the least. Money parked in foreign banks and assets sitting in off shore accounts has been going on for too long.

The recent oil price drop was a manipulation of the international banking cartel.

Oil is rallying today just simply because someone flipped a switch for it to do, not for any rational/concrete economic news/stats that we learned in class.



Global Stocks Rally on New Hopes for Central Bank Stimulus

By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS

JAN. 22, 2016, 6:51 A.M. E.S.T.

FRANKFURT, Germany — Global stocks bounced back strongly Friday, buoyed by sharply higher oil prices and the prospect of more monetary stimulus from the European Central Bank.

Japan led the rebound as the Nikkei had its best single day in four years, just two days after entering bear market territory.

KEEPING SCORE: In early European trading, France's CAC 40 added 3.0 percent to 4,332.78 and Germany's DAX rose 2.0 percent to 9,762.41 Britain's FTSE 100 climbed 2.23 percent to 5,902.61 U.S. stocks were poised to open higher. Dow futures were up 1.3 percent to 15,992.00 and broader S&P 500 futures rose 1.40 percent to 1,887.00.

STIMULUS HOPE: European Central Bank chief Mario Draghi cheered investors by saying the bank is prepared to take action as early as its next meeting in March to expand existing stimulus efforts. While the ECB left key interest rates and its 1.5 trillion euro ($1.6 trillion) monetary stimulus program unchanged Thursday, Draghi underscored his willingness to ramp up the program if plummeting oil prices and market turmoil threaten the continent's weak economy.

ASIAN SCORECARD: Japan's Nikkei 225 posted its biggest one-day gain in more than four months, soaring 5.9 percent to close at 16,958.53 on hopes the Bank of Japan would join Europe in promising additional monetary stimulus. South Korea's Kospi gained 2.1 percent to 1,879.43. Hong Kong's Hang Seng added 2.9 percent to 19,080.51 and the Shanghai Composite Index in mainland China climbed 1.3 percent to 2,916.56. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 rose 1.1 percent to 4,916.00. Benchmarks in Taiwan, Southeast Asia and New Zealand also ended higher.

ANALYST VIEW: "Monetary easing speculation is providing a boost for Asian markets today," Angus Nicholson, market analyst at IG in Melbourne, said in a commentary. "Nowhere more so than in Japan."

ENERGY: Oil prices rebounding from their lowest in 12 years are also supporting investor sentiment. Crude futures extended gains after bouncing back from their worst day in four months. U.S. benchmark crude rose by 1.62, or 5.5 percent, to $31.15 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude, a benchmark for international oils, rose $1.92 to $31.17 a barrel in London.

CURRENCIES: The dollar rose to 118.25 yen Friday from 117.77 yen on Thursday. The euro weakened on the prospect of further stimulus, slipping to $1.0825 from $1.0851.

___

Chan contributed from Hong Kong.


________________________

I was surprised to read that the great UK has serious poverty problems.


The Truth About Poverty In Britain Is Much Worse Than You Think
19th January 2016 / United Kingdom

http://truepublica.org.uk/united-kingdom/truth-poverty-britain-much-worse-think/

1 Like

Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by Standing5(m): 1:52pm On Jan 22, 2016
tuniski:
no,that will be concentration camp not farming. Moreso, govt doing more aand more Is simply encouraging inefficiency and corruption. Govt is already overwhelmed let citizens be Stimulated and encouraged to do commercial agriculture. Govt must stay off they are a never do good bunch!

1 Like

Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by 9jatriot(m): 1:57pm On Jan 22, 2016
All things going with the rhetoric's that agriculture should be our main stay should pay a visit to interior villages and see products being produced and wasted each year. The problem is not in farming but in creating a market that takes these products from the farmers at a good rate that will encourage them to farm again next season.

A lot of people whose parent are farmers will not go into farming today because they grew up with their parents living as paupers whereas their neighbour who was a politician was living large. If agriculture becomes lucrative today, Nigerians will naturally gravitate there.

7 Likes

Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by God2man(m): 2:06pm On Jan 22, 2016
This is interesting.
Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by gohome: 2:20pm On Jan 22, 2016
musicwriter:


I got interested in this because you mentioned STEM and Germany. That tells me you know something about development which our government seem to know nothing about.

Recently, I heard the CBN governor blaming imports for our bad economy. Well, that's right, but what he seem not to understand is that import dependent economy is a symptom that something is wrong. What's wrong?. The root cause is lack of STEM in schools. The root cause of our economic problem whether in Nigeria or other African countries is lack of Science, Technology, Engineering and Math education- STEM.

We don't know science!!. NO NATION WILL INDUSTRIALIZE WITHOUT SCIENCE!. Only science can solve the poverty problem of any nation!.

Aside this, every other thing you listed is chasing shadows, the same old treating symptoms instead of the cause of sickness.

To begin any economic development in Africa, the first thing that needs be done is restructure education in Africa. Ban English and French is schools and give free education/scholarship to every student studying sciences; chemistry, physics, biology, mathematics.

Fiscal policy or investments or whatever you call them are cosmetic solutions, they're treating symptoms as you rightly stated. Africa cannot develop with the current western brainwashing model of education we inherited from Britain and France. Western education is anti-development!!.

No need to write an epistle here, cause all these was discussed in full in part 1 and 2 of the link on my signature.
I read your link. Awesome
Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by InvertedHammer: 2:26pm On Jan 22, 2016
baralatie:

As you can see from comments on your thread.some people are so comfortable in blaming than in solving problems.
The present administration has the easiet work on pursuing economic growth but it has a problem with itself.if it does not free itself from throwing or casting blames it spends unnecessary energy in getting solutions that require little energy expenditure.
Maybe when the is a more open minded thread
/
I beg to differ.

Even the best driver in the world cannot drive a car with no fuel in the tank.

GEJ and co. siphoned all the fuel out of the tank, threw the key at Buhari and said,"let's see you drive this car to the intended destination"

Then there is scarcity of fuel.

/

3 Likes 1 Share

Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by eagleccentric(m): 2:28pm On Jan 22, 2016
musicwriter:


I got interested in this because you mentioned STEM and Germany. That tells me you know something about development which our government seem to know nothing about.

Recently, I heard the CBN governor blaming imports for our bad economy. Well, that's right, but what he seem not to understand is that import dependent economy is a symptom that something is wrong. What's wrong?. The root cause is lack of STEM in schools. The root cause of our economic problem whether in Nigeria or other African countries is lack of Science, Technology, Engineering and Math education- STEM.

We don't know science!!. NO NATION WILL INDUSTRIALIZE WITHOUT SCIENCE!. Only science can solve the poverty problem of any nation!.

Aside this, every other thing you listed is chasing shadows, the same old treating symptoms instead of the cause of sickness.

To begin any economic development in Africa, the first thing that needs be done is restructure education in Africa. Ban English and French is schools and give free education/scholarship to every student studying sciences; chemistry, physics, biology, mathematics.

Fiscal policy or investments or whatever you call them are cosmetic solutions, they're treating symptoms as you rightly stated. Africa cannot develop with the current western brainwashing model of education we inherited from Britain and France. Western education is anti-development!!.

No need to write an epistle here, cause all these was discussed in full in part 1 and 2 of the link on my signature.

Very correct.
Without investment in STEM, we will go nowhere.
Countries we call developed or industrialized dont pay lip service to Research and Development (RD). Here we have a Ministry of science and technology that is just a ministry by name, no single output in the last 50 years.
See China for example, at a time they were poor and underdeveloped like us, but with heaving investments in training engineers, see what they have become.

The OP talked about devaluation being good for our economy as it will encourage production. I call that textbook rubbish!!! Translate that to real terms and relate it to our economy. How can a devalued naira aid production when all the tools and equipment, even bolts and nuts needed for production/manufacturing is still being imported. In other words, at 310 a dollar, the tools cost almost twice as much as they did this time last year. Where will the money come from. Who can afford production with the rising cost of inflation??

We are in deep sh*t and clearing the mess is what we need to do right now..

2 Likes

Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by Nobody: 2:33pm On Jan 22, 2016
gohome:

5. We consume 40 million liters a day of PMS. Dangote refinery will do 10 million liter max. Can we rigorously push for 4 Dangotes to build refineries especially from the oil majors in country.


I stopped reading this trash when i got here. Dangote's refinary is 600,000 bpd

there are 70 liters of petrol in a barrel of oil

70 x 600,000 = 42 million liters a day.

Get ur facts right.

1 Like

Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by baralatie(m): 2:37pm On Jan 22, 2016
InvertedHammer:

/
I beg to differ.

Even the best driver in the world cannot drive a car with no fuel in the tank.

GEJ and co. siphoned all the fuel out of the tank, threw the key at Buhari and said,"let's see you drive this car to the intended destination"

Then there is scarcity of fuel.

/
Like I said,as long as pmb "thinks" there is no fuel in the car while "doing nothing" but shouting "there is no fuel!",I no agree!
Only for a passerby tell pmb "oga enter the motor make you check the fuel gauge,

1 Like

Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by kenneth3428(m): 2:39pm On Jan 22, 2016
There is no hope for Nigeria with the way PMB is going about things. Look at the budget for instance. There are no future leaders in Nigeria, we only have the leaders of the futures past.
Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by eagleccentric(m): 2:40pm On Jan 22, 2016
Standing5:
For the delusional ones amongst us, Buhari has been running same economy other ran with oil earnings averaging $108+/b at average $35+/b. We should be concerned about how this man is being able to meet our 70% recurrent expenditure needs. We have situation where over the years past govt have increase recurremt bill foolishly in response to increased earnings. Imagine the effect of Yar'adua regime increase of federal worker pay, Governing arms of govt pay incrememt under OBJ, quadrapule increament in leakages since the last time oil sold for $20-somethin a barrel that has taken place. All these are now clearly added responsibility with no corresponding developement to sustain. They 16 years of excess earning and its near-total spending on recurrent bills by prfevious administrators is contradictory to what is obtainable in similar oil export dependent economy like ours. Nations like Saudi Arabia, Venezuela, Norway, UAE, Iran, Kuwait, Angola, Canada, Chicago state in the US you name it.

Yes Buhari met a lot of mess and he is taking his time to see how much he can clear.

The window of opportunity Nigeria enjoyed as a result of the oil windfall in the PDP years were wasted away. Rather than save and invest, useless Governors were shouting "Share the money, share the money". The money was shared, their children are abroad, you and i are left to face the reality of a ravished economy.

One thing you can't take away is the God effect in all these. Nigeria has defied every law of economics and is still standing even to the bewilderment of our enemies who felt imminent collapse was coming. God truly has a plan for this nation...

I see only one problem, we live in a society where numskulls are ruling eggheads!!

1 Like

Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by 2wizkids(m): 2:43pm On Jan 22, 2016
sometime last week i was just telling my dad how our education system was one of our major problems in this country, our schools prepare us to be job hunters rather than job creators, someone mentioned something earlier about our education system needing complete overhaul and i say thats long over due, its one of the reason you have great minds and talents being wasted. talking about agriculture @9japatriot you couldnt have said it better, the issue is not in the farming but what and how we make do of the farm produce, there's a local government in my state (Edo State) where a dozen of pineapple is sold for 200 naira, i almost cried for the farmer.
i believe if they had a factory in that vicinity that could buy all their produce for processing(at a reasonable price), that farmer would be willing to increase his produce the next year. thats how i believe great countries like the U.S are doing it. now the government can place a ban on importation of any agricultural product we can produce locally or tax breaks for as many factories that patronize our local farmers for a start.
the list is endless.

1 Like

Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by musicwriter(m): 2:44pm On Jan 22, 2016
eagleccentric:


Very correct.
Without investment in STEM, we will go nowhere.
Countries we call developed or industrialized dont pay lip service to Research and Development (RD). Here we have a Ministry of science and technology that is just a ministry by name, no single output in the last 50 years.
See China for example, at a time they were poor and underdeveloped like us, but with heaving investments in training engineers, see what they have become.

The OP talked about devaluation being good for our economy as it will encourage production. I call that textbook rubbish!!! Translate that to real terms and relate it to our economy. How can a devalued naira aid production when all the tools and equipment, even bolts and nuts needed for production/manufacturing is still being imported. In other words, at 310 a dollar, the tools cost almost twice as much as they did this time last year. Where will the money come from. Who can afford production with the rising cost of inflation??

We are in deep sh*t and clearing the mess is what we need to do right now..

Thank you for mentioning research and development!.

Yes, we're in deep shit!. Serious deep shit!. The Buhari government is said to have budgeted about N39 billion to ministry of information. How can we not have economic problem, when money that should've been invested in scientific research and development is given to ministry of information?.

Bottom line: we don't know what our priorities are.
Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by persius555(m): 2:56pm On Jan 22, 2016
@Op, you can refine about 105 litres of gasoline or pms from a barrel of oil. If we consume 40 million litres a day, we would require 400,000 barrels per day to be refined in order to meet local demand.
I find it amazing why some nigerians cant seperate economy from politics just for a moment. Politics has become a lifeline for some individuals, thats why we hardly achieve any meaningful economic gain.
Be it natural disaster, epidemic outbreak, weather turbulence etc Nigerians are so sub-consciously quick to politicizing every issue.
Politics has become religion for some people to the detriment of our nationhood.

1 Like

Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by gohome: 2:57pm On Jan 22, 2016
Standing5:
You are being political with the truth here. Russia with all of its technological might even did not attempt to diversify their economy in less than a year, they set a 7-year window for it. That's what they did in reaction to the oil price crash which they know is no fault of Putin or their ruling party. Here you open your brain and try to blame APC for OPEC slipping cartel-like grip on oil prices control.
Buhari or APC isn't the reason Nigeria can't attempt to diversify the economy in 7-years, the 16 years of wasteful spending of excess crude accruals under Africa's largest clique (atleast as proven by arms scandal and oil fraud) looked a better time to have divesifyed the economy and substituted as many foreign goods and service with local alternative to boost the economic sustainance of Nigeria. Russia, with all its technological might, still saved for their current state same time Nigeria was experiencing same proportiönal surge in oil earning the did. We know OBJ tried to spur on local production capacity by banning or heavily taxing foriegn alternatives. What i don't know is why one particular man thinks cassava bread as economic diversification stsategy will cushion the massive effects of leakages from oil theft, NNPC looting, arms scandal, ministries stealing etc.

Comparing Russia to Nigeria is like comparing an ant with an elephant. Russia has a strong economy base. In the range of x100. They have human resources, (among the top 3 in the world)
They can manufacture heavy duties. Heavy duties to be used for road construction power station manufacturing plants compressor heat engines cars etc. We can even make pensils. What this means is that even though you have all the resources in the world and close your boarders you will still be at the mercy of others. you will need to beg IMF, world bank, Russia and China for help.

Contrary to popular opinion our main problem is incompetence. We are too dumb. Incompetence is what will make a man still billions, ride fancy cars in an unkept road. corruption like lies and stealing is a vice and cannot go away. And like any other vice, you can use it for you and also against you.Do you know corruption built the western world as we know it. Our problems are hydra headed and solving it without proper framework is a tall dream. We need competent people cutting across political divide always there churning out strategies and ideas for growth.

Brazil with almost the same population as Nigeria has a budget of 980 billion Dollars, guess what's Nigerian budget, more than 10 times less. Which leader will harness effectively harness our potential? Even if we stop the looting of the money we currently have, we would still be in a mess. Do you know that the Nigeria budget is the same as Saudi budget for education alone?
Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by mikolo80: 3:08pm On Jan 22, 2016
gohome:
We have a problem.
1. Weak Fiscal Policy and political structure.
2. Executing good economic policies.


I will only touch on 2 because the ruling party does not have the nerve to dismantle the fiscal structure we have now. Also so unfortunate the last one could not. In the next elections, we should vote for the guy that will stop handouts to states. The gain of just this single decision is too enormous to mention in this thread. Will create another thread highlighting this

I will go ahead with number 2. Solutions to number 2 start with a good plan (budget). Unfortunately we have started off in the wrong foot. The growth rate of a country depends on rate of saving and investment. For this purpose, budgetary policy aims to mobilise sufficient resources for investment in the public sector. Therefore, the government makes various provisions in the budget to raise overall rate of savings and investments in the economy. what I have seen so far in this years budget is not impressive. Hopefully next year will be much better.


Another example as regards to policy is curbing inflation rate. Look around you, you can hardly find anything manufactured in Nigeria. So what it means is that inflation is going to be in double figures because of a devalued Naira at 310 to a dollar. It's a bad policy to fix the Naira and not let market forces work. A good example to explain this bad policy is the way and manner we have handled our forex. Firstly, the entire policy to control our outflow was not carefully thought through. What we are doing is fixing the roof because of bad foundation. Or repainting the car and feeling good when your engine is about to knock. Bad precedence we have laid in the past 50 years. Keeping the right to set the dollar price exclusively to CBN is a recipe for disaster. It's only a matter of time and that time will be when oil is worthless. Do you know that the CBN gathers all our dollars and print Naira equivalents of these dollars. They flood this Naira in the economy and because the GDP growth is not equivalent to the Flooded Naira, inflation starts to kick in, the CBN the go ahead to reduce to cash in circulation by raising interest rate, selling T bills and even borrowing from bank at huge cost. Imagine! The simple solution to this is to let it stand on its feet. Every body source for your dollars and let your customers buy it at any price.

But wait a minute, the decision to do that is not so simple, the dollar will reach 500 Nairas, so politically, it will be suicidal considering the fact that 1 Naira was suppose to be of equal value to the dollar.

A true devalued Naira may be a solution to our problems. It will reignite the real sector. Manufactured good in Nigeria can now compete with foreign goods In Nigeria. Thousand of Jobs will be created. We will get better at it and even start to export. There is hope people.

That's the only way. For you to increase your outflow, you have to be able to sell manufactured products, resources like oil etc can not cut you in. To be able to manufacture competively with China, Germany etc, you will need

1. Technology
2. Fiscal policies, tax cuts import waivers on heavy duties etc
3. Most important, Infractructural development (1 Trillion US at least).This will include power, rail, roads, ports etc. unfortunately, we have squandered billions of hard earn forex that should have been used for this
4 Human Resource - STEM professionals, technicians etc
5. Strong Policing- strong police force, legal framework etc.
6. Strong Foreign policy

What do we do?
1. Can we as citizens reach out to our legislators that the budget should reflect the above and don't be passed until it is changed.

2. Can we also push for a well laid out fiscal policy

3. Can we also push for a policy that will ban all forms of commodities except heavy duty equipment from accessing forex from the CBN

4. Can we set a hard target for the power problem to be fixed. (Milestones included). All projects in the world have targets

5. We consume 40 million liters a day of PMS. Dangote refinery will do 10 million liter max. Can we rigorously push for 4 Dangotes to build refineries especially from the oil majors in country.

6. With just a 10% increase in GDP and 30% increase in manufacturing, 2.2 million barrel a day of oil we produce will not be enough for local consumption.






Came across the link below and I thought it might be interesting.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?sns=fb&v=xex7NAhTR_w
we can gather 1 to 100 million Nigerians to contribute money and build industrial parks and farm plantations
Re: Solution to the Nigerian Economy by 9jatriot(m): 3:17pm On Jan 22, 2016
Am glad you get my drift. So many other products abound in our rural areas even moving them to the cities is a challenge, instead we will rather import those same product than get them from these rural areas.
Since you are from Edo state, you probably will know that Edo has one of the sweetest rice. If rice mills with full bagging facility are opened in areas like that farmers and middle men will be able to sell to those mills who will in turn process and package the rice, that way everybody down to the labour will be happy, but no we will rather go for rice from china.
The role of government is to find a way to reduce processing cost even if it means giving manufacturers a long term tax holiday.

2wizkids:
sometime last week i was just telling my dad how our education system was one of our major problems in this country, our schools prepare us to be job hunters rather than job creators, someone mentioned something earlier about our education system needing complete overhaul and i say thats long over due, its one of the reason you have great minds and talents being wasted. talking about agriculture @9japatriot you couldnt have said it better, the issue is not in the farming but what and how we make do of the farm produce, there's a local government in my state (Edo State) where a dozen of pineapple is sold for 200 naira, i almost cried for the farmer.
i believe if they had a factory in that vicinity that could buy all their produce for processing(at a reasonable price), that farmer would be willing to increase his produce the next year. thats how i believe great countries like the U.S are doing it. now the government can place a ban on importation of any agricultural product we can produce locally or tax breaks for as many factories that patronize our local farmers for a start.
the list is endless.

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