Ladies and gentlemen, the Russian regime will fall within the next year The end is nigh for this utterly despicable regime that won't allow the Hegemon spread its "democracy", "freedom" and "transparency" to this corner of the globe

"Imminent Russian collapse predicted by yet another desperate wishful-hoping self-hating liberast prognosticator shilling for a Western think tank for the umpteenth time - this time for the European Council on Foreign Relations (EU neocons' own version of CFR).
All based on the (demonstrably) false premise that Putin's government is illegitimate (in their eyes at least) and now only sustaining itself via "military conquests", countless opinion polls of the Russian people and elections before and after 2014 be damned. The reality is the polar opposite, stability and the public acceptance of necessary military operations and economic downturn stems from strong popular support of the Russian people for the current government, state institutions, and the social values and policies they evince.
No matter how many times such absurdist neocon fantasies are proved wrong, Western think tanks and commentariat continue to churn them out ad nauseum with factory-like regularity, without any accountability or credibility loss - because the Western elite so desperately wants and needs it to be true. It is the IR version of 'sex sells'."



Putin’s downfall: The coming crisis of the Russian regime
Publication
By Nikolay Petrov
19th April, 2016

Download:
PDF


The current trajectory of the Russian regime is unstable and without dramatic change it will crumble within the next year, according to a leading Russia specialist.

“Putin’s downfall: The coming crisis of the Russian regime” by Nikolay Petrov argues that Russia’s political regime is unsustainable and lacks capacity to reform in the face of economic turmoil. He argues that the regime has little room for manoeuvre, as excessive centralisation makes the system unstable and inefficient. Following previous domestic dissent, Vladimir Putin centralised all power in the presidency and weakened Russian political and state institutions in the process. Now, the regime needs to keep delivering military victories or face a loss of support.

[img]http://ecfr.eu/page/-/petrov-gaphic-for-twitter.jpg?v=1461071029880[/img]

Petrov asserts that the Russian regime has only two ways out of its coming crisis, both of which have limitations. The first is to reconcile with the West and so improve its finances, by reining in anti-Western rhetoric and appointing prominent reformers to key positions in the government. Petrov believes this is unlikely given the deeply entrenched hostility between Russia and the West.

The second way out, according to Petrov, is to change leader. With Putin having staked his political power on the legitimacy of military victory, the system will break down when Russia stops winning. The alternative is a new leader with a different – perhaps an electoral – mandate. However, this option too is fraught with dangers. With no clear ‘heir’, the current, highly centralised and highly personalised, system would need to be rebuilt.

The alternative to these exit strategies is a risky collapse. Uncontrolled regime change would leave Russia without visible leaders or effective state institutions. In this scenario, power could be assumed by a coalition of corporations, redistributed among various bodies, including government agencies, large companies, and even certain regions, such as Tatarstan and Chechnya.

Keep reading what the American government tell you about Russia. That country is strong and doing vibrantly despite all the sanctions meted on her by the EU, US and UN

TPAND:
Keep reading what the American government tell you about Russia. That country is strong and doing vibrantly despite all the sanctions meted on her by the EU, US and UN

don't mind some dummies always doin copy and paste

NairaMinted:


The first is to reconcile with the West and so improve its finances, by reining in anti-Western rhetoric and appointing prominent reformers to key positions in the government.

Ofcourse! So that Russia could be turned into another failed state like Iraq, Libya & Haiti while her sophisticated & unrivalled military gears are looted & shared among NATO & Israel like they did to the Iraqi museum.

The second way out, according to Petrov, is to change leader.

Who doesn't know that all the recent Amerikan propaganda against Russia is geared towards achieving the same purpose - which is kicking out Putin but atleast the Russians are not as dumb & stupid as the Libyans.

As for the posters above me, I think you guys do not know who Nairaminted is. He is a Russian 5star General.

http://www.ecfr.eu/profile/C413

Nikolay Petrov was the chair of the Carnegie Moscow Center’s Society and Regions Programme. Until 2006, he also worked at the Institute of Geography at the Russian Academy of Sciences, where he started to work in 1982. He served as chief organizer of the Analysis and Forecast Division in the Supreme Soviet (1991–1992), adviser and analyst for the Russian Presidential Administration (1994–1995), and a scholar at the Kennan Institute for Advanced Russian Studies (1993–1994) and the International Foundation for Electoral Systems (1994). From 1996 to 2000, Petrov worked at the Carnegie Moscow Center as a senior consultant and scholar-in-residence. Petrov earned his Ph.D. from Moscow State University.

A Russian expert on Russia's domestic policy wrote an article about Russia

Oh no. Lets blame the west for it.

To a discerning fella, your tactics of twisting facts, distraction and citing irrelevant matters are well known and to be honest, getting old.

Does it matter from whence the article came: Western news media, Western think-tanks, Washington, the opposition in Russia......planet Mars?

The ridiculousness of this "expert's" analysis and how it serves for giggles is what is this post is all about.....apparently you have failed to see that.

Guys, I keep getting banned by this darn SPAM bot and the moderators' inaction isn't helping matters. I am wondering if Nairaland isn't Slavic names and Cyrillic characters friendly. Cos that's the only thing I can think could be the problem.

NairaMinted00:
To a discerning fella, your tactics of twisting facts, distraction and citing irrelevant matters are well known and to be honest, getting old.

Does it matter from whence the article came: Western news media, Western think-tanks, Washington, the opposition in Russia......planet Mars?

The ridiculousness of this "expert's" analysis and how it serves for giggles is what is this post is all about.....apparently you have failed to see that.

Oh really?, so it is not about the discrediting the regime that won't allow the Hegemon spread its "democracy", "freedom" and "transparency" to this corner of the globe ( your words)

If you are really interested in talking about how ridiculous the analysis is, All you have to do is write a rebuttal to counter his argument instead of the usual " it is a hegemon conspiracy against Russia". You should get on with it

Missy89:
http://www.ecfr.eu/profile/C413

Nikolay Petrov was the chair of the Carnegie Moscow Center’s Society and Regions Programme. Until 2006, he also worked at the Institute of Geography at the Russian Academy of Sciences, where he started to work in 1982. He served as chief organizer of the Analysis and Forecast Division in the Supreme Soviet (1991–1992), adviser and analyst for the Russian Presidential Administration (1994–1995), and a scholar at the Kennan Institute for Advanced Russian Studies (1993–1994) and the International Foundation for Electoral Systems (1994). From 1996 to 2000, Petrov worked at the Carnegie Moscow Center as a senior consultant and scholar-in-residence. Petrov earned his Ph.D. from Moscow State University.

A Russian expert on Russia's domestic policy wrote an article about Russia

Oh no. Lets blame the west for it.

Of course America is at the helms of these article as usual

NairaMinted00:
Guys, I keep getting banned by this darn SPAM bot and the moderators' inaction isn't helping matters. I am wondering if Nairaland isn't Slavic names and Cyrillic characters friendly. Cos that's the only thing I can think could be the problem.

Rule No 9:Don't use Nairaland for Illegal Acts e.g Incitement.

Am sure the Anti-spam bot knows can read the propaganda in your posts,it doesn't welcome your online incitements against the United States

ValerianSteel:
Rule No 9:Don't use Nairaland for Illegal Acts e.g Incitement.

Am sure the Anti-spam bot knows can read the propaganda in your posts,it doesn't welcome your online incitements against the United States

TPAND:
Keep reading what the American government tell you about Russia. That country is strong and doing vibrantly despite all the sanctions meted on her by the EU, US and UN

I have read untold numbers of 'Russia would collapse'' from western writers, since the world began. If only they know that Russia is here to stay till the end of days.

Zoharariel:


Ofcourse! So that Russia could be turned into another failed state like Iraq, Libya & Haiti while her sophisticated & unrivalled military gears are looted & shared among NATO & Israel like they did to the Iraqi museum.



Who doesn't know that all the recent Amerikan propaganda against Russia is geared towards achieving the same purpose - which is kicking out Putin but atleast the Russians are not as dumb & stupid as the Libyans.

As for the posters above me, I think you guys do not know who Nairaminted is. He is a Russian 5star General.

... D; With a Kremlin insigna to his breast!