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What If A U.s.-russian Deal In Syria Goes Exactly As Planned? - Foreign Affairs - Nairaland

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What If A U.s.-russian Deal In Syria Goes Exactly As Planned? by NairaMinted: 12:35pm On Jul 29, 2016
Preface by NairaMinted:

Here is another shill working for your favourite war mongering, arm selling, war profiting think-tank, the Atlantic Council, the same brilliant think-tank which some days ago warned the Poles that big bad, evil Russia would soon invade, making a case for why Al-Qaeda (yes, Al-Qaeda the supposed terror group behind 911 going by the name of Al-Nusra - along with their child beheading affiliates) must be saved from destruction.

American foreign policy at its best. You can't make this sh*t up wink

False Narrative 1. Moderate rebels::

"I have met with these brave fighters, and they are not Al-Qaeda. To the contrary: They are Libyan patriots who want to liberate their nation. We should help them do it."-Senator John McCain in Benghazi, Libya April 22, 2011 - as an Al- Qaeda flag was hoisted over a Benghazi courthouse......

“Of course they are Muslims, but they are moderates. I guarantee you that they are moderates — I know them, and I have been with them.” Senator John McCain, speaking about the rebels in Syria, Washington, September 3, 2013

“Not true, not true! Frankly, I just disagree… There’s about 70 percent still who are Free Syrian Army.” _ Senator John McCain, Washington, September 18, 2013


False Narrative 2. Targets of Russian military campaign is not targeting ISIS:

October 2015: Amerikan State Department spokesman John Kirby said: “Greater than 90 per cent of the strikes that we’ve seen them take to date have not been against Isil [Isis] or al-Qaeda-affiliated terrorists.
“They’ve been largely against opposition groups that want a better future for Syria and don’t want to see the Assad regime stay in power.”


9 Jan 2016:
http://www.ibtimes.com/us-official-says-russian-airstrikes-rarely-target-isis-2257905

Whilst an unnamed senior Amerikan government official lies that over 70% of Russian airstrikes isn't targeting ISIS, this article clearly states that Russia is targeting "rebels" (moderates) in Idlib province. No mention of Al-Qaeda's affiliate Al-Nusra.

The Amerikan government then unequivocally states that the objectives of the Amerikan military campaign and that of the Russians do not align. A narrative mendaciously repeated by bots on here on Nairaland.

All efforts by the Russian Foreign Secretary, Sergei Lavrov; the Russian president, Vladimir Putin and even the Russian PM, Medvedev to fly to Washington and be provided with the a list of vetted "rebels" fall on deaf ears.


The Reality on Ground Today:


Fast forward to July 2016 and in the wake of an impending defeat of Amerika's proxies, Al-Nusra in the Aleppo province, the Amerikan Sekretary of State, John Kerry has shamelessly visited Moscow a couple of times pleading with the Russians to share intelligence & conduct a joint strike of Al-Nusra and ISIS.


Al-Nusra over the past couple of days, in a bid to avoid being bombed under this hopeful joint strike group that Amerika is desperately pushing for, has........you guessed it...... changed it's name and rebranded. wink
http://thesaker.is/syrian-war-report-july-27-2016-al-nusra-rebranding/

Wait till the 1:30 mark where you watch as Jabhat Al-Nusra transitions into Jabhat Fateh Al Sham on the very same day that John Kerry announces this joint strike group. Perfect timing! wink


Today, so much for "Russia's fake campaign". Bottomline is that Russia has been targeting Amerika's terror proxies who are the actual formidable fighting force that exist in Syria. They are no formidable moderates in Syria.


End of preface.


Zoharariel, Appleyard, Scully95


[size=18pt]WHAT IF A U.S.-RUSSIAN DEAL IN SYRIA GOES EXACTLY AS PLANNED?[/size]
FAYSAL ITANI
JULY 27, 2016

Syrian-Rebel-Firing

Most critics of the White House’s proposed U.S.-Russian cooperative arrangement against terrorists in Syria, the terms of which were recently leaked, have focused on what could go wrong. Russia may simply violate the terms of any agreement reached thereby undermining the mission, embarrassing the United States, and hurting its local partners. I am far more troubled, however, by what would happen if the agreement goes as planned. A successful Joint Implementation Group (JIG) would likely weaken or eliminate a strong component of the insurgency without compensating for the lost capacity, further tilting the military balance in the regime’s favor. Unless the United States can prevent that, the JIG would make a lasting negotiated settlement in Syria more difficult than it already is, setting the stage for open-ended civil war and further radicalization.

The JIG’s terms do not overwhelmingly favor Russia, at least not on paper. They place constraints on its military action in Syria in return for intelligence sharing and possible direct operational cooperation against Jabhat al-Nusra, al-Qaeda’s Syrian affiliate. Russia would also refrain from targeting jointly designated (and presumably opposition-controlled) areas. Russia would compel the regime to ground its air force across much of Syria. Indeed, Russia might find the JIG’s terms too onerous. It can after all continue its own unrestrained war on al-Nusra and the broader insurgency alike without U.S. cooperation.

If Russia does accept the JIG proposal, it could later derail it through cheating. It could simply violate the terms, especially over target designation and rules of engagement. The document does not mention any penalties for violations, but there appear to be none. Russia may fail (or fail to try) to prevent regime aircraft from operating over “safe” areas, just as it has failed to stop the regime from violating the Cessation of Hostilities, which broke down after a few weeks. Of course, there is little goodwill between the United States and Russia over Syria anyway, meaning intelligence sharing is inherently problematic.

In theory however the JIG could unfold exactly as planned: Russia and the United States would jointly weaken al-Nusra as a serious strategic threat to the regimeRussia would limit its attacks to designated targets and areas. And regime aircraft would be grounded across much of Syria. That would save innocents from regime aerial bombardment — a worthy goal in itself. Strategically, however, the JIG should be judged by the extent that it serves key U.S. policy goals in Syria: fighting extremism and enabling a negotiated settlement to the civil war. Weakening al-Nusra will bring some temporary satisfaction, but under the current military balance it would destroy any chance of a political settlement to the civil war. It also has the potential to further radicalize Syrians fighting the regime who would be rid of al-Nusra, but then find themselves even less prepared to resist regime violence and negotiate a lasting peace.

Like any U.S. policy in Syria, the JIG can succeed only to the extent that it accounts for the main context: the civil war. Both al-Nusra and the civilian suffering that the JIG seeks to mitigate are products of this war. Since Russia intervened against the opposition in October 2015, the military balance has increasingly favored the regime, which has made and continues to make important progress against the rebels. The highly strategic province of Idlib (where al-Nusra is strongest) is the insurgency’s most critical remaining stronghold and a staging point for major operations. Here, al-Nusra fights alongside other Islamist and nationalist brigades, but it is likely the single most capable fighting force in that coalition.

The JIG would break al-Nusra as a conventional fighting force, with two important effects. First, all else being equal, without al-Nusra the opposition will lose Idlib and, with it, its position in northern Syria. The insurgency would no longer pose a strategic threat to the regime, eliminating any incentive for the latter to negotiate a meaningful political settlement with the opposition. Indeed, the regime would be well-placed to crush the remaining insurgent groups as well, including U.S.-backed fighters. A successful JIG would prevent a negotiated settlement by eliminating much of al-Nusra’s capability without replacing or compensating for the insurgency’s lost capacity. This would either prolong the war or facilitate regime progress, killing and radicalizing more Syrians.

Second, anti-regime Syrians will see the JIG as a joint U.S.-Russian war on the insurgency writ large. Unlike the Islamic State for example, al-Nusra has built considerable local Syrian acceptance, including among major insurgent groups. It is reportedly considering disassociating itself from al-Qaeda to further bind itself with other Syrian insurgent groups. It will be increasingly difficult to target al-Nusra without harming civilians and other opposition fighters. Even if the United States and Russia do so with relative success, Syrians fighting Assad know the end-results will be a weakened insurgency, an intact regime, and a legitimized Russian role in Syria. Just as predictably, this will further radicalize both insurgents and civilians in targeted areas, especially as the JIG permits regime artillery and rocket strikes on opposition territory where the United States and Russia will also be targeting.

Those wanting to fight extremists and end the Syrian war must concede that any counter-Nusra plan should not strengthen the regime, whose military confidence remains the main driver of radicalization and obstacle to a negotiated settlement. An isolated military effort against al-Nusra would greatly improve Assad’s military position. Al-Nusra should be destroyed of course, but the JIG as currently conceived would very likely sabotage broader U.S. counterterrorism and strategic interests in Syria. An anti-Nusra effort should instead be paired with direct and proxy military pressure on the regime to prevent its capitalizing on a post-Nusra opposition’s weakness. This could include increased qualitative military support to vetted insurgents and a U.S. commitment to punishing any regime targeting of civilians. There are other means, but the aim is to make the military option unpalatable to the regime. Al-Nusra should not be targeted at the price of condemning Syria to endless war and terrorism. If unaccompanied by robust U.S. measures to protect a weakening insurgency and contain an emboldened regime, the JIG will probably destroy the Syrian opposition, rule out any negotiated settlement, and replace one set of radicals with another.



Faysal Itani is a resident senior fellow with the Atlantic Council’s Rafik Hariri Center for the Middle East, where he focuses primarily on the Syrian conflict and its regional impact. Itani was born and grew up in Beirut, Lebanon. He has repeatedly briefed the United States government and its allies on the conflict in Syria and its effects on their interests.

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Re: What If A U.s.-russian Deal In Syria Goes Exactly As Planned? by Ekugbeh(m): 1:40pm On Jul 29, 2016
Two dogs fighting for superiority over a bony bone. US can b so decisive o.....
Re: What If A U.s.-russian Deal In Syria Goes Exactly As Planned? by Appleyard(m): 4:12pm On Jul 29, 2016
Interesting. The US endgame in Syria was to remove Assad and to carve out a Kurdistan from thence, together with certain territories of Turkey and parts of Iraq. This is also one of the reasons Erdogan is changing tables, but as for the US, with Russia on ground, the plan to topple Assad is now almost impossible, if not totally a failure. Therefore, the need to switch to plan B become the more necessary. The US planned coordination is a false one, but a right move that would keep the second option alive, in the sense that, by supporting the Kurds while working with the Russians who have also supported the Kurds against ISIS, the Yankees would still have a foothold on its plans to Balkanize Syria, if the plot to overthrow Assad fails completely. The Kurds declaration of autonomy last year is a clear signal of this reality. A balkanized Syria would completely weaken the Assad regime and would also put a dent on the Russian overt interference. Thus, it would be interesting to see the terms and conditions upon which the proposed coordination is to be based, such as, contact and non contact zones, the position of regime forces as it relate to the planned coordination, the varied interest of Israel and Turkey, etc; all these will go along way to determined the make or mar outcome of the said coordination.
Honestly, I just don't see how this proposed coordination is going to work because at a point, the regime forces will definitely strike at the US backed groups which, as a matter of fact, must definitely advance under the guise of fighting IS, and for which the US might be forced to defend when attacked, by counter strikes. Should this happened, it will then put Russia in a very awkward position to strike back as a counter measure to defend the regime, which has been its primary task since stepping into the conflict last year. The possibility that Russia and the US could come to that point of shooting each other, is very real.If anyone think this scenario isn't possible, just remember it has already happened not quite long when Russian air forces bombarded a US support base, upon claims that it has been used to launch attacks against regime forces. Believe me, the Syria situation is far from over, and I would be very surprise if such coordination records major success.

Till then, I'm keeping my fingers crossed.

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Re: What If A U.s.-russian Deal In Syria Goes Exactly As Planned? by Nobody: 6:24pm On Jul 29, 2016
Lavrov has described as "laughable" the offer by the US for a joint operation in Syria. According to Lavrov, the US 'proposed to hold joint operations with Russia on the condition that Russia agrees to let Assad go'. The Kremlin may and may not hold joints operations with US in Syria but Russia will not allow anyone to tope Assad. Russia however, wishes to cooperate with the US in 'other fields to ensure global stability'.

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Re: What If A U.s.-russian Deal In Syria Goes Exactly As Planned? by scully95: 11:13am On Jul 31, 2016
The game is up in Aleppo, next on the line now is raqqa.. If there is one thing I love about Russia military advisers, it's how they know how to encircle the threat and arrest it.. But the very less educated people I would say thinks they can actually encircle the king of encirclement with NATO crazy basses and not get a total failure.

The level of professionalism in this recent Aleppo is of high standards compared to anything I have seen in a war front. meanwhile when you compared it to the Syrian manbij, the u.s zoo very uneducated decided to kill over 45 civilians claiming to be high value target.

it's time for Assad to declare a no flight zone in Syria while Russia and Syria enforce it. this i think he has started by firstly sending letter to u.s condemning the killing of Syrians, civilians in manbij.

just compare it to Aleppo where the Russia/syria created a corridor for their rebels to escape. super high level of humanity and profesionalism.

omg the difference is huge, too much....

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Re: What If A U.s.-russian Deal In Syria Goes Exactly As Planned? by NairaMinted: 12:05pm On Jul 31, 2016
scully95:
The game is up in Aleppo, next on the line now is raqqa.. If there is one thing I love about Russia military advisers, it's how they know how to encircle the threat and arrest it.. But the very less educated people I would say thinks they can actually encircle the king of encirclement with NATO crazy basses and not get a total failure.

The level of professionalism in this recent Aleppo is of high standards compared to anything I have seen in a war front. meanwhile when you compared it to the Syrian manbij, the u.s zoo very uneducated decided to kill over 45 civilians claiming to be high value target.

it's time for Assad to declare a no flight zone in Syria while Russia and Syria enforce it. this i think he has started by firstly sending letter to u.s condemning the killing of Syrians, civilians in manbij.

just compare it to Aleppo where the Russia/syria created a corridor for their rebels to escape. super high level of humanity and profesionalism.

omg the difference is huge, too much....

Amerika is leading the Raqqa charge. I am thinking this is a step towards the much harped Syria partitioning.

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Re: What If A U.s.-russian Deal In Syria Goes Exactly As Planned? by NairaMinted: 4:30pm On Jul 31, 2016
Lol!

Re: What If A U.s.-russian Deal In Syria Goes Exactly As Planned? by Underground: 11:04pm On Jul 31, 2016
Is anyone following the developments around the Incirlik base in Turkey?

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Re: What If A U.s.-russian Deal In Syria Goes Exactly As Planned? by Appleyard(m): 1:50pm On Aug 01, 2016
Underground:
Is anyone following the developments around the Incirlik base in Turkey?
What's happening over there?
Re: What If A U.s.-russian Deal In Syria Goes Exactly As Planned? by NairaMinted: 6:01pm On Aug 01, 2016
Appleyard:

What's happening over there?

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Re: What If A U.s.-russian Deal In Syria Goes Exactly As Planned? by Underground: 7:23pm On Aug 01, 2016
Two days ago. Putin as always:


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VdypP11X2P8

Jul 29, 2016 President Putin asks the US Ambassador for his analysis on whether or not the Missile Defense System, being positioned on Russia’s doorstep, is in fact a threat to Russian security? His answer attempted to dispel the argument, but came out even more disturbing. According to the US Ambassador, America needs war to create jobs. Putin, amused, asks – “Why can’t you create jobs in a sphere that does’t threaten the existence of the human race?” In my previous video, which has since gone viral, Putin explains how a “defense” system is actually one element of a whole system of “offense” weaponry.

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Re: What If A U.s.-russian Deal In Syria Goes Exactly As Planned? by Appleyard(m): 10:58pm On Aug 01, 2016
[quote author=NairaMinted post=48094080][/quote]
Wonders shall never end...
Re: What If A U.s.-russian Deal In Syria Goes Exactly As Planned? by Underground: 12:34pm On Aug 12, 2016
Thoughts? Appleyard, NairaMinted, Scully95, Zoharariel

"As I understand it, Erdogan’s aircraft was being followed by two or three Turkish rebel aircraft intent on shooting him out of the sky.

The reason they did not is that they were not only locked on to by S400 radar at Heymim airbase, but also were themselves being closely followed by armed Russian planes who politely informed their partners (Turkish rebel pilots), that if they made any attempt to shoot down Erdogan they themselves would be destroyed by the Russians.

This element of the attempted coup has not been reported in the West for obvious reasons. It is indicative, however, just how closely Russia was not only following events but also how they influenced the outcome to the detriment of the coup planners.

Taking this in to account, and considering the FSB face to face meeting with Erdogan just prior to the coup where the lists of traitors were supplied, and upon which he is now acting, I am inevitably drawn to the conclusion that Russian military intelligence today knows the exact numbers and locations of these bombs.

More than likely they are still in situ. I don’t think helicopters were used to move them but rather helicopters were much more likely carrying fleeing CIA terrorists and their traitorous Turkish colleagues to safe zones.

Nukes in Turkey and Pakistan and (possibly) Saudi Arabia as well as Isreal make for a lethal powder keg of disaster. No wonder Russia has drawn the Paks toward their trading block. Israel and the Saudis can read the writing on the wall…Clinton is even less trustworthy than Obama thus a change of allegiance to Russia is the only viable long term option.

With the collapse of the Muslem tummy in the US surrounding of Russia and China that leaves only NATO in Europe, South Korea and Japan.

The US world hegemony is unravelling before our eyes and short of all out war there is nothing the US can do to prevent it.

Syria was not a line in the sand. It was the fulcrum point on which the US hegemony destroyed itself. And Putin was the clever politician that saw in this something more. He turned what appeared to the Pentagon to be only a dubious tactic into a decisive strategem.

As the old English saying goes, ‘give him enough rope and he’ll hang himself’! In other words, be patient, let the arrogant US do what it wants without let or hindrance, and sure enough ultimately it will hang itself by its own stupidity.

The US has just publically hung itself across the entire Moslem world for all to see, and there is no turning back. Rothchild’s CIA has stretched its own neck with its own rope. QED.

The nukes are well watched and most probably have been lost to the Russians forever."

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Re: What If A U.s.-russian Deal In Syria Goes Exactly As Planned? by romme2u: 2:01am On Aug 13, 2016
oil and water do not mix no matter how long they stay together.

both have different goals in Syria therefore planning a joint strike is a delay tactics by one of them to have enough time to fool the other and gain advantage with time.

i believe it is a plan by the US to delay the Russians from bombing their moderates thereby giving the latter enough time to gather resources and prepare for another round of offensives/defensives.

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Re: What If A U.s.-russian Deal In Syria Goes Exactly As Planned? by Appleyard(m): 10:15am On Aug 13, 2016
Underground:
Thoughts? Appleyard, NairaMinted, Scully95, Zoharariel

"As I understand it, Erdogan’s aircraft was being followed by two or three Turkish rebel aircraft intent on shooting him out of the sky.

The reason they did not is that they were not only locked on to by S400 radar at Heymim airbase, but also were themselves being closely followed by armed Russian planes who politely informed their partners (Turkish rebel pilots), that if they made any attempt to shoot down Erdogan they themselves would be destroyed by the Russians.

This element of the attempted coup has not been reported in the West for obvious reasons. It is indicative, however, just how closely Russia was not only following events but also how they influenced the outcome to the detriment of the coup planners.

Taking this in to account, and considering the FSB face to face meeting with Erdogan just prior to the coup where the lists of traitors were supplied, and upon which he is now acting, I am inevitably drawn to the conclusion that Russian military intelligence today knows the exact numbers and locations of these bombs.

More than likely they are still in situ. I don’t think helicopters were used to move them but rather helicopters were much more likely carrying fleeing CIA terrorists and their traitorous Turkish colleagues to safe zones.

Nukes in Turkey and Pakistan and (possibly) Saudi Arabia as well as Isreal make for a lethal powder keg of disaster. No wonder Russia has drawn the Paks toward their trading block. Israel and the Saudis can read the writing on the wall…Clinton is even less trustworthy than Obama thus a change of allegiance to Russia is the only viable long term option.

With the collapse of the Muslem tummy in the US surrounding of Russia and China that leaves only NATO in Europe, South Korea and Japan.

The US world hegemony is unravelling before our eyes and short of all out war there is nothing the US can do to prevent it.

Syria was not a line in the sand. It was the fulcrum point on which the US hegemony destroyed itself. And Putin was the clever politician that saw in this something more. He turned what appeared to the Pentagon to be only a dubious tactic into a decisive strategem.

As the old English saying goes, ‘give him enough rope and he’ll hang himself’! In other words, be patient, let the arrogant US do what it wants without let or hindrance, and sure enough ultimately it will hang itself by its own stupidity.

The US has just publically hung itself across the entire Moslem world for all to see, and there is no turning back. Rothchild’s CIA has stretched its own neck with its own rope. QED.

The nukes are well watched and most probably have been lost to the Russians forever."

There is no denying the fact that foreign intelligences knew about the botched coup, and from the look of things and body languages that follows its aftermath, one can conclude that while some or one of such intelligence body worked in favour of the attempted coup, the other worked against it. This much is very apparent when you consider actions of Turkey immediately after the coup. Turkey immediately called Russia "a friend," which signifies that the Russian intelligence must have helped in thwarting the coup, even though Erdogan denies that he didn't receive any help from any foreign intelligence, but his next comments during the Russian meeting further fuels the claims that FSB must have helped him during the attempted coup, when he said that, "if I make a call for help, I will always find a helper in Russia." That statement alone clarifies the fact that Erdogan was tipped off by the Russians, and so is very possible that S-400 triumph (which actually covered the whole of those area) and Russians tailing behind, must have been the reason why the F16s couldn't take out the presidential jet from the sky. There is simply no other plausible explanation for it.

Again, the lockdown of the Incirlik airbase with such huge security force and armaments, further lend credence to the increasingly obvious fact that a section of the US CIA was behind the coup, either with full or partial collabo from Washington, or that Washington wasn't even at all briefed on the attempted coup. This is very possible because this days, its becoming harder to tell who is in charge of American foreign policy. Whether its Bush era CIA or the other CIA plus Israeli lobby buggy man group, we can't tell anymore. Right now, trying to understand and comprehend the centrality of America's foreign policy, is one hell of an enigma, with State Department saying and doing one thing, while the factionalized CIA is doing another: a complete mystified paradoxical irony of stated objectives.

And now that Turkey is talking of striking defence arrangement with Russia, that will also include missile defence components, while also pushing forward the idea of a trilateral economic and security triangle that will involve Turkey, Russia and Azerbaijan, as a counter to its growing mistrust of and perceived mistreatment by NATO/the EU, is raising eyebrows in the western hemisphere, and has further laid bare the folly and archaic policy of the US in backstabbing and always seeking to overthrow any nation that deviate from its puppeteering course of action. Thus, the rumours making the mills about the tactical nukes, could be anything to go by, not that they would be of much use to Turkey in any significant sense, since they don't have the launch codes either.

However, one thing is gradually unravelling , and it is that, American foreign policy to the Mideast is crumbling before our very eyes. The only regret is that its going to be at the expense of much blood and chaos.

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Re: What If A U.s.-russian Deal In Syria Goes Exactly As Planned? by Missy89(f): 10:25am On Aug 13, 2016
Appleyard:


There is no denying the fact that foreign intelligences knew about the botched coup, and from the look of things and body languages that follows its aftermath, one can conclude that while some or one of such intelligence body worked in favour of the attempted coup, the other worked against it. This much is very apparent when you consider actions of Turkey immediately after the coup. Turkey immediately called Russia "a friend," which signifies that the Russian intelligence must have helped in thwarting the coup, even though Erdogan denies that he didn't receive any help from any foreign intelligence, but his next comments during the Russian meeting further fuels the claims that FSB must have helped him during the attempted coup, when he said that, "if I make a call for help, I will always find a helper in Russia." That statement alone clarifies the fact that Erdogan was tipped off by the Russians, and so is very possible that S-400 triumph (which actually covered the whole of those area) and Russians tailing behind, must have been the reason why the F16s couldn't take out the presidential jet from the sky. There is simply no other plausible explanation for it.

Again, the lockdown of the Incirlik airbase with such huge security force and armaments, further lend credence to the increasingly obvious fact that a section of the US CIA was behind the coup, either with full or partial collabo from Washington, or that Washington wasn't even at all briefed on the attempted coup. This is very possible because this days, its becoming harder to tell who is in charge of American foreign policy. Whether its Bush era CIA or the other CIA plus Israeli lobby buggy man group, we can't tell anymore. Right now, trying to understand and comprehend the centrality of America's foreign policy, is one hell of an enigma, with State Department saying and doing one thing, while the factionalized CIA is doing another: a complete mystified paradoxical irony of stated objectives.

And now that Turkey is talking of striking defence arrangement with Russia, that will also include missile defence components, while also pushing forward the idea of a trilateral economic and security triangle that will involve Turkey, Russia and Azerbaijan, as a counter to its growing mistrust of and perceived mistreatment by NATO/the EU, is raising eyebrows in the western hemisphere, and has further laid bare the folly and archaic policy of the US in backstabbing and always seeking to overthrow any nation that deviate from its puppeteering course of action. Thus, the rumours making the mills about the tactical nukes, could be anything to go by, not that they would be of much use to Turkey in any significant sense, since they don't have the launch codes either.

However, one thing is gradually unravelling , and it is that, American foreign policy to the Mideast is crumbling before our very eyes. The only regret is that its going to be at the expense of much blood and chaos.

The problem with most anti America, Putin friendly hacks on NL is that they are simply incapable of grasping that there can be any evil in the world not directly hatched by Washington. This is a very clueless position you guys start every argument with.
Re: What If A U.s.-russian Deal In Syria Goes Exactly As Planned? by Appleyard(m): 10:54am On Aug 13, 2016
Missy89:


The problem with most anti America, Putin friendly hacks on NL is that they are simply incapable of grasping that there can be any evil in the world not directly hatched by Washington. This is a very clueless position you guys start every argument with.


Nobody is incapable of grasping anything. Its your lots you have stubbornly refused to see beyond the fleece of jingoism, imbedded with the chronic syndrome of "America can never do wrong," that is the real problem here. As long as oil, pipelines and wars are involved, America will always get pulled in. Face the facts and quit living in delusion.

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Re: What If A U.s.-russian Deal In Syria Goes Exactly As Planned? by Missy89(f): 11:19am On Aug 13, 2016
Appleyard:


Nobody is incapable of grasping anything. Its your lots you have stubbornly refused to see beyond the fleece of jingoism, imbedded with the chronic syndrome of "America can never do wrong," that is the real problem here. As long as oil, pipelines and wars are involved, America will always get pulled in. Face the facts and quit living in delusion.


How many oil and pipelines did America takeover in Korea and Vietnam and Iraq? How much Oil import does America get from the middle east? Do you know?
Re: What If A U.s.-russian Deal In Syria Goes Exactly As Planned? by NairaMinted: 11:34am On Aug 13, 2016
Appleyard:


There is no denying the fact that foreign intelligences knew about the botched coup, and from the look of things and body languages that follows its aftermath, one can conclude that while some or one of such intelligence body worked in favour of the attempted coup, the other worked against it. This much is very apparent when you consider actions of Turkey immediately after the coup. Turkey immediately called Russia "a friend," which signifies that the Russian intelligence must have helped in thwarting the coup, even though Erdogan denies that he didn't receive any help from any foreign intelligence, but his next comments during the Russian meeting further fuels the claims that FSB must have helped him during the attempted coup, when he said that, "if I make a call for help, I will always find a helper in Russia." That statement alone clarifies the fact that Erdogan was tipped off by the Russians, and so is very possible that S-400 triumph (which actually covered the whole of those area) and Russians tailing behind, must have been the reason why the F16s couldn't take out the presidential jet from the sky. There is simply no other plausible explanation for it.

Again, the lockdown of the Incirlik airbase with such huge security force and armaments, further lend credence to the increasingly obvious fact that a section of the US CIA was behind the coup, either with full or partial collabo from Washington, or that Washington wasn't even at all briefed on the attempted coup. This is very possible because this days, its becoming harder to tell who is in charge of American foreign policy. Whether its Bush era CIA or the other CIA plus Israeli lobby buggy man group, we can't tell anymore. Right now, trying to understand and comprehend the centrality of America's foreign policy, is one hell of an enigma, with State Department saying and doing one thing, while the factionalized CIA is doing another: a complete mystified paradoxical irony of stated objectives.

And now that Turkey is talking of striking defence arrangement with Russia, that will also include missile defence components, while also pushing forward the idea of a trilateral economic and security triangle that will involve Turkey, Russia and Azerbaijan, as a counter to its growing mistrust of and perceived mistreatment by NATO/the EU, is raising eyebrows in the western hemisphere, and has further laid bare the folly and archaic policy of the US in backstabbing and always seeking to overthrow any nation that deviate from its puppeteering course of action. Thus, the rumours making the mills about the tactical nukes, could be anything to go by, not that they would be of much use to Turkey in any significant sense, since they don't have the launch codes either.

However, one thing is gradually unravelling , and it is that, American foreign policy to the Mideast is crumbling before our very eyes. The only regret is that its going to be at the expense of much blood and chaos.

I couldn't have said it any better. The body language and statements post coup and the delayed statements of condemnation of the coup from the West says a lot.

I also hear that that story of Erdogan seeking asylum in Germany whilst the coup was unfolding was hatched by a Western paper to lend more credence to the illusion that the coup was succeeding.

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Re: What If A U.s.-russian Deal In Syria Goes Exactly As Planned? by Appleyard(m): 3:29pm On Aug 13, 2016
Missy89:



How many oil and pipelines did America takeover in Korea and Vietnam and Iraq? How much Oil import does America get from the middle east? Do you know?


My oh My! Take a gaddamn seat in front of ya computer, lady, and do some fact check. Why was Bush hell bent on killing Saddam, why did America engaged in Libya, and now Syria? And why did the Hillary Clinton-led State Dept fails to designate Boko Haram as a terrorist organization? And When you have discovered why war is a profitable and money spinning business, and why Uncle Sam is always flapping fans of war like an elephant, then you can come back and let's talk.

Meanwhile, you should be prepared to answer why Turkey locked down the Incirlik airbase, and why is Erdogan shifting goal post so suddenly... You know I always like your ideas on these type of issues... cool

Good luck......

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Re: What If A U.s.-russian Deal In Syria Goes Exactly As Planned? by Appleyard(m): 3:50pm On Aug 13, 2016
NairaMinted:


I couldn't have said it any better. The body language and statements post coup and the delayed statements of condemnation of the coup from the West says a lot.

I also hear that that story of Erdogan seeking asylum in Germany whilst the coup was unfolding was hatched by a Western paper to lend more credence to the illusion that the coup was succeeding.

Though Erdogan is a crazy fellow in many arreas, the truth remains that some key players in the west wanted him out, and the US is a prime suspect in this kind of arrangement. The body language and rhetorics from Turkey and from the west, like you mentioned, suggest the obvious. Anyone they can't control, they seek to overthrow. Its an old but working strategy of the US.

Not withstanding, Erdogan can hardly be trusted. The only ground of mutualism playing well for both parties at the moments, is the grudnorm that, "the enemy of my enemy is my friend".

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