alexistaiwo:
Better stay your lane

alexistaiwo:


B946STAAZZWAZC-1914510

Last week vex game.
12 games.
I no know how Judas Iscariot sneaked inside the ticket.

officialfestus:
done

SmilingMary:
LiveBet

IamJix:

Else?

Oloruntobi4382:
where is that mumu Emeka boy that posted that 10 million naira ticket? you be complete learner. imagine the first two games cutting the my ticket. shior.

bbeautylik:
Someone should please give me a sure bet..... Since morning I don't know what to bet

bbeautylik:
Someone should please give me a sure bet..... Since morning I don't know what to bet

Oloruntobi4382:
where is that mumu Emeka boy that posted that 10 million naira ticket? you be complete learner. imagine the first two games cutting the my ticket. shior.

Hunry:


Very correct if not me, bigmex, ositadima1 for don be multi millionaires.

meshpips, punting na pure luck.

who remembers soluution, with all him analysis and 100% assurance. the 1st game crashed and d dude disappeared into d forest of abyss never to be seen again. LOL

even Felixbest with his 'never at a loss' strategy, d guy chop 5 straight losses.
him don abandon him thread since.

I no fit laff jare...

D fact remains, do some research then hope for luck.

Chiefheywhy:


You sef want to win 10million. Game cut finish, you no want make we hear word.

Oga mourn your ticket in peace. You think it's easy to forecast green games. Stay there.

bbeautylik:
Someone should please give me a sure bet... Please I don't know what to bet surebet nor dey for gamble oon

Oloruntobi4382:
egbon, Go siddon one side jor. to win 10 milla no be crime

Chiefheywhy:


Who come talk say na crime?

You know what? Why not forecast your own 10million game and post here, let's all play.

Since you think it's easy to win!

Oloruntobi4382:
egbon, Go siddon one side jor. to win 10 milla no be crime

ositadima1:


Bro, football is not only luck, football is mathematics, at the heart of the game is value betting, being able to estimate probabilities better than the bookie. It doesnt matter how you do your estimations, some people use complex statistical approach others use their knowledge of the game. Bookies offer million of markets, they are not God, they are humans like us, they dont always get the probs correctly. What you need is to be slightly better in your market of expertise and you start making money. Like I have said before, its is not about winning all your games, it is about playing games that you have an edge in consistently, 30% win rate can be very profitable sef.

I am not really passionate about football, but people in my office always disturb my piece with premiership jists, lol. My passion is in modeling the game, though I am still learning programming, excel VBA, R, data base, scrapping, big data.

For now I use forebet for my stats, their are leagues where they have shown value, so i follow these leagues with some other constraint until i acquire the statistical ability to calculate my probs. The way i select picks?

I dont give a rat shi.t if a team is a favorite or underdog as long as the probs offered by forebet (for my choosen leagues) are better than the implied probs offered by bet9ja. If their is value, I play if not I dont.

Attached bellow(.png as well as excel) is one of my models (actually semi-model as I got probs from forebet). In the model i followed a unit stake plan as i testing, out of 62 games i have made a return of 41.7 units, that is 67% yield.

You can see that each day turned out profits, except for one. Red barchart shows number of games played that day while blue shows profits or losses made.

SmilingMary:


P546P
1xbet

Oloruntobi4382:
mr man, face front. i no fit forecast 10 million but if anybody posts a 10 million ticket, i will surely play it. i no wan hear say opportunity pass me by.

certifiedvik:


wat r u saying sef