yomi96:
well said. but just so u know there are some flaws in your analysis with you allotting 70% to North west. KADUNA is already 50 50. Kano has kwankwaso and shekarau which is also an advantage. with lamido as a force in jigawa and tambawal in pdp. it's not going to be a landslide victory but Buhari will be sent parking.
Forget the noise BMC are making

yomi96:
well said. but just so u know there are some flaws in your analysis with you allotting 70% to North west. KADUNA is already 50 50. Kano has kwankwaso and shekarau which is also an advantage. with lamido as a force in jigawa and tambawal in pdp. it's not going to be a landslide victory but Buhari will be sent parking.
Forget the noise BMC are making

abc115:

Day dreaming...PMB will take 90% of votes in NW

SamuelAnyawu:
Even as an Igbo dude here in the Northeast .. Oga i have not seen a PDP poster for any elective position anywhere in Borno State.


In the Next Presidential election sincerely PDP will not score up to 10% here.

Do not stay in your state to run a country political analysis...


PDP For Imo state 2019.
SamDaddy

jumper524:
remove 10% from pdp in southwest and add to APC.
remove another 15% from pdp in Northwest and also add APC.
as for middlebelt im sure your capitalising on fulani killings but trust me your wrong..
the killings increased in buhari era no doubt but the APC has provided lasting solutions including the communal/tribal crisis in jos which the media is politicising e.g premiumtimes.
the people there knows where the solution to thier problems lies..
am telling you give APC 80% in that region..

Beress:

My friend you can not be marketing your albino Samuel Anyanwu in your state and demarketing PDP at the center... You are simply causing more political harm to the young man

senatordave1:

Thats objectivity and honesty.buhari will get 80% of northwest.kwankwaso cannot get up to 1 mililion votes in kano.ganduje will infate the votes and pdp will only protest.buhari will get 75% in north east.its only taraba that he will lose marginally,he has always won gombe.states like bauchi,yobe and borno love buhari more than kano-katsina.north central is 50 50.whoever wins will be marginally.buhari will get 60% in south west,pdp is almost dead in that zone.

Buhari and apc has penettated the ss/se especially the former.pdp will win south south by 65%.apc has also penetrated south east.apga are fielding a candidate which will reduce pdo votes plus ipob might declare a sit at home.pdp will get 50%,apga 30,apc 20.this is more realistic

Beress:

My friend you can not be marketing your aleybino Samuel Anyanwu in your state and demarketing PDP at the center... You are simply causing more political harm to the young man

Jombojombo:
Good day dear nairalanders...

Now that is about five months to next years general election, anyone who wants to be realistic will agree with me that the winner of that election will surely be either APC or PDP. That is just the simple truth!

Looking at the latest political development in the land and on the expectation of more political development, I have projected the following to be the voting pattern of the six geopolitical zones come 2019.

NB: This is purely my humble opinion based on my study of the current political situation.

Constructive contrary opinions are welcome

South East
APC = 10%
PDP = 85%
Others = 5%

South South
APC = 25%
PDP = 70%
Others = 5%

South West
APC = 50%
PDP = 40%
Others = 10%

North Central
APC = 40%
PDP = 55%
Others = 5%

North East
APC = 50%
PDP = 45%
Others = 5%

North West
APC = 70%
PDP = 25%
Others = 5%

gasparpisciotta:
I respect op for his submission, but remember that the choice of candidate matters when electorates are deciding whom to vote for. If PDP can manage the egos of Kwankwaso and Atiku to concede to whoever wins then I will support your submission, but based on the antecedents of these two politicians, with no one to preach to their conscience if none is nominated by PDP then you can trust them to work against whoever emerges as PDP candidate which may affect the outcome of that election.

Beress:

My friend you can not be marketing your albino Samuel Anyanwu in your state and demarketing PDP at the center... You are simply causing more political harm to the young man

I support Samdaddy does not necessarily mean i should not speak the truth. Happy Sunday Bro

abc115:


Day dreaming...PMB will take 90% of votes in NW

ORIENTATION101:
it will be easier for apc to get 40% in south south region than pdp get 20% of votes in north east.

this people doing analysis seems to forget that the only major southerner contesting in election is osibanjo.
pdp will never get 70 percent of votes in south south again except you guys re still using Gej influence in last election as a yardstick in 2019.

northwest vote cannot be altered because the region is the incumbency expecting pdp to get 25% vote in north west is same as excepting apc to get 25% in south south region when their son was the incumbent.

pdp got 40% in south west when they had governors in ekiti and ondo couple with the fact that the party is the incumbent.south west apc is expecting power after buhari so they will be ruthless in rigging that's why they position all the govs as apc to be much easier.
a geopolitical zone expecting presidency like southwest with the 2ND highest voters in Nigeria.
will award buhari more than 70% votes.

SamuelAnyawu:
Even as an Igbo dude here in the Northeast .. Oga i have not seen a PDP poster for any elective position anywhere in Borno State.


In the Next Presidential election sincerely PDP will not score up to 10% here.

Do not stay in your state to run a country political analysis...


PDP For Imo state 2019.
SamDaddy