Overrated Political Clout, A 'Major In The Minor'... Five Reasons Saraki Won't Get PDP's Presidential Ticket



Saraki’s political spread of influence is strongest in Kwara State, which happens to be in the North Central geopolitical zone. The voting strength of Kwara is 1,115,665 — greater only than that of Niger that has 721,478 in the geopolitical zone. The total number of registered voters in the zone is7,675,369.

These are paltry figures compared to the 2,931,668 of Katsina the sitting president’s State and the 18,900,543 total number of registered voters in the Northwest where Katsina belongs. Safe to say, then, that Saraki is a ‘major in the minor and a minor in the major’. As things stand, to field Saraki against Buhari is to commit political hara-kiri. This the PDP leaders surely understand.

At a public dialogue in Abuja organised by #NotTooYoungToRun movement on Thursday, Senate President Bukola Saraki formally announced his intention to run for the President in 2019 on the platform of Peoples Democratic Party (PDP).

By this announcement, he put paid to the speculations about his political ambition and perhaps made known the reason for his recent peripatetic “consultations” across the country. But it is unlikely he will win the PDP presidential ticket much less succeed Muhammadu Buhari in May 2019, and here are a few reasons why.


1) SARAKI MORE FEARED THAN LOVED

Believe it or not, any man whose residence a siege is laid to, regardless of the motive, is considered a threat. And whatever we fear we are always wary of, if not seek a means to destroy.

Though the siege happened to Saraki in the twilight of his membership in the APC, it’s an event that speaks volumes of how power-brokers across the spectrum of political parties perceive him. The PDP only condemned the Nigeria Police’s move to spite the APC-led Federal Government and gain political mileage.

The political heavyweights in the PDP do not see Saraki in any way better than the ruling party sees him. The reaction of Akogun Iyiola Oyedepo, former PDP state chairman in Kwara, to Saraki’s return to the PDP is a reflection of how most PDP bigwigs see the Senate President.

Iyiola said he could not work with Saraki and therefore defected to the APC. Other political bigwigs have refused to voice their feelings because in politics, there is safety in numbers and Saraki is a cult figure, especially in Kwara state, with massive following.

So they welcomed him with bear hug. The decision makers in the PDP just want to use him as leverage to wrest the reins of power from the APC, especially at the federal level, but they will work against his emergence as their presidential candidate.


2) HIS POLITICAL CLOUT IS OVERRATED

It will be too dismissive to say a two-time former Governor of a state and current Senate President is a political midget. Saraki, in his own right, is a force to reckon with politically.

But his current, oversized political stature was handed to him on a silver platter by the APC courtesy of its garrulous National Chairman and the party’s unwitting but needless making of a mountain of every molehill of an action by Saraki. The APC unwittingly turned Saraki into a victim; and he played the victim card with all smartness to win the sympathy of a large section of the public.

This the power-brokers in the PDP know because they contributed to his oversized stature in their own way to denigrate the APC, but they are not under any form of illusion as to his real political stature which is no match for the sitting President’s, especially in their shared northern enclave.

This will inform their decision to work against his candidature in the primaries. They desperately need a match for Buhari from the North, where the position has been zoned to.


3) SARAKI A HARD NUT TO CRACK

It is always the desire of power-brokers in a political party to field a politician whose ears they have regardless of his political clout. But Saraki has shown during his APC years that he is no political lapdog whose skin they can stroke for fun or a dog they can easily, on a leash, walk down the corridors of power. Saraki is that kind of politician who prefers having things on his own terms regardless of whether it is through fair or foul means.

He exhibited this trait again on Thursday when he usurped and seized upon an event organized for a completely different purpose to announce his 2019 presidential ambition. The power-brokers can not forget how he emerged as Senate President in the APC, too. These, among others, will make them have misgivings about entrusting him with the highest political office.


4) UNFAVOURABLE VOTING DEMOGRAPHY

Saraki’s political spread of influence is strongest in Kwara State, which happens to be in the North Central geopolitical zone.

The voting strength of Kwara is 1,115,665 — greater only than that of Niger that has 721,478 in the geopolitical zone. The total number of registered voters in the zone is7,675,369.

These are paltry figures compared to the 2,931,668 of Katsina the sitting president’s State and the 18,900,543 total number of registered voters in the Northwest where Katsina belongs. Safe to say, then, that Saraki is a ‘major in the minor and a minor in the major’. As things stand, to field Saraki against Buhari is to commit political hara-kiri. This the PDP leaders surely understand.


5) THE ‘SKELETON’ IN HIS CUPBOARD

Saraki and the APC are sworn enemies. Having failed in its previous attempts to stop him from defecting to the PDP by tightening and loosening — depending on his body language — the noose of litigation around his neck through the court, they will not want him to have the last laugh.

Consequently, the APC will dust the ‘dirty’ dossier on him should he win the PDP presidential ticket. They are reserving the Offa banks robbery case for this purpose; the case is a convenient stuff for propaganda.

Should PDP field him as presidential candidate, APC will ensure the platform becomes the scaffold on which he is hanged with the noose of propaganda. PDP knows this and will guard against it.

http://saharareporters.com/2018/09/03/overrated-political-clout-major-minor-five-reasons-saraki-wont-get-pdps-presidential

Also he’s a criminal

Also sympathetic to Igbos terrorist

Three things will happen to Saraki at once.

1-He will lose his National Clout-- this has started already,as the APC has started cutting those roots.

2-His family's strange hold on Kwarans will be broken- this is happening already,as Kwara is divided already. The APC has gone to work on this.

3-By next year Saraki will be an UPCOMING POLITICIAN. He will never raise to grace again. He has betrayed everything he has touched. From his family, to his bank depositors, to the first PDP and then the APC.

This is not a man that can be trusted. And the only way for him now to go is DOWN.

Why Saraki downfall will even be faster, is that Saraki comes from a part of Nigeria that has an identity crisis. He is neither accepted by the Fulani's/ Hausas, and the Yoruba's will not touch him.

Kwara State does not produce anything. Does not have industries. Does not even have Charcoal to offer to the CENTER of the Government. It is a poor State.

Kwara is not a caliphate state,and has no relevance to the Federal Government. They need the Federal Government to survive, and will sacrifice Saraki to the Federal Government, if he seems to be the reason why Federal Appointments and subventions start getting dry.

Everyone eventually runs out of luck. Nothing lasts forever. Saraki you have had a good run, it is now time to retire like the Anenih and enjoy your loot.

Sowore is losing it with his obsession...

Should PDP field him as presidential candidate, APC will ensure the platform becomes the scaffold on which he is hanged with the noose of propaganda. PDP knows this and will guard against it.

See them...thread don flood.

Goodbye Bukola Saraki.

I think everyone should know Saraki is wasting his time by now.

For any political party to stand a chance of taking a step towards competing with President Buhari, the candidate must be from the North. 100% North.

Even Tambuwal has a better chance than Saraki not to mention the massive distance between him and Dankwambo or Kwankwaso or even Atiku.

Hence, Saraki has no single chance and the day he became a tyrant in APC, he dug his political grave. Final burial will be after the primaries.

So, looking at the list, the possible candidate will be Kwankwaso because of his little influence in Kano.


Final point, I see no single threat to President Buhari among these people. Whoever emerged in the PDP primaries would only win to fail.

Saraki should be given the PDP ticket so that he can suffer national disgrace.

BruncleZuma:
Sowore is losing it with his obsession...

But when he broke the news of Yar'Adua's death which enabled GEJ take over, he was not obsessed then?

When GEJ said on live TV that he learnt of his own brother's death from SR, Sowore wasn't obsessed then?

, come and employ this miscreant let him be helping you wash fresh fish.

Sahara please post 5 reasons sowore will never get any party's presidential ticket except he forms his

how u tk know

Useless Sahara reporters! Allow him to contest the primaries first to know if he will win or not. Sowore should be concerned about his already failed presidential ambition.

Saraki for president!

Zombies alert!!!

I still prefer Saraki to Sowore tho

Jsj

The fact is Apc is scared and weary of Bukola Saraki.why so much noise about him,is he the only contender or the only former Governor in this country?what I know for sure is the he is a Nigerian and has a right to aspire for the highest office in the land.its not a crime to have a presidential ambition.

Who is saraki?

Do ppl really think Saraki really really wants to be president? Its placing himself in the position of relevance and added respect in Nigeria politics.

Added bargaining opportunity and bigger CV.

The guy smart. He is testing the waters.

famousroland:
Saraki Or Buhari?
Choose Wisely

all I know is politics is local let them all go back to their grassroots and test their weight, whoever cut across the whole nation carry the day

ghuzy01:
The fact is Apc is scared and weary of Bukola Saraki.why so much noise about him,is he the only contender or the only former Governor in this country?what I know for sure is the he is a Nigerian and has a right to aspire for the highest office in the land.its not a crime to have a presidential ambition.

APC isn't scared of Saraki. Why they're particular about him is because he's seen as a traitor howbeit a smart one. They want to get at him for his mischief and are less particular about others.

RIP

Bukola saraki is a very cunning politician

Interesting.

HungerBAD:
Three things will happen to Saraki at once.

1-He will lose his National Clout-- this has started already,as the APC has started cutting those roots.

2-His family's strange hold on Kwarans will be broken- this is happening already,as Kwara is divided already. The APC has gone to work on this.

3-By next year Saraki will be an UPCOMING POLITICIAN. He will never raise to grace again. He has betrayed everything he has touched. From his family, to his bank depositors, to the first PDP and then the APC.

This is not a man that can be trusted. And the only way for him now to go is DOWN.

Why Saraki downfall will even be faster, is that Saraki comes from a part of Nigeria that has an identity crisis. He is neither accepted by the Fulani's/ Hausas, and the Yoruba's will not touch him.

Kwara State does not produce anything. Does not have industries. Does not even have Charcoal to offer to the CENTER of the Government. It is a poor State.

Kwara is not a caliphate state,and has no relevance to the Federal Government. They need the Federal Government to survive, and will sacrifice Saraki to the Federal Government, if he seems to be the reason why Federal Appointments and subventions start getting dry.

Everyone eventually runs out of luck. Nothing lasts forever. Saraki you have had a good run, it is now time to retire like the Anenih and enjoy your loot.

You've not been to Kwara state so don't say what you don't know bro. They can never take Kwara state from him..

lol

"Major in the minor and a minor in the major’.

Lol

Will this Guarantee a presidential post for Omoyele Sowore....


#Joker.....


Come 2019 we need no President is this Nation.... WE NEED TO BE RECOLONIZED

HungerBAD:
Three things will happen to Saraki at once.

1-He will lose his National Clout-- this has started already,as the APC has started cutting those roots.

2-His family's strange hold on Kwarans will be broken- this is happening already,as Kwara is divided already. The APC has gone to work on this.

3-By next year Saraki will be an UPCOMING POLITICIAN. He will never raise to grace again. He has betrayed everything he has touched. From his family, to his bank depositors, to the first PDP and then the APC.

This is not a man that can be trusted. And the only way for him now to go is DOWN.

Why Saraki downfall will even be faster, is that Saraki comes from a part of Nigeria that has an identity crisis. He is neither accepted by the Fulani's/ Hausas, and the Yoruba's will not touch him.

Kwara State does not produce anything. Does not have industries. Does not even have Charcoal to offer to the CENTER of the Government. It is a poor State.

Kwara is not a caliphate state,and has no relevance to the Federal Government. They need the Federal Government to survive, and will sacrifice Saraki to the Federal Government, if he seems to be the reason why Federal Appointments and subventions start getting dry.

Everyone eventually runs out of luck. Nothing lasts forever. Saraki you have had a good run, it is now time to retire like the Anenih and enjoy your loot.

This is quite thoughtful. It's reference worthy, in fact.

........
P34c3
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...

SaharaReporters are bent on tarnishing this man's image. And nairaland has joined the bandwagon too. Say no to bad journalism