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Analysts See Spike In December Inflation Rate by mrakeli62: 6:22am On Jan 14, 2019
As the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) releases its December 2018 inflation figures this week, leading research firms in the country, FSDH Research and Financial Derivatives Company (FDC), said in their forecasts at the weekend that the nation’s inflation rate for December 2018 would increase.

FSDH Research expects the December 2018 inflation rate (year-on-year) to rise to 11.69 percent from 11.28 percent recorded in November, while FDC in its bulletin predicts that headline inflation will increase to 11.37 percent in December.

FSDH forecast represents a monthly increase of 0.41 percent between the two months and the highest monthly increase since November 2016.


The expected increase in the inflation rate will reflect higher price increases within the Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages division and other non-food items due to end-of-year and festivity purchases.

The NBS is due to release the inflation rate for the month of December on Thursday, January 17, 2019, ahead of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting scheduled for January 21 and 22, 2019.


The Food Price Index (FPI) report that the Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) published for the month of December 2018 remained relatively the same as November 2018.

However, the World Bank has hinted about a possible increase in food prices in 2019 because of severe weather conditions. This may accelerate the inflation rate in 2019 in Nigeria.

The FAO notes that the decline in the prices of dairy and sugar in December were largely offset by the increases in cereal, meat and oils.

FSDH Research’s analysis indicates that the value of the naira depreciated at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange (NAFEX) in December 2018, while it appreciated at the parallel market.

The value of the naira depreciated marginally by 0.01% at the NAFEX market to close at US$/N364.18 from US$/N364.16 in November, while it gained 0.14 percent in the parallel market to close at US$/N365.00 from US$/N365.50 in November 2018.

The value of the naira appreciated at the parallel market as a result of newly introduced special ‘Thursday sale’ to Bureau de Change (BDCs) operators.


The depreciation recorded at NAFEX between the two months under review increased the impact of foreign exchange on the prices of imported consumer goods in the domestic market.

Analysts at FDC believe December is a period in which higher festive related spending pushes up aggregate demand in the economy as anecdotal and empirical evidence in December 2018 has validated.

Compounding the demand pull effect of festive spending was the surge in FAAC by 3.12 percent to N812.76 billion. This means that state governments and federal agencies had more liquidity during the period.

Also worth mentioning is that the slope of the inflation curve is getting steeper, suggesting that the 2019 budget inflation benchmark of 9.98% may be unattainable. The average inflation rate in 2018 was 12.14 percent down from 16.54 percent the 2017 average.

https://www.independent.ng/analysts-see-spike-in-december-inflation-rate/amp/

Re: Analysts See Spike In December Inflation Rate by SPOILT9JAOLOSHO(m): 6:59am On Jan 14, 2019
Okay
Buhari must go.. Amen!
Re: Analysts See Spike In December Inflation Rate by jamaicabakare(m): 7:00am On Jan 14, 2019
Go
Re: Analysts See Spike In December Inflation Rate by dingbang(m): 7:00am On Jan 14, 2019
cool
Re: Analysts See Spike In December Inflation Rate by helinues: 7:01am On Jan 14, 2019
The handwriting is already on the wall.

Nigerians should prepared for tough year 2019. This is not about Buhari's government/policy. This is a global issue.
Re: Analysts See Spike In December Inflation Rate by hemartins(m): 7:02am On Jan 14, 2019
If can read the above and deeply understand every paragraph, you are one if the very few Nigerians who could.
I Love analysis, facts and figures.
Re: Analysts See Spike In December Inflation Rate by DMerciful(m): 7:05am On Jan 14, 2019
We will not allow Bubu to kill Nigeria before we kick him out. Next month will be like a Trump-like victory for Atiku

1 Like

Re: Analysts See Spike In December Inflation Rate by joshnnanna: 7:06am On Jan 14, 2019
SPOILT9JAOLOSHO:
Okay
Buhari must go.. Amen!

The sad truth is that he will not go. Buhari will be returned against the will of majority of Nigerians.

Rigging plans have been perfected!

That dullard shouldn't rule over 10 people not to talk of a nation.
Re: Analysts See Spike In December Inflation Rate by Folabimi(m): 7:07am On Jan 14, 2019
Summary in lay man term please
Re: Analysts See Spike In December Inflation Rate by MANNABBQGRILLS: 7:07am On Jan 14, 2019
helinues:
The handwriting is already on the wall.

Nigerians should prepared for tough year 2019. This is not about Buhari's government/policy. This is a global issue.
We can only be POSITIVE.
The major good news is that we are in a very safe hands.
It would have been double hell it it was still the evil party known as PDP , that are still in power.

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Analysts See Spike In December Inflation Rate by helinues: 7:13am On Jan 14, 2019
post=74741273:

We can only be POSITIVE.
The major goos news is that we are in a very safe hands.
It would have been double hell it it was still the evil party known as PDP , that are still in power.

At bolded, no doubt about that but you know Nigerians. Even if they cant impregnate their wives, Na Buhari's fault

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Analysts See Spike In December Inflation Rate by apesinola001: 7:21am On Jan 14, 2019
Dullard is at work
Re: Analysts See Spike In December Inflation Rate by MANNABBQGRILLS: 7:28am On Jan 14, 2019
helinues:


At bolded, no doubt about that but you know Nigerians. Even if they cant impregnate their wives, Na Buhari's fault
Hahahaha cheesy grin wink.
You've said it all bro.

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Analysts See Spike In December Inflation Rate by Speedyconnect15: 7:43am On Jan 14, 2019
I wonder how these guys analyse these things.

Gala still 50
Sachet water 10
Alomo same
Stout same.
Re: Analysts See Spike In December Inflation Rate by highdon(m): 8:03am On Jan 14, 2019
there isn't any shortcuts to end all dis mess aside
''Back To Daura Movement''
Re: Analysts See Spike In December Inflation Rate by chloride6: 8:04am On Jan 14, 2019
I doubt../

Even fear dey catch devil the way CBN dey take mop up

grin grin grin
Re: Analysts See Spike In December Inflation Rate by jomoh: 8:13am On Jan 14, 2019
The spike is only of the easterners, by the easterners and for the easterners.

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