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My 2019 Election Prediction Judging From 2015 Election Result And 2019 PVC Data - Politics - Nairaland

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My 2019 Election Prediction Judging From 2015 Election Result And 2019 PVC Data by Goztino(m): 11:24pm On Feb 21, 2019
Two things will be put into consideration to present an unbiased analysis

1. The fact that GEJ contested as a president and he campaigned with federal financial MIGHT unlike Atiku who is contesting without federal might.

2. The fact that Atiku is a Northern Muslim unlike GEJ who is Southern Christian.
Re: My 2019 Election Prediction Judging From 2015 Election Result And 2019 PVC Data by Goztino(m): 11:28pm On Feb 21, 2019
Before I continue, let me post the 2019 data of collected PVC

Re: My 2019 Election Prediction Judging From 2015 Election Result And 2019 PVC Data by Goztino(m): 11:34pm On Feb 21, 2019
Let me also share 2015 result

Re: My 2019 Election Prediction Judging From 2015 Election Result And 2019 PVC Data by NtoAkwaIbom(m): 11:37pm On Feb 21, 2019
Go on
Re: My 2019 Election Prediction Judging From 2015 Election Result And 2019 PVC Data by Cletus77(m): 11:42pm On Feb 21, 2019
Following
Re: My 2019 Election Prediction Judging From 2015 Election Result And 2019 PVC Data by Goztino(m): 11:54pm On Feb 21, 2019
According to 2015 election, Buhari performed excellently well in NW zones and one can rightfully say that NW was the strong force he had in 2015 while GEJ had SS and SE.

In 2015, PDP stronghold were

Enugu, Anambra, abia, akwaibom, crossriver, delta, Imo, Ebonyi, Rivers and Bayelsa
And judging from the total collected PVC of these regions as of 11th February 2019, they have approximately 17,899,000.


APC stronghold according to 2015 election were
Kano, jigawa, katsina, kaduna, borno, Niger, yobe, bauchi, gombe, sokoto and zamfara
And judging from the total collected PVC of these regions as of 11th February 2019, they have approximately 22,300,000

Atiku is from NE, and judging from APC 2015 states mentioned as Buhari stronghold, the NE states include Borno, Yobe, bauchi and gombe
From the total collected PVC of these NE regions as of 11th February 2019, they have APPROXIMATELY 6,900,000.
Kwankwanso and Tambuwal are strong influencers from Kano and sokoto respectively and these two regions are from NW regions which will make PDP draw some surprise votes from Kano and sokoto

So statistically,
Buhari is mostly likely going to win with great margin in NW and SW while Atiku will win in SE and SS with great margin and both candidates will likely battle hard in NC while Atiku will slightly win in NE (his geopolitical zone) .


So statistically, Atiku will likely win 2019 election with slight margin if done fairly

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Re: My 2019 Election Prediction Judging From 2015 Election Result And 2019 PVC Data by MadeInTokyo: 11:56pm On Feb 21, 2019
The PVC collection for 2019 does not look good for APC at all, that why APC is bent on rigging and staggering the election.

Those states PDP won 2015 and where PDP currently have Governors or which are currently pro PDP states, have increased their PVC collection by far higher percentage compared to the 2019 PVC collection of states APC won in 2015.

Most notably is the North Central , they have the highest jump in PVC collection rate from 2015 to 2019 most in particular Benue state compared to other regions which is largely due to people from that region are angry with Buhari over the Fulani herdsmen criss, and surprisingly the South East against all odds also increased their PVC collection in 2019 compared
to 2015 which is due to hatred for Buhari in that region over his python dance operation and also due to the PDP picking a Peter Obi as Vice President.

NB
PDP will do better numbers in North East and North West compared to when Jonathan a southern was their candidate.Atiku will get far larger percentages of votes in North West and North East on Saturday compared to Jonathan's Votes in 2015. This is another area APC Chieftains and the Buhari cabal are panicking about.

The PVC collection for 2019 as it stands looks very good for PDP and Atiku, no wonder PDP Chieftains were joyful and dancing 2 days ago at their cacus meeting, while APC chieftains were in sober and worried mood in their own cacus meeting

Re: My 2019 Election Prediction Judging From 2015 Election Result And 2019 PVC Data by otokx(m): 11:57pm On Feb 21, 2019
Is that all?

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