Gunayo:
This is my prediction concerning 2019 presidential election coming up on 23rd February 2019. This margin will be slim but hope it will not lead to inconclusive election. Let me hear your opinion regarding each state. No insult please.

treasuremi1:
Your analysis is sentimental and bias. My analysis is that south south and south east have locked down votes for pdp which is reflected here, what you didn't reason well is the south west. APC has southwest. And that's where the decider lies. In the north, Buhari has more votes than Atiku and the difference is not small at all. It's a very big one. Forget social media

papiforreal:

I don't know about kwara. I only know of northwest, northeast and some states in nc

Nadheer15:
Im from Kwara, Atiku would be defeated massively in Kwara. Just watch and see

Gunayo:
In summay, Buhari will win north west and north east by wide margin and likewise atiku in south south and south east but Buhari margin will not be high in Southwest compare to atiku margin in north central

Gunayo:
Maybe because the otoge movement is gaining momentum but don't forget the influence of saraki and co

Gunayo:
Maybe because the otoge movement is gaining momentum but don't forget the influence of saraki and co

buspid:


Saraki is only influential in Kwara central and the place is even a battle ground because of the Otoge movement. Kwara North are majorly Fulani Descendants, they love APC and Buhari in that region. Kwara South is where Offa, a town that has never supported Saraki is located and it was there that APC won the Bye-election late last year. It is easier for APC to win Kwara than for PDP to claim

Nadheer15:
Yes, but Buhari would defeat Atiku in Kwara. The Otoge movement isn't gaining momentum now, it's already loud, the only way Atiku can win is if there's apathy due to the violence PDP thugs are perpetuating now. Even with that, the people are determined.

Gunayo:
What about APC thugs? Is it only PDP that has monopoly of violence and thugery

Nadheer15:
All the news of thuggery emerging from Kwara have all been by PDP thugs. They've attacked campaigns by APC severally, they've even tried to kill the Governorship candidate, they've attacked the convoy of Lola Ashiru some days back and recently they even had the effrontery to attack the convoy of PYO. Those guys really get mind

Nadheer15:
Your assertion is wrong about Kwara North, Kwara north is dominated by Nupe, Buruba and Yoruba not Fulani. However, the people of Kwara North and South are ready, central is greatly divided as some want Saraki to continue while others don't. Saraki might retain his seat and Buhari would carry the day in Kwara Central. But all in all, we don't want Saraki again at all

buspid:


Sorry I got that wrong. I'm aware of the fact that Kwara North and South are so much ready for the Next Level movement but it would be a tough battle in the Kwara Central.


How true is the assertion that Kwara state is now heavily militarised with both Soldiers and Police?

Gunayo:
What about saraki residence that was attacked? Was it PDP thugs that perpetrated that?

buspid:


Saraki is only influential in Kwara central and the place is even a battle ground because of the Otoge movement. Kwara North are majorly Fulani Descendants, they love APC and Buhari in that region. Kwara South is where Offa, a town that has never supported Saraki is located and it was there that APC won the Bye-election late last year. It is easier for APC to win Kwara than for PDP to claim

Nadheer15:
APC came for campaign at Agbaji, they were then attacked by PDP thugs. It was a clash basically, not one sided as you try to portray, there were casualties on both sides.