In the house of reps,i am 100% sure that femi is the next speaker.with the plethora of contestants like namdaz,onyejiocha,chike okafor,bago,wase,dogara,monguno etc,it will he very easy for him to emerge.among the apc candidates,he clearly has the largest support followed by wase.a couple of pdp reps members are with him.he has the automatic support of almost all reps members from north west and south west.up to 20 pdp members are supporting him.i estimate about 150 members solidly behind him from apc,with 20 from pdp and with apc now more firm in instilling party discipline,180 out of 220 should vote him.

If more than two members go into the contest lets say femi,wase,dogara and bago,femi will get 150,wase support is mostly from the north central and should get like 30 from apc and 10 from pdp.out of the 120 pdp members,90 will vote dogara.bago will get less votes than the rest making femi the winner.

If dogara doesn't contest and its left for apc members alone,half of pdp members will vote namdaz or wase,30 will go to femi while the remaining votes of pdp will be divided.femi's 150 is constant,its the lowest votes he can get but i dont see him getting below the 174 he polled in 2015.
If the contest is between femi and just one other apc lawmaker,majority will go with femi while at least 20 from pdp should seal the deal.
If all apc contenders step down for femi leaving dogara alone to slug it out with femi,dogara should have 100 pdp votes plus 40 from apc and 10 from other parties giving him 150.the remaining will go to femi.
Based on the above theory,femi is our next speaker and the deputy speaker will likely be among one of the contestanta that will step down and back him.it may be wase,namdaz or monguno.it could even be jibrin.


Mynd44
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Oghenaogie

Hon. Mongunu is no longer contesting for the speakership. He had since stepped down for Femi Gbajabiamila.

Though I'm a full fledged Igbo guy but I must say that Tinubu deserves better for his political ideology n tenacity.
What do I mean Jagaban is among d few politicians dat has no cross_carpet even after a lot of intimidation from d party he built. The emergence of Lawan n Gbaja will boost his political base ahead of 2019 n I pray they succeed.

There will be gnashing of teeth after the legislative election