Spain's population to halve and Nigeria to be dominant global power within 80 years, report predicts


''By the end of the century, the world will be multipolar, with India, Nigeria, China, and the US the dominant powers.''

- Sky News, UK

15 July 2020


The global population is likely to shrink after the middle of this century, triggering shifts in economic power, a new report suggests.

There will be around 9.7 billion people on the planet by 2064, but that number will decrease to 8.8 billion by the year 2100, according to a new report in medical journal The Lancet.

The analysis says that improvements to modern contraceptive methods and the increasingly widespread education of women could be a catalyst for a decline in global fertility rates.

..Populations in 23 countries, including Japan, Spain and Italy, are forecast to decline by more than half, according to the research, with another 34 countries, including China, seeing a drop of more than 25%.

However, sub-Saharan Africa will buck the trend, and is set to see growth of more than three times its current population, thanks to falling death rates in the region and the rising number of women reaching child-bearing age.

Across the world, over-80s are set to outnumber under-fives by a factor of two-to-one by 2100, marking a shift in the working age population.

Countries such as China, Spain, the UK and Germany are all expected to see a dramatic drop in the size of their workforce, resulting in a slowing of economic growth that will open the way for African and Arab countries to take the lead economically..

Dr Richard Horton, editor in chief of The Lancet, said: "This important research charts a future we need to be planning for urgently.

"It offers a vision for radical shifts in geopolitical power, challenges myths about immigration, and underlines the importance of protecting and strengthening the sexual and reproductive rights of women. The 21st century will see a revolution in the story of our human civilisation.
"Africa and the Arab World will shape our future, while Europe and Asia will recede in their influence. By the end of the century, the world will be multipolar, with India, Nigeria, China, and the US the dominant powers.


China will fall from top to third place in the table, with its population set to fall by more than 25%.

Nigeria, which currently has the seventh-highest population in the world, will rocket up to second place by 2100, while the Japanese population will plummet from the 10th to 38th.

"This will truly be a new world, one we should be preparing for today."

https://news.sky.com/story/decline-in-fertility-will-see-global-population-shrink-triggering-radical-shifts-in-economic-power-report-12028364

And some idiots are still saying we should break up the country into little Sierra Leones and Gambias. Inconsequential entities with zero power, clout or economic/political influence.

Short sighted moro.ns that can't see beyond their narrow ethnic prism.

DO YOU REALISE THE AMOUNT OF INVESTMENT AND CAPITAL THAT WOULD FLOW INTO THIS COUNTRY from across the world if and when it becomes a MAJOR POWER? The 2ND Most populous nation on Earth??

Industrialisation, development, and economic growth will simply become A MATTER OF COURSE. An unstoppable TSUNAMI.

All the ethnic bigots who wish to split Nigeria: SEE THE BIG PICTURE and quit being dumb.

Our cities will start to look like Singapore. Nigeria doesn’t have enough land to handle billions of people. All buildings in major cities will have to at least 150m and they will need their own solar panels, so we’re not having high carbon production, all streets need hundreds of trees. Nigeria needs a lot of help. But hopefully this estimate is wrong.

The global powers controlled by some set of people are focusing on Nigeria, there is a reason, even with the population, there will be lot of poor people, making it easy for these set of people to control Nigeria from their backyard in newyork and london

Abohboy:
Our cities will start to look like Singapore. Nigeria doesn’t have enough land to handle billions of people. All buildings in major cities will have to at least 150m and they will need their own solar panels, so we’re not having high carbon production, all streets need hundreds of trees. Nigeria needs a lot of help. But hopefully this estimate is wrong.

I think you're crazy to be ''hoping it's wrong''. You are completely ignoring the massive economic diversification and national income growth that would have occurred by 2100, which would stand Nigeria in good stead to sustain the projected 790 million population. Where did you get ''billions of people'' from?

Rossikki:
And some idiots are still saying we should break up the country into little Sierra Leones and Gambias. Inconsequential entities with zero power, clout or economic/political influence.

Short sighted moro.ns that can't see beyond their narrow ethnic prism.

DO YOU REALISE THE AMOUNT OF INVESTMENT AND CAPITAL THAT WOULD FLOW INTO THIS COUNTRY from across the world if and when it becomes a MAJOR POWER? The 2ND Most populous nation on Earth??

Industrialisation, development, and economic growth will simply become A MATTER OF COURSE. An unstoppable TSUNAMI.

All the ethnic bigots who wish to split Nigeria: SEE THE BIG PICTURE and quit being dumb.

Only an idiot will think Nigeria will last past 10 years from now. Whoever spewed the nonsense that Nigeria will surpass Togo in the next ten year is a dummy. These funny fools forgot what drives Nigeria is crude oil. if the developed countries achieve slightest success with current assault on internal combustion engines, Nigeria will be worse than Benin Republic in the next 15 years with unmanageable population. Nigeria must disintegrate in order to have a genuine grass root industrial base within the geographical expression.

This is the lie Western media push to keep Nigerians believing better days are ahead.

The ones that were not praised are great nations today.

Who cares?? I would have long been dead and buried by then!

Rossikki:
And some idiots are still saying we should break up the country into little Sierra Leones and Gambias. Inconsequential entities with zero power, clout or economic/political influence.

Short sighted moro.ns that can't see beyond their narrow ethnic prism.

DO YOU REALISE THE AMOUNT OF INVESTMENT AND CAPITAL THAT WOULD FLOW INTO THIS COUNTRY from across the world if and when it becomes a MAJOR POWER? The 2ND Most populous nation on Earth??

Industrialisation, development, and economic growth will simply become A MATTER OF COURSE. An unstoppable TSUNAMI.

All the ethnic bigots who wish to split Nigeria: SEE THE BIG PICTURE and quit being dumb.

Do u know the population of Britain when they colonized the world?
It's about quality not quantity, can u tell me Nigeria's 20 year plan? Or even 10 year plan or 5
The young people that would make Nigeria a powerhouse, what plans are being made for their future?
Una mumu never reach??
Abi den born u as mumu?

MetaPhysical:
This is the lie Western media push to keep Nigerians believing better days are ahead.

The ones that were not praised are great nations today.

Nigeria is not being ''praised'' in the report. All they are doing is making a projection based on current economic and population growth rates.

You see it as ''praise'' because you already have a low opinion of the country, and expect any predictions to be dire and negative. Leave your negative mindset behind and you will see clearer.

/

Rossikki:


Nigeria is not being ''praised'' in the report. All they are doing is making a projection based on current economic and population growth rates.

You see it as ''praise'' because you already have a low opinion of the country, and expect any predictions to be dire and negative. Leave your negative mindset behind and you will see clearer.

They did not start projection today. Is that not UK media.....and is UK not our colonial ruler? They should stop making failed projections.

StaffofOrayan:


Do u know the population of Britain when they colonized the world?
It's about quality not quantity, can u tell me Nigeria's 20 year plan? Or even 10 year plan or 5
The young people that would make Nigeria a powerhouse, what plans are being made for their future?
Una mumu never reach??
Abi den born u as mumu?

Stay there talking rubbish.

Are there not young Nigerians like yourself in Lagos, establishing start-ups that are attracting millions of dollars in investment from Silicon Valley and across the world TODAY, as we speak?

Go to Yaba and see what your mates are doing. Your juniors even. Pioneers in various digital solutions, and now increasingly incorporating everything from Artificial Intelligence to Holograms.

These guys never left Nigeria. They learnt all they knew right here. In 50 years' time, those startups will be the Huawei and Apple of their day.

Market leaders of world class proportions.

Stay there with your negativity while the nation passes you by, you hear?

StaffofOrayan:


Do u know the population of Britain when they colonized the world?
It's about quality not quantity, can u tell me Nigeria's 20 year plan? Or even 10 year plan or 5
The young people that would make Nigeria a powerhouse, what plans are being made for their future?
Una mumu never reach??
Abi den born u as mumu?

He is looking for visa to UK. When he presents his social media handle they will find this and see him as an ally.

MetaPhysical:


They did not start projection today. Is that not UK media.....and is UK not our colonial ruler? They should stop making failed projections.

Stop talking like an illiterate. ''The UK media'' did not conduct the research. That is not their job or training. You couldn't even take the time to find out who did the research before commenting your negativity. Why should anyone take you and your intellectual laziness and negativity seriously? You're useless to the discussion.

Rossikki:


Stay there talking rubbish.

Are there not young Nigerians like yourself in Lagos, establishing start-ups that are attracting millions of dollars in investment from Silicon Valley and across the world TODAY, as we speak?

These guys never left Nigeria. They learnt all they knew right here. In 50 years' time, those startups will be the Huawei and Apple of their day.

Market leaders of world class proportions.

Stay there with your negativity while the nation passes you by, you hear?

EVERY country in the world has bright people,
Do u know the population of Germany when they brought the world to its knees?
Answer my question, what is Nigeria's 10 year plan?
Nigeria is perhaps the last country on earth without direction.
Even North Korea has a plan!

MetaPhysical:


He is looking for visa to UK. When he presents his social media handle they will find this and see him as an ally.

Not everyone is in your desperate situation.

Rossikki:


Stop talking like an illiterate. ''The UK media'' did not conduct the research. That is not their job or training. You couldn't even take the time to find out who did the research before commenting your negativity. Why should anyone take you and your intellectual laziness and negativity seriously? You're useless to the discussion.

What is there to read? What research? Ol'boy, the study is meant for engineered minds like you. My native sense is still very much intact. If not believing in lies from UK makes me unitelligent, I wear that badge proudly.

Rossikki:


Not everyone is in your desperate situation.

As long I am not banned from entering Biafra to go and co-mingle with Afikpo chicks, I am happy.

StaffofOrayan:


EVERY country in the world has bright people,
Do u know the population of Germany when they brought the world to its knees?
Answer my question, what is Nigeria's 10 year plan?
Nigeria is perhaps the last country on earth without direction.
Even North Korea has a plan!

Germany too far sef. Talk about Ghaddaffi's accomplishments in the deserts of North Africa. He accomplished all that without any European interference....and while under heavy sanctions from US. The man had a plan and he executed it. They killed his successes. Look where Libya is today? Their citizens have turned to beggars in the desert. Why? Because UK and US had a study and a projection for their future. A FUTURE TO NOWHERE! I refuse to be intelligent.......my native sense is sufficient!

StaffofOrayan:


EVERY country in the world has bright people,
Do u know the population of Germany when they brought the world to its knees?
Answer my question, what is Nigeria's 10 year plan?
Nigeria is perhaps the last country on earth without direction.
Even North Korea has a plan!

What do you mean ''what is Nigeria's 10 year plan?''

That is an absurd question that presupposes Nigeria has a Life President or is under One Party rule that can outline a ''10 year plan'' for the country. Or a ''20 year plan''.

That sort of thinking derives from our history of military rule, during which such ''development plans'' were frequently outlined by dictators.

Interesting you mentioned North Korea. A brutal military dictatorship. They can have a long term 'plan' since they do not share power with anyone.

Wakey Wakey..... Nigeria is a multi-party democracy, and leaders are subjected to the vote every 4 years. They cannot ''plan'' beyond the date the electorate declare they should pack and go.

The winning party will now enact its own ''plan'' over the next 4 years, and if their ''plan'' goes well, they get another 4 years. If not, another party wins and enacts its own ''plan''.

That is the way the system is structured. And deliberately so, to ensure accountability, and that the people are carried along in whatever the country is doing. Every developing nation on earth, including Nigeria, is working to become a developed nation.

.

Rossikki:


What do you mean ''what is Nigeria's 10 year plan?''

That is an absurd question that presupposes Nigeria has a Life President or is under One Party rule that can outline a ''10 year plan'' for the country. Or a ''20 year plan''.

That sort of thinking derives from our history of military rule, during which such ''development plans'' were outlined by dictators.

Wakey Wakey..... Nigeria is a multi-party democracy, and leaders are subjected to the vote every 4 years. They cannot ''plan'' beyond the date the electorate declare they should pack and go.

The winning party will now enact its own ''plan'' over the next 4 years, and if their ''plan'' goes well, they get another 4 years. If not, another party wins and enacts its own ''plan''.

That is the way the system is structured. And deliberately so, to ensure accountability. Every developing nation on earth, including Nigeria, is working to become a developed nation.

Now I understand where your ignorance stems from.
Every developing/developed country has an economic agenda no matter what party takes power (remember Nigeria's fraudulent Vision 2020?) Of course implementation would vary from govt to govt.
Example, America's petrol dollar policy or Israel's policy to dominate the IT industry.
Now what is Nigeria's plan??
Not even a plan to provide electricity, you better wake up

.

MetaPhysical:


As long I am not banned from entering Biafra to go and co-mingle with Afikpo chicks, I am happy.

It should be Republic of Igbo Land.

B3ACHSIDE:
Nigeria's exploding population is a curse and should work on population reduction and management like family planning. You do not need large population to build an organized and lawful society or industrialized society because we now have technology and machinery to do most of the work ,and it keeps improving everyday. You don't need large population to win warfare either.

Bullshit.

''Overpopulation'' is a MYTH.

In fact, HISTORY shows us that the world becomes MORE prosperous the more people are in it.

Excerpts from 'Debunking the Myth of Overpopulation':

Era ...................... Earth Population

1000 AD ................ 190 million

1500 AD ................ 450 million

1900 AD ................ 1,600 million

1950 AD ................. 2,500 million

2000 AD .................. 6,143 million

If population alarmists were right, this history would be an unmitigated catastrophe with people getting poorer and poorer from some imaginary golden age of prosperity a thousand years ago. In fact the exact opposite is the case.

Here are the figures for per capita GDP using the measure of 1990 International Geary–Khamin dollars, used by Angus Maddison for historical and international comparisons:

1000 AD ...................... 436 IGK $

1500 AD ................... 566 IGK $

1900 AD ................... 1525 IGK $

1950 AD .................... 2111 IGK $

2001 AD ...................... 6049 IGK $

.......''

http://www.rebelnews.ie/2020/05/20/debunking-the-myth-of-overpopulation/

StaffofOrayan:


Now I understand where your ignorance stems from.
Every developing/developed country has an economic agenda no matter what party takes power (remember Nigeria's fraudulent Vision 2020?) Of course implementation would vary from govt to govt.
Example, America's petrol dollar policy or Israel's policy to dominate the IT industry.
Now what is Nigeria's plan??
Not even a plan to provide electricity, you better wake up

You talk like an ignoramus with no common sense. And you're clearly suffering from racial complex.

Why do you need to LIE that Nigeria has no plan to improve electricity supplies? That is a barefaced lie.

The moment you introduce lies and inaccuracies into your posts you become irrelevant to this debate. That you do not know the plan for electricity doesn't mean it doesn't exist. OnIy means YOU are too lazy and filled with negativity to research your own country while being gladly aware of all that's happening in ''Israel'', and ''America''. Go online and RESEARCH things going on in your country before making stupid comments.

Rossikki:


You talk like an ignoramus with no common sense. And you're clearly suffering from racial inferiority complex.

Why do you need to LIE that Nigeria has no plan to improve electricity supplies? That is a barefaced lie.

The moment you introduce lies and inaccuracies into your posts you become irrelevant to this debate. That you do not know the plan for electricity doesn't mean it doesn't exist. OnIy means YOU are too lazy and filled with negativity to research your own country while being gladly aware of all that's happening on ''Israel'', and ''America''. Go online and RESEARCH on things before making stupid comments.

Look you silly man
You are an adult and need to start thinking like one, all this "positivity" nonsense is childish
Nation building is serious business
DAWN of SW is a body with a plan, that's why as a Yoruba man, I endorse the break up of this planless, directionless country
After OBJ + GEJ + PMB + whichever clown is next, electricity would still be epileptic.
Answer this simple question you worm, what is Nigeria's 10 - 20 years plan, or you are waiting for God?

THAT'S 2100
YOU'RE INSANE.
YOU MUST BE A FULANI MAN FROM NIGER REPUBLIC.

We still dey wait Vision2020 till today

StaffofOrayan:


Look you silly man
You are an adult and need to start thinking like one, all this "positivity" nonsense is childish
Nation building is serious business
DAWN of SW is a body with a plan, that's why as a Yoruba man, I endorse the break up of this planless, directionless country
After OBJ + GEJ + PMB + whichever clown is next, electricity would still be epileptic.
Answer this simple question you worm, what is Nigeria's 10 - 20 years plan, or you are waiting for God?

You are a thoughtless toad to be repeating the same stupid mantra of demanding a ''plan''.

Who should draw up your ''plan''?

The current APC govt?

Buhari?

And then what happens to the ''plan'' if PDP or another party wins the election, and then revises or alters (or ditches) the ''plan'', as would be their right?

You would then call it a ''fraudulent plan'', wouldn't you? And blame 'Nigeria' for it.

Your head is steeped in negativity. It is YOU that is ''childish''. No, there is no specific ''plan'' for the country because the country is a democracy which makes any plan beyond 4 years subject to change by an incoming party, and rightfully so.

Nigeria's development goals are no secret, and are the same as any other country's - self sufficiency in food, good educational system, improved security, healthcare and sanitation, and industrialisation. The UN Human Development Index is a guide for all nations on improving the basic living standards of their people, and Nigeria is a signatory to that.

What other ''plan'' do you want?

4 years is what a party gets to implement its policies towards achieving those human development objectives, and 8 years if they do well. End Of.