Some of you making permutations based on Atiku being a northerner... e go shock you how he will be roundly defeated in that same north.why would apc governors want to lose their states because of atiku?.what would be their reward if pdp win the election?.you think they don't still have political career ahead of them?.why is nobody talking about buhari effect even when he is still alive and a sitting president?.
I will start taking you serious when apc governors start decamping to pdp.
As for Obi and others,either they forge any alliance or go solo,it's all pdp loss and apc advantage.

garfield1:


No.Borno will always give more votes than yobe so both can't be 60%..APC is looking more formidable in Adamawa with the addition of the nyarko's and Elisha abbo...
Atiku failed to get 25% in gombe in 2019 something pdp always gets.it will take a miracle for him to win esp with senator goje not defecting

Who made Goje? Watch out. I await your NW analysis in percentage terms. Then we do Osun gubernatorial to know who is a better analyst

CutieKing:
Some of you making permutations based on Atiku being a northerner... e go shock you how he will be roundly defeated in that same north.why would apc governors want to lose their states because of atiku?.what would be their reward if pdp win the election?.you think they don't still have political career ahead of them?.why is nobody talking about buhari effect even when he is still alive and a sitting president?.
I will start taking you serious when apc governors start decamping to pdp.
As for Obi and others,either they forge any alliance or go solo,it's all pdp loss and apc advantage.

Don’t mind those jokers!


People seems to underrate the influence of governors in any election.

CutieKing:
Some of you making permutations based on Atiku being a northerner... e go shock you how he will be roundly defeated in that same north.why would apc governors want to lose their states because of atiku?.what would be their reward if pdp win the election?.you think they don't still have political career ahead of them?.why is nobody talking about buhari effect even when he is still alive and a sitting president?.
I will start taking you serious when apc governors start decamping to pdp.
As for Obi and others,either they forge any alliance or go solo,it's all pdp loss and apc advantage.

What was the effect of PDP Northern governors when Buhari was contesting since 2003 in the North? You put narratives that suit you.

Of course governors would have effect but to what extent? What effect is the governor of plateau going to bring etc what effect is Makinde going to give PDP? There is limitation

majole:



Who made Goje? Watch out. I await your NW analysis in percentage terms. Then we do Osun gubernatorial to know who is a better analyst

Fergie,stop all this funny pretense

majole:


What was the effect of PDP Northern governors when Buhari was contesting since 2003 in the North? You put narratives that suit you.

Of course governors would have effect but to what extent? What effect is the governor of plateau going to bring etc what effect is Makinde going to give PDP? There is limitation

Lol....don't tell me you are putting atiku side by side with buhari...
Pdp won north in 99,2003,2007 and partly in 2011 solely because they had majority states under pdp.
Buhari is a grassroot politician with cult like followers whereas same can't be said about atiku.
Infact RMK get political structure than atiku.
You are still playing tribal politics,e go clear for your eyes that atiku is a paper weight politician that can't move any vote with his name.

CutieKing:


Lol....don't tell me you are putting atiku side by side with buhari...
Pdp won north in 99,2003,2007 and partly in 2011 solely because they had majority states under pdp.
Buhari is a grassroot politician with cult like followers whereas same can't be said about atiku.
Infact RMK get political structure than atiku.
You are still playing tribal politics,e go clear for your eyes that atiku is a paper weight politician that can't move any vote with his name.

Suit yourself. Only a fool would compare Buhari to Atiku. Kwankwaso get political structure pass Atiku? Enjoy yourself. Even Buhari doesn't have Atiku political structure. Try and understand TERMINOLOGIES BEFORE USING THEM. POPULARITY IS DIFFERENT FROM STRUCTURE

majole:


Suit yourself. Only a fool would compare Buhari to Atiku. Kwankwaso get political structure pass Atiku? Enjoy yourself. Even Buhari doesn't have Atiku political structure. Try and understand TERMINOLOGIES BEFORE USING THEM. POPULARITY IS DIFFERENT FROM STRUCTURE

Which structure does atiku get ??.
Jumping from one party to another is your own definition of structure??.
So all of a sudden,buhari no longer matter again because he is not contesting?
Hmmmm....so much for a master analyst.
Since governors are politically useless, do we now say osun gov will lose his election and tinubu a southerner will win in Southern states of enugu,abia,cross river,akwa ibom,rivers and delta??.

Make una dey analyse with sense nah..haba!!!.

CutieKing:


Which structure does atiku get ??.
Jumping from one party to another is your own definition of structure??.
So all of a sudden,buhari no longer matter again because he is not contesting?
Hmmmm....so much for a master analyst.
Since governors are politically useless, do we now say osun gov will lose his election and tinubu a southerner will win in Southern states of enugu,abia,cross river,akwa ibom,rivers and delta??.

Make una dey analyse with sense nah..haba!!!.

Nobody has said Buhari doesn't matter. Did Buhari matter in any APC Primaries in 2023? E go shock you guys. Brother nobody is saying governors don't matter. It depends on the state and the dynamics. Like in the core north no PDP Governor could stand firm and criticize Buhari if he/she intends to win election etc. There is limitation to the influence of a governor in presidential election depending on the dynamics. Eg in 2023 a PDP Governor in the SW can't be seen as strongly opposing Tinubu if he/she wants to be re_elected etc

garfield1:



With this,tinubu wins the north narrowly.a win in the south west is enough to get him to aso villa

Na you dey make that final conclusion. I have told you that TINUBU is not defeating Atiku in the North. Go thru the analysis again. You can make your own judgement

majole:


Nobody has said Buhari doesn't matter. Did Buhari matter in any APC Primaries in 2023? E go shock you guys. Brother nobody is saying governors don't matter. It depends on the state and the dynamics. Like in the core north no PDP Governor could stand firm and criticize Buhari if he/she intends to win election etc. There is limitation to the influence of a governor in presidential election depending on the dynamics. Eg in 2023 a PDP Governor in the SW can't be seen as strongly opposing Tinubu if he/she wants to be re_elected etc

We will continue this discussion next time...
Take care

CutieKing:

We will continue this discussion next time...
Take care

Nice 1. Next time

majole:


Nice 1. Next time

You no get work ni?

sammy329:
Don’t mind those jokers!


People seems to underrate the influence of governors in any election.

obi and kwankazo break pdp vote in South and North respectively. while the Ruling APC have more ģov than 2019. pdp broken to 3parties (nnpp,lp,pdp) and you guys still forecasting rubbish northern and Southern permutations. Jonathan lost election because 6 governors left the ruling party to opposition. APC are stronger than 2019 landslide victory for them if kwankazo and obi did not go back to pdp.

garfield1:


I cannot hang myself for any politician young boy...

But if I may,let me hazard something...

Sokoto
Pdp 500,00
Apc 409,000
Nnpp 250,000

Kebbi
Pdp 300,000
Apc 300,000
Nnpp 100,000

Zamfara
Pdp 200,000
Apc 450,000
Pdp 150,000

Katsina
Apc 1 million
Pdp 500,000
Nnpp 300000

Kano
Pdp 400,000
Apc 600,000
Nnpp 1.2 million

Kaduna
Pdp 500,000
Apc 550,000
Nnpp 250,000

Jigawa
Pdp 200,000
Apc 350,000
Nnpp 400,000


That is for northwest.I'll go to northeast later

who be this one allocating figures to NNPP and APC anyhow..e go soon clear for your eyes when 2023 comes

garfield1:


This is highly childish.is it possible for a human being to get all his predictions right? Even prophets and pastors with spiritual powers get it wrong.the major thing is most of my predictions are usually correct,85% rate.how many predictions have you gotten boy? Why not give us your own predictions for north west and stop the hatred

alaye let's hear words biko..this is a beer parlor analysis

majole:


You started crying already. Lol. You always insist that you get it right in your analysis. You hardly entertain any analysis that doesn't fit your analysis. If you want competition on electoral predictions then let's start with Osun gubernatorial and percentage range for the 2 major parties

what does he know? Don't mind him abeg

majole:


This is my presidential percentage as at today. Once proper Vice for APC & NNPP ALLIANCE is known things would change & I prefer you put yours in percentage terms
1. Kaduna
APC 38% PDP 37% others 25%
2. Katsina
APC 40% PDP 30% others 30%
3. Kano
APC 24% PDP 25% Others 51%
4. Jigawa
APC 30% PDP 30% Others 40%
5. Sokoto
APC 35% PDP 52% others 13%
6. Kebbi
APC 40% PDP 50% Others 10%
7. Zamfara
APC 50% PDP 35% Others 15%

with the series of decamping that has been happening there right?? Don't worry the great tsunami that would hit you people is still doing some push-ups

majole:



Who made Goje? Watch out. I await your NW analysis in percentage terms. Then we do Osun gubernatorial to know who is a better analyst

he no fit talk about Osun na

CutieKing:


Which structure does atiku get ??.
Jumping from one party to another is your own definition of structure??.
So all of a sudden,buhari no longer matter again because he is not contesting?
Hmmmm....so much for a master analyst.
Since governors are politically useless, do we now say osun gov will lose his election and tinubu a southerner will win in Southern states of enugu,abia,cross river,akwa ibom,rivers and delta??.

Make una dey analyse with sense nah..haba!!!.

na sense you just used right?

LP testing of microphone, 195 votes. Imagine how many votes the candidate would have received had Obi present in one of the campaign

garfield1:


Yes though kwankwaso might still win here

By your 85% always correct rate, you're saying Tinubu will beat Atiku in the North west, a fulani-hausa bastion by 900,000 votes and Kwankwaso their regional superstar, by a million. Ain't that laughable at the very least?

WhizdomXX:

By your 85% always correct rate, you're saying Tinubu will beat Atiku in the North west, a fulani-hausa bastion by 900,000 votes and Kwankwaso their regional superstar, by a million. Ain't that laughable at the very least?

It was laughable when I said buhari will get 25% in ss/se and uzodunma will become governor.I didnt say tinubu will win kwankwaso, I said he will win atiku.atiku is not seen as a pure Muslim nor fulani,he has never been popular in the core north,he has never won in his north east and his party isn't strong in the core north plus he doesnt have allies like tinubu.the northerners or Hausa fulanis dont just vote any northerner,they follow a radical muslim.why do you think buhari is popular and kwankwaso is also popular there?why is tambuwal and sambo not getting same attention

garfield1:


It was laughable when I said buhari will get 25% in ss/se and uzodunma will become governor.I didnt say tinubu will win kwankwaso, I said he will win atiku.atiku is not seen as a pure Muslim nor fulani,he has never been popular in the core north,he has never won in his north east and his party isn't strong in the core north plus he doesnt have allies like tinubu.the northerners or Hausa fulanis dont just vote any northerner,they follow a radical muslim.why do you think buhari is popular and kwankwaso is also popular there?why is tambuwal and sambo not getting same attention

Uzodinma becoming governor was a gamble not predictions.

From 4th position

garfield1:
Average turnout in this election is 40% higher than the south east

And the shocker is that Ekiti is the least populated in the South west, while Anambra ironically, is the most populated.

WhizdomXX:

And the shocker is that Ekiti is the least populated in the South west, while Anambra ironically, is the most populated.

Imagine but I see anambra giving obi 1 million

garfield1:


It was laughable when I said buhari will get 25% in ss/se and uzodunma will become governor.I didnt say tinubu will win kwankwaso, I said he will win atiku.atiku is not seen as a pure Muslim nor fulani,he has never been popular in the core north,he has never won in his north east and his party isn't strong in the core north plus he doesnt have allies like tinubu.the northerners or Hausa fulanis dont just vote any northerner,they follow a radical muslim.why do you think buhari is popular and kwankwaso is also popular there?why is tambuwal and sambo not getting same attention

Why is Kebbi State suddenly turning PDP? Will Kwankwaso get the votes of a radical muslim as a VP candidate? I thought Atiku was a fulani and Tinubu is still much liberal last I checked, so?

helinues:


Uzodinma becoming governor was a gamble not predictions.

From 4th position

Yes and it paid off beautifully

garfield1:


Yes and it paid off beautifully

Na so

WhizdomXX:

Why is Kebbi State suddenly turning PDP? Will Kwankwaso get the votes of a radical muslim as a VP candidate? I thought Atiku was a fulani and Tinubu is still much liberal last I checked, so?

Because sen aliero the grandmaster of kebbi politics is back to PDP with many defectors....deep down I think apc will still win kebbi but in order to avoid surprises,I gave it to PDP narrowly

garfield1:


Imagine but I see anambra giving obi 1 million

Let's watch. With the current sentiment over here, I see Obi beating Atiku in Delta State. If a merger with NNPP happens, LP may take three south south states. The North Central, what's your take?