A good study to both the 2015 and 2019 election may also help in good prediction of the coming 2023 election (taking 2003 into consideration too).

Juxtaposing the Southern presence in 2015 to northern presence in 2019 also the regional effect of 2003.

It can be clearly seen that in 2015, states like Bayelsa and other south south States performed beyond expectations. But due to divided camp.......GEJ fell to the wrong tide.

Now in 2019, by States...... Buhari won Atiku with just a single State, but if you check the margin......you understand that it's not just about winning a state but about winning comfortably (which favoured Buhari).

The KKK of Nigeria (Kaduna, Katsina, Kano) did wonderful to the present Nigeria's Buhari. Funny enough Borno supported Buhari against Atiku.

Now come 2023....

Whose chances will be ruined?.

Without doubt the chances of APC will be ruined greatly. Kwakwanso's emergence is a big set back to non but APC. APC has the best when it come to "structure". But will Kano vote Tinubu against kwakwanso?? .
Katsina and Kaduna may not be a hit for now but will Borno state vote APC against Atiku of Adamawa the nearest state?? . The best thing APC should do for now is to beg kwakwanso to their side.

In south...... Delta State and Rivers will be up for a grab by both LP and PDP.

For sure banker to Obi...... expect Anambra hitting 1million Plus.

Regional effect.......we all know how Ojukwu a great titan in the east lost distance third against Obasanjo in 2003. A good scenario of where popularity and competency competes for the true ownership. It was a great vindication to the great people of the east for the wrong accusation by today's myopic personnels of "politics of hatred". Ojukwu lost all the Eastern states to Obasanjo. Now 2023 will be a great determining factor of the region that actually plays "Politics of hatred" because again it is a tussle between popularity and competency.

To summerise it all......Atiku has the highest chance of winning but if Obi works harder......he will get it.

Nfpmod, mynd44,lalasticlala,seun

My opinion....

The tide favours Obi in the whole unfolding.

Firstly..... because he's the only christian aspirant. 1 Christian against 3 moslems. Remember the population ratio of christian to Muslim in nigeria is 49:51. It speaks volume.

Secondly......he has succeeded in convincing the mass of his capability (I know some of us will disagree but I'm ready for a dialogue if any lad is ready )

Tinubu will only lose this election if he allows it to be Free and fair.

Atiku will only lose this election if kwakwanso banks for Tinubu

Obi will only lose this election if he relent

Sergio101:
My opinion....

Valid.

Let's be frank to ourselves, Tinubu got no chance, it's quite obvious.

Chief zombiedient on the lose

Awaiting 2023 elections PETER OBI go shock una... agbados and cassavas urchins will enter this thread with thr stupidity and ethnicity campaign as deh use to do oya come in the gate is open...
#OBIDIENTS

the way you torturing Tinubu urchins is not fair oooo

You didn't give them any single hope

SparrowLeague:
Chief zombiedient on the lose

Mate....I give it to urchins like you as they want.

But let's allow peace for now.

You may send your account number for gift

Sergio101:


Mate....I give it to urchins like you as they want.

But let's allow peace for now.

You may send your account number for gift

Please will mail you

Garfield1.......

Come on in.

4teenblaq:
the way you torturing Tinubu urchins is not fair oooo

You didn't give them any single hope

Stories,Prediction and Emotional feeling doesn't win election.

Nigerian Youths, Diaspora, and Academia are contesting the President using Peter Obi as their front.

This election is not about politicians and their popularity. It's about the soul of the country and the people are calling traditional politicians' bluff and savaging what is remaining of the brutalized country.

Arrant nonsense.