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Nigeria’s 2023 Elections: On Poll Approvals And Appraisals, Poll Antecedents... - Politics - Nairaland

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Nigeria’s 2023 Elections: On Poll Approvals And Appraisals, Poll Antecedents... by DataphyteSEO: 12:50pm On Oct 14, 2022
Nigeria’s 2023 Elections: On Poll Approvals and Appraisals, Poll Antecedents and ongoing Appointments

by Editorial

While the ceremonies around the demise of the United Kingdom’s longest-serving monarch, Queen Elizabeth, were still on, Nigeria’s political discourse shifted with the result of a controversial opinion poll on presidential favourites in the forthcoming 2023 elections, by ANAP foundation.

This was followed in quick succession by polls from two other reputable polling organisations.

Using different methodologies, results from the 3 polling organisations put Peter Obi, the Labour Party (LP) presidential candidate, ahead of all other presidential candidates in the forthcoming 2023 elections.

The 3 polling organisations are NOI polls which conducted the poll online for ANAP Foundation; Premise Data Corp. which conducted the poll online for Bloomberg; and We2Geda which conducted the poll for Daily Trust using telephone interviews.

In the result of the poll conducted and released by the ANAP Foundation, Mr Obi was ranked first, defeating Bola Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) and Rabiu Kwankwaso of the New Nigeria People’s Party (NNPP).

Tinubu and Atiku shared the second position, while Mr Kwankwaso came to a distant fourth position in the poll.

However, here is a note of caution: 47% of the respondents were either undecided yet or refused to respond to the poll question.

It has been a few months since Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso dumped Nigeria’s largest opposition party, the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), to pick the presidential tickets of the Labour Party (LP) and New Nigerian People’s Party (NNPP) respectively.

The All-Progressives Congress (APC) and PDP have produced the presidents and controlled the National Assembly, and governed all but a few of the 36 states of the federation since the Fourth Republic began in 1999.

However, the supporters of the minority parties, especially those of Mr Obi, believe that the apple cart is about to be upturned. The NOI opinion poll that put the LP candidate at the head of the standings before the campaigns formally begin on 28 September, lends credence to their belief.

The former Anambra governor is widely seen as the biggest threat to the candidate of the ruling APC, Bola Tinubu, and Atiku Abubakar of the PDP.

The trio dominate discussions on Twitter in Nigeria. This trend has set the stage for tantalising electioneering from 28 September.

Election Antecedents before the Polls (1993-2019)

There are two reasons the recent polls may be showing a departure from election antecedents, where region/ethnicity and religion have been the absolute determinants of presidential election outcomes between 1993 and 2019.

First, the destruction of the northeast, northwest, and northcentral states by Islamic insurgency and banditry throughout President Muhammadu Buhari’s, a Muslim northerner’s, regime is weakening the religion, region and ethnic card.

Continue reading: https://www.dataphyte.com/latest-reports/nigerias-2023-elections-on-poll-approvals-and-appraisals-poll-antecedents-and-ongoing-appointments/

cc: lalasticlala, seun, onila, farano, mynd44, prettythicksme

Re: Nigeria’s 2023 Elections: On Poll Approvals And Appraisals, Poll Antecedents... by successmatters(m): 12:51pm On Oct 14, 2022
Peter Obi will win this elections, the masses are supporting him with passion.
Re: Nigeria’s 2023 Elections: On Poll Approvals And Appraisals, Poll Antecedents... by Ttalk: 12:53pm On Oct 14, 2022
Okay
Re: Nigeria’s 2023 Elections: On Poll Approvals And Appraisals, Poll Antecedents... by ecolime(m): 12:53pm On Oct 14, 2022
Peter Obi for President

Re: Nigeria’s 2023 Elections: On Poll Approvals And Appraisals, Poll Antecedents... by DearDealz: 5:15pm On Oct 14, 2022
DataphyteSEO:
Nigeria’s 2023 Elections: On Poll Approvals and Appraisals, Poll Antecedents and ongoing Appointments

by Editorial

While the ceremonies around the demise of the United Kingdom’s longest-serving monarch, Queen Elizabeth, were still on, Nigeria’s political discourse shifted with the result of a controversial opinion poll on presidential favourites in the forthcoming 2023 elections, by ANAP foundation.

This was followed in quick succession by polls from two other reputable polling organisations.

Using different methodologies, results from the 3 polling organisations put Peter Obi, the Labour Party (LP) presidential candidate, ahead of all other presidential candidates in the forthcoming 2023 elections.

The 3 polling organisations are NOI polls which conducted the poll online for ANAP Foundation; Premise Data Corp. which conducted the poll online for Bloomberg; and We2Geda which conducted the poll for Daily Trust using telephone interviews.

In the result of the poll conducted and released by the ANAP Foundation, Mr Obi was ranked first, defeating Bola Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) and Rabiu Kwankwaso of the New Nigeria People’s Party (NNPP).

Tinubu and Atiku shared the second position, while Mr Kwankwaso came to a distant fourth position in the poll.

However, here is a note of caution: 47% of the respondents were either undecided yet or refused to respond to the poll question.

It has been a few months since Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso dumped Nigeria’s largest opposition party, the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), to pick the presidential tickets of the Labour Party (LP) and New Nigerian People’s Party (NNPP) respectively.

The All-Progressives Congress (APC) and PDP have produced the presidents and controlled the National Assembly, and governed all but a few of the 36 states of the federation since the Fourth Republic began in 1999.

However, the supporters of the minority parties, especially those of Mr Obi, believe that the apple cart is about to be upturned. The NOI opinion poll that put the LP candidate at the head of the standings before the campaigns formally begin on 28 September, lends credence to their belief.

The former Anambra governor is widely seen as the biggest threat to the candidate of the ruling APC, Bola Tinubu, and Atiku Abubakar of the PDP.

The trio dominate discussions on Twitter in Nigeria. This trend has set the stage for tantalising electioneering from 28 September.

Election Antecedents before the Polls (1993-2019)

There are two reasons the recent polls may be showing a departure from election antecedents, where region/ethnicity and religion have been the absolute determinants of presidential election outcomes between 1993 and 2019.

First, the destruction of the northeast, northwest, and northcentral states by Islamic insurgency and banditry throughout President Muhammadu Buhari’s, a Muslim northerner’s, regime is weakening the religion, region and ethnic card.

Continue reading: https://www.dataphyte.com/latest-reports/nigerias-2023-elections-on-poll-approvals-and-appraisals-poll-antecedents-and-ongoing-appointments/

cc: lalasticlala, seun, onila, farano, mynd44, prettythicksme

Interesting write up.

Post the full article here

(1) (Reply)

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