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Realistically, What Is Atiku Or Obi's Chances In The SE And North Respectively? - Politics - Nairaland

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Realistically, What Is Atiku Or Obi's Chances In The SE And North Respectively? by LegalWolf: 6:53pm On Dec 06, 2022
On Atiku

I am a little bit confuse on how Atiku can realistically win SE. There are five States in the SE, listed below:

Imo
Ebonyi
Abia
Enugu
Anambra

Imo and Ebonyi are both APC States and I expect that the governors will try and deliver for their parties. Even if APC will not win those states, the chances are better for Peter Obi being the son of soil. So at least 60% of the votes will go to Obi with the rest being shared by the rest (with APC likely coming second)

Abia and Enugu are both PDP controlled states. However, the governors abhors Atiku's ambitions and will do everything to scuttle Atiku winning in those states. Like above, we expect Atiku to gallantly scramble for votes here as well. The same story goes for Anambra.

So can anyone logically explain how PDP hopes to win any state in the SE ?? (I expect 5/5 for PO).

On Peter Obi

I am still convinced that PO cannot win any local government in the North. The only chance he has is Benue because Ortom will likely support him. But outside there, can anyone realistically tell me any local government in the North that PO can win? Just one

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Re: Realistically, What Is Atiku Or Obi's Chances In The SE And North Respectively? by naturalman: 7:00pm On Dec 06, 2022
In other words, what is the chances of Tinubu in other region outside SW.

Do you expect an Hausa man to vote a Yoruba man instead of his brother.
OR
Do you expect the SS to vote Tinubu, instead of Obi..

February is very close....everybody go da all right

12 Likes 1 Share

Re: Realistically, What Is Atiku Or Obi's Chances In The SE And North Respectively? by Penguin2: 7:01pm On Dec 06, 2022
LegalWolf:
On Atiku

I am a little bit confuse on how Atiku can realistically win SE. There are five States in the SE, listed below:

Imo
Ebonyi
Abia
Enugu
Anambra

Imo and Ebonyi are both APC States and I expect that the governors will try and deliver for their parties. Even if APC will not win those states, the chances are better for Peter Obi being the son of soil. So at least 60% of the votes will go to Obi with the rest being shared by the rest (with APC likely coming second)

Abia and Enugu are both PDP controlled states. However, the governors abhors Atiku's ambitions and will do everything to scuttle Atiku winning in those states. Like above, we expect Atiku to gallantly scramble for votes here as well. The same story goes for Anambra.

So can anyone logically explain how PDP hopes to win any state in the SE ?? (I expect 5/5 for PO).

On Peter Obi

I am still convinced that PO cannot win any local government in the North. The only chance he has is Benue because Ortom will likely support him. But outside there, can anyone realistically tell me any local government in the North that PO can win? Just one


Nobody will vote Atiku in the Southeast.

About the north, you claimed Obi only stands a chance in Benue…

Who is winning Plateau?

Who is winning Abuja?

Who do you think will win Southern Kaduna?

Do you know that Obi is likely to do over 30% of votes cast in Adamawa, Atiku’s home state?

I am expecting realistic answers

6 Likes

Re: Realistically, What Is Atiku Or Obi's Chances In The SE And North Respectively? by favor914: 7:02pm On Dec 06, 2022
Penguin2:


Nobody will vote Atiku in the Southeast.

About the north, you claimed Obi only stands a chance in Benue…

Who is winning Plateau?

Who is winning Abuja?

Who do you think will win Southern Kaduna?

Do you know that Obi is likely to do over 30% of votes cast in Adamawa, Atiku’s home state?

I am expecting realistic answers
I doubt the Judas of Apga will even win Anambra State.

Probably will not win any state within the Federal Republic of Nigeria.

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: Realistically, What Is Atiku Or Obi's Chances In The SE And North Respectively? by ganisucks(f): 7:09pm On Dec 06, 2022
LegalWolf:
On Atiku



On Peter Obi

I am still convinced that PO cannot win any local government in the North. The only chance he has is Benue because Ortom will likely support him. But outside there, can anyone realistically tell me any local government in the North that PO can win? Just one

Who do you want to educate you?! People who don't know their left from their right. Look, anybody doing huge rally and claiming millions of voters on standby is a clown wanting to be a jester. The winner is the candidate with the sweetest narrative. A day before election the losers will get a call telling them to either lose by their hand, or collect heavy defeat at the hands of the powers that be.

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Re: Realistically, What Is Atiku Or Obi's Chances In The SE And North Respectively? by ganisucks(f): 7:10pm On Dec 06, 2022
favor914:
I doubt the Judas of Apga will even win Anambra State.

Probably will not win any state within the Federal Republic of Nigeria.
Your ignorance and arrogance in Tinubu will make you like this on election night.

3 Likes

Re: Realistically, What Is Atiku Or Obi's Chances In The SE And North Respectively? by Villa12: 7:34pm On Dec 06, 2022
ganisucks:

Your ignorance and arrogance in Tinubu will make you like this on election night.
Chinedu why are you disguising like a female on nairaland biko? Why are you impersonating like a female on nairaland? Don't you know it is a criminal offence to impersonate in Nigeria?

You're a male disguising like a female on nairaland. Why are you impersonating like a female on nairaland Chinedu?

3 Likes

Re: Realistically, What Is Atiku Or Obi's Chances In The SE And North Respectively? by Jostoman: 7:36pm On Dec 06, 2022
Who is bankrowling you, i will sugest you consult your google.
Re: Realistically, What Is Atiku Or Obi's Chances In The SE And North Respectively? by Penguin2: 8:05pm On Dec 06, 2022
kingmaster2009:


See day +dreamer....you sit hopelessly and be typing gibberish ...
30 percent of votes in Adamawa state....for Obi....
If he gets 3 percent, he really tries...

Have you been to Adamawa state I'm your life...?

Even Benue and Jos is a battlegrounds for the 3 major candidates

Obi should forget about Abuja

Forget Abuja for who?

1 Like

Re: Realistically, What Is Atiku Or Obi's Chances In The SE And North Respectively? by LegalWolf: 8:08pm On Dec 06, 2022
Penguin2:


Nobody will vote Atiku in the Southeast.

About the north, you claimed Obi only stands a chance in Benue…

Who is winning Plateau?

Who is winning Abuja?

Who do you think will win Southern Kaduna?

Do you know that Obi is likely to do over 30% of votes cast in Adamawa, Atiku’s home state?

I am expecting realistic answers

Let us analyse the three states you mentions:

Abuja We have six LG in Abuja, two HOR and One Senate. All these positions are dominated by PDP majorly and then APC. Also bear in mind that the natives of these places share no affinity to PO neither are Southerners the majority inhabitant of FCT. Again, there is the Muslim factor. So what do you expect?

Southern Kaduna - why would an SK man vote PO when Atiku is there? Remember Makarfi (although from Kaduna North, he is well respected in KS) is still in PDP. There are several PDP heavyweight in SK as well. In fact, APC cannot realistically win Southern Kaduna not to talk of PDP

Adamawa - Land of Beauty? Talk more of 10% than 30%. When Binani and other big wigs are there. APDP will jointly get at least 80%. You have even sidelined Kwakwanso's in Adamawa. In fact, let us break it down LG by LG. Mention one LG that Obi will win.. Is Yola North/Jimeta? Yola South? Fufore? Hong? Mubi....Where exactly?
Re: Realistically, What Is Atiku Or Obi's Chances In The SE And North Respectively? by LegalWolf: 8:09pm On Dec 06, 2022
kingmaster2009:


See day +dreamer....you sit hopelessly and be typing gibberish ...
30 percent of votes in Adamawa state....for Obi....
If he gets 3 percent, he really tries...

Have you been to Adamawa state I'm your life...?

Even Benue and Jos is a battlegrounds for the 3 major candidates

Obi should forget about Abuja

Exactly my point. We should not lie to ourselves, this is a one horse race
Re: Realistically, What Is Atiku Or Obi's Chances In The SE And North Respectively? by Godfullsam(m): 8:14pm On Dec 06, 2022
Obi may not be that popular in the core north but he is going to get enough votes in the north central.

Atiku is popular in the east because most of the eastern states PDP. The emergence of obi will reduce Atiku's vote to a large extent. He will however pull some votes in rivers, delta etc because of okowa and Wike (provided he settled with Wike before the election).
Re: Realistically, What Is Atiku Or Obi's Chances In The SE And North Respectively? by Tingotoe: 8:16pm On Dec 06, 2022
LegalWolf:
On Atiku

I am a little bit confuse on how Atiku can realistically win SE. There are five States in the SE, listed below:

Imo
Ebonyi
Abia
Enugu
Anambra

Imo and Ebonyi are both APC States and I expect that the governors will try and deliver for their parties. Even if APC will not win those states, the chances are better for Peter Obi being the son of soil. So at least 60% of the votes will go to Obi with the rest being shared by the rest (with APC likely coming second)

Abia and Enugu are both PDP controlled states. However, the governors abhors Atiku's ambitions and will do everything to scuttle Atiku winning in those states. Like above, we expect Atiku to gallantly scramble for votes here as well. The same story goes for Anambra.

So can anyone logically explain how PDP hopes to win any state in the SE ?? (I expect 5/5 for PO).

On Peter Obi

I am still convinced that PO cannot win any local government in the North. The only chance he has is Benue because Ortom will likely support him. But outside there, can anyone realistically tell me any local government in the North that PO can win? Just one

He will get considerable votes in plateau, Benue and Taraba. He will also get a few in Adamawa too but as for winning a LG, that's next to impossible. Peter Obi is just deceiving himself and his supporters. There's no path to victory for him at the polls next year
Re: Realistically, What Is Atiku Or Obi's Chances In The SE And North Respectively? by LegalWolf: 8:21pm On Dec 06, 2022
Tingotoe:
He will get considerable votes in plateau, Benue and Taraba. He will also get a few in Adamawa too but as for winning a LG, that's next to impossible. Peter Obi is just deceiving himself and his supporters. There's no path to victory for him at the polls next year

On point man! I agree he will get votes. If I were to be around too, I probably may donate my vote to him as I think the Nigerian system has been grossly unfair to Igbo people. But realistically, he cannot win ANY local government in the North.

People talk about winning North Central and I keep laughing. This is where I come from - Kwara. I cannot just imagine if it is Offa, or Ilorin South, or Oyun or Irepodun that PO will win. Same thing for Kogi, Niger, Nassarawa. This is just a joke taken too far brother
Re: Realistically, What Is Atiku Or Obi's Chances In The SE And North Respectively? by FatherOfJesus: 9:05pm On Dec 06, 2022
kingmaster2009:


Abuja is between Atiku and Tinubu...

Atiku had upper edge In Abuja.... because 1. PDP has a political stricture In the FCT 2. Majority support from.the Aboki...

Obi is just a passer by, he can only move the crowd but he cannot win...how I wish he has stayed with Atiku, this could have been a good victory for both of them....now what they had in 2019 will be divided into 2 and this is what is giving Tinubu hope In this election...
lol, February should come fast so we can shock APCshit

1 Like

Re: Realistically, What Is Atiku Or Obi's Chances In The SE And North Respectively? by ahiboilandgas: 9:06pm On Dec 06, 2022
Penguin2:


Nobody will vote Atiku in the Southeast.

About the north, you claimed Obi only stands a chance in Benue…

Who is winning Plateau?

Who is winning Abuja?

Who do you think will win Southern Kaduna?

Do you know that Obi is likely to do over 30% of votes cast in Adamawa, Atiku’s home state?

I am expecting realistic answers
so igbo people in southeast will vote their brother obi but expect Northeners not to vote Atiku ..una need brain examination.
Re: Realistically, What Is Atiku Or Obi's Chances In The SE And North Respectively? by Raheeqilmaktoom: 9:16pm On Dec 06, 2022
LegalWolf:


Let us analyse the three states you mentions:

Abuja We have six LG in Abuja, two HOR and One Senate. All these positions are dominated by PDP majorly and then APC. Also bear in mind that the natives of these places share no affinity to PO neither are Southerners the majority inhabitant of FCT. Again, there is the Muslim factor. So what do you expect?

1. Southern Kaduna - why would an SK man vote PO when Atiku is there? Remember Makarfi (although from Kaduna North, he is well respected in KS) is still in PDP. There are several PDP heavyweight in SK as well. In fact, APC cannot realistically win Southern Kaduna not to talk of PDP

2. Adamawa - Land of Beauty? Talk more of 10% than 30%. When Binani and other big wigs are there. APDP will jointly get at least 80%. You have even sidelined Kwakwanso's in Adamawa. In fact, let us break it down LG by LG. Mention one LG that Obi will win.. Is Yola North/Jimeta? Yola South? Fufore? Hong? Mubi....Where exactly?

1. 2. I just laugh at these guys delusion, to them everyone in southern Kaduna is a Christian and would vote for Obi (since they are banking on religious divide), Southern Kaduna (and many of such other states they include in their permutations Bauchi, Gombe) has significant number of Muslims who won't be swayed by POs claim based on religion. You will be shocked too, a great lot of Christians from those areas would vote Atiku over Obi.

If Obi sees 5% in Adamawa, Gombe, Borno, Bauchi, he should be declared winner.
Re: Realistically, What Is Atiku Or Obi's Chances In The SE And North Respectively? by Penguin2: 7:07am On Dec 07, 2022
LegalWolf:


Let us analyse the three states you mentions:

Abuja We have six LG in Abuja, two HOR and One Senate. All these positions are dominated by PDP majorly and then APC. Also bear in mind that the natives of these places share no affinity to PO neither are Southerners the majority inhabitant of FCT. Again, there is the Muslim factor. So what do you expect?

Southern Kaduna - why would an SK man vote PO when Atiku is there? Remember Makarfi (although from Kaduna North, he is well respected in KS) is still in PDP. There are several PDP heavyweight in SK as well. In fact, APC cannot realistically win Southern Kaduna not to talk of PDP

Adamawa - Land of Beauty? Talk more of 10% than 30%. When Binani and other big wigs are there. APDP will jointly get at least 80%. You have even sidelined Kwakwanso's in Adamawa. In fact, let us break it down LG by LG. Mention one LG that Obi will win.. Is Yola North/Jimeta? Yola South? Fufore? Hong? Mubi....Where exactly?

Lol!

Peter Obi a passerby in Abuja?

Let’s leave this talk till after February next year.
Re: Realistically, What Is Atiku Or Obi's Chances In The SE And North Respectively? by rolams(m): 9:31am On Dec 07, 2022
Penguin2:


Nobody will vote Atiku in the Southeast.

About the north, you claimed Obi only stands a chance in Benue…

Who is winning Plateau?

Who is winning Abuja?

Who do you think will win Southern Kaduna?

Do you know that Obi is likely to do over 30% of votes cast in Adamawa, Atiku’s home state?

I am expecting realistic answers

You are funny!

Obi 30% in Adamawa? Tell me the relation of obi there pls!

Obi wining plateau and Abuja?

February is near!
Re: Realistically, What Is Atiku Or Obi's Chances In The SE And North Respectively? by Nobody: 9:53am On Dec 07, 2022
Please has PO offend anybody. Please let the Man live
Re: Realistically, What Is Atiku Or Obi's Chances In The SE And North Respectively? by tuniski: 10:06am On Dec 07, 2022
Penguin2:


Nobody will vote Atiku in the Southeast.

About the north, you claimed Obi only stands a chance in Benue…

Who is winning Plateau?

Who is winning Abuja?

Who do you think will win Southern Kaduna?

Do you know that Obi is likely to do over 30% of votes cast in Adamawa, Atiku’s home state?

I am expecting realistic answers
Be deceiving yourself. Obi can't win a ward in any state in the entire 19 northern states plus FCT .
Very soon it will even be clear he can't win polling units.

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