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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / ANAP Polls Breakdown...... (3005 Views)
Anap Polls Predict Victory For Sanwo-olu, Siminalayi Fubara / ANAP Polls Can Not Be Taken Seriously / Latest ANAP Polls For Kwara , Abia ,Kano and Lagos states (2) (3) (4)
ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by Starcrest1: 11:51am On Dec 22, 2022 |
I'm doing this to enlighten agbadorians because they have been wailing since yesterday albeit ignorantly. Let's see the percentage by zone and see who wins according to the polls all things being equal. Total registered voters by zone. NW = 22.67 million SW = 18.3 million SS = 15.2 Million NC = 14.1 Million NE = 12.8 Million SE = 11.49 Million 1. Peter Obi — (NC = 3,384,000) + (NE = 1,024,000) + (NW = 2,493,700) + (SE = 5,745,000) + (SS = 6,992,000) + (SW = 2,745,000) TOTAL = 22,383,700. 2. Tinubu — (NC = 1,269,000) + (NE = 1,920,000) + (NW = 3,400,500) + (SE = 114,900) + (SS = 1,368,000) + (SW = 4,026,000) TOTAL = 12,098,400 3. Atiku — (NC = 1,128,000) + (NE = 2,944,000) + (NW = 3,853,900) + (SE = 114,900) + ( SS = 456,000) + (SW = 732,000) TOTAL = 9,228,800. You can see this is for 100% turnout but you can still work it out for lesser percentages of turnout. Obi is leading with almost double margin of the closest rival so even if the South has a lower turnout, he will still be leading. I don't see how Tinubu can overturn this since he runs away from the Media. 17 Likes 3 Shares
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Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by julaion: 11:59am On Dec 22, 2022 |
Starcrest1: ![]() 22 Likes 4 Shares |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by lhordspy: 12:02pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
Peter obi 2million vote Northwest?, ![]() ![]() Obi south-south 6million votes? ![]() I rest my case. 13 Likes 1 Share |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by Starcrest1: 12:02pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
julaion: Lols my job is to press their neck wella since they don't want to get sense...... 17 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by Starcrest1: 12:05pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
lhordspy: At least disappoint me for once and post intelligently. That's for 100% turnout which is impossible. 40% turnout will give him less than a million but so will other contestants have theirs reduced. 12 Likes 1 Share |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by Starcrest1: 12:14pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
Omo! The interesting thing is that if you add Obi's vote percentages only in SE/SS, he will still come first with 12,737,000. If you still add agbado and mikano votes, it wouldn't still be up to Obi's votes Agbado and Mikano should just give up...... 10 Likes 1 Share |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by ImmaculateJOE(m): 12:51pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
Starcrest1:I expect Obi to win the election with 12million votes.. His closest rival should have around 10million, followed by the third 8million & fourth 5million.. All in all, expect maximum of 40million votes to be counted.. 6 Likes |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by OnyeAshuaUru: 12:57pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
A new Nigeria is upon us. 1 Like |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by ganisucks(f): 12:58pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
Starcrest1: Brilliant analysis. 7 Likes 3 Shares |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by Starcrest1: 1:11pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
ImmaculateJOE: That's 43% turnout as expected but I project up to 50%...... 1 Like |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by misreal(m): 1:15pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
How some people think atiku will sweep the whole south still surprises me till date. Some others claim tinubu will win the whole south. Na WA oh. I am not even sure tinubu will win Lagos with the way peter obi is going. Peter obi will retire these old men 4 Likes 1 Share |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by Realrealfact: 1:18pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
Peter Obi is better |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by ImmaculateJOE(m): 1:20pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
Starcrest1:Let's see how it goes. I'm damn sure SE/SS will give him nothing less than 7million votes. 2 Likes |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by blank(f): 1:26pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
This election will be an election of turnout. You need your support base to come out and vote. The higher the turnout in your zone and the lower the turnout in the opponents zone, the more likely you are to win. 1 Like |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by MaliCampus: 1:26pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
Obi is Winning this election. What I saw at inec office on Tuesday I went to collect my pvc in Lagos was a thing of joy. I spent close to 2hours on the queue because of Peter Obi,lol unlike me. 85% that came to collect pvc that day were all youth between 18-45 years discussing Obi while we waited. Cc nlfpmod Seun 7 Likes 1 Share
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Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by Sergio103(m): 1:30pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
lhordspy: Go back to secondary school if you don't understand what he did there ![]() @op......a very brilliant analysis! Nfpmod 1 Like |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by Faber(m): 1:39pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
Pls how important is this ANAP poll, does it mean, they have accurately predicted the winners of past presidential elections? make una still clear me small 1 Like |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by fuckingAyaya(m): 1:50pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
Faber:they have accurately predicted the winner from 2011 to 2019 so 2023 ain't exceptional. Obi/datti 2023-2031 5 Likes
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Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by garfield1: 1:53pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
ImmaculateJOE: Highest se can give is 3 mil.ss,2 mill.tinubu and atiku will beat him same margin up north |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by jumper524(m): 2:01pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
Tinubu at poorest in North central: win kogi, Niger, kwara, might win nasarawa. Yet anap gave him 9% a four man contest where 1 man clinches 4 out of 7 states is getting 9% from anap pool. Jokers, real jokers.. 2 Likes |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by Okoroawusa: 2:04pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
Ok |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by joyandfaith: 2:04pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
Starcrest1: Good job. But undecided voters may determine the winner especially in NW and NE. 1 Like |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by ImmaculateJOE(m): 2:07pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
garfield1:Only Rivers and Delta will give him 2million. SE will give him 4million, minimum. Anambra and Imo will give him @least 1million each. 3 Likes |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by garfield1: 2:33pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
jumper524: I tell you |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by Starcrest1: 2:40pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
joyandfaith: Yea of course but undecided cut across all the zones and we have no idea who they are voting, so let's just work with what we have. |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by garfield1: 2:44pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
ImmaculateJOE: Rivers and delta can't give him 1 mil each.he will likely win rivers but won't get up to a million.he won't even win delta na.be realistic and objective.only anambra can give him 1 mil.IMO can't give him 1 mil.the opposition there is too much.the last time IMO produced a million was in 2011 under manual system.the highest turnout in se was 5 mil in 2011 under Maurice iwu and his wuruwuru system of manual accreditation.highest se can turnout is 4 mil.highest ss can turnout is 5 mil and it will be tight in ss. |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by backtovillage: 2:48pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
SE and SS poll isn't correct It's likely Atiku defeat Tinubu in SS It's likely Tinubu defeat Atiku in SE Tinubu has a string base in the SE compare to SS. Even though I am not Obidient if Obi wins it a plus dor me and all Nigerians. pro BAT anti-Dubai |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by drlateef: 2:50pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
Starcrest1: You are making further attempts at telling lies and confusing people. Where are the raw figures that the researchers obtained? That’s the question. Atedo Peterside refused to release those details. This indicates that they cooked up the statistics. We are not asking for electoral figures. We are asking how did Atedo Peterside arrive at hos percentages. How many respondents did they get from each state. When we know that, we can then weight that against the INEC electoral figures. |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by 07kjb: 2:54pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
We must not seize to preaching the good news That PETER OBI IS THE RIGHT MAN FOR THE JOB 1 Like |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by rolams(m): 3:00pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
The results from the North East and North West funny die! We all saw Obi's rally in Nasarawa. Let's wait and see from others northern states. 1 Like |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by ImmaculateJOE(m): 3:05pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
garfield1:Excuse me Sir, Athahiru Jega was the one in charge of 2011 elections.. Between Obi and GEJ who is more loved in SE..? Obi will beat Okowa in his backyard. Book mark this, My only fear in SS is Bayelsa, and that's because of Ijaw's lack of love towards their cousin brother, Igbos. 1 Like |
Re: ANAP Polls Breakdown...... by garfield1: 3:08pm On Dec 22, 2022 |
ImmaculateJOE: How are igbos and ijaws cousins or brothers? It will be a big disgrace for okowa to lose delta and ijaws dominste delta south where pdp gets bloc votes.okowa will win delta at any cost. Between Peter and ojukwu,who is more loved in se? Yet he lost se.highest obi can do is win se,other regions are not sure.ss is highly undecided and divided |
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