I'm doing this to enlighten agbadorians because they have been wailing since yesterday albeit ignorantly.

Let's see the percentage by zone and see who wins according to the polls all things being equal.

Total registered voters by zone.
NW = 22.67 million
SW = 18.3 million
SS = 15.2 Million
NC = 14.1 Million
NE = 12.8 Million
SE = 11.49 Million

1. Peter Obi — (NC = 3,384,000) + (NE = 1,024,000) + (NW = 2,493,700) + (SE = 5,745,000) + (SS = 6,992,000) + (SW = 2,745,000) TOTAL = 22,383,700.

2. Tinubu — (NC = 1,269,000) + (NE = 1,920,000) + (NW = 3,400,500) + (SE = 114,900) + (SS = 1,368,000) + (SW = 4,026,000) TOTAL = 12,098,400

3. Atiku — (NC = 1,128,000) + (NE = 2,944,000) + (NW = 3,853,900) + (SE = 114,900) + ( SS = 456,000) + (SW = 732,000) TOTAL = 9,228,800.

You can see this is for 100% turnout but you can still work it out for lesser percentages of turnout.

Obi is leading with almost double margin of the closest rival so even if the South has a lower turnout, he will still be leading.

I don't see how Tinubu can overturn this since he runs away from the Media.

Starcrest1:
I'm doing this to enlighten agbadorians because they have been wailing since yesterday albeit ignorantly.

Let's see the percentage by zone and see who wins according to the polls all things being equal.

Total registered voters by zone.
NW = 22.67 million
SW = 18.3 million
SS = 15.2 Million
NC = 14.1 Million
NE = 12.8 Million
SE = 11.49 Million

1. Peter Obi — (NC = 3,384,000) + (NE = 1,024,000) + (NW = 2,493,700) + (SE = 5,745,000) + (SS = 6,992,000) + (SW = 2,745,000) TOTAL = 22,383,700.

2. Tinubu — (NC = 1,269,000) + (NE = 1,920,000) + (NW = 3,400,500) + (SE = 114,900) + (SS = 1,368,000) + (SW = 4,026,000) TOTAL = 12,098,400

3. Atiku — (NC = 1,128,000) + (NE = 2,944,000) + (NW = 3,853,900) + (SE = 114,900) + ( SS = 456,000) + (SW = 732,000) TOTAL = 9,228,800.

You can see this is for 100% turnout but you can still work it out for lesser percentages of turnout.

Obi is leading with almost double margin of the closest rival so even if the South has a lower turnout, he will still be leading.

I don't see how Tinubu can overturn this since he runs away from the Media.

you sure say urchins them go sleep this night hahahaha

Peter obi 2million vote Northwest?, Northcentral 3million votes, And 1million + votes in Northeast?

Obi south-south 6million votes?

I rest my case.

julaion:
you sure say urchins them go sleep this night hahahaha

Lols my job is to press their neck wella since they don't want to get sense......

lhordspy:
Peter obi 2million vote Northwest.

At least disappoint me for once and post intelligently.
That's for 100% turnout which is impossible. 40% turnout will give him less than a million but so will other contestants have theirs reduced.

Omo! The interesting thing is that if you add Obi's vote percentages only in SE/SS, he will still come first with 12,737,000.

If you still add agbado and mikano votes, it wouldn't still be up to Obi's votes

Agbado and Mikano should just give up......

Starcrest1:
Omo! The interesting thing is that if you add Obi's vote percentages only in SE/SS, he will still come first with 12,737,000.

If you still add agbado and mikano votes, it wouldn't still be up to Obi's votes

Agbado and Mikano should just give up......

I expect Obi to win the election with 12million votes.. His closest rival should have around 10million, followed by the third 8million & fourth 5million.. All in all, expect maximum of 40million votes to be counted..

A new Nigeria is upon us.

Starcrest1:
I'm doing this to enlighten agbadorians because they have been wailing since yesterday albeit ignorantly.

Let's see the percentage by zone and see who wins according to the polls all things being equal.

Total registered voters by zone.
NW = 22.67 million
SW = 18.3 million
SS = 15.2 Million
NC = 14.1 Million
NE = 12.8 Million
SE = 11.49 Million

1. Peter Obi — (NC = 3,384,000) + (NE = 1,024,000) + (NW = 2,493,700) + (SE = 5,745,000) + (SS = 6,992,000) + (SW = 2,745,000) TOTAL = 22,383,700.

2. Tinubu — (NC = 1,269,000) + (NE = 1,920,000) + (NW = 3,400,500) + (SE = 114,900) + (SS = 1,368,000) + (SW = 4,026,000) TOTAL = 12,098,400

3. Atiku — (NC = 1,128,000) + (NE = 2,944,000) + (NW = 3,853,900) + (SE = 114,900) + ( SS = 456,000) + (SW = 732,000) TOTAL = 9,228,800.

You can see this is for 100% turnout but you can still work it out for lesser percentages of turnout.

Obi is leading with almost double margin of the closest rival so even if the South has a lower turnout, he will still be leading.

I don't see how Tinubu can overturn this since he runs away from the Media.

Brilliant analysis.

ImmaculateJOE:

I expect Obi to win the election with 12million votes.. His closest rival should have around 10million, followed by the third 8million & fourth 5million.. All in all, expect maximum of 40million votes to be counted..

That's 43% turnout as expected but I project up to 50%......

How some people think atiku will sweep the whole south still surprises me till date.
Some others claim tinubu will win the whole south.
Na WA oh.
I am not even sure tinubu will win Lagos with the way peter obi is going.
Peter obi will retire these old men

Peter Obi is better

Starcrest1:


That's 43% turnout as expected but I project up to 50%......

Let's see how it goes.

I'm damn sure SE/SS will give him nothing less than 7million votes.

This election will be an election of turnout. You need your support base to come out and vote. The higher the turnout in your zone and the lower the turnout in the opponents zone, the more likely you are to win.

Obi is Winning this election. What I saw at inec office on Tuesday I went to collect my pvc in Lagos was a thing of joy. I spent close to 2hours on the queue because of Peter Obi,lol unlike me.
85% that came to collect pvc that day were all youth between 18-45 years discussing Obi while we waited.


Cc nlfpmod
Seun

lhordspy:
Peter obi 2million vote Northwest?, Northcentral 3million votes, And 1million + votes in Northeast?

Obi south-south 6million votes?

I rest my case?

Go back to secondary school if you don't understand what he did there


@op......a very brilliant analysis!

Nfpmod

Pls how important is this ANAP poll, does it mean, they have accurately predicted the winners of past presidential elections? make una still clear me small

Faber:
Pls how important is this ANAP poll, does it mean, they have accurately predicted the winners of past presidential elections? make una still clear me small

they have accurately predicted the winner from 2011 to 2019 so 2023 ain't exceptional. Obi/datti 2023-2031

ImmaculateJOE:

Let's see how it goes.

I'm damn sure SE/SS will give him nothing less than 7million votes.

Highest se can give is 3 mil.ss,2 mill.tinubu and atiku will beat him same margin up north

Tinubu at poorest in North central: win kogi, Niger, kwara, might win nasarawa. Yet anap gave him 9% a four man contest where 1 man clinches 4 out of 7 states is getting 9% from anap pool.
Jokers, real jokers..

Ok

Starcrest1:
I'm doing this to enlighten agbadorians because they have been wailing since yesterday albeit ignorantly.

Let's see the percentage by zone and see who wins according to the polls all things being equal.

Total registered voters by zone.
NW = 22.67 million
SW = 18.3 million
SS = 15.2 Million
NC = 14.1 Million
NE = 12.8 Million
SE = 11.49 Million

1. Peter Obi — (NC = 3,384,000) + (NE = 1,024,000) + (NW = 2,493,700) + (SE = 5,745,000) + (SS = 6,992,000) + (SW = 2,745,000) TOTAL = 22,383,700.

2. Tinubu — (NC = 1,269,000) + (NE = 1,920,000) + (NW = 3,400,500) + (SE = 114,900) + (SS = 1,368,000) + (SW = 4,026,000) TOTAL = 12,098,400

3. Atiku — (NC = 1,128,000) + (NE = 2,944,000) + (NW = 3,853,900) + (SE = 114,900) + ( SS = 456,000) + (SW = 732,000) TOTAL = 9,228,800.

You can see this is for 100% turnout but you can still work it out for lesser percentages of turnout.

Obi is leading with almost double margin of the closest rival so even if the South has a lower turnout, he will still be leading.

I don't see how Tinubu can overturn this since he runs away from the Media.

Good job. But undecided voters may determine the winner especially in NW and NE.

garfield1:


Highest se can give is 3 mil.ss,2 mill.tinubu and atiku will beat him same margin up north

Only Rivers and Delta will give him 2million.
SE will give him 4million, minimum.
Anambra and Imo will give him @least 1million each.

jumper524:
Tinubu at poorest in North central: win kogi, Niger, kwara, might win nasarawa. Yet anap gave him 9% a four man contest where 1 man clinches 4 out of 7 states is getting 9% from anap pool.
Jokers, real jokers..

I tell you

joyandfaith:


Good job. But undecided voters may determine the winner especially in NW and NE.

Yea of course but undecided cut across all the zones and we have no idea who they are voting, so let's just work with what we have.

ImmaculateJOE:

Only Rivers and Delta will give him 2million.
SE will give him 4million, minimum.
Anambra and Imo will give him @least 1million each.

Rivers and delta can't give him 1 mil each.he will likely win rivers but won't get up to a million.he won't even win delta na.be realistic and objective.only anambra can give him 1 mil.IMO can't give him 1 mil.the opposition there is too much.the last time IMO produced a million was in 2011 under manual system.the highest turnout in se was 5 mil in 2011 under Maurice iwu and his wuruwuru system of manual accreditation.highest se can turnout is 4 mil.highest ss can turnout is 5 mil and it will be tight in ss.

SE and SS poll isn't correct
It's likely Atiku defeat Tinubu in SS
It's likely Tinubu defeat Atiku in SE
Tinubu has a string base in the SE compare to SS.
Even though I am not Obidient if Obi wins it a plus dor me and all Nigerians. pro BAT anti-Dubai

Starcrest1:
I'm doing this to enlighten agbadorians because they have been wailing since yesterday albeit ignorantly.

Let's see the percentage by zone and see who wins according to the polls all things being equal.

Total registered voters by zone.
NW = 22.67 million
SW = 18.3 million
SS = 15.2 Million
NC = 14.1 Million
NE = 12.8 Million
SE = 11.49 Million

1. Peter Obi — (NC = 3,384,000) + (NE = 1,024,000) + (NW = 2,493,700) + (SE = 5,745,000) + (SS = 6,992,000) + (SW = 2,745,000) TOTAL = 22,383,700.

2. Tinubu — (NC = 1,269,000) + (NE = 1,920,000) + (NW = 3,400,500) + (SE = 114,900) + (SS = 1,368,000) + (SW = 4,026,000) TOTAL = 12,098,400

3. Atiku — (NC = 1,128,000) + (NE = 2,944,000) + (NW = 3,853,900) + (SE = 114,900) + ( SS = 456,000) + (SW = 732,000) TOTAL = 9,228,800.

You can see this is for 100% turnout but you can still work it out for lesser percentages of turnout.

Obi is leading with almost double margin of the closest rival so even if the South has a lower turnout, he will still be leading.

I don't see how Tinubu can overturn this since he runs away from the Media.

You are making further attempts at telling lies and confusing people. Where are the raw figures that the researchers obtained? That’s the question. Atedo Peterside refused to release those details. This indicates that they cooked up the statistics. We are not asking for electoral figures. We are asking how did Atedo Peterside arrive at hos percentages. How many respondents did they get from each state. When we know that, we can then weight that against the INEC electoral figures.

We must not seize to preaching the good news

That PETER OBI IS THE RIGHT MAN FOR THE JOB

The results from the North East and North West funny die!

We all saw Obi's rally in Nasarawa. Let's wait and see from others northern states.

garfield1:


Rivers and delta can't give him 1 mil each.he will likely win rivers but won't get up to a million.he won't even win delta na.be realistic and objective.only anambra can give him 1 mil.IMO can't give him 1 mil.the opposition there is too much.the last time IMO produced a million was in 2011 under manual system.the highest turnout in se was 5 mil in 2011 under Maurice iwu and his wuruwuru system of manual accreditation.highest se can turnout is 4 mil.highest ss can turnout is 5 mil and it will be tight in ss.

Excuse me Sir, Athahiru Jega was the one in charge of 2011 elections..

Between Obi and GEJ who is more loved in SE..?
Obi will beat Okowa in his backyard. Book mark this, My only fear in SS is Bayelsa, and that's because of Ijaw's lack of love towards their cousin brother, Igbos.

ImmaculateJOE:

Excuse me Sir, Athahiru Jega was the one in charge of 2011 elections..

Between Obi and GEJ who is more loved in SE..?
Obi will beat Okowa in his backyard. Book mark this, My only fear in SS is Bayelsa, and that's because of Ijaw's lack of love towards their cousin brother, Igbos.

How are igbos and ijaws cousins or brothers? It will be a big disgrace for okowa to lose delta and ijaws dominste delta south where pdp gets bloc votes.okowa will win delta at any cost.
Between Peter and ojukwu,who is more loved in se? Yet he lost se.highest obi can do is win se,other regions are not sure.ss is highly undecided and divided