One hundred days after the aggression on Gaza, the director of the National Security Research Institute in the occupation entity, Tamir Hayman, believes that the Israeli leadership must make one decision: either a prisoner exchange deal, or a more comprehensive deal that includes a “peace process” with the Palestinian Authority, and also starts from an exchange of prisoners. For prisoners.



Director of the National Security Research Institute in the occupation entity and former head of the Aman Service, Major General Tamir Hayman, reserve, saw that with the war on Gaza reaching its 100th day, “Israel” is reaching a decisive turning point, and the options of the political level are limited to two options.

According to Hayman, the dilemma has become political, and after a hundred days of war without eliminating the Hamas leadership or dealing with the Rafah Brigade, “Israel” must leave all of that behind and go to an exchange deal - mediated by Qatar - that leads to the end of the war. The price of this option is that Hamas will have a chance to continue ruling.

The second option is to go to a regional deal brokered by the United States with Saudi Arabia. In this case too, the war will end through an exchange deal, but the price will come in the form of Israeli agreement to a political process (peace process) with the Palestinian Authority.

Hayman does not rule out that the government will postpone decision-making and only move forward with military action for the war, which may be the best path for the current coalition, but it does not lead to any stable final state, and does not guarantee the achievement of all the goals of the war.

Hayman believes that the Israeli leadership must choose one of the first two options, both of which involve an unpopular political vision, but which guarantees partial achievement of the war’s objectives, or be determined to defeat Hamas militarily, and perhaps open an additional war front in the north, but it is doubtful that Ultimately, it achieves a fundamental change in the balance of national security.

Hyman concludes by saying that achieving the goals of the war, if it continues, will be in doubt, especially those related to the return of prisoners.


Al-Mayadeen