garfield1:


Yes,they may be pdp but if pdpp neglects them,they can switch afterall bayelsa switched.bonny,opobo do not even give heavy votes like asari toru,akuku toru,andoni,degema,okrika, ogoni

Still waiting for Andy Uba to win Anambra

Eastlink:
Which yeye Riverine with 8 LGA. Don't let Ijo scam deceive you.

We have no Riverine so-called voting bloc. It died in 1996 and could not even defeat mere Odili from Ndoni. If it existed those who boasted with it during elections have tasted the bitter pill. The Bayelsa clowns who keep sponsoring the expired idea in Rivers through INC should be tired by now as it's not bearing fruit.

Mind you Ogoni want the Governorship same as the Kalabari. Each will have to battle Ikwerre but at the end both the Ikwerre, Ogoni and Kalabari will lose to a viable candidate in Dakuku Peterside.

Dakuku is in apc na

Eastlink:
Good analysis but for Rivers state PDP holds the ace. But the stake might swing if APC gives the ticket to Dakuku Peterside.

Dakuku will not allow the shenanigan that happened the last time happen this time. Wike is losing in both ends if he dares give the PDP ticket to a fellow Ikwerre. That will be his downfall but stubborn Wike will not listen.

Am not sure dakuku is strong. I prefer magnus Abe,dump Briggs or ojukaye amachree

garfield1:
Kano; with the defection of kwankwaso from pdp,apc will likely or easily win the governorship poll in the state.ganduje should install a successor...

Katsina: the apc will easily retain the state.

Zamfara; bello matawalle will easily be reelected.
Kaduna: the apc will likely retain his state with senator uba sani likely to pick the ticket.
Kebbi; apc will likely retain the state although there is a struggle between who will win the right to install a successor between bagudu and aliero factions...
Jigawa; another state apc will retain with the ticket being fought for by senator hadejia,farouk adamu etc

Yobe: mai- mala buni will retain his seat
Borno; walkover for zulum
Bauchi; with governor bala contesting for presidency,he will be distracted from his guber ambition.votes from hon dogara's LGA made him governor but now,dogara is in apc and in 2019,the apc were divided and conspired with pdp to fail then governor abubakar.I. see apc regaining this state..

Gombe; despite stiff resistance from pdp's gwamna and nafada,governor yahaya will be reelected.
Taraba; pdp should retain the state if they zone it to taraba north. If they dont and APC abide by zoning,it will be a 50 50 fight..
Adamawa: incumbent governor fintiri will be reelected despite stiff res instance from apc..

Niger: it will be a stiff fight especially as both parties will zone to Zone A dominated by the Nupes.if nasko picks pdp ticket,it is advantage apc...
Kwara; incumbent governor abdulrazak will get reelected despite feeble attempts from the lai and saraki camps.
Nasarawa; the incumbent will stroll to victory.
Benue; this is a complex state with complicated system.it is 50 50.
Kogi; whoever yahaya bello anoints will succeed him.
Plateau; both parties having zoned to plateau central,the race will be 50 50 but with plateau pdp being divided between jerry boy and jang,APC might have the advantage and frontrunners are senator dimka,prof sunny tyoden the deputy governor and hon Yusuf gagdi of kanam fed con...

Oyo: with apc factionalized,makinde has the advantage.

Lagos; walkover for apc
Ogun: walkover for apc.other. parties are too weak to challenge.

Rivers: except pdp zone to thee riverine area,apc will take rivers esp as wike attention is on aso rock and he is rumoured to have anointed either Austin opara or emeka woke his chief of staff both fellow ikwerres while the apc has zoned to the riverine area.

Akwa ibom; if governor udom succeeds in imposing umo eno,it will divide pdp and give apc the advantage.
Cross river: with pdp about to zone to the central and APC zoning to the south,apc may narrowly take the state.

Bayelsa; if APC presents David Lyon again,he will humiliate the failed governor diri.

Delta; pdp should retain the state but if they zone the ticket to delta south and APC gives its ticket to DSP agege,it will be an evenly matched battle.

Ebonyi: except pdp zones to ebonyi north,apc will take this state easily.
IMO; despite stiff resistance from ihedioha,smart abdd crafty hope will retain his seat.

Enugu; walkover for pdp
Abia; pdp will win here if they zone the ticket to abia north.anything else will hand the advantage to apc


Mynd44
Fergie001
Lalasticlala
Kyase
Sonoyom
Canal
Watch over
Jrusky
Jaxxy
Asobo
Ekpeitit

You are wrong on Abia.

APC deliberately put the Presidential election before governorship

If APC wins the presidency, In a weeks time many PDP candidates will be demotivated, Mobilization will be poor and any state where PDP does not have a 60% advantage will be in play and likely lost

garfield1:



Orrr.apart from Enugu,apc has penetrated all pdp states.they even won bayelsa if not for the court.see crs that used to be pdp totally,it is now 50 50

Akwa-ibom will go to the wire if udom succeeds in giving umo eno the pdp ticket

Norwichsailor:

Akwa-ibom will go to the wire if udom succeeds in giving umo eno the pdp ticket

I just finished watching oba campaign in eket.he is campaigning very hard

garfield1:



I just finished watching oba campaign in eket.he is campaigning very hard

If oba, onofiok and enoidem can fight udom on a united front he can't succeed in giving umo eno the ticket. Victor attah tried and failed. Udom will fail

Norwichsailor:

If oba, onofiok and enoidem can fight udom on a united front he can't succeed in giving umo eno the ticket. Victor attah tried and failed. Udom will fail

Enoidem is going to the Senate to wait till guber gets to ik.he is with udom

garfield1:


Enoidem is going to the Senate to wait till guber gets to ik.he is with udom

Will Chris ekpeyong give up like that

Norwichsailor:

Will Chris ekpeyong give up like that

He doesn't want to go back again

garfield1:


He doesn't want to go back again

Damn

Norwichsailor:

Damn

He was brought to do a hatchet job,stopping akpabio plus he's too old.the shocking news is that hon essien ayi is going again for the 6th time

garfield1:


He was brought to do a hatchet job,stopping akpabio plus he's too old.the shocking news is that hon essien ayi is going again for the 6th time

Efik politics is boring fr.
Dk why it's not as interesting as akwa ibom.
Just the same set of people everytime

Analysis is faulty.
These are basically your APC fancy.

I know it will be Garfield.
Your analysis is completely faulty and without foundation.

I absolutely disagree with you on your opinion stating Apc and David lyon (if fielded) taking over Bayelsa and that the present miracle governor is underperforming: The man Diri only paid for the sins of his Godfather as at then but presently had proven his worth and he's loved by the people across state, the handwriting is clear that be it Lyon or any other person, Apc has lost their golden chance given on a platter of gold as at then and we don't see that happening soonest again