buhariguy:
I will give you state by state result
North west : Apc 45% , pdp 30 % , Lp 10%, NNPP 15%
Kastina
Apc -45%, pdp 30%, Lp 5% NNPP 20%
Kaduna :
Apc 45%, pdp 30%, Lp 15%, NNPP 10%
Kebbi :
Apc 45%, pdp 30%, Lp 3% , NNPP 22%
Jigawa :
Apc 45%, pdp 30%, Lp 3%, NNPP 22%
Sokoto :
Apc 40%, pdp 45% Lp 5%, NNPP 10 %

South west : Apc 60% , pdp 25 %, Lp 15%
North east : Apc 40%, pdp 45 %, Lp 10 %, NNPP 5%
South south : Apc 25%, pdp 30 %, Lp 45 %
South east :Apc 15 %, pdp 25 %, Lp 60%
North central :Apc 40%, pdp 30% , Lp 30%.

Noted.

Note that you can still modify your projections. However you CANNOT modify your projections on or after election day.

Ttalk:
My projection
SW
Tinubu 70%
Atiku. 15%
Obi. 12%
Others 3%


SS
Tinubu 20%
Atiku. 40%
Obi. 35%
Others 5%

SE
Tinubu 18%
Atiku 32%
Obi. 50%

NC
Tinubu 50%
Atiku. 30%
Obi 15%
Others 5%

NE
Tinubu 30%
Atiku. 50%
Obi. 5%
Kwakwaso 10%
Others 5%

NW
Tinubu 53%
Atiku 25%
Obi. 2%
Kwakwaso 20%

Where I indicate Others mean Kwakwaso will get most of the % allocated to others.

However, my projection will be review based on the alignment and reallignment.

Kwakwaso may likely collapse his with either of APC or PDP while Peter Obi is likely to collapse for PDP.

Regardless the alignment, Tinubu will win the presidential election as he stands the greatest chance of getting 25% in 24states conveniently.

Also, States with the highest registered voters are controlled by APC government with the exception of Rivers Oyo.

Lagos
Kaduna
Katsina
Kano
Borno

Will give APC the boost to cover their loss in SE and SS

Also, Lagos state is likely to give the highest voters turnout unlike the previous elections where there were voters apathy.

Somehow Tinubu will also get the highest votes from the South among the three major contestants

Noted.

Note that you can still modify your projections. However you CANNOT modify your projections on or after election day.

NgeneUkwenu:
North Central-
Tinubu- 55%
Atiku- 25%
Peter Obi- 10%
Kwankwaso- 8%
Others - 2%

South West-
Tinubu- 70%
Obi - 15%
Atiku- 10%
Others- 5%

South South
Atiku -37% (Majorly because of Akwaibom Votes)
Tinubu - 35%
Peter Obi - 25%
Others - 3%

South East-
Peter Obi- 58%
Tinubu - 25% ( He will get reasonable votes in Imo, Abia and Ebonyi State)
Atiku - 10% ( Nobody is talking about himp currently in the South East)
Invalid/others- 7%

North East-
Tinubu- 50%
Atiku - 30%
Kwankwaso-15%
Others/Invalid -5%

North West-
Tinubu- 35%
Atiku - 35%
Kwankwaso-25%
Invalid/others votes- 5%

Noted.

Note that you can still modify your projections. However you CANNOT modify your projections on or after election day.

Booking this space, until obi is announced winner

Ttalk:
My projection
SW
Tinubu 70%
Atiku. 15%
Obi. 12%
Others 3%


SS
Tinubu 20%
Atiku. 40%
Obi. 35%
Others 5%

SE
Tinubu 18%
Atiku 32%
Obi. 50%

NC
Tinubu 50%
Atiku. 30%
Obi 15%
Others 5%

NE
Tinubu 30%
Atiku. 50%
Obi. 5%
Kwakwaso 10%
Others 5%

NW
Tinubu 53%
Atiku 25%
Obi. 2%
Kwakwaso 20%

Where I indicate Others mean Kwakwaso will get most of the % allocated to others.

However, my projection will be review based on the alignment and reallignment.

Kwakwaso may likely collapse his with either of APC or PDP while Peter Obi is likely to collapse for PDP.

Regardless the alignment, Tinubu will win the presidential election as he stands the greatest chance of getting 25% in 24states conveniently.

Also, States with the highest registered voters are controlled by APC government with the exception of Rivers Oyo.

Lagos
Kaduna
Katsina
Kano
Borno

Will give APC the boost to cover their loss in SE and SS

Also, Lagos state is likely to give the highest voters turnout unlike the previous elections where there were voters apathy.

Somehow Tinubu will also get the highest votes from the South among the three major contestants

. A pc controlling states with highest registered voters doesn't .Dan they will win there. Take kano for example, they will never win presidential election in kano with Tinubu on the ballot

Smkal:
. A pc controlling states with highest registered voters doesn't .Dan they will win there. Take kano for example, they will never win presidential election in kano with Tinubu on the ballot

Why did you say so?

If you can give me convincing fact.

As far as I know, most of the grassroots politicians from Kano are still in APC. Don't forget Kano is a cosmopolitan state with high concentration of elites.

Also the relationship between Kano State and Lagos state has been cordial especially since 2015. The support and collaboration they both shared in Nass is a testament. Politics is beyond online gist. Let's live it at that for now

Ruggedniggaone:
North West
Atiku 40%
Kwankwazo 25%
Tinubu 25%
Obi and others 10%
North East
Atiku 45%
Tinubu 35%
Kwankwazo 15%
Obi and others 5%
South West
Atiku 30%
Tinubu 50%
Obi 15%
Others 5%
South south
Atiku 30%
Tinubu 10%
Obi 55%
Kwankwazo and others 5%
South East
Atiku 25%
Obi 65%
Tinubu 5%
Kwankwazo and others 5%
North Central
Atiku 30%
Tinubu 30%
Obi 30%
Kwankwazo and others 10%
Atiku is the winner

Noted.

Note that you can still modify your projections. However you CANNOT modify your projections on or after election day.

NgeneUkwenu:
North Central-
Tinubu- 55%
Atiku- 25%
Peter Obi- 10%
Kwankwaso- 8%
Others - 2%

South West-
Tinubu- 70%
Obi - 15%
Atiku- 10%
Others- 5%

South South
Atiku -37% (Majorly because of Akwaibom Votes)
Tinubu - 35%
Peter Obi - 25%
Others - 3%

South East-
Peter Obi- 58%
Tinubu - 25% ( He will get reasonable votes in Imo, Abia and Ebonyi State)
Atiku - 10% ( Nobody is talking about himp currently in the South East)
Invalid/others- 7%

North East-
Tinubu- 50%
Atiku - 30%
Kwankwaso-15%
Others/Invalid -5%

North West-
Tinubu- 35%
Atiku - 35%
Kwankwaso-25%
Invalid/others votes- 5%

may God bless you

MissLeslie:
Tinubu is the Next president of Nigeria come may 2023, I want all the bastard on NL to know this and rest, he will win 3 to 4 region, or 3win and 1 2nd, wining south west, North central and north west because of Buhari influence in the north west, then 2nd in north east.... Obi will do well only in south east and second in the south south, forget about Emperor Wike effect in the south south Atiku will still win here. Apart from Benue Obi can only come second in Taraba where there is Christian domain. North central has 6 state Tinubu winning 3, Atiku winning 2 then Obi winning 1, the most populous region is North west and Obi name is not on the 3 horse here, Tinubu Atiku and Kwakwaso will slog it out here, northeast this is Atiku strong hold but shetima in Bornu, Buni in Yobe and inuwa in Gombe, Tinubu stand a chance of second, Atiku will claim Bauchi, Adamawa and probably Gombe and Taraba vote will be split into 3, Atiku Obi and Tinubu, so in all Presidency is returning to the south.

you are on point

NORTH EAST
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 30%
Atiku Abubakar - 39%
Peter Obi - 19%
Kwankwaso - 12%

NORTH WEST
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 27%
Atiku Abubakar - 33%
Peter Obi - 13%
Kwankwaso - 27%

NORTH CENTRAL
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 33%
Atiku Abubakar - 34%
Peter Obi - 37%
Kwankwaso - 6%

SOUTH EAST
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 6%
Atiku Abubakar - 20%
Peter Obi - 72%
Kwankwaso - <2%

SOUTH WEST
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 44%
Atiku Abubakar - 23%
Peter Obi - 30%
Kwankwaso - 3%

SOUTH SOUTH
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 17%
Atiku Abubakar - 30%
Peter Obi - 51%
Kwankwaso - 2%

Obi- 100% (in all regions)
Atiku- 0%
Tinubu- -59.66%

.

TypicallyBrunt:
NORTH EAST
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 30%
Atiku Abubakar - 43%
Peter Obi - 10%
Kwankwaso - 14%
Others/Invalids - 3%

NORTH WEST
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 25%
Atiku Abubakar - 35%
Peter Obi - 15%
Kwankwaso - 22%
Others/Invalids - 3%

NORTH CENTRAL
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 35%
Atiku Abubakar - 30%
Peter Obi - 25%
Kwankwaso - 7%
Others/Invalids - 3%

SOUTH EAST
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 5%
Atiku Abubakar - 25%
Peter Obi - 65%
Kwankwaso - <3%
Others/Invalids - 2%

SOUTH WEST
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 43%
Atiku Abubakar - 25%
Peter Obi - 25%
Kwankwaso - 5%
Others/Invalids 2%

SOUTH SOUTH
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 15%
Atiku Abubakar - 30%
Peter Obi - 50%
Kwankwaso - 3%
Others/Invalids - 2%

Noted.

Note that you can still modify your projections. However you CANNOT modify your projections on or after election day.

North East
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 15%
Atiku Abubakar - 50%
Peter Obi - 10%
Others- 25%

North West
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 20%
Atiku Abubakar - 35%
Peter Obi - 10%
Others- 35%

North Central
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 30%
Atiku Abubakar - 25%
Peter Obi - 35%
Others- 10%

South East
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 5%
Atiku Abubakar - 15%
Peter Obi - 80%

South West
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 60%
Atiku Abubakar - 15%
Peter Obi - 25%

South south
Bola Ahmed Tinubu -10%
Atiku Abubakar - 20%
Peter obi- 70%[/quote]

Donsheddy:



North East
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 15%
Atiku Abubakar - 50%
Peter Obi - 10%
Others- 25%

North West
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 20%
Atiku Abubakar - 35%
Peter Obi - 10%
Others- 35%

North Central
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 30%
Atiku Abubakar - 25%
Peter Obi - 35%
Others- 10%

South East
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 5%
Atiku Abubakar - 15%
Peter Obi - 80%

South West
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 60%
Atiku Abubakar - 15%
Peter Obi - 25%

South south
Bola Ahmed Tinubu -10%
Atiku Abubakar - 20%
Peter obi- 70%

Noted.

Note that you can still modify your projections. However you CANNOT modify your projections on or after election day.

Obinoscopy:
This space is reserved for the summarized valid projections made by nairalanders.

My Projection

NE
Apc - 42%
PDP - 48%
Lp - 3%
Others - 7%

NW
APC - 48%
PDP - 42%
LP - 3%
other - 7%

NC
Apc - 40%
PDP - 35%
Lp - 20%
Other - 5%

Sw
Apc - 58%
Pdp - 37%
Lp - 3%
Other - 2%

SS
apc - 20%
PDP - 48%
Lp - 38%
Other - 2%

Se
Apc - 10%
Pdp - 40%
Lp - 45%
Other - 5%


Overall
Apc - 44%
Pdp - 40%
Lp - 14%
Other - 2%

Let me book space.
When the time is right, I will make my predictions.

ATIKU: 39%
OBI: 36%
TINUBU: 25%

North East
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 27%
Atiku Abubakar - 50%
Peter Obi - 6%

North West
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 25%
Atiku Abubakar - 60%
Peter Obi - 1%

North Central
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 16%
Atiku Abubakar - 18%
Peter Obi - 60%

South East
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 1%
Atiku Abubakar - 3%
Peter Obi - 94%

South West
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 37%
Atiku Abubakar - 17%
Peter Obi - 24%

South South
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 11%
Atiku Abubakar - 11%
Peter Obi - 67%

The nextier poll is my inspiration

Sammy07:


My Projection

NE
Apc - 42%
PDP - 48%
Lp - 3%
Others - 7%

NW
APC - 48%
PDP - 42%
LP - 3%
other - 7%

NC
Apc - 40%
PDP - 35%
Lp - 20%
Other - 5%

Sw
Apc - 58%
Pdp - 37%
Lp - 3%
Other - 2%

SS
apc - 20%
PDP - 48%
Lp - 38%
Other - 2%

Se
Apc - 10%
Pdp - 40%
Lp - 45%
Other - 5%


Overall
Apc - 44%
Pdp - 40%
Lp - 14%
Other - 2%

Noted.

Note that you can still modify your projections. However you CANNOT modify your projections on or after election day.

ShowYourCertificate:
North East
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 27%
Atiku Abubakar - 50%
Peter Obi - 6%

North West
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 25%
Atiku Abubakar - 60%
Peter Obi - 1%

North Central
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 16%
Atiku Abubakar - 18%
Peter Obi - 60%

South East
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 1%
Atiku Abubakar - 3%
Peter Obi - 94%

South West
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 37%
Atiku Abubakar - 17%
Peter Obi - 24%

South South
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 11%
Atiku Abubakar - 11%
Peter Obi - 67%

The nextier poll is my inspiration

Noted.

Note that you can still modify your projections. However you CANNOT modify your projections on or after election day.

Any more projections?

Obinoscopy:
The presidential election is fast approaching. It's now less than 100 days to the election. There's been lots and lots of permutations on who will win. I'm really interested in nairalanders projections on who will win in the six geopolitical zones, so I decided to create this thread.

I enjoin all nairalanders to post their projections on the percentage of votes each of the three major presidential candidates will garner in the 6 geopolitical zones. You may also post your reasons if you so wish. The nairalander with the closest projections to the actual result after election day will win the naira equivalent of $100.

An illustration is shown below:



You can make your projections from now up until a day before the election. Multiple predictions are not allowed but you can modify your projections up until a day before the election.

The Winner will be announced on this thread.

North West
APC- 35%
PDP- 40%
NNPP- 12.5%
LP-7.5%

North East
APC- 37.5%
PDP- 40%
LP-17.5%
NNPP-5%

North Central
APC-40%
NNPP-5%
LP-30%
PDP-25%

South West
APC- 55%
LP- 23%
PDP- 22%

South South
LP-50%
APC- 15%
PDP-35%

South East
PDP-25%
LP-70%
APC- 5%

K

WhizdomXX:

North West
APC- 35%
PDP- 40%
NNPP- 12.5%
LP-7.5%

North East
APC- 37.5%
PDP- 40%
LP-17.5%
NNPP-5%

North Central
APC-40%
NNPP-5%
LP-30%
PDP-25%

South West
APC- 55%
LP- 23%
PDP- 22%

South South
LP-50%
APC- 15%
PDP-35%

South East
PDP-25%
LP-70%
APC- 5%

Noted.

Note that you can still modify your projections. However you CANNOT modify your projections on or after election day.

Obinoscopy:
Noted.

Note that you can modify your projections. However you CANNOT modify your projections on or after election day.

Yours is the best. Keep it up

North West
APC- 25%
PDP- 35%
NNPP- 25%
LP-7.5%

North East
APC- 30%
PDP- 40%
LP-10%
NNPP-15%

North Central
APC-25%
NNPP-10%
LP-30%
PDP-25%

South West
APC- 50%
LP- 25%
PDP- 20%

South South
LP-55%
APC- 15%
PDP-30%

South East
PDP-15%
LP-75%
APC- 5%

Trollronaldo:

North West
APC- 25%
PDP- 35%
NNPP- 25%
LP-7.5%

North East
APC- 30%
PDP- 40%
LP-10%
NNPP-15%

North Central
APC-25%
NNPP-10%
LP-30%
PDP-25%

South West
APC- 50%
LP- 25%
PDP- 20%

South South
LP-55%
APC- 15%
PDP-30%

South East
PDP-15%
LP-75%
APC- 5%

Noted.

Note that you can still modify your projections. However you CANNOT modify your projections on or after election day.

NgeneUkwenu:
North Central-
Tinubu- 55%
Atiku- 25%
Peter Obi- 10%
Kwankwaso- 8%
Others - 2%

South West-
Tinubu- 70%
Obi - 15%
Atiku- 10%
Others- 5%

South South
Atiku -37% (Majorly because of Akwaibom Votes)
Tinubu - 35%
Peter Obi - 25%
Others - 3%

South East-
Peter Obi- 58%
Tinubu - 25% ( He will get reasonable votes in Imo, Abia and Ebonyi State)
Atiku - 10% ( Nobody is talking about himp currently in the South East)
Invalid/others- 7%

North East-
Tinubu- 50%
Atiku - 30%
Kwankwaso-15%
Others/Invalid -5%

North West-
Tinubu- 35%
Atiku - 35%
Kwankwaso-25%
Invalid/others votes- 5%

You must be a clown to believe Tinubu will get 70% in SW and Obi 58% in SE.

Any more projections?

Obinoscopy:
Any more projections?

Can I modify mine?

Obinoscopy:
This space is reserved for the summarized valid projections made by nairalanders.

I think I was the closest projection.

WhizdomXX:

I think I was the closest projection.

Hi, you were close but not as close as Buhariguy. So the price goes to him. But kudos, you were close.