₦airaland Forum

CoronaVirusRelo:
😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

Damn! Some people will so humbled!

Keep daydreaming!

I. For APC/Buhari 15 million votes, Atiku will get majority of Buhari bulk votes
Reason: He the most popular candidate in the north, plus Buhari is not contesting

Tinubu will get his own chunk of the Northern votes too, he will pull votes in the South West with or without Buhari
Reason: he is in APC, plus Shettima influence

3. Kwankwaso: Kwankwaso will get Buhari northern votes too,
Reason: he is a northerner, and also a close ally of Buhari

For PDP/Atiku 2019 12 million Bulk votes, Atiku will get majority of the votes (especially the north), he will likely win his polling unit too (he lost his polling unit in 2019)
Reason: he is still in the race, plus he is a northerner

Peter Obi, Peter Obi will get his own chunk of PDP 2019 votes, believe it or not he was one of the main reasons people voted Atiku (I am being neutral here)
Peter Obi will pull votes in the South East, with or without Atiku bulk votes

Kwankwaso: he was another major influence for PDP in 2019, he pulled the biggest ever rally in Kano, though he lost his polling unit and state to Buhari which was awkward, considering the mammoth crowd that attended PDP rally in Kano (election results is not by rallies)

Again, nobody will inherit Buhari bulk votes, it will be shared
Likewise Atiku bulk votes


Lastly, 6, majority of the 15 million new registered voters are youths, who are mostly behind Peter Obi

Summary, the northern votes won't go to a particular candidate alone, like Buhari in 2019

The southern votes won't go to a particular candidate alone, like Atiku in 2019

So it will be hard for anyone to win upto 17 states

I won't go into who is winning the election or who will pull the highest votes

No party candidate will win upto 17 states, come back to this particular sentence tomorrow.

Before predicting tomorrow results with how Nigerians voted in 2019

kindly note that:
1. Things has changed since then, (shege pro max under APC)

2. Buhari (the most POPULAR politician) IN the north is no longer in the race

3. It is a four horse race (Two from the South, Two from the North)

4. Northerners will likely vote their brother over anyone else

5. this is the major one
the diagram below depicts how the 2019 bulk votes of both candidates will be shared (it is a 4 horse race)

States Peter Obi will get Atleast 500k votes

Anambra
Delta
Benue
Ebonyi
Rivers
Imo
Plateau
Edo
Akwa ibom
Enugu
Lagos
Abia
Abuja
Cross River

300k
Adamawa
Ondo
Kaduna
Gombe
Taraba
Bayelsa
Nasarawa
Ogun

100k
Oyo
Jigawa
Osun
Oyo
Katsina
Ekiti
Niger

Less than 70k
Sokoto
Borno
Kano
Kebbi
Zamfara
Yola
Kwara
Kogi
(These states are core Northern Muslims states, the votes will be shared, though Atiku will win majority of the states,)

Omoawoke:
You go learn politics

Omoawoke:
By this time tomorrow, half of Lp candidates in north would have ended up with Tinubu or atiku…
By Saturday, only remnants would be left of LP in north..
Lp will get less than 5% of northern. Votes

1phone:
How many voted

AyakaDunukofia:
SOUTH WEST 9.3 Million
SOUTH EAST 10.4 Million

Lagos 6.2 Million

Interesting times

egunna:
no b census we dey talk about ooo.na number of registered voters,PVCs collected,accredited voters and finally number of votes cast u hear?no b how many ppl dey east.