ufuosman:
I prefer atiku than tinubu

I don't want any of them but if it turned out that APC present Tinubu while PDP present Atiku, I will vote for Tinubu without any apology.
Two things are certain;
1) I most vote
2) I must vote for the best among the choices before me (and at the moment I have two parties in mind, APC and PDP).
Common vice president, Atiku couldn't handled it properly. what has he done in his state?
Ever since he left office as vice president, everything about his political career has been about himself. How many people has he lifted politically?
As small as Adamawa is when compared to Lagos, how strong is Atiku in Adamawa state politics talk more of the entire Nigeria?
On several occasions, there had been political issues within the APC, leading to some people decamping to other party(ies) yet those who decamped still have some respect for Tinubu and Buhari, such leaders are not in PDP.
Atiku that is not politically relevant beyond people's hatred for his opposition is the man that someone is telling me to vote for as Nigerian president.

ipobarethieves:
group of scammers .Make dem com campaign for am here

Take it easy. There are different strategic thinkers and planners working underground all over Nigeria and outside. Remember, campaign embargo has not been lifted yet and Tinubu is busy campaigning which obviously violate the law.

caracas:

Tell aPC to zone their presidency to the south East....
It's either the SE or Fulani for life

as if u guys will ever vote an APC candidate..yeye dey smell

Can’t PDP look beyond this serial loser��

Atiku money no dey finish ni!

sultry69:
Yes,most esp. Hausa.

Most of them will believe they are of thesame faith,they are both corrupt,but what will make Tinubu overshadowed Atiku is that he always help them financially in time of crises and most will go for him for fairness because North has done her 2terms.

Lol You yorubas will never learn

So Paul ibe isn't verified on twitter

Why Bola Tinubu lost the 2023 presidential election

JANUARY 17, 2022

In his article, “Osinbajo’s Road to Abuja: The Untold Story,” Olawale Olaleye told how Osinbajo ‘defeated’ Bola Tinubu to become Muhammadu Buhari’s vice-presidential candidate.

According to the story, early in 2015, as soon as Buhari became the presidential candidate of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Bola Tinubu set up a committee to come up with a way to justify to the nation his inevitable choice as Buhari’s running mate. That was because the Buhari-Tinubu ticket would have imposed Muslim-Muslim candidates on Nigeria. One of the committee members was Yemi Osinbajo, the current Vice President of Nigeria. As the story went, Osinbajo expressed to the committee members that it would be difficult for him to go back to his constituency and explain the potential Muslim-Muslim ticket. Osinbajo’s discontent got to Bola Tinubu, and he held it as a grudge against his former Attorney-General when he was the governor of Lagos State.

While this was going on, Muhammadu Buhari’s committee set up to shortlist his possible Vice Presidential candidates arrived at three names. One of the names was Yemi Osinbajo. When Buhari took the three names to Bola Tinubu to give him the honor of picking one in recognition of his contribution to Buhari’s campaign, Tinubu flared up when he did not see his name on the list. In the intriguing negotiations and permutations that followed, despite Bola Tinubu’s initial rejection, Osinbajo ended up as the Vice Presidential candidate of Buhari instead of Tinubu.

That was how Tinubu lost out in his quest to be Buhari’s running mate in 2015. Of course, if Bola Tinubu had been Vice President for the last six years, a different conversation would be going on in Nigeria today.

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Now, here is how Tinubu will lose out in his quest to become the President of Nigeria in 2023.

Undoubtedly, amongst those who have declared their interest in running for president in the 2023 election, Bola Tinubu is the most formidable. It was not a secret that he had nursed the ambition of being president since he left the governorship of Lagos State in 2007. He has invested a lot of political capital in building a humongous political structure across Nigeria. As the political season opens up, he hopes to deploy all his resources to attain his ultimate political goal.

The troubles with Bola Tinubu’s candidacy are enormous. Some are within his control, while others are not. No candidate for the presidency of Nigeria has ever come into the campaign with much political baggage as Tinubu, not even Muhammadu Buhari.

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We can find in three folds everything wrong with Muhammadu Buhari in Bola Tinubu. In 2015, there was the myth that Buhari’s abbreviated performance in 1984 as the military Head of State was what Nigeria needed. We cannot say the same about Tinubu. Nobody can say that Tinubu’s abysmal performance as governor in Lagos State from 1999 – 2007 displayed any spark of brilliance that can make a dent in Nigeria’s precarious situation today. In 2015, some thought Buhari was disciplined. In 2022, everyone knows that Tinubu is not disciplined. In 2015, some saw Buhari as incorruptible. In 2022, everyone knows Tinubu as the epitome of bullion-van-level corruption in Nigeria. In 2015, some looked at Buhari as healthy and agile. In 2022, everyone knows Tinubu is ill and sluggish. In 2015, some perceived Buhari as someone that commanded respect within military circles. In 2022, everyone knows that the only military wings that respect Tinubu are the touts, alayes and the area boys.

Unlike Buhari, who had several opportunities to try, Tinubu has just one chance – 2023. It is a do-or-die situation for him. He has no second chance. If he doesn’t win, he goes home without fulfilling his dream. That puts tremendous pressure on the man.

So, we expect a vigorous campaign from Bola Tinubu. And as the first week of his one-shot campaign shows, it won’t be an easy ride for the self-described “kingmaker” who wants to be a king.

The self-inflicted personal baggage of Tinubu is well known to all. His inability to present a straight biography is one of them. Nothing about him is straightforward – his age, his name, his certificates, his schools (primary, secondary, university), his parents, his source of wealth, the state of his health, his ever-changing ideology, etc. Even his classmates are unknown. At least, Buhari has been taking pictures with his secondary school classmates as proof that he went to secondary school.

Though possession of a crooked biography has never stopped anyone from being the president of Nigeria, the case of Tinubu is so egregious. They are coming at a point when Nigerians are less tolerant of such character flaws. It does not help that more and more Nigerians are beginning to see the correlation between such flaws and the performance of the bearer, as Muhammadu Buhari exemplified. It does not help Tinubu that Nigerians are coming into a new awareness of how personal things affect professional things and how individual faults impact the collective interest of we, the people.

Of course, in Nigeria’s crooked democracy, the people have little say on who will ultimately become their president. The power brokers are the most significant determinants of who will emerge as president.

Here is what is working for Bola Tinubu.

If APC fields Tinubu as its presidential candidate, APC is finished. If APC does not field Tinubu as its presidential candidate, APC is finished. As a result of that reality, APC is trying, but it has not found a way to extricate itself from that quagmire.

In 2015, when Nigeria was still at its innocent stage, Buhari was forced to pick a pastor as his running mate to deflect the perception of him as an Islamist. In almost seven years in office, Buhari’s obscene mismanagement of Nigeria’s diversity raises the stake so high for Bola Tinubu. The heightened ethno-religious tension in Nigeria complicates Tinubu’s life on so many levels.

If Tinubu were to become the presidential candidate of the APC, his first challenge is finding a Vice Presidential candidate that will be satisfactory to Northern leaders. As we have seen in the past, a Northern Christian is not satisfactory to the North as a vice presidential candidate when the presidential candidate is a Southern. It doesn’t matter if the Southern is a Muslim because, in the North, a Southern Muslim is not seen as authentic as a Northern Muslim. The North would rather have a Southern Christian president with a Muslim vice president than a Southern Muslim president with a Northern Christian vice president.

While a Muslim-Muslim ticket could win the presidency in 1993, it was unacceptable in 2015. And that was why Bola Tinubu was not named the Vice President to Buhari then. Buhari’s performance makes it ten times more difficult to sell a Muslim-Muslim ticket to Nigerians in 2023. Of course, Bola Tinubu thinks he can sell it, another indication that he lives in a world of those who have taken mkpurummiri. Tinubu thinks his Southwest base, known to care less about whether their leader is Muslim or Christian, will abide by him. This is so 1993.

But the truth is that the power brokers in the North are not going to take that chance. They instead back another candidate that will not bring about so many complications to their interest. And that is why they are leaving the room for a Northern candidate to be the presidential candidate of the PDP, just in case they need to default to supporting the party in 2023.

Another thing not working for Bola Tinubu is that in northern power circles, nobody trusts him. He is not an Obasanjo. In the past, he had expressed his distaste for one-Nigeria. Coming out of NADECO, he once flirted with the campaign for a radical restructuring of Nigeria in ways the North detests. The bottom line is that Tinubu does not fit into the character that either the North or the South will want for president. No wonder the Southwest-based cultural group, Afenifere quickly disassociated themselves from his campaign for president.

When it is all said and done, history will record that Bola Tinubu used the first part of his life to destroy the last. He was not the first to do so. And he will not be the last. That realization should console him. And irrespective of who becomes the president of Nigeria in 2023, Nigeria would be better off than the country would have been if it were to be Bola Tinubu.

TheCable

Okonkwo teaches Post-Colonial African History at the School of Visual Arts in New York City. He is also the host of Dr. Damages Show. His books include “This American Life Sef”, “Children of a Retired God” among others.

PaChukwudi44:

And you think money will make Igbos or Hausas to vote for Tinubu over Atiku?

Eboes should vote for Atiku, it's their right. They should just shut up when it comes to others who want to vote for Tinubu.

caracas:

Tell aPC to zone their presidency to the south East....
It's either the SE or Fulani for life

Why should a party that your people call "Fulani" and "Islamic" party zone its Presidency to the region of people who hate it with vigour. Don't you meth people do rational and critical thinking at all?

Springboot:
Where are the support groups for the south east candidates? Most of the support group for Atiku consist of my Igbo brothers yet we say we want igbo president.

The Igbo's are currently doing one of 2 things:
(I) Casting Tinubu
((ii) projecting Atiku

This time dt serious contenders are tightening their belts for d may 29, 2023 race, d average igbo dey pretend say e nor consign them.

By may 30 now, na to com begin shout 'marginalization' upandan like bushbaby.

Time dey go o, ehn-ehn!

PaChukwudi44:

Tinubu can only win in the SW and one or two states in the middle belt

which Middle belt state abeg..is it edo..abi rivers..or cross river..abi akwa ibom or delta.

Tinubu can not win at all..dey all hate him there and everything he represent

These old men should leave this young and vibrant country called Nigeria alone, she is too young for these old fokes for Christ sake............

CROOKS and NOTHING but CROOKS!

PaChukwudi44:

Lol You yorubas will never learn

Ok, time will tell.

Instead of you to support your own,you keep supporting those who wanted to cheat you, or you no have qualified candidate from your place.

Next meeting will be in Dubai.

id911:


Take it easy. There are different strategic thinkers and planners working underground all over Nigeria and outside. Remember, campaign embargo has not been lifted yet and Tinubu is busy campaigning which obviously violate the law.

where Una take see Pa Tinubu campaign? Dat:s not campaign.Beside,Atiaku is 78.We DNT want another Fulani to RUIN us.We have had enuf

WrittyWritter:


which Middle belt state abeg..is it edo..abi rivers..or cross river..abi akwa ibom or delta.

Tinubu can not win at all..dey all hate him there and everything he represent

So you that doesn't know middle belt has become political analysis.

Naija election no dey hold for UK, come down to naija if you really mean business

PDP +APC = UNIMAGINABLE CORRUPTION

The best thing for Nigeria right now is to abandon these two parties and look for someone with no corrupt case from another party.

But it's a pity, the youths who are suppose to stand up for their future by rejecting these drug barons are the ones dancing round the market campaigning old cargos

Karemarealty288:
.

Hope Tinubu and Atiku supporters are seeing this

WrittyWritter:


which Middle belt state abeg..is it edo..abi rivers..or cross river..abi akwa ibom or delta.

Tinubu can not win at all..dey all hate him there and everything he represent

see how dumb you are? You can't even identify middle belt states and you are busy castigating someone who showed interest in running for the presidency

Well done o

Some idiots will not say this one is old o

WrittyWritter:


which Middle belt state abeg..is it edo..abi rivers..or cross river..abi akwa ibom or delta.

Tinubu can not win at all..dey all hate him there and everything he represent

The states you mentioned are not middle belt states.I actually mean Kogi and Kwara states

LegendHero:


It is your right as a Nigerian.

EXACTLY!! This is the simple stuff those guys cant understand. As they prefer their party men, so do we ours. But they want us to jettison our right to such freedom and support theirs.

Who does that?

sultry69:
Ok, time will tell.

Instead of you to support your own,you keep supporting those who wanted to cheat you, or you no have qualified candidate from your place.

The people who wants to cheat us are yorubas who are still going after the presidency after 8 years of Obasanjo's rule

PDP must field someone from the South East, that should be the dominant noise online now not Tinubu or Atiku's declaration of interest.
They have fielded Obasanjo (SW), Yar'adua (NC), Jonathan (SS), Atiku (NE) and now it should someone from the South East followed by someone from the North West. I know that national politics doesn't necessary work like that as it all depends on agreements and coalitions but the pattern so far is clear.

SarkiinYarki:
So true true we are down to Tinubu and Atiku once more ....this country is cursed

Okoro, you must not support either of them. Anyim is contesting as well. Is it a taboo in alaigbo to support him?

Nonsense.

The only cursed land I know is beerfraud. Nigeria is blessed and will remain blessed irrespective of what any Okoro says.

PaChukwudi44:

The people who wants to cheat us are yorubas who are still going after the presidency after 8 years of Obasanjo's rule

Yorubas owe you nothing. PDP owe you! You have been faithful since 1999. Make noise about PDP until they give you ticket as we all know you can make noise for Africa, so why are you always acting gentle when it comes to PDP?

Shikena:

Yorubas owe you nothing. PDP owe you! You have been faithful since 1999. Make noise about PDP until they give you ticket as we all know you can make noise for Africa

That is exactly why no Southerner will be elected president in 2023.

After all this Tinubu media frenzy, your eyes will be clear after the 2023 election results have been announced.In fact I don't even see Tinubu picking up the APC ticket let alone winning the main election

omenkaLives:
EXACTLY!! This is the simple stuff those guys cant understand. As they prefer their party men, so do we ours. But they want us to jettison our right to such freedom and support theirs.

Who does that?

Igbos!

Igbos will tell u to kill ur child for smoking cigar yet give a thousand and one reasons why u must nor touch his own child caught for smoking Igbo!
Only Igbos!

PaChukwudi44:

That is exactly why no Southerner will be elected president in 2023.

After all this Tinubu media frenzy, your eyes will be clear after the 2023 election results have been announced.In fact I don't even see Tinubu picking up the APC ticket let alone winning the main election

I disagree.
You are expecting APC to give you their presidential ticket just like that? Based on what exactly?
On Tinubu, we all know you guys have fragile ego and that's why you are all about what happens after election result is announced. There will always be only one winner, and Tinubu will form alliance and work with the winner.