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Russia-Ukraine crisis is bigger than Ukraine. It is majorly about the security architect of europe. The more NATO expands, the more it's strength increases. The continuous expansion of NATO will put Russia in a bad state in future. Russia will be ISOLATED.

WHY DID RUSSIA DEPLOY TROOPS TO IT'S BORDER WITH UKRAINE?

Ukraine uses a Turkish bayraktar TB2 drone on the Russian backed seperatists in the Donbas region on October 20, 2021. Russia feared that Ukraine was planning to launch a major offensive on the seperatists. In November it was reported the Russia has amassed more than 100000 thousands troops on Russo-Ukrainian border. The troops were deployed to deter Ukraine from launching offensive against the seperatists.

WHY IS THE SEIZED REGION OF DONBAS SO IMPORTANT TO RUSSIA?

Russia needs the Donbas region to bargain for the nullification of Ukrainian ambition to join NATO. Any country that has ethnic disputes or external territorial disputes is not qualified to join NATO. So as it stands, it very unlikely that Ukraine will be admitted into NATO.

WILL RUSSIA INVADES UKRAINE?

Russia will not invade as long as Ukraine does not launch offensive against the seperatists. But if Ukraine launch offensive against the seperatists. Russia will invade. But it will not be a full invasion. It will go for the Ukrainian capital (Kiev) and the Donbas region only. This can be achieved in less than 10 days.

WHAT WILL HAPPEN IF RUSSIA TAKES KIEV AND DONBAS

If Russia takes Kiev and Donbas. Ukraine will be forced to negotiate. The seized territories (Kiev & Donbas) will be used to bargain for nullification of Ukrainian ambition to join NATO.

Russia will be sanctioned by the West. The harsh sanctions mentioned by the West will be imposed. The effect of the sanctions will be felt by both Russia, the West & the rest of the world. Russian economy is heavily integrated in the world economy. Countries like Germany, France e.t.c will be affected badly. They will be forced to abandon cheap gas from Russia for very expensive gas from other countries like the US. This is why the two countries are reluctant in their approach to the issue. The US & UK that are taking the hard stand are far away from the region. They won't be affected.

IS THE EU & NATO COUNTRIES REALLY UNITED?

On TV they are united. But in reality they are not. Countries like Hungary, Croatia have made it clear, that they don't want to be on the enemy list of Russia. Hungary even rejected NATO troops deployment to it's territory. Croatian president warn that it will pull it's troop out of NATO if Russia is been forced to start a war. Norway and Finland have maintained neutrality. The two share border with Russia. Germany has refused to officially declare that the Nord Stream II pipeline will be used to sanction Russia. France believes that peace can not be achieved in EU without Russia. It is clear that the US is dragging the two most powerful countries (Germany and France) in EU & NATO to a journey that they don't want to embark on. They are just playing along.

WILL RUSSIA SURVIVE THE SANCTIONS?

China has made it clear that it is ready to assist Russia economically if the sanctions are imposed. Gas pipeline from Russia to China is already been constructed in the Siberia region of Russia. This will be substituted for the Nord Stream II pipeline. Other packages are being put in place to assist Russia. Russia has long term economic plan to counter sanctions.

WHAT DOES THE WEST WANT?

US wants to create a unipolar world where there will be one leader. The like of Russia and China oppose this idea. They keep challenging the US and the US is not ready to loose it's status. US wants to deal with Russia first before taking on the GIANT (China).

WHY ARE COUNTRIES JOINING NATO?

The package is very attractive. If a country joins NATO it's security will be taken over by US/NATO. The country will spend less on security. US takes the responsibility. The country will also be placed under US nuclear umbrella.

HOW TO AVOID WAR?

In my opinion, i think the head of Germany Navy has said it all. Bundeswehr Kay-Achim Schönbach (R) said President Putin wanted respect and he should given the respect. He also said Russia is not a threat and that China is. He wants the West to focus on China. He spoke the mind of the Germans. Russia wants to be on the good book of EU & NATO. But for this to happen, the respect Puttin deserve must be given to him.

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lalasticlala

Sweet indomie talk. But USA will love to see Ukraine destroyed using their puppies zelenskys.

There shall be no war

I really don't pray for war. I hope NATO can bend a little to give diplomacy a chance.

Trash, you are not following the news trend. Today Putin is shouting that Ukraine is about to attack separatist . Accusing them of bombing car and gas pipeline. 50% of Russia have changed their mood into attacking formation.and you are saying Russia will not attack Ukraine.

If Ukraine insists on joining NATO as the West is encouraging her to join, Russia will most likely go to war with Ukraine

olugabbie:
Russia-Ukraine crisis is bigger than Ukraine. It is majorly about the security architect of europe. The more NATO expands, the more it's strength increases. The continuous expansion of NATO will put Russia in a bad state in future. Russia will be ISOLATED.

WHY DID RUSSIA DEPLOY TROOPS TO IT'S BORDER WITH UKRAINE?

Ukraine uses a Turkish bayraktar TB2 drone on the Russian backed seperatists in the Donbas region on October 20, 2021. Russia feared that Ukraine was planning to launch a major offensive on the seperatists. In November it was reported the Russia has amassed more than 100000 thousands troops on Russo-Ukrainian border. The troops were deployed to deter Ukraine from launching offensive against the seperatists.

WHY IS THE SEIZED REGION OF DONBAS SO IMPORTANT TO RUSSIA?

Russia needs the Donbas region to bargain for the nullification of Ukrainian ambition to join NATO. Any country that has ethnic disputes or external territorial disputes is not qualified to join NATO. So as it stands, it very unlikely that Ukraine will be admitted into NATO.

WILL RUSSIA INVADES UKRAINE?

Russia will not invade as long as Ukraine does not launch offensive against the seperatists. But if Ukraine launch offensive against the seperatists. Russia will invade. But it will not be a full invasion. It will go for the Ukrainian capital (Kiev) and the Donbas region only. This can be achieved in less than 10 days.

WHAT WILL HAPPEN IF RUSSIA TAKES KIEV AND DONBAS

If Russia takes Kiev and Donbas. Ukraine will be forced to negotiate. The seized territories (Kiev & Donbas) will be used to bargain for nullification of Ukrainian ambition to join NATO.

Russia will be sanctioned by the West. The harsh sanctions mentioned by the West will be imposed. The effect of the sanctions will be felt by both Russia, the West & the rest of the world. Russian economy is heavily integrated in the world economy. Countries like Germany, France e.t.c will be affected badly. They will be forced to abandon cheap gas from Russia for very expensive gas from other countries like the US. This is why the two countries are reluctant in their approach to the issue. The US & UK that are taking the hard stand are far away from the region. They won't be affected.

IS THE EU & NATO COUNTRIES REALLY UNITED?

On TV they are united. But in reality they are not. Countries like Hungary, Croatia have made it clear, that they don't want to be on the enemy list of Russia. Hungary even rejected NATO troops deployment to it's territory. Croatian president warn that it will pull it's troop out of NATO if Russia is been forced to start a war. Norway and Finland have maintained neutrality. The two share border with Russia. Germany has refused to officially declare that the Nord Stream II pipeline will be used to sanction Russia. France believes that peace can not be achieved in EU without Russia. It is clear that the US is dragging the two most powerful countries (Germany and France) in EU & NATO to a journey that they don't want to embark on. They are just playing along.

WILL RUSSIA SURVIVE THE SANCTIONS?

China has made it clear that it is ready to assist Russia economically if the sanctions are imposed. Gas pipeline from Russia to China is already been constructed in the Siberia region of Russia. This will be substituted for the Nord Stream II pipeline. Other packages are being put in place to assist Russia. Russia has long term economic plan to counter sanctions.

WHAT DOES THE WEST WANT?

US wants to create a unipolar world where there will be one leader. The like of Russia and China oppose this idea. They keep challenging the US and the US is not ready to loose it's status. US wants to deal with Russia first before taking on the GIANT (China).

WHY ARE COUNTRIES JOINING NATO?

The package is very attractive. If a country joins NATO it's security will be taken over by US/NATO. The country will spend less on security. US takes the responsibility. The country will also be placed under US nuclear umbrella.

HOW TO AVOID WAR?

In my opinion, i think the head of Germany Navy has said it all. Bundeswehr Kay-Achim Schönbach (R) said President Putin wanted respect and he should given the respect. He also said Russia is not a threat and that China is. He wants the West to focus on China. He spoke the mind of the Germans. Russia wants to be on the good book of EU & NATO. But for this to happen, the respect Puttin deserve must be given to him.

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lalasticlala

Brillant analysis. Russia middle east expansion is also a major concern for USA.
Russia will not invade ukraine. Most global conflicts would be solved diplomatically, politically and economically.
If there would be ww3, it would be fought mainly in middle east/Asia and Africa and it would be direct consequence of on going cold war between China/Russia and US/UK.

Putin will not want to try that shit. He may not survive attack on Ukraine.

okeysoninv:
Trash, you are not following the news trend. Today Putin is shouting that Ukraine is about to attack separatist . Accusing them of bombing car and gas pipeline. 50% of Russia have changed their mood into attacking formation.and you are saying Russia will not attack Ukraine.

150000 troops is not enough take Kiev. The US deploy 172,000 troops to fight Saddam Hussein in Iraq. In addition UK deployed 45,000, Australia deployed 2,000, German deployed 145 special force, 70,000 Iraqis fighter e.t.c. More than 30000 troops were involved in total.

Ukraine has a stronger military compare to Iraq. Russia will not be able to take the Ukrainian capital. Forget about what you hear in the news. Just do the maths. To take kiev Russia will need time two of those troops.

olugabbie:
150000 troops is not enough take Kiev. The US deploy 172,000 troops to fight Saddam Hussein in Iraq. In addition UK deployed 45,000, Australia deployed 2,000, German deployed 145 special force, 70,000 Iraqis fighter e.t.c. More than 30000 troops were involved in total.

Ukraine has a stronger military compare to Iraq. Russia will not be able to take the Ukrainian capital. Forget about what you hear in the news. Just do the maths. To take kiev Russia will need time two of those troops.

what is the total military personnel in russia you should as ask yourself. As now, Russia has its 60% of it's soliders in Ukraine borders. The Eastern Ukraine separatist just called for mass mobilization in Donbass. Ukraine has total of 350,000 forces in Ukraine

okeysoninv:
what is the total military personnel in russia you should as ask yourself. As now, Russia has its 60% of it's soliders in Ukraine borders. The Eastern Ukraine separatist just called for mass mobilization in Donbass. Ukraine has total of 350,000 forces in Ukraine

Russia has about 900,000 active military personnel and 2,000,000 military personnel in reserve.

olugabbie:
Russia has about 900,000 active military personnel and 2,000,000 military personnel in reserve.

https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/russia-stage-massive-nuclear-drills-amid-ukraine-standoff-82977002 Russia has committed 60% of it ground force in Ukraine borders

okeysoninv:
https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/russia-stage-massive-nuclear-drills-amid-ukraine-standoff-82977002 Russia has committed 60% of it ground force in Ukraine borders

Well i am 100% sure that Russia can not take Kiev with 150,000 troops. It will be a miracle. They don't need to attack. The fear of invasion alone is killing Ukraine already. They are spending money that they don't have on military equipments. Economic activities is being disrupted. Some airliners have stopped flying to Ukraine. Foreigners are living the country. If Russia maintain the pressure. Ukraine will implode.

olugabbie:
Well i am 100% sure that Russia can not take Kiev with 150,000 troops. It will be a miracle. They don't need to attack. The fear of invasion alone is killing Ukraine already. They are spending money that they don't have on military equipments. Economic activities is being disrupted. Some airliners have stopped flying to Ukraine. Foreigners are living the country. If Russia maintain the pressure. Ukraine will implode.

Russia have close to 190k plus separatist fighter which is close to 100k

okeysoninv:
Russia have close to 190k plus separatist fighter which is close to 100k

The seperatists are strong enough to hold on to the Donbass. If Russia is going to take Kiev. The shortest route will be through Belarus. The distance between Donbas and Kiev is huge. The Ukrainian forces is concentrated in the Donbas region. Taken Kiev through Donbas will be extremely difficult, mainly because of the distance.

okeysoninv:
Russia have close to 190k plus separatist fighter which is close to 100k

I can see that you are watching the event closely. But if you watch CNN, BBC ABC read the The Sun, you believe that Russia will invade.

I assure you that people will soon begin to question the US credibility on this Russia invasion.

Invasion will not happen. Ukraine don't have the stomach to attack the seperatists. Except the US push Zelenszky to launch attack.

olugabbie:
I can see that you are watching the event closely. But if you watch CNN, BBC ABC read the The Sun, you believe that Russia will invade.

I assure you that people will soon begin to question the US credibility on this Russia invasion.

Invasion will not happen. Ukraine don't have the stomach to attack the seperatists. Except the US push Zelenszky to launch attack.

oh really, in what capacity are you saying that . So you mean that 31k civilian that has been evacuated to Russia , by which Putin Russia is paying 100usd per month is a false. I can swear they will invade Ukraine.

olugabbie:
The seperatists are strong enough to hold on to the Donbass. If Russia is going to take Kiev. The shortest route will be through Belarus. The distance between Donbas and Kiev is huge. The Ukrainian forces is concentrated in the Donbas region. Taken Kiev through Donbas will be extremely difficult, mainly because of the distance.

Russia troops are also stationed in Donbass militant can't match Ukraine forces.

okeysoninv:
oh really, in what capacity are you saying that . So you mean that 31k civilian that has been evacuated to Russia , by which Putin Russia is paying 100usd per month is a false. I can swear they will invade Ukraine.

It is not a lie. Women and children are being evacuated. But in my opinion i think it is just a game. Russia is trying to put pressure on Ukraine. They want Ukraine to give in. The troops amassed at the border is just a show of force. Ukraine would have attacked if Russia has not shown the willingness to protect the seperatists at all cost.

okeysoninv:
Russia troops are also stationed in Donbass militant can't match Ukraine forces.

I agree that the seperatists ate not a match for the Ukrainian army.