₦airaland Forum

DeLaRue:
Difficult to see how Jonathan can win a freely contested APC primaries.

You mean majority of APC governors will swing behind him a day or two before the primaries abandoning their own long-held interests?

So El Rufai, Ganduje, or a contestant like the Vice President will order the delegates under their control to vote Jonathan... because that's the order from Aso Rock?

I just don't see this happening.

1+1 does not always = 2 in politics; thus, the reason why 24 hours is a big time in politics. And in politics, free and fair election is subjective, so Jonathan, or even a version of Tinubu that has not labored so hard like the main Tinubu, can win free and fair in the coming APC presidential primary election if he has the backing of the establishment (the cabal at the presidency as it is presently).

This is possible because, among other reasons, in the main election proper, the presidential election will take place before the governorship election and this makes it impossible for even the most gritty politicians among the non-members of the cabal and who are diehard supporters of Tinubu susceptible to servility to the cabal.

All the presidency will do is mandate the governors/leaders of the party in each state to deliver his candidate at the presidential primary or risk losing their chances of either winning their own reelection or having their anointed candidates winning in the main election in their states and you will see the majority jettisoning their prior candidates to align with him.

Popularity never wins elections, influence does and the most influential politician in the country today remains PMB nay the presidency. So far, what is being run in the country is akin to a pyramid scheme, not a democracy in its true meaning.

tollyboy5:
Whatever! Osinbajo is our next president!

I just dey laugh

XerXers:
SW are not in reckoning at all. 2015 till date is Fulani government

True cos VP, Speaker are all from North

Infact all the ministers are Fulani

Nebulax:
True cos VP, Speaker are all from North

Abeg go and rest

XerXers:
So it's no longer Tinubu? Confused afonjas. Non of them is buhari's choice and buhari's choice can never lose

Your hatred for tinubu is making you lack common sense. Two top SW contestant with their fans.

Instead of minding you candidate who left PDP you're hating on SW lol.

XerXers:
Abeg go and rest

Something you could have done instead of mentioning me

XerXers:
I just dey laugh

You dey laugh peter obi lol, mesef dey laugh

RightToReject:
1+1 does not always = 2 in politics; thus, the reason why 24 hours is a big time in politics. And in politics, free and fair election is subjective, so Jonathan, or even a version of Tinubu that has not labored so hard like the main Tinubu, can win free and fair in the coming APC presidential primary election if he has the backing of the establishment (the cabal at the presidency as it is presently).

This is possible because, among other reasons, in the main election proper, the presidential election will take place before the governorship election and this makes it impossible for even the most gritty politicians among the none-members of the cabal and who are dirhard supporters of Tinubu susceptible to servility to the cabal.

All the presidency will do is mandate the governors/leaders of the party in each state to deliver his candidate at the presidential primary or risk losing their chances of either winning their own reelection or having their anointed candidates winning in the main election in their states and you will see the majority jettisoning their prior candidates to align with him.

Popularity never wins elections, influence does and the most influential politician in the country today remains PMB nay the presidency. So far, what is being run in the country is akin to a pyramid scheme, not a democracy in its true meaning.

Thank you. Afonja deafening noise makes them think they are now entitled. How many afonjas are part of the so called cabal? And they claim to have arrived national politics

tollyboy5:
Your hatred for tinubu is making you lack common sense. Two top SW contestant with their fans.

Instead of minding you candidate who left PDP you're hating on SW lol.

Lol, neither Tinubu not osibade is going anywhere. Afonjas fans can't get them there. Attaching to buhari's popularity in the past doesn't mean you have learned politics.

SarkinYarki:
No matter the party Tinubu goes to he can never be president

Says cretin

RightToReject:
1+1 does not always = 2 in politics; thus, the reason why 24 hours is a big time in politics. And in politics, free and fair election is subjective, so Jonathan, or even a version of Tinubu that has not labored so hard like the main Tinubu, can win free and fair in the coming APC presidential primary election if he has the backing of the establishment (the cabal at the presidency as it is presently).

This is possible because, among other reasons, in the main election proper, the presidential election will take place before the governorship election and this makes it impossible for even the most gritty politicians among the non-members of the cabal and who are dirhard supporters of Tinubu susceptible to servility to the cabal.

All the presidency will do is mandate the governors/leaders of the party in each state to deliver his candidate at the presidential primary or risk losing their chances of either winning their own reelection or having their anointed candidates winning in the main election in their states and you will see the majority jettisoning their prior candidates to align with him.

Popularity never wins elections, influence does and the most influential politician in the country today remains PMB nay the presidency. So far, what is being run in the country is akin to a pyramid scheme, not a democracy in its true meaning.

Na so e easyyyyy?

Validated:
People are still surprised why Peter Obi dumped the PDP before the presidential primaries. With Atiku and Wike ready to splash $$ on delegates, there was no way Obi would have gotten the ticket. Maje no mistakes, Obi now has a great foot soldiers, who unfortunately are not PDP delegates.
With my little understanding of the electorsl law, is it is a known fact that once you particiate in any party primaries and lose, you cannot jump to another party. For Obi, it is smart and strategic that ge resigned before the orimaries, as such he could still run under Labour Party of even NNPP.

Now for Tinubu, with all the rumours about the North wooing Jonathan and Buhari's clear position of not endorsing Tinubu, the latter's best option is to leave APC now and pursue his ambition in SDP. Once he participates in APC primary and loses or he is schemed out, he is stuck as far as 2023 is concened.

I know his myopic followers will atrack me, but this is a reality call.

Are you desperate on behalf of your principal, Amaechi?

You need Tinubu to leave, to brighten the railman's chances.

Mikolo70:
Says cretin

Look mirror well You and Tinubu are the cretins ..

tollyboy5:
The OP just don't want to accept that the presidency has high tendency of moving to SW

With which votes, since PDP ticket is going north?

Obi's candidacy would have given you yorubas and tinubu the opportunity to use anti-Igbo and anti-Biafran sentiments to woo northern almajiri votes but that is no longer possible.

Now wetin tinumbu go use campaign against Atiku for Atiku homebase for north?

You are a pawn in the game. You don't know warris goin on.

XerXers:
No be by momentum. SW should stop thinking they are entitled because they made the loudest noise. From all indications SW is not buhari's choice and it's almost impossible for the president's choice to lose

The president's choice will lose if not Tinubu.
Tinubu wins.

DeLaRue:
Difficult to see how Jonathan can win a freely contested APC primaries.

You mean majority of APC governors will swing behind him a day or two before the primaries abandoning their own long-held interests?

So El Rufai, Ganduje, or a contestant like the Vice President will order the delegates under their control to vote Jonathan... because that's the order from Aso Rock?

I just don't see this happening.

let me tell you that if buhari decided who to win the election,that person will surely win. You can see that Jonathan is still going to be screened, and I still believe that Jonathan is coming back to apc.

ZombieSlaughter:
With which votes, since PDP ticket is going north?

Obi's candidacy would have given you yorubas and tinubu the opportunity to use anti-Igbo and anti-Biafran sentiments to woo northern almajiri votes but that is no longer possible.

Now wetin tinumbu go use campaign against Atiku for Atiku homebase for north?

You are a pawn in the game. You don't know warris goin on.

Those myopic mofos don't see far. Obi exit makes matters worst for Tinubu but they don't know

Miracle2020:
let me tell you that if buhari decided who to win the election,that person will surely win. You can see that Jonathan is still going to be screened, and I still believe that Jonathan is coming back to apc.

How these afonjas expect buhari's candidate to lose against Tinubu still marvels me

DeLaRue:
Difficult to see how Jonathan can win a freely contested APC primaries.

You mean majority of APC governors will swing behind him a day or two before the primaries abandoning their own long-held interests?

So El Rufai, Ganduje, or a contestant like the Vice President will order the delegates under their control to vote Jonathan... because that's the order from Aso Rock?

I just don't see this happening.

if femi fani kayode can go to apc, nothing is impossible in Nigeria

Many APC aspirations are ok but Tinubu needs to be substituted.
Is not hate but the needful.

Validated:
People are still surprised why Peter Obi dumped the PDP before the presidential primaries. With Atiku and Wike ready to splash $$ on delegates, there was no way Obi would have gotten the ticket. Maje no mistakes, Obi now has a great foot soldiers, who unfortunately are not PDP delegates.
With my little understanding of the electorsl law, is it is a known fact that once you particiate in any party primaries and lose, you cannot jump to another party. For Obi, it is smart and strategic that ge resigned before the orimaries, as such he could still run under Labour Party of even NNPP.

Now for Tinubu, with all the rumours about the North wooing Jonathan and Buhari's clear position of not endorsing Tinubu, the latter's best option is to leave APC now and pursue his ambition in SDP. Once he participates in APC primary and loses or he is schemed out, he is stuck as far as 2023 is concened.

I know his myopic followers will atrack me, but this is a reality call.

So he should leave the party because of rumours? Mtcheeew.....
Anybody who thinks Jonathan will be Apc candidate does not know anything.

Op you tried but this generation of Nigerians do not want tinubu even if like let him join NEPA.

Only myopic afonja see Peter Obi move in negative light. Tinubu should continue beating his chest to utter disgrace

tollyboy5:
ive noticed some Seth of people are finding it difficult to support osinbajo .

una will dey alright las las

Why forcing others into a choice? Did anyone ask you to join any group?

Tinubu cannot leave APC cos he has Lagos to loose. Even if he looses the primaries will Lagos APC follow him to decamp. Adamu has said they would be reconciled back to the party.

RightToReject:
1+1 does not always = 2 in politics; thus, the reason why 24 hours is a big time in politics. And in politics, free and fair election is subjective, so Jonathan, or even a version of Tinubu that has not labored so hard like the main Tinubu, can win free and fair in the coming APC presidential primary election if he has the backing of the establishment (the cabal at the presidency as it is presently).

This is possible because, among other reasons, in the main election proper, the presidential election will take place before the governorship election and this makes it impossible for even the most gritty politicians among the non-members of the cabal and who are dirhard supporters of Tinubu susceptible to servility to the cabal.

All the presidency will do is mandate the governors/leaders of the party in each state to deliver his candidate at the presidential primary or risk losing their chances of either winning their own reelection or having their anointed candidates winning in the main election in their states and you will see the majority jettisoning their prior candidates to align with him.

Popularity never wins elections, influence does and the most influential politician in the country today remains PMB nay the presidency. So far, what is being run in the country is akin to a pyramid scheme, not a democracy in its true meaning.

Simply apt.

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Nebulax:
Very wack analysis

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