ogbuefi677:

Them go pieces Kano vote b/w NNPP,PDP,APC and Labour party.
Kaduna south will give LP at least 30% of the votes cast.
The only place APC might be sure in d NW is Katsina.
All the bigwigs in Kebbi are already in PDP including 2 immediate psst governors and 2 serving senators.
Sokoto is on lockdown for PDP cos of Tambuwal factor.

Are you joking?. The only threat to APC in Kano is NNPP. However with the recent comments of Kwankwaso, he might step down for Tinubu. APC will win Jigawa, Zamfara, Kebbi and Katsina without much stress. PDP will put up a big fight in Kaduna and Sokoto. If they can united their foot soldiers in both States, then Atiku will likely win the two states.
LP is not a factor in NW. Obi does not have enough politicians in the region on his side. His V.P will not get more than 10% of the votes in the region for him.

tobby98:
Why are you all APC e-diots here deceiving yourself?
Anambra alone has 2.65m total number of registered voters as of June, 2022 INEC statistics. That figure is way more than that of Borno state and the gap is bound to increase more further due to high level PVC sensitization campaign there…Stop deceiving people here, ignoramus.

All those people saying Borno would swallow SE votes should just cover their face in shame as they are not students of history and realistic of the current political permutations going on now.

You people make so much noises and yet you keep failing.

Bornu alone has more than 9,millions registered voters.

Some illiterate are also supporting you giving you likes. At the end you will still fail and call it rigging

Hedonini:
If Atiku had managed to retain the Atiku/Obi ticket for next year's election, it would have been an unprecedented landslide. He would have swept the votes nationwide except for only South West which would vote for that blind crooked BAT.

and you think the people of the South will vote for Atiku, a northerner after Buhari's eight years rule? The mistake the PDP made was throwing the primary election open for all to contest.

Kwankwaso was right,5% people don't know politics.

tobby98:
Why are you all APC e-idiots here deceiving yourself?
Anambra alone has a 2.65m total number of registered voters as of June 2022 INEC statistics. That figure is way more than that of Borno state and the gap is bound to increase further due to the high-level PVC sensitization campaign there…Stop deceiving people here, ignoramus.

All those people saying Borno would swallow SE votes should just cover their faces in shame as they are not students of history and are realistic of the current political permutations going on now.

Baba leave Nigerians. Most Nigerians are dumb and foolish...

Let them check the 2011 statistics where Jonathan got the most votes from... Jonathan lost 11 northern states and still won the election...Neither northeast nor Northwest has ever been a decider of who rules Nigeria because those regions have always voted alongside religious and tribal lines.

Bulk votes from the two regions even come from Northwest, not even Northeast where Borno is located. Kano, Kastina, and Kaduna are the power of the Northeast and Northwest.

You can't even win an election dominating those two regions. which isn't even possible because they are a lot of Christians in the Northwestern region too.

North Central has always been the powerhouse of election results. Who dominates that region wins the election...

Buhari got what he got then because everybody fell for the change mantra.

GoldSantana:
and you think the people of the South will vote for Atiku, a northerner after Buhari's eight years rule? The mistake the PDP made was throwing the primary election open for all to contest.

Given a choice between Atiku and Tinubu, without the Obi candidacy, the entire South with the exception of the South West would have still reluctantly settled for Atiku because he is undoubtedly the lesser evil. Who wants a Tinubu anywhere near the presidency?

Jking20:


He has SE and SS comfortably??
Wow!! You're not a politician then, only if you were you would have understand what am saying. Structure matters in Nigeria politics, and is so sad LP doesn't have it. The so called churches aren't the ones submitting election results...I don't know whether you're getting this.

This one is still sleeping

Hope they won't do SIT AT HOME on the day of election

Lol

Jking20:


He has SE and SS comfortably??
Wow!! You're not a politician then, only if you were you would have understand what am saying. Structure matters in Nigeria politics, and is so sad LP doesn't have it. The so called churches aren't the ones submitting election results...I don't know whether you're getting this.

I will confidently tell you that Peter Obi has SS and SE... Take that to anywhere.... It seems you aren't aware of the new electoral bill.??

Polchiz:

This one is still sleeping

He is still sleeping.. Leave him.He thinks we are joking.

Only the Southeast would vote Atiku as they would rather vote anybody from the North than vote vote for any southerner that is of no Igbo extraction

Hedonini:


Given a choice between Atiku and Tinubu, without the Obi candidacy, the entire South with the exception of the South West would have still reluctantly settled for Atiku because he is undoubtedly the lesser evil. Who wants a Tinubu anywhere near the presidency?

NaijaRoyalty:
Nigeria is not Islamic country so all well thinking Nigerian must reject the Islamic terrorist Muslim Muslim party, The APC

We don't want a country where our children will be forced to convert to Islam by this wicked terrorists in APC parading themselves as leaders

They've started with Hijab in our schools, they want to stamp there Islamic agenda with Muslim Muslim ticket, we must not allow this to happen to us.

Reject APC, don't vote for APC

You can make history with this ,in your lifetime.

GoldSantana:
Only the Southeast would vote Atiku as they would rather vote anybody from the North than vote vote for any southerner that is of no Igbo extraction

So if it was a straight contest between Atiku and Muslim/Muslim Tinubu, the South South and Middle Belt would vote for Tinubu? I don't understand some of you.

The muslim/Muslim ticket is strategic bro. No need for a it in a contest btw Tinubu and Atiku.

Hedonini:


So if it was a straight contest between Atiku and Muslim/Muslim Tinubu, the South South and Middle Belt would vote for Tinubu? I don't understand some of you.

He is deceiving himself. He has a Stern ambition to rule NIGERIA. If PUTIN can rule RUSSIA the way he is doing, then TINUBU can rule the YANKEES.

Kenturkey048:


I will confidently tell you that people Obi has SS and SE... Take that to anywhere.... It seems you aren't aware of the new electoral bill.??

Electoral bill?? Are you serious??
Ok, since you don't understand what am talking about, Osun elections will give you guys a little hint of what am referring to. Just wait and see what it means by structure in politics.

tobby98:

Stop dreaming…Peter Obi would be the biggest beneficiary of the protest votes of Christians across the nation…Atiku is not sellable enough. I would even prefer BAT to Atiku but Peter Obi stands out..I know many people with Atiku but secretly working and finding OBIdient movement but you rarely see someone with BAT doing so.
Our prayer and joy is that Atiku is there to cushion the effects of any northern bloc votes to BAT which was the case during BUHARI’s time…Kwankwaso is a clown, hopefully he doesn’t drop out of the race…he is the key to completely destroying APC in Kano state

great Analysis
My prayer is that Kwankwaso should not step down for any candidate most especially Atiku cause if he does that the candidates he is stepping down for will automatically win the election
With these four horse race Obi has the Advantage

Polchiz:

This one is still sleeping

I'll remind you this statement after Osun elections. It's either PDP or ApC. Let's see how structure works bro.

tobby98:
Why are you all APC e-diots here deceiving yourself?
Anambra alone has 2.65m total number of registered voters as of June, 2022 INEC statistics. That figure is way more than that of Borno state and the gap is bound to increase more further due to high level PVC sensitization campaign there…Stop deceiving people here, ignoramus.

All those people saying Borno would swallow SE votes should just cover their face in shame as they are not students of history and realistic of the current political permutations going on now.

Mr. OP. I am from Borno State and we have a good population of Christians in Southern Borno. They will be OBIdient too.

MikeofAfrica:

I love your optimism but the sad truth is that Tinubu will likely win 2023 election. The choice of Shettima is strategic. APC will use him to consolidate their hold on Borno/ Yobe States. The influence of Buhari and APC structures will deliver at least 5 states in NW for Tinubu while he will also sweep the SW.
Atiku is now stricted to 4 states in NE and NC. Obi and Atiku will also share majority of votes in SS/ SE. Obi is suppose to win SE/ SS but the PDP structures in the regions will give Atiku at least 40% of the votes.
Hence Tinubu is the favourite. That is the sad truth and reality on ground.

you fail to understand something here
Your biggest threat in the North is not one person but
two. PDP was in power but couldn't win the North with there structure
Buhari that was one man mopol then keep defeating them
After buhari who is the next respected northern politician?
Just answer the Question within yourself
Is the person on balot or not

Niwdog:
you fail to understand something here
Your biggest threat in the North is not one person but
two. PDP was in power but couldn't win the North with there structure
Buhari that was one man mopol then keep defeating them
After buhari who is the next respected northern politician?
Just answer the Question within yourself
Is the person on balot or not

In 1999, there were 3 parties. APP was a northern party, AD was a Yoruba party while PDP was the only national party. Hence PDP always find it difficult defeating APP in the north. APP got stronger in the north when Buhari joined them.
Today, APP and another northern party, CPC, have become APC. Hence northerners see APC as their party. That is why Tinubu has to take Muslim V.P to assure the northeners that they are still in charge.
Kwankwanso is presently the 2nd most popular politician in NW after Buhari. However the structures of APC in NW will be too much for him. His influence will be restricted to Kano and maybe jigawa.
Atiku is an elite politician without much connection with the talakawas. He will likely win 4 states in NE but APC Governors will neutralize him in NW.
Moreover, Buhari will still be a factor in 2023 just as OBJ was a factor in 2007. If APC losses, the massive corruption in his govt will be expose. Hence he will do his best to deliver the north to Tinubu.

Niwdog:
you fail to understand something here
Your biggest threat in the North is not one person but
two. PDP was in power but couldn't win the North with there structure
Buhari that was one man mopol then keep defeating them
After buhari who is the next respected northern politician?
Just answer the Question within yourself
Is the person on balot or not

In 1999, there were 3 parties. APP was a northern party, AD was a Yoruba party while PDP was the only national party. Hence PDP always find it difficult defeating APP in the north. APP got stronger in the north when Buhari joined them.
Today, APP and another northern party, CPC, have become APC. Hence northerners see APC as their party. That is why Tinubu has to take Muslim V.P to assure the northeners that they are still in charge.
Kwankwanso is presently the 2nd most popular politician in NW after Buhari. However the structures of APC in NW will be too much for him. His influence will be restricted to Kano and maybe jigawa.
Atiku is an elite politician without much connection with the talakawas. He will likely win 4 states in NE but APC Governors will neutralize him in NW.
Moreover, Buhari will still be a factor in 2023 just as OBJ was a factor in 2007. If APC losses, the massive corruption in his govt will be expose. Hence he will do his best to deliver the north to Tinubu.

Jking20:


Electoral bill?? Are you serious??
Ok, since you don't understand what am talking about, the Osun elections will give you guys a little hint of what am referring to. Just wait and see what it means by structure in politics.

Boss, there is nothing to give us a hint about... We all know Nigeria.. But I will tell you that Elections aren't 60% rigged unless you want it to be a Kogi state kinda election that looks like a war zone.

You need at least 40% votes and 20% ringing to win an election. If it was that easy why were Ekiti people paid to vote.. They shouldn't have paid them na. They should have just submitted a written manipulated result the way you are implying..

Lastly, election results are now submitted to INEC straight from the pooling unit.That is why vote-buying was imminent in Ekiti state, and also same will happen in Osun state..there is nothing new in Nigerian politics.

Kenturkey048:


Boss, there is nothing to give us a hint about... We all know Nigeria.. But I will tell you that Elections aren't 60% rigged unless you want it to be a Kogi state kinda election that looks like a war zone.

You need at least 40% votes and 20% ringing to win an election. If it was that easy why were Ekiti people paid to vote.. They shouldn't have paid them na. They should have just submitted a written manipulated result the way you are implying..

Lastly, election results are now submitted to INEC straight from the pooling unit.That is why vote-buying was imminent in Ekiti state, and also same will happen in Osun state..there is nothing new in Nigerian politics.

So in essence, you agreed with my point of political structure abi. Presidential election isn't governorship perhaps.

The presidential.

Jking20:


So in essence, you agreed with my point of political structure abi. The presidential election isn't governorship perhaps.

The structure mantra is vote-buying. If you listened to the statement of who came second in Ekiti's election after the result was announced.

He said That "Inec conducted a free and fair election, but the people willingly sold their votes."

And your last statement is what I wanted you to know. The presidential election isn't a governorship or senatorial election, the whole of Nigeria has its eyes on that.

Anything that we the people want to happen, that will happen. I have engaged in elections twice, and I know how everything is done.

Jking20:


I'll remind you this statement after Osun elections. It's either PDP or ApC. Let's see how structure works bro.

It is like using Anambra election to conclude that APGA will win presidency.
I am done engaging you.

Jking20:


I'll remind you this statement after Osun elections. It's either PDP or ApC. Let's see how structure works bro.

The candidates in question matters…Lasun in Osun state can’t just come and reap where he did not sow because of LP new found popularity that is owing to the personality of Peter Obi…and the main election is still 8 months away, where many things can and would still happen.
Don’t come here and use Osun election as a yardstick to justify this nonsense talk of structure, the candidate on the ballot matters too…I am Obidient but if i was voting in Osun this Saturday, then Adeleke would be getting my votes not one Lasun of LP.

Polchiz:

It is like using Anambra election to conclude that APGA will win presidency.
I am done engaging you.

Ignore that guy jare lol �

tobby98:

The candidates in question matters…Lasun in Osun state can’t just come and reap where he did not sow because of LP new found popularity that is owing to the personality of Peter Obi…and the main election is still 8 months away, where many things can and would still happen.
Don’t come here and use Osun election as a yardstick to justify this nonsense talk of structure, the candidate on the ballot matters too…I am Obidient but if i was voting in Osun this Saturday, then Adeleke would be getting my votes not one Lasun of LP.

If you want let it be one whole year, you guys will labour in vain till death...no be me talk am sha. Rubbish

tobby98:
Why are you all APC e-diots here deceiving yourself?
Anambra alone has 2.65m total number of registered voters as of June, 2022 INEC statistics. That figure is way more than that of Borno state and the gap is bound to increase more further due to high level PVC sensitization campaign there…Stop deceiving people here, ignoramus.

All those people saying Borno would swallow SE votes should just cover their face in shame as they are not students of history and realistic of the current political permutations going on now.

I just look back and laugh at the stupidity of people like you.