₦airaland Forum

Oscarchims:
The truth is that diri will face so much opposition considering former allies like wike who has so far distanced himself from PDP and Bayelsa state election campaign organization... And the role diri played against him will also affect.
It's unfortunate diri isn't strategic enough

See,only people that don't understand politics will argue this.diri strongest weapon apart from incumbency is dickson.dickson dominates sagbama which has a big vote unlike diri lga kolga which has the smallest voting strength.
He should have retained all Dickson's men that were holding legislative seats instead of replacing them which divided the party.he should have reconciled with gej's men like Alaibe,turner etc.he should have got closer to the camp of the militants.he should have performed so as to put the people on his side.he hasn't made any strategic moves like sylva.
Sylva has brought militants and thugs under his control by making mciver his running mate.he has made bayelsa east esp nembe and ogbia hostile to Diri thereby retaining his zone.all he needs is to capture southern ijaw which is by keeping Lyon on his side.mciver is his plan B for southern ijaw.next play is to divide Ekeremor votes by making sen lokpobiri happy which he has done.the final play is to divide yenagoa.yenagoa is cosmopolitan so he doesn't need to push much as they won't give any party any bloc.once sylva wins bayelsa east and southern ijaw or Ekeremor,he wins

garfield1:
Timipre sylva is making the right moves.he might just win bayelsa

Sylva can not win the election. The APC lost the election the day David Lyon was denied the ticket. Sylva is a selfish leader. He should have stepped aside for David Lyon if he truly loved the party. It would have been an easy win for Lyon.

famology:
Sylva can not win the election. The APC lost the election the day David Lyon was denied the ticket. Sylva is a selfish leader. He should have stepped aside for David Lyon if he truly loved the party. It would have been an easy win for Lyon.

No,don't underrate sylva.lyon could not have won without the ruggedity of sylva.apart from his popularity,sylva had to still use force to rig and prevent pdp from over rigging for popularity is never enough.sylva in 2015 went close against a very strong dickson when apc was weak and hated in bayelsa.how about a weak diri

garfield1:
See,only people that don't understand politics will argue this.diri strongest weapon apart from incumbency is dickson.dickson dominates sagbama which has a big vote unlike diri lga kolga which has the smallest voting strength.
He should have retained all Dickson's men that were holding legislative seats instead of replacing them which divided the party.he should have reconciled with gej's men like Alaibe,turner etc.he should have got closer to the camp of the militants.he should have performed so as to put the people on his side.he hasn't made any strategic moves like sylva.
Sylva has brought militants and thugs under his control by making mciver his running mate.he has made bayelsa east esp nembe and ogbia hostile to Diri thereby retaining his zone.all he needs is to capture southern ijaw which is by keeping Lyon on his side.mciver is his plan B for southern ijaw.next play is to divide Ekeremor votes by making sen lokpobiri happy which he has done.the final play is to divide yenagoa.yenagoa is cosmopolitan so he doesn't need to push much as they won't give any party any bloc.once sylva wins bayelsa east and southern ijaw or Ekeremor,he wins

No doubt u are from bayelsa.
Diri has better chances....
Dickson will clear sagbama for him
Diri will clear kolopuma.
As for ekeremor. It will b divided.. I think Benson is from ekeremor..
Sylva only has brass.
Lyon has southernijaw.
Even though Diri hasn't performed

Sylva is not a good leader..
His performance as a former minister and governor was a failure

Power of incumbency will come to play

garfield1:
Oga,an aide or a state youth leader is not inconsequential except you don't play politics.Apc wouldn't push them to decamp if they are unimportant.
The scenarios in Edo is different from bayelsa.in Edo,the people were sympathetic to Obaseki and saw oshiomhole as a bad godfather.he appealed to the masses.wike campaigned for obaseki plus pdp were united but some in apc like El rufai,fayemi supported obaseki.in bayelsa,diri is not popular.he hasn't performed well.no wike to help him,bayelsa pdp is divided.he is not rugged like obaseki or sylva.

Even Wike would want to pay him back for his betrayal.

garfield1:
See,only people that don't understand politics will argue this.diri strongest weapon apart from incumbency is dickson.dickson dominates sagbama which has a big vote unlike diri lga kolga which has the smallest voting strength.
He should have retained all Dickson's men that were holding legislative seats instead of replacing them which divided the party.he should have reconciled with gej's men like Alaibe,turner etc.he should have got closer to the camp of the militants.he should have performed so as to put the people on his side.he hasn't made any strategic moves like sylva.
Sylva has brought militants and thugs under his control by making mciver his running mate.he has made bayelsa east esp nembe and ogbia hostile to Diri thereby retaining his zone.all he needs is to capture southern ijaw which is by keeping Lyon on his side.mciver is his plan B for southern ijaw.next play is to divide Ekeremor votes by making sen lokpobiri happy which he has done.the final play is to divide yenagoa.yenagoa is cosmopolitan so he doesn't need to push much as they won't give any party any bloc.once sylva wins bayelsa east and southern ijaw or Ekeremor,he wins

You analysis is concise... Diri seems he's not calculative politically... He might be booted out,never knew maciver is from southern ijaw

Xscape1993:
Waste of time and resources. Any living being still supporting the evil party call APC deserves death sentence by hanging.

Bayelsans are not bitter and hateful people like the Ibos.

Despite that APC removed their son, Jonathan from office,, they voted massively for APC in the last Gubernatorial elections.

mkoabiola:
No doubt u are from bayelsa.
Diri has better chances....
Dickson will clear sagbama for him
Diri will clear kolopuma.
As for ekeremor. It will b divided.. I think Benson is from ekeremor..
Sylva only has brass.
Lyon has southernijaw.
Even though Diri hasn't performed

Sylva is not a good leader..
His performance as a former minister and governor was a failure

Power of incumbency will come to play

Sen Benson is from southern ijaw.mciver can deliver there.sylva also has ogbia and nembe

garfield1:
I added you here thinking you will be very objective but I regret doing that. You supported that useless diri in 2019 against Lyon so am not surprised.if tinubu could come close,then sylva can win

Someone is in BY, you are not, yet you are telling him to be objective.

Can I be telling you here about CRS authoritatively when I know even though you support APC, you are there.

Maybe you have forgotten that all the Senate & House of Reps was cleared by the PDP there.

You already know the outcome of Nov 11, you just want some conversation which is also good.

Imo/Kogi - APC
Bayelsa - PDP

After Diri, it's the turn of the B. East, they can wait!

AAA593:
I can categorically say that you're not on ground in Bayelsa. Douye diri is every where in Bayelsa state. Even apc boys are waiting for Sylvia's money to share. The only hope for sylva is rigging and it will not work. Sylva can't even win brass.

Hahaha

We know him nah, bring Edo he is on ground;
Kogi, he is on ground, Imo he is on ground

Lyon was best bet, many things could have worked for him, sentiments etc. The memories of Sylva as Gov still linger negatively in people's heads.

Where you dey for BY sef? I almost live there sef!

This is a normal thing in Bayelsa

Xscape1993:
Waste of time and resources. Any living being still supporting the evil party call APC deserves death sentence by hanging.

U no dey tire to dey talk nonsense 😂😂😂😂

garfield1:
No,don't underrate sylva.lyon could not have won without the ruggedity of sylva.apart from his popularity,sylva had to still use force to rig and prevent pdp from over rigging for popularity is never enough.sylva in 2015 went close against a very strong dickson when apc was weak and hated in bayelsa.how about a weak diri

Hmmmmmm........the popularity of Lyon made that election easy for everyone. Forget ruggeddity my brother. Why Sylva nor use d ruggeddity help himself win against Dickson? David Lyon is immensely loved by the people. It would have been a walk in the park bro. He still carries the sympathy of the people till date.They've missed it.

fergie001:
Someone is in BY, you are not, yet you are telling him to be objective.

Can I be telling you here about CRS authoritatively when I know even though you support APC, you are there.

Maybe you have forgotten that all the Senate & House of Reps was cleared by the PDP there.

You already know the outcome of Nov 11, you just want some conversation which is also good.

Imo/Kogi - APC
Bayelsa - PDP

After Diri, it's the turn of the B. East, they can wait!
Hahaha

We know him nah, bring Edo he is on ground;
Kogi, he is on ground, Imo he is on ground

Lyon was best bet, many things could have worked for him, sentiments etc. The memories of Sylva as Gov still linger negatively in people's heads.

Where you dey for BY sef? I almost live there sef!

We had this same argument before 2019.you said bayelsa is too tough and bloody,security favours diri and all that.
I never said sylva is winning,I only said he has a chance if we must be honest due to the woeful performances of diri.people don't like sylva but they don't like diri either.it is like voting tinubu or atiku.pdp swept bayelsa elections but tinubu won bayelsa east most importantly.that is a very good indicator for sylva.
Don't forget Lyon needed the help of sylva to win

garfield1:
We had this same argument before 2019.you said bayelsa is too tough and bloody,security favours diri and all that.
I never said sylva is winning,I only said he has a chance if we must be honest due to the woeful performances of diri.people don't like sylva but they don't like diri either.it is like voting tinubu or atiku.pdp swept bayelsa elections but tinubu won bayelsa east most importantly.that is a very good indicator for sylva.
Don't forget Lyon needed the help of sylva to win

Who told you people don't like Diri?
Please, who told you that?

Lyon had a chance because of the infighting in the PDP and the way Seriake handled it, he did have many enemies starting from the Jonathans.

Not now.
Sylva has no chance, especially with MacIver. This is a Zone trying to complete their tenure and you want them to donate it to another Zone.

The Presidential Election held same day as Senatorial yet a returning member from Sylva's Bayelsa East Senatorial District did not win.

You are saying Tinubu won Bayelsa East, one will think it was a landslide. You go for those places that will give you big votes. PDP were trying to ward off, I mean rig in places Obi will not hit them and that was in the Central area, especially Yenagoa.
See Yenagoa results
APC - 6651
LP - 12261
PDP - 14308

It was only Nembe (Degi's LGA) that returned APC top to bottom. They won Presidency, Senate, HoR & the 2 Constituency seats there.

Presidential result for Nembe:
APC - 3005
PDP - 2334
LP - 1807

Ogbia
APC - 8444
LP - 6721
PDP - 6362

Brass (This is Timipre Sylva's LGA):
APC - 3684
LP - 2273
PDP - 6209

This is Bayelsa East ooooooo

fergie001:
Who told you people don't like Diri?
Please, who told you that?

Lyon had a chance because of the infighting in the PDP and the way Seriake handled it, he did have many enemies starting from the Jonathans.

Not now.
Sylva has no chance, especially with MacIver. This is a Zone trying to complete their tenure and you want them to donate it to another Zone.

The Presidential Election held same day as Senatorial yet a returning member from Sylva's Bayelsa East Senatorial District did not win.

You are saying Tinubu won Bayelsa East, one will think it was a landslide. You go for those places that will give you big votes. PDP were trying to ward off, I mean rig in places Obi will not hit them and that was in the Central area, especially Yenagoa.
See Yenagoa results
APC - 6651
LP - 12261
PDP - 14308

It was only Nembe (Degi's LGA) that returned APC top to bottom. They won Presidency, Senate, HoR & the 2 Constituency seats there.

Presidential result for Nembe:
APC - 3005
PDP - 2334
LP - 1807

Ogbia
APC - 8444
LP - 6721
PDP - 6362

Brass (This is Timipre Sylva's LGA):
APC - 3684
LP - 2273
PDP - 6209

This is Bayelsa East ooooooo

With sylva contesting,he will surely win brass,nembe and ogbia.if he can add one of Ekeremor or southern ijaw,it's over as yenagoa will divide...

That's by the way.i was reading the Kano judgment and I noticed something.
Section 177(c) says a candidate is qualified if he is a member of a party and is sponsored by that party.
The electoral act says a party will submit it's register 30 days before primaries to inec.
Constitutionally,party membership as a ground cannot be pre election alone or an internal party matter.a criteria in the constitution cannot be overwhelmed by the electoral act.

APC can't win Bayelsa with Sylvia now. This is a wrong move.

Xscape1993:
Waste of time and resources. Any living being still supporting the evil party call APC deserves death sentence by hanging.

You are in Lagos selling inferior clothes but talking rubbish about APC. Why don't you go to where PDP are and enjoy it there. Stupid thing.

After PDP uselessed Ndigbo for 24 years and refused to give an Igbo man ticket, some unfortunate crumb-eaters like you are still defending Ndigbo. Tufiakwa.

Too many bastards in Igbo skin.

rolams:
APC can't win Bayelsa with Sylvia now. This is a wrong move.

They have a 40% chance