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Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) - Politics - Nairaland

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Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by senatordave1(op): 3:09pm On Feb 28, 2024
They will be a four part predictions,this is just the first part.the second part will be released once each party announce their running mates.i painstakingly analysed the 2016,2020 guber and 2023 elections to arrive at this.


Edo central district

IGUEBEN LGA
APC 45% pdp 40% Lp 15%
Esan North East LGA
APC 35% PDP 60% LP 5%
Esan central LGA
APC 75% pdp 23% Lp 2%
Esan south East
APC 50% pdp 44% Lp 6%
Esan West
APC 45% PDP 53 Lp 2%

Edo south district
Ikpoba okha LGA
Apc 30% pdp 40% Lp 30%
Uhumnwonde LGA
APC 45% pdp 35% Lp 20%
Egor LGA
APC 25% pdp 40% lp 35%
Oredo lga
APC 30% pdp 35% lp 35%
Orhiomnwon LGA
APC 45% pdp 35% Lp 20%
Ovia north East LGA
APC 46% pdp 40% Lp 14%
Ovia south west
APC 40% pdp 44% Lp 16%

Edo north district
Akoko Edo LGA
APC 50% pdp 43% lp 7%
Owan east
APC 50% pdp 46% lp 4%
Owan west LGA
APC 55% pdp 35% lp 10%
Etsako east LGA
APC 60% pdp 37% Lp 3%
Etsako central
APC 50% pdp 42% Lp 8%
Etsako west
APC 75% pdp 22% lp3%

Cc mynd44
Nplfmod
Donphilopus
Indispensable85
Majole
Cajal
Legendhero
Generalpula
Casualobserver
Coolambience
Efewestern
Rolams
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by raumdeuter: 3:17pm On Feb 28, 2024
Would you be surprised of Olumide Akpata strikes a deal with Obaseki and steps down for Ighodalo
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by senatordave1(op): 3:25pm On Feb 28, 2024
raumdeuter:
Would you be surprised of Olumide Akpata strikes a deal with Obaseki and steps down for Ighodalo
I won't be but I don't see that happening
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by seunmsg(m): 3:27pm On Feb 28, 2024
You really think APC can win the election?
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by seunmsg(m): 3:28pm On Feb 28, 2024
raumdeuter:
Would you be surprised of Olumide Akpata strikes a deal with Obaseki and steps down for Ighodalo
Alpata is another desperate opportunist like Peter Obi. He will never step down for anybody despite knowing he has no clear path to victory.
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by ImmaculateJOE(m): 3:31pm On Feb 28, 2024
Na so you make mouth say Tinibu go clear Edo because of Oshio for general election,
Weting come happen...?

APC will fall flat especially in Edo south, if no be say their candidate na home boy, same thing for happen in Edo central.
You can only hope to win Edo north, and that's if Oshio didn't sabotage.
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by OVB123: 3:34pm On Feb 28, 2024
APC all the way. Edo south will threat Obaseki 4cup. Watch and see.
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by senatordave1(op): 3:36pm On Feb 28, 2024
seunmsg:
You really think APC can win the election?
Yes sir.. immaculatejoe,long time
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by senatordave1(op): 3:37pm On Feb 28, 2024
ImmaculateJOE:
Na so you make mouth say Tinibu go clear Edo because of Oshio for general election,
Weting come happen...?

APC will fall flat especially in Edo south, if no be say their candidate na home boy, same thing for happen in Edo central.
You can only hope to win Edo north, and that's if Oshio didn't sabotage.
You are not from Edo or SS so be neutral.as you can see,south and central will be divided.oshio has no reason to sabotage,pdp has started their own sabotage
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by OVB123: 3:40pm On Feb 28, 2024
ImmaculateJOE:
Na so you make mouth say Tinibu go clear Edo because of Oshio for general election,
Weting come happen...?

APC will fall flat especially in Edo south, if no be say their candidate na home boy, same thing for happen in Edo central.
You can only hope to win Edo north, and that's if Oshio didn't sabotage.
We in Edo south, we are awaiting Obaseki and his candidate. What happen to Oshiomhole and Ize-Iyamu in 2020 gubernatorial election, will happen again. He go choke Obaseki that day.
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by Chinkoalhaji34: 3:49pm On Feb 28, 2024
Ha! See accurate prediction for Edo elections. Esan people, we dey try for PDP. Owan people, APC dey reign. We go win, no shaking!
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by LegendHero(m): 4:24pm On Feb 28, 2024
I do not have interest in Edo election but I want Olumide Akpata to win.
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by senatordave1(op): 4:48pm On Feb 28, 2024
LegendHero:
I do not have interest in Edo election but I want Olumide Akpata to win.
Is this not sarcasm
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by LegendHero(m): 4:54pm On Feb 28, 2024
senatordave1:
Is this not sarcasm
Lol I want him to win only for one simple reason.
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by senatordave1(op): 4:55pm On Feb 28, 2024
LegendHero:
Lol I want him to win only for one simple reason.
But you hate Lp
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by LegendHero(m): 5:00pm On Feb 28, 2024
senatordave1:
But you hate Lp
Let me tell you why I want Olumide Akpata to win. It is for a petty reason.

In the last Lagos election, Edo people supported Shinedu and abused Yorubas for saying they won't vote him.

In Edo now, some PDP guys are now proping ethnic sentiment that olumide is Yoruba and that people should not vote him. Me I now want to support Olumide, so people blaming Yoruba for Lagos can see how it look like.

I detest LP with passion because I know they are scammers. Even tho I know Olumide will definitely not win, but na em I go still use my mouth support.
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by raumdeuter: 5:00pm On Feb 28, 2024
seunmsg:
Alpata is another desperate opportunist like Peter Obi. He will never step down for anybody despite knowing he has no clear path to victory.
senatordave1:
I won't be but I don't see that happening
When you don dey see candidate denying links to Obaseki say he is not a mole, just know say na mole.

See the number of times at different dates he has come out to deny he is not sponsored by Obaseki

https://www.vanguardngr.com/2024/01/im-not-obasekis-mole-i-disagree-with-his-style-of-governance-akpata/

https://leadership.ng/edo-2024-obaseki-not-sponsoring-me-akpata/

https://punchng.com/edo-poll-im-not-obasekis-candidate-says-akpata/

https://dailypost.ng/2023/12/11/edo-2024-obaseki-not-sponsoring-my-ambition-lp-aspirant-akpata/

https://guardian.ng/news/akpata-denies-being-obasekis-mole-distances-self-from-edo-lp-secretariat-violence/
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by senatordave1(op): 5:07pm On Feb 28, 2024
raumdeuter:
When you don dey see candidate denying links to Obaseki say he is not a mole, just know say na mole.

See the number of times at different dates he has come out to deny he is not sponsored by Obaseki

https://www.vanguardngr.com/2024/01/im-not-obasekis-mole-i-disagree-with-his-style-of-governance-akpata/

https://leadership.ng/edo-2024-obaseki-not-sponsoring-me-akpata/

https://punchng.com/edo-poll-im-not-obasekis-candidate-says-akpata/

https://dailypost.ng/2023/12/11/edo-2024-obaseki-not-sponsoring-my-ambition-lp-aspirant-akpata/

https://guardian.ng/news/akpata-denies-being-obasekis-mole-distances-self-from-edo-lp-secretariat-violence/
I don't think he's a mole,the guy is too heavy weighted and nationally influential to be a mere stooge.he contributed heavily in supporting obi.for him to fervently deny the rumours shows he isn't.besides,have you seen ighodalo denying obaseki?
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by raumdeuter: 5:23pm On Feb 28, 2024
senatordave1:
I don't think he's a mole,the guy is too heavy weighted and nationally influential to be a mere stooge.he contributed heavily in supporting obi.for him to fervently deny the rumours shows he isn't.besides,have you seen ighodalo denying obaseki?
Akpata is in LP he knows he has very little chance of winning but he can be a spoiler

For him to be repeating this denial every few weeks means here is substance to it. There are people in LP who believe that Akpata is a mole and they keep repeating it for Akpata to be denying every week. Probably e get wetin dem see

So I wont be surprised if he steps down for Asue
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by senatordave1(op): 5:41pm On Feb 28, 2024
raumdeuter:
Akpata is in LP he knows he has very little chance of winning but he can be a spoiler

For him to be repeating this denial every few weeks means here is substance to it. There are people in LP who believe that Akpata is a mole and they keep repeating it for Akpata to be denying every week. Probably e get wetin dem see

So I wont be surprised if he steps down for Asue
It seems you don't know akpata's weight.if obaseki wanted a mole,it will be a weaker candidate.that guy won't step down even if he was a mole as it will destroy his political career and obidients will cancel him.
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by ImmaculateJOE(m): 8:17pm On Feb 28, 2024
seunmsg:
Alpata is another desperate opportunist like Peter Obi. He will never step down for anybody despite knowing he has no clear path to victory.
12 months after, you are still wailing and gnashing your teeth about Mr. Peter Obi.

Get a life and have peace of mind.
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by ImmaculateJOE(m): 8:54pm On Feb 28, 2024
LegendHero:
Let me tell you why I want Olumide Akpata to win. It is for a petty reason.

In the last Lagos election, Edo people supported Shinedu and abused Yorubas for saying they won't vote him.

In Edo now, some PDP guys are now proping ethnic sentiment that olumide is Yoruba and that people should not vote him. Me I now want to support Olumide, so people blaming Yoruba for Lagos can see how it look like.

I detest LP with passion because I know they are scammers. Even tho I know Olumide will definitely not win, but na em I go still use my mouth support.
Lols. Say the truth and shame the devil, nobody will beat you.

You do not detest LP with passion, you detest progressive Igbos with passion.
You detest anything and anyone, igbos unanimously support with passion.
Post 2011 elections, you detested GEJ and PDP with passion. Then you transferred the detestation to Atiku, Saraki and co post 2015 elections.
Starting from 2022, you transferred your detestation to LP and Obi.
Sandwiched between this periods, at a couple of times, you detested some progressive Yorubas, like Obj, Seyi Makinde, the Adelekes and others, simply because progressive Igbos supported them.


grin You detest LP, but love Lamadi Apapa and his faction to high heavens. LMAO 🤣.
Oga, goan look for gullible ones to deceive. We are way intelligent than this.
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by Chinjo2: 8:57pm On Feb 28, 2024
Ok
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by ImmaculateJOE(m): 9:00pm On Feb 28, 2024
senatordave1:
You are not from Edo or SS so be neutral.as you can see,south and central will be divided.oshio has no reason to sabotage,pdp has started their own sabotage
Everyone knows that APC has a very slim chance in Edo south.
If they must win the election, then they should leverage on Oshio popularity in Edo north, even Edo central, them go share votes evenly.
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by ImmaculateJOE(m): 9:10pm On Feb 28, 2024
OVB123:
We in Edo south, we are awaiting Obaseki and his candidate. What happen to Oshiomhole and Ize-Iyamu in 2020 gubernatorial election, will happen again. He go choke Obaseki that day.
So who is Edo South's candidate?
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by majole: 9:17pm On Feb 28, 2024
I believe this is an honest early view from our political guru. I hope Oshiomole doesn't play the spoiler? I also want to believe deputy is going to play a big role especially for PDP. PDP must get a strong deputy from Edo south



senatordave1:
They will be a four part predictions,this is just the first part.the second part will be released once each party announce their running mates.i painstakingly analysed the 2016,2020 guber and 2023 elections to arrive at this.


Edo central district

IGUEBEN LGA
APC 45% pdp 40% Lp 15%
Esan North East LGA
APC 35% PDP 60% LP 5%
Esan central LGA
APC 75% pdp 23% Lp 2%
Esan south East
APC 50% pdp 44% Lp 6%
Esan West
APC 45% PDP 53 Lp 2%

Edo south district
Ikpoba okha LGA
Apc 30% pdp 40% Lp 30%
Uhumnwonde LGA
APC 45% pdp 35% Lp 20%
Egor LGA
APC 25% pdp 40% lp 35%
Oredo lga
APC 30% pdp 35% lp 35%
Orhiomnwon LGA
APC 45% pdp 35% Lp 20%
Ovia north East LGA
APC 46% pdp 40% Lp 14%
Ovia south west
APC 40% pdp 44% Lp 16%

Edo north district
Akoko Edo LGA
APC 50% pdp 43% lp 7%
Owan east
APC 50% pdp 46% lp 4%
Owan west LGA
APC 55% pdp 35% lp 10%
Etsako east LGA
APC 60% pdp 37% Lp 3%
Etsako central
APC 50% pdp 42% Lp 8%
Etsako west
APC 75% pdp 22% lp3%

Cc mynd44
Nplfmod
Donphilopus
Indispensable85
Majole
Cajal
Legendhero
Generalpula
Casualobserver
Coolambience
Efewestern
Rolams
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by seunmsg(m): 10:14pm On Feb 28, 2024
LegendHero:
I do not have interest in Edo election but I want Olumide Akpata to win.
Why do you want him to win?
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by bender79: 10:16pm On Feb 28, 2024
LegendHero:
Let me tell you why I want Olumide Akpata to win. It is for a petty reason.

In the last Lagos election, Edo people supported Shinedu and abused Yorubas for saying they won't vote him.

In Edo now, some PDP guys are now proping ethnic sentiment that olumide is Yoruba and that people should not vote him. Me I now want to support Olumide, so people blaming Yoruba for Lagos can see how it look like.

I detest LP with passion because I know they are scammers. Even tho I know Olumide will definitely not win, but na em I go still use my mouth support.
Agbado!
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by LegendHero(m): 10:21pm On Feb 28, 2024
seunmsg:
Why do you want him to win?
This petty reason.

LegendHero:
Let me tell you why I want Olumide Akpata to win. It is for a petty reason.

In the last Lagos election, Edo people supported Shinedu and abused Yorubas for saying they won't vote him.

In Edo now, some PDP guys are now proping ethnic sentiment that olumide is Yoruba and that people should not vote him. Me I now want to support Olumide, so people blaming Yoruba for Lagos can see how it look like.

I detest LP with passion because I know they are scammers. Even tho I know Olumide will definitely not win, but na em I go still use my mouth support.
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by Asswipemod: 10:23pm On Feb 28, 2024
seunmsg:
Why do you want him to win?
Because...............................uh.................Kadoso Mutairu!
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by Indispensable85(m): 10:25pm On Feb 28, 2024
senatordave1:
They will be a four part predictions,this is just the first part.the second part will be released once each party announce their running mates.i painstakingly analysed the 2016,2020 guber and 2023 elections to arrive at this.


Edo central district

IGUEBEN LGA
APC 45% pdp 40% Lp 15%
Esan North East LGA
APC 35% PDP 60% LP 5%
Esan central LGA
APC 75% pdp 23% Lp 2%
Esan south East
APC 50% pdp 44% Lp 6%
Esan West
APC 45% PDP 53 Lp 2%

Edo south district
Ikpoba okha LGA
Apc 30% pdp 40% Lp 30%
Uhumnwonde LGA
APC 45% pdp 35% Lp 20%
Egor LGA
APC 25% pdp 40% lp 35%
Oredo lga
APC 30% pdp 35% lp 35%
Orhiomnwon LGA
APC 45% pdp 35% Lp 20%
Ovia north East LGA
APC 46% pdp 40% Lp 14%
Ovia south west
APC 40% pdp 44% Lp 16%

Edo north district
Akoko Edo LGA
APC 50% pdp 43% lp 7%
Owan east
APC 50% pdp 46% lp 4%
Owan west LGA
APC 55% pdp 35% lp 10%
Etsako east LGA
APC 60% pdp 37% Lp 3%
Etsako central
APC 50% pdp 42% Lp 8%
Etsako west
APC 75% pdp 22% lp3%

Cc mynd44
Nplfmod
Donphilopus
Indispensable85
Majole
Cajal
Legendhero
Generalpula
Casualobserver
Coolambience
Efewestern
Rolams
Let's see how well the APC is able to reconcile themselves first. That's very important in this election.
Re: Edo Guber Elections Analysis Part 1(initial Predictions) by seunmsg(m): 10:26pm On Feb 28, 2024
LegendHero:
This petty reason.
lol 😂
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