₦airaland Forum

With 60% of decided Edo Voters, Ighodalo pulls ahead of Okpebholo, Akpata - API Poll

According to the latest poll published by Africa Polling Institute (API), Dr. Asue Ighodalo, the candidate of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), is leading in the race for the Edo State governorship election.

The poll, conducted from August 12th to 16th, 2024, surveyed Edo State citizens and voters to capture their perceptions and intentions ahead of the upcoming election.

The poll revealed that 72% of respondents have made up their minds on which candidate to vote for, while 28% remain undecided. Examining the voting intentions of respondents who have chosen a candidate, approximately 60% support Dr. Asue Ighodalo, 28% favor Sen. Monday Okpebholo of the All Progressives Congress (APC), and 12% back Barr. Olumide Akpata of the Labour Party (LP).

The survey also highlighted that 94% of respondents are registered voters with permanent voters' cards (PVCs), and 83% have given considerable thought to the election. However, confidence in the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) is mixed, with 47% lacking confidence in its ability to conduct a free and fair election, 34% having some confidence, and 19% expressing complete confidence. Notably, 80% of respondents feel safe going out to vote on election day.

Regarding the factors influencing voter decisions, 57% cited the candidate's competence, followed by personality (42%), experience and track record (36%), political party (34%), and party manifesto (16%).

The API report concludes by stating that while Dr. Ighodalo is currently polling ahead of other candidates in the 2024 Edo Governorship Election; they believe it will eventually end up a two-horse race between PDP and APC; and a lot depends on which candidate is able to swing the 28% of undecided voters in their favour.

Polling Methodology

This state-wide poll involved telephone interviews with 2,687 randomly selected voters across Edo State’s 18 Local Government Areas (LGAs).

All interviews were conducted in five major languages spoken in Edo State: English, Pidgin English, Benin, Esan, and Etsako languages. All LGAs were proportionately represented in the poll, and the average time per completed interview was 8 minutes. Post-stratification gender and senatorial district weights were applied to the data to make it more representative, to allow for more accurate population totals of estimates, and to reduce non-response bias. The weights assigned were in proportion to the 2006 population figures. Given the sample size, there is 95% confidence that the results are statistically precise - within a range of plus or minus 5%.

About API

Africa Polling Institute (API) is an independent, non-profit research think tank that conducts opinion polls and social research to inform public policy and advocacy in sub-Saharan Africa.

Professor Bell Ihua is the Executive Director, Africa Polling Institute

https://leaders.ng/2024/08/22/with-60-of-decided-edo-voters-ighodalo-pulls-ahead-of-okpebholo-akpata-api-poll/

Hmm

Till we see credibility in this country, then all this whatsoever polls will be assumed to be real.

Where did 60% of hungry people crying hunger everyday since this govt have strength to come and decide pool that you already know who will be projected

Online polls don't matter. If you doubt me ask Obi

Dey play

Dey play, America poll format different from naija poll wey inec chairman naim be the singular poll determinant.

Damnnn niggar

Pdp owns Edo state right from onset

Thought they said no one would vote APC again in Nigeria

slaawomirr:
Damnnn niggar

Pdp owns Edo state right from onset

Guy, na just one vote u get o and e no go change the total vote

That's how Obi wọn online, you people aren't serious

Polls dont work in a country where the worst of us rule over the best of us. Moreover, most of the polls are sponsored to push a narrative.

thesicilian:
Online polls don't matter. If you doubt me ask Obi

dey tell you say tinubu won the election

The same way serial party defector and Agulu fraudster was leading in all the opinion polls conducted by his deluded obirodent miscreants.

Riskymarvelous:
dey tell you say tinubu won the election

But u guys now mock Nigerians for voting Tinubu and asked them to live with it


Pick a stand abeg

thesicilian:
Online polls don't matter. If you doubt me ask Obi

Asue ighodalo is our next governor here in Edo, forget that clown that calls himself akpakomiza who don't have anything to offer, we don't want nuisance,tout, hooligans,thugs,gangster,agberos in our state

Same way dem deceive obi

Lies

Election are not done online. Na we wey dey Edo go vote that day. We the electorates in Edo have vow to disgrace Obaseki and his godson Asue.

Asue will come a distant 6th in the upcoming election. Behind APC, LP, NNPP, SDP, and APGA. All these their online LIES AND PROPAGANDA won't safe them from the disgrace.

Ugly man wants to become a godfather in Edo. Someone that doesn't 8 years as Governor without doing anything

In a normal and sensible country how can you compare and put Monday Okpebholo and Ause Of PDP in the same contest. Monday Okpebholo of APC is grossly incompetent.

It’s for the voters to decide
Whatever happens they are always the receiving end

A fool at 40 is a fool forever

Edo people must schine their Eyes!
Anything like APC Palliative governor for Edo state make Holy Ghost tear demon into pieces.
Tinubu APC leadership in Nigeria is the worst disaster in human history.

Edo 2024: Between the power of incumbency and presidential might.

It's hard not to think that Ighadalo is taking this one, He has huge technocrat vibes and is favoured by the zoning sentiments. Even the worry about him being a political godson doesn't even click because if Wike can be kicked out by Fubara, who is Obaseki that won't collect if he doesn't mind himself.

Theoarhics:
In a normal and sensible country how can you compare and put Monday Okpebholo and Ause Of PDP in the same contest. Monday Okpebholo of APC is grossly incompetent.

Asue failed woefully at Nigerian Breweries

Please, how about eyen nnyin of Cross River State

Are you sure?

Much as most of us disagree with APC and the massive poor governance suffered, yet we must note that elections are not won on pages of newspapers or social media spaces. Elections are won when the citizens use their voters card appropriately on Election Day.

Again we know that of all the millions of cards in the hands of the citizens, only a few hundreds of thousands actually cast their votes. For example, the 2020 elections had 2.272m registered voters. Of that amount, PDP scored 307K votes while APC scored 223K votes. Voters were not up to one million inspite of all the hype. Voters will play a good role turning out on the day to cast their votes and protect the ballot boxes.

Again, irrespective of the decamping of certain politicians in the state, we do not expect the governor to be deaf or blind to their moves. We hope that he puts his house in order before Election Day.

Macnnoli4:
It's hard not to think that Ighadalo is taking this one, He has huge technocrat vibes and is favoured by the zoning sentiments. Even the worry about him being a political godson doesn't even click because if Wike can be kicked out by Fubara, who is Obaseki that won't collect if he doesn't mind himself.

Asue will fail woefully

Obaseki commissioned polls

Edo gubernatorial election seems uncertain.

PDP underperforms at the state level and is no longer popular in the state .

APC underperforms at the federal level which makes APC unpopular in the state .

LP candidate is not popular and doesn't have full backing of the Obidients .

Polls obviously don't work in Nigeria

With Inec "offing their irev" nothing is impossible

Theoarhics:
In a normal and sensible country how can you compare and put Monday Okpebholo and Ause Of PDP in the same contest. Monday Okpebholo of APC is grossly incompetent.

Mention 5 projects your so called "competent Obaseki" did in Edo and I will send you 5k.

Edo will not vote an Illiterate as Gov,the Pdp candidate is the most qualified.Edo no be Lagos where politicians decide,the people will decide and they are wiser

Akpakomiza2:
Obaseki commissioned polls

Since Obaseki spent 8 years as Governor with zero project to campaign with. He has resulted to propagating lies online. Unfortunately for him, na we go vote that day. Besides, majority of the voters don't come online. He is just fooling himself with these lies