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Obasanjo Rings The Doomsday Bell: Puts Tinubu On Notice. - Politics - Nairaland

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Obasanjo Rings The Doomsday Bell: Puts Tinubu On Notice. by Asonaijaaso(op): 6:14am On Nov 17, 2024
Nigeria, Africa’s most populous country and one of its largest economies, has long been a focal point for both hope and frustration. While the nation is rich in natural resources, particularly oil and gas, its potential is stifled by leadership failures and widespread state capture. These two intertwined issues have caused Nigeria to lag in its pursuit of equitable development, social progress, and good governance.

Leadership Failure: A Pattern of Neglect

Leadership failure in Nigeria has been a recurring theme since the country’s independence in 1960. This failure is not only a matter of ineffective governance but also of corruption, mismanagement, and a lack of vision among political elites. Nigeria’s leadership — both past and present — has often been criticized for prioritizing personal and political interests over the public good.

1. Corruption at All Levels:

Corruption is one of the most glaring failures of leadership in Nigeria. It pervades all levels of government, from local councils to the highest offices. Public funds, which could be used to improve infrastructure, education, healthcare, and social welfare, are routinely siphoned off by political leaders and their associates. Nigeria consistently ranks as one of the most corrupt nations in global indices. The notorious mismanagement of public funds has led to the decline of critical services, such as healthcare and education, leaving the population impoverished and disenfranchised.

2. Institutional Weakness:

The failure of Nigerian leadership is also evident in the weakness of institutions designed to serve the public. For example, the National Assembly, tasked with making laws that protect the welfare of Nigerians, is often gridlocked by personal and party interests. The judiciary, which should serve as a check on executive power, has frequently been accused of bias, inefficiency, and a lack of independence. The security apparatus, which should guarantee the safety of Nigerians, has been undermined by political interference and corruption, contributing to escalating violence, insurgencies, and general insecurity.

3. Economic Mismanagement:

Nigeria’s leadership has also failed to effectively manage its resources. Despite being one of the world’s largest oil producers, the country remains mired in poverty, with over 40% of the population living below the poverty line. Economic policies have often been short-term and inconsistent, with a focus on the extraction of oil rather than developing a diversified economy. The failure to invest in sectors such as agriculture, technology, and manufacturing has resulted in an over-reliance on crude oil, which makes the country vulnerable to fluctuations in global oil prices.

State Capture: The Erosion of Democratic Institutions

State capture refers to a process where powerful elites use their influence to control the state’s institutions for their personal or partisan gain. In Nigeria, state capture has become one of the main impediments to genuine reform.

1. Political Patronage Networks:

State capture in Nigeria is perpetuated through patronage networks, where politicians and their supporters exploit state resources for political gain. These networks often operate outside the law, making it difficult for institutions to function independently. The result is a system where political loyalty, rather than merit, determines access to resources and government positions. This practice not only undermines democracy but also entrenches inequality, as people are denied opportunities based on their political affiliations rather than their capabilities.

2. Control of Oil Wealth:

Perhaps the most significant form of state capture in Nigeria is the control over the country’s oil wealth. The oil sector, which contributes about 90% of Nigeria’s foreign exchange earnings, has been the focal point of state capture. A small group of politically connected individuals and corporations control much of the revenue from oil, diverting these resources away from national development. This has led to the “resource curse,” where a country’s natural resource wealth paradoxically results in poor governance, conflict, and economic stagnation.

3. Compromised Elections:

The capture of the state is evident in the manipulation of electoral processes. Nigerian elections are often marred by vote-buying, electoral fraud, and violence. Politicians, backed by wealthy individuals and corporations, spend large sums of money to sway elections and maintain control over the political system. This undermines the democratic process and allows entrenched elites to remain in power, further exacerbating the cycle of corruption and poor governance.

The Consequences:

The consequences of leadership failure and state capture in Nigeria are profound.

1. Poverty and Inequality:

Despite the country’s vast wealth in oil and natural resources, poverty and inequality are rampant. In many regions, basic services such as healthcare, clean water, and electricity are scarce. Millions of Nigerians live without access to quality education or employment opportunities. The rich-poor divide has grown wider, and the political elites have become more disconnected from the realities faced by ordinary citizens.

2. Security Crisis:

The failure to maintain a strong and independent security apparatus has led to growing insecurity in Nigeria. The Boko Haram insurgency, banditry, and ethnic violence have created a climate of fear and instability. State institutions, such as the police and military, are often viewed as corrupt and ineffective, further eroding public trust.

3. Brain Drain:

Frustrated by poor governance, many Nigerians, especially young professionals, have sought opportunities abroad. This brain drain has led to a significant loss of human capital, further weakening Nigeria’s ability to innovate and develop its economy.

Countering Leadership Failure and State Capture:

To overcome these challenges, Nigeria must take significant steps to restore good governance and break free from the stranglehold of state capture.

1. Strengthening Institutions:

Rebuilding strong, independent institutions is key to overcoming both leadership failure and state capture. The judiciary, election bodies, and security forces must be reformed to ensure they are free from political interference and corruption. This requires a concerted effort to uphold the rule of law and ensure that those in power are held accountable.

2. Electoral and Political Reform:

Nigeria must introduce electoral reforms to ensure that elections are free, fair, and transparent. The electoral commission needs to be strengthened, and political parties must be held accountable for their actions during campaigns. Campaign finance reform is also essential to reduce the influence of money in politics.

3. Economic Diversification:

Nigeria must move away from its dependence on oil and develop other sectors of the economy. This includes investing in agriculture, technology, manufacturing, and renewable energy. Economic diversification will create jobs, reduce poverty, and make the economy more resilient to external shocks.

4. Social Accountability and Citizen Participation:

There must be greater citizen engagement and transparency in government. A more active civil society, along with robust media and public oversight, can help hold leaders accountable for their actions. Public institutions should be accountable to the people, not just to those in power. Citizens must demand better governance, and a culture of civic responsibility must be cultivated.


Nigeria’s leadership failures and the persistent state capture have left the country vulnerable to a variety of crises. However, it is not too late for the nation to break free from this cycle of dysfunction. By strengthening democratic institutions, rooting out corruption, diversifying the economy, and empowering citizens, Nigeria can reclaim its future. The key lies in leadership that prioritizes the collective good over personal or partisan gain, and in a determined effort to dismantle the networks of state capture that have held the country back for so long. The road to a prosperous, just, and peaceful Nigeria is long, but it begins with a commitment to change from within.

Re: Obasanjo Rings The Doomsday Bell: Puts Tinubu On Notice. by Asonaijaaso(op): 6:15am On Nov 17, 2024
2 Years down the line oil subsidy removal is not working

Forex flotation is not working

Inflation is punching Nigerians in the face everyday

IMF and World bank are nowhere to be found.

Our politicians are talking about reelection in 2027.
Re: Obasanjo Rings The Doomsday Bell: Puts Tinubu On Notice. by TreasureJunky:
Tinubu wanted to attain Obasanjo's position, but unfortunately he doesn't have what it takes to measure up with Obasanjo's achievement.
It is my turn, it is my turn, now they have handed everything to you, you destroyed everything.
Re: Obasanjo Rings The Doomsday Bell: Puts Tinubu On Notice. by Asonaijaaso(op): 6:23am On Nov 17, 2024
TreasureJunky:
Tinubu wanted to attain Obasanjo's position, but unfortunately he doesn't have what it takes to measure up to Obasanjo's achievement.
It is my turn, it is my turn, now they have handed everything to you, you destroyed everything.

I really expected more from him, but his rash implementation of existential fiscal policies and being tone deaf to public outcry makes him come across ill equipped for this position.
Re: Obasanjo Rings The Doomsday Bell: Puts Tinubu On Notice. by WeddingParol: 7:32am On Nov 17, 2024
Obasanjo should please go and rest.

He is an elder state man, I don't expect him to be talking any how as he is doing lately.
Re: Obasanjo Rings The Doomsday Bell: Puts Tinubu On Notice. by NaijaCowFarm: 7:35am On Nov 17, 2024
We need to deconstruct the country; there is no better time than NOW!!!
Re: Obasanjo Rings The Doomsday Bell: Puts Tinubu On Notice. by Asonaijaaso(op): 7:38am On Nov 17, 2024
WeddingParol:
Obasanjo should please go and rest.

He is an elder state man, I don't expect him to be talking any how as he is doing lately.
People like Obasanjo have invested tears, sweat and blood in Nigeria to just sit back and watch anyone destroy it. When the likes of Tinubu ran away on exile, Obasanjo confronted the dictators and got locked up in prison.
Re: Obasanjo Rings The Doomsday Bell: Puts Tinubu On Notice. by Dogalmighty17: 7:43am On Nov 17, 2024
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Re: Obasanjo Rings The Doomsday Bell: Puts Tinubu On Notice. by BuhariAdvocate: 7:46am On Nov 17, 2024
Obj is not a better leader . A failed leader that still want to be relevant forever you laid the foundation of all the problem facing Nigerians today.
Re: Obasanjo Rings The Doomsday Bell: Puts Tinubu On Notice. by Asonaijaaso(op): 8:00am On Nov 17, 2024
BuhariAdvocate:
Obj is not a better leader . A failed leader that still want to be relevant forever you laid the foundation of all the problem facing Nigerians today.
Tell me 10 things Buhari or Tinubu have done , that has positively impacted the lives of Nigerians.
Re: Obasanjo Rings The Doomsday Bell: Puts Tinubu On Notice. by BuhariAdvocate: 8:10am On Nov 17, 2024
I'm not going to start mention anything .But today you enjoying 24hrs power supply you might not benefit from this if you still living in enclave. And if you can comprehend my last sentence has done justice to all Obasanjo successors.
Asonaijaaso:
Tell me 10 things Buhari or Tinubu have done , that has positively impacted the lives of Nigerians.
Re: Obasanjo Rings The Doomsday Bell: Puts Tinubu On Notice. by Asonaijaaso(op): 8:28am On Nov 17, 2024
BuhariAdvocate:
I'm not going to start mention anything .But today you enjoying 24hrs power supply you might not benefit from this if you still living in enclave. And if you can comprehend my last sentence has done justice to all Obasanjo successors.
I am not sure you are expressing yourself well. But if you price tomatoes out of the reach of everybody.....If you go to the market there will be a lot of tomatoes on display.

Nigerians have been out priced by band A, band B and band C nonsense, the people living in the enclaves do not have electricity because of this.
Re: Obasanjo Rings The Doomsday Bell: Puts Tinubu On Notice. by Adblg0610: 8:30am On Nov 17, 2024
BuhariAdvocate:
Obj is not a better leader . A failed leader that still want to be relevant forever you laid the foundation of all the problem facing Nigerians today.
I think Tinubu has done very well so far, but he needs to compliment the removal of subsidies from petroleum products, electricity and floating of exchange rates, with investment of the proceeds into sufficiently subsidizing agriculture, education, health, social investment and provision of critical infrastructure until it reaches the point of equilibrium with the pain and hardship being suffered by the masses.
This means that removal of subsidies is just one part, he needs to continue to invest the proceeds to soothe the pains until it can sufficiently alleviate the sufferings.
Please note that these subsidies were quickly removed, he also needs to quickly ameliorate the sufferings at a faster pace, without delay.
Re: Obasanjo Rings The Doomsday Bell: Puts Tinubu On Notice. by Asonaijaaso(op): 8:33am On Nov 17, 2024
Adblg0610:
I think Tinubu has done very well so far, but he needs to compliment the removal of subsidies from petroleum products, electricity and floating of exchange rates, with sufficient investment of the proceeds into subsidizing agriculture, education, health, social investment and provision of critical infrastructure until it reaches the point of equilibrium with the pain and hardship being suffered by the masses.
This means that removal of subsidies is just one part, he needs to continue to invest the proceeds to soothe the pains until it can sufficiently alleviate the sufferings.

Subsidies have been gone for over 18 months. Tell me one measure he has implemented to alleviate the sufferings of vulnerable Nigerians.
Please do not mention sharing rice.
Re: Obasanjo Rings The Doomsday Bell: Puts Tinubu On Notice. by JerryGent1983: 8:42am On Nov 17, 2024
WeddingParol:
Obasanjo should please go and rest.

He is an elder state man, I don't expect him to be talking any how as he is doing lately.
what is wrong with you people as an elder would you expect him to keep quiet when things are going wrong I like obasanjo he always speaks out even during Jonathan's regime he speaks out also in Buhari's era he also speaks out
Re: Obasanjo Rings The Doomsday Bell: Puts Tinubu On Notice. by Thiefobi1: 9:05am On Nov 17, 2024
He should return the failed power project fund till then he should keep his mouth closed.

Re: Obasanjo Rings The Doomsday Bell: Puts Tinubu On Notice. by Buharidgeneral: 9:19am On Nov 17, 2024
Baba go and write a letter or ink don finish and stop all these salaye
Re: Obasanjo Rings The Doomsday Bell: Puts Tinubu On Notice. by Anyiamaka: 9:26am On Nov 17, 2024
WeddingParol:
Obasanjo should please go and rest.

He is an elder state man, I don't expect him to be talking any how as he is doing lately.
An elder statesman is not a countryman because the most unreasonable, clueless, ruthless, wicked and dumb among us is taking his senseless turn?
Re: Obasanjo Rings The Doomsday Bell: Puts Tinubu On Notice. by DEGABA(m): 9:26am On Nov 17, 2024
Asonaijaaso:

I really expected more from him, but his rash implementation of existential fiscal policies and being tone deaf to public outcry makes him come across ill equipped for this position.
I never expected anything from him from day one because he's only interested in being the president and nothing more to offer.
Re: Obasanjo Rings The Doomsday Bell: Puts Tinubu On Notice. by aswani(m): 9:34am On Nov 17, 2024
Asonaijaaso:
Nigeria’s leadership failures and the persistent state capture have left the country vulnerable to a variety of crises. However, it is not too late for the nation to break free from this cycle of dysfunction. By strengthening democratic institutions, rooting out corruption, diversifying the economy, and empowering citizens, Nigeria can reclaim its future. The key lies in leadership that prioritizes the collective good over personal or partisan gain, and in a determined effort to dismantle the networks of state capture that have held the country back for so long. The road to a prosperous, just, and peaceful Nigeria is long, but it begins with a commitment to change from within.
I haven't read your post in detail, just looked at the paragraph topics.

When exactly, going back as far as Shagari, can we not say all of this stuff you posted is true?

In fact, if you had posted this verbatim every 4 years, it will still ring true.
Re: Obasanjo Rings The Doomsday Bell: Puts Tinubu On Notice. by Bimpe29(m): 9:35am On Nov 17, 2024
Things are really getting worse.
Re: Obasanjo Rings The Doomsday Bell: Puts Tinubu On Notice. by Adblg0610: 9:43am On Nov 17, 2024
Bimpe29:
Things are really getting worse.
But the same APC has just won governorship elections in two of the most educationally advanced states in Nigeria, Edo and Ondo states.
It means that the situation may not be as bad as you think.
Tinubu just needs to quickly and sufficiently reinvest the proceeds of subsidies removal into agriculture, education, healthcare, critical infrastructure and social investment, until it reaches equilibrium with the sufferings of the masses, at a faster pace than when they were removed.
Re: Obasanjo Rings The Doomsday Bell: Puts Tinubu On Notice. by Asonaijaaso(op): 10:01am On Nov 17, 2024
aswani:
I haven't read your post in detail, just looked at the paragraph topics.

When exactly, going back as far as Shagari, can we not say all of this stuff you posted is true?

In fact, if you had posted this verbatim every 4 years, it will still ring true.
A few of them tried to break the cycle, but now we are accelerating on this path with reckless abandon.
Re: Obasanjo Rings The Doomsday Bell: Puts Tinubu On Notice. by LordYon08: 10:08am On Nov 17, 2024
Dangote is my problem now.. he only worsen our petrol hope
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