₦airaland Forum

My own is, Anything Atiku/Obi ticket will defeat Tinubu/Jesus Christ let alone Tinubu/Kwankwaso. Peter Obi dusted Kwankwaso in the whole North(cumulative votes).
Only Saraki/NOI can defeat Atiku/Obi in 2027. If Obi and Atiku like let them separately and continue keeping us in this hardship

Who dey ask this question.....?
Is like comparing Emilokan to Aregbesola
That's definitely an insult to Emilokan.

Ayo25:
How is Obi more popular than Tinubu in Tinubus region?

tinubu's Region is lagos. And Obi is more popular than Tinubu in Lagos

More popular than you think; however, comparing the voters strength of NW with NE is like saying 5 is equal to 100 in quantity.

guass:
Atiku should support Obi till 2031. Obi will then support Atiku come 2031, simple arithmetic

Age is not on atiku side thats the reason. Plus NW and NE would prefer voting Atiku as president.

Mabuggi88:
My own is, Anything Atiku/Obi will defeat Tinubu/Jesus Christ

Jesus Christ.....
That's hatred taken too farrrrrr
That's blasphemy
Your hatred as made you go mad
That's what hatred does
It makes a man go unconsciously insane.

Kano is very important in terms of votes, once u have Kano you have a large portion of votes 9ja has to offer....from the north to be precise

Kwansokwaso is more popular and experienced than Shettima.

Ayo25:
How is Obi more popular than Tinubu in Tinubus region?

Abobi na you dey talk like this check the altered results from Lagos. The actual was over a million. Come 2027 I see 55% for Tinubu in south west and 45% for Obi which is not bad, majority of people that voted him cos of tribe regrets doing that and will not try it this time. Now compare that to Tinubu's 5% or less in the East in the same 2027.

Ayo25:
How is Obi more popular than Tinubu in Tinubus region?

Igbo are comic reliefs. the endsars youths they hijacked and propaganda in 2023 they think they can apply the same this time? no it won't happen because Tinubu will checkmate them


even though Tinubu hasn't meet up to expectations but obi is as worse his kinsmen can only deceived himself



Tinubu/kwakwanso is a walkover for Tinubu

gigabyte13:
Jesus Christ.....
That's hatred taken too farrrrrr
That's blasphemy
Your hatred as made you go mad
That's what hatred does
It makes a man go unconsciously insane.

Misunderstood. It actually means I take Jesus Christ as supreme and highest.
My analogy is an exaggeration meaning Atiku/Obi ticket will defeat Tinubu with anybody

ComeComing:
Is Kwankwaso More Popular Than Shettima In The North?

Sure he is more popular, Kwankaso can give Tinubu more votes than Shetima

guass:
Atiku should support Obi till 2031. Obi will then support Atiku come 2031, simple arithmetic

Lol! Because Obi is your candidate.
Obi can't win the election on it own

Wow what a great speech

The problem is that the humongous number of illiterates in the country cannot appreciate it

Bendeco02:
YES because Kwakwanso is from the major region in the North which is North West (Hausa) while shettima is from minority Kanuri tribe, Borno state.

Though kwakwanso is fulani but he is from Kano, so he takes advantage of Hausa population politically.

who told you that rmk is a fulani man? Rmk is Hausa man , not fulani.

Penguin2:
Kwankwaso is more popular than Shettima by far!

And Kwankwaso’s state alone can almost cancel out what opposition candidate can muster in the entire Northeast (Shettima’s zone).

But the big question is, will Kano voters vote for a Tinubu/Kwankwaso ticket just because Kwankwaso defected to APC? Are Kano voters that daft? I guess not.

It’s like expecting Ndi Anambra or Southeast to vote for Tinubu because Peter Obi defected to APC. Because as popular as Peter Obi is, one wrong step will kill all of his popularity in the entire Southeast in 24hrs.

But maybe it’s not like that in Kano. Maybe Kano people are easily led by their noses and told where to thumbprint.

But all this simply betrays one thing - that Tinubu is scared to his pampers. While his supporters litter here saying things to excite themselves, Tinubu knows that the reality on ground says something different.

In 2027, those defecting to APC won’t attract much votes to Tinubu; especially in the Southsouth. You would be daft to think Tinubu will win Delta because the governor defected.

Ur analogy of Kano and Anambra/SE not the same, while North West not angry for any position in Naija, South East holding grudges against Nigeria, their inability to occupy first or second position in Nigeria.

2. Politicians don't have their own choices wen it come to elections, they follow blindly what their leaders asked them to do.

In terms of popularity, Dr RMK is more than Popular KS.
Even interms of influence entirely in the North.
But one thing one will be a catalyst against him, he would not be a docile VP like Kasshim Shettima have displayed in the last two years.
Finally, that wouldn't be a yard stick for the electorates to follow.
2027 would be a total different ball game.
Based on the current situation and realities.

Penguin2:
Una no dey read.

He said Obi is more popular in Southwest than Tinubu is popular in Southeast.

This expression shouldn’t be difficult to understand naaa!

Is it that bad?

In a simple term tinubu is not popular in the south east. Abi?

He is also much more relevant than shettima.
The whole north-west is kwankwasia

Good but I believe kwankwaso wields more power over the majority in the north than shettima even as vp so its a plus if pdp looks in that direction

No basis for comparison.

In the north, there are three huge personalities.

1. Buhari
2. Atiku
3. Kwakwanso

Shettima, El Rufai and the rest do not carry such weight and power.

It may not be entirely as you think. The good people of kano state will not be so gullible to vote APC in entirety because Kwakwanso was picked as vice president. The treatment melted on Shetimma comes to mind. Locked out of the villa, not given room to perform his role as an elected vice etc. Let's sit back and enjoy the game

Dopeboy8701:
Kano is very important in terms of votes, once u have Kano you have a large portion of votes 9ja has to offer....from the north to be precise

An Atiku Obi ticket can only beat Tinubu if Obi is president and Atiku is vice, and that ain't happening.

wasco70:
All we want is a correct president that can handle the situation of economy , security and betterment of Nigerians as a whole.

Then make me the KING OF KINGS OF WEST WAKANDA LAND, then I will appoint some set of Monarchy lords to rule your country well Bwana 😀

guass:
Atiku should support Obi till 2031. Obi will then support Atiku come 2031, simple arithmetic

Same Atiku that blocked Obi in 2023, so 2031 is now northern era ?

Nawa oh

First, on the question of who's more politically popular in the North. Generally speaking,
Kwankwaso outweighs Shettima in the general north.

Kwankwaso being from NW zone (the largest voting block in the Federation) has single-handedly pulled over 1million votes in the last Presidential election while delivering his home state (Kano) to his party (NNPP).
Shettima on the other hand hails from NE geopolitical zone (the least dense voting block in the North, though considered a strong politician in his home state (Borno) having served 2 terms as governor and successfully installing his own successor may have some voting influence but certainly not in the shade of Kwankwaso's.

Having affirmed all these, let's now put your permutations into perspective:

Would you honestly expect the general south to sacrifice their turn for a northern candidate given the scheme of things in Nigerian politics?
I very much doubt this, and this factor may even play a huge role in the larger picture of 2027....

Then, there's the idea of an Atiku/Obi vs A Tinubu/Kwankwaso ticket in the race.
If the 2023 elections were anything to go by, it's only a question of a simple addition and subtraction to arrive at the answer that the odds appear to favour the former because Atiku/Obi = 6+6 (approx. 12m) to a Tinubu/Kwankwaso 8+1 (approx. 9m). So, you do the maths.

But it's like I said, the game may be different this time around given the North/South dichotomy that always influenced voting pattern in Nigeria.

Who is shettima to kwankwanso airline wey i don dey hear from my village right from primary school. Na terrorists and Tinubu make shettima popular.

He got no electoral value.

If Obi, elrufai and kwankwaso work together they will finish Tinubu in 2027

IYAKABIRU301:
ONLY GOD KNOWS


- Is Shettima and Kwankwaso from different region in the north?

- If yes, whose region has more voting strength to the other?


I ask because I'm thinking maybe Tinubu has sensed that 40 or 50 percent of his tribesmen votes can't win him election. Note: I said this because Obi welds great influence in Tinubu's tribe than Tinubu welds in Obi's land.

And Obi is more popular than Atiku in the west, so he(Tinubu) wants to bring in a candidate from a region with great voting strength (Kwankwaso) because maybe he fears an Atiku/Obi merger happening (which of course will lead to his defeat).

Without being bais, any body that knows deep about Nigerian politics will agree that an Atiku/Obi coalition will beat Tinubu/Shettima hands down. Anybody that says otherwise is either ignorant or a mole. (The former coalition did great job in 2019 and could have won save for Buhari's cult like followership in the North, which off course Tinubu doesn't have)

If you notice, Tinubu waited until Atiku picked his vice (super paperweight Okowa) before settling for Shettima (I think he decided to pick Shettima afterall because Atiku's vice(Okowa) had minus 99 percent influence for PDP, even Obi won in Okowa's region) not because Shettima had any significant influence in his zone.


To cut it short, I'd say; any coalition that is not Atiku/Obi is dead on arrival (this is the only merger than can bring the ruling party down)

Obi needs to mellow down and agree to deputize Atiku. And Atiku should not shoot himself in the foot again by picking a paperweight vice like Rotimi Amaechi, if not tinubu will win by a landslide.


Just my thoughts (I stand to be corrected). pardon my grammatical errors

That shows Tinubus tribes men are detribalized if Obi has more influence in Tinubus tribe n tinubu does have sane

Pinklada:
That shows Tinubus tribes men are detribalized if Obi has more influence in Tinubus tribe n tinubu does have sane

It's very clear...But they are not ready for that conversation.

ajailer:
Kwankwaso has more influence, Kwankwaso is from NW, while Shetima is from NE. Your analysis seems right, but if PBAT is able to win a second term, then the guy is a confirmed demi god in politics. I am just looking at how PBAT will play the game to make Shetima step down for Kwankwaso without the north feeling that they are being used as an end to a means, cos those guys are egoistical.

For the coalition, forget the noise, the ticket will still be Atiku/Obi.

But no one should think they can solve Nigeria's problems in 8 years, what we need at this time is a leader who is bold enough to do his own little bit of taking away the influence of the cabals over this country, which the president is doing right now. PO does not have that kind of clout, he will be overwhelmed if he is lucky to be the president, I can't even imagine the state of things he will leave Nigeria. Atiku will only come to entrench the Fulani hold over Nigeria, so I see him as the worst of this three guys.

Lastly, we still need a southerner on that seat for another 4 years, so that they can do their bit before these Fula guys come again with their evil agenda.

brilliant insights, it's simply head scratching for me that any sane human living in Nigeria will willingly elect another Fulani man to rule this country not for even four years but potentially eight years, out of power the fulanis are already overrunning us and killing farmers, so how much more if they clinch power again after the disastrous rule of Buhari