₦airaland Forum

Ayo25:
How is Obi more popular than Tinubu in Tinubus region?

seunmsg:
Ibos will vote for Atiku if Peter Obi is his running mate.

guass:
Atiku should support Obi till 2031. Obi will then support Atiku come 2031, simple arithmetic

ajailer:
If this country is a normal country, no one from NW or NE is supposed to be voted to become a president for the next 20 years, till they are able to overcome all their challenges from education, to development, to security plaguing them, cos no one can solve it except they themselves.

[b]The British did us a country a very bad thing by handing over po[/b]wer to them.

guass:
Atiku should support Obi till 2031. Obi will then support Atiku come 2031, simple arithmetic

dalongjnr:
Once he dropped shetima,his base in NE is gone.
In NC =only kogi is sure for him,that's if he reconcile with yahaya bello.
Nasarawa can tilt to pdp or adc.
Plateau can vote tinubu if he chose to work with the present governor,if not, he may not get 25%.
Kwara is a very difficult one him.
The governor is not his person and the former governors are still strong and influential and not with him.
Benue is hard to call 35% for him considering how he handle the banditry issues there. People are now having the perception that's jihad that's going on in the state.
Niger state use to be APC stronghold due to bubari's influence but that's no longer there.
Abuja can till to tinubu due to wike's infrastructure drive but if he doesn't handle the issues of civil servants and land allocation/demolition well, he may not get 50%.

lionshare:
You should acknowledge that there is no more Christian voting bloc for Atiku/obi plus southern sentiments. 2027 Will teach us all new lessons.

Ayo25:
How is Obi more popular than Tinubu in Tinubus region?

MorataFC:
Who is Shettima?

Op doesn't understand the meaning of 'popular'. Obi may garner more votes in the West than Atiku, but he is by no means more popular than Atiku.

Penguin2:
Una no dey read.

He said Obi is more popular in Southwest than Tinubu is popular in Southeast.

This expression shouldn’t be difficult to understand naaa!

Is it that bad?

Olumaeme:
You missed the point when you said if not for Buhari cult like followership in 2019.

APC lost the 2019 election, it was so clear that they had to deny ever having a server in court, which they actually did.

In 2023, the Server that they denied in 2019, suddenly had a glitch and people could no longer follow live updates, cant you see that, winning elections is more than who is popular where?

If Tinubu picks a goat as Vice, he will still win because the election will be rigged.

Pateebartex:
In a simple term tinubu is not popular in the south east. Abi?

Penguin2:
Kwankwaso is more popular than Shettima by far!

And Kwankwaso’s state alone can almost cancel out what opposition candidate can muster in the entire Northeast (Shettima’s zone).

But the big question is, will Kano voters vote for a Tinubu/Kwankwaso ticket just because Kwankwaso defected to APC? Are Kano voters that daft? I guess not.

It’s like expecting Ndi Anambra or Southeast to vote for Tinubu because Peter Obi defected to APC. Because as popular as Peter Obi is, one wrong step will kill all of his popularity in the entire Southeast in 24hrs.

But maybe it’s not like that in Kano. Maybe Kano people are easily led by their noses and told where to thumbprint.

But all this simply betrays one thing - that Tinubu is scared to his pampers. While his supporters litter here saying things to excite themselves, Tinubu knows that the reality on ground says something different.

In 2027, those defecting to APC won’t attract much votes to Tinubu; especially in the Southsouth. You would be daft to think Tinubu will win Delta because the governor defected.

guass:
Atiku should support Obi till 2031. Obi will then support Atiku come 2031, simple arithmetic

KingOfPeaceJoy:
That shows Tinubus tribes men are detribalized if Obi has more influence in Tinubus tribe n tinubu does not have same...

Yes I agree.

benardtotti:
You guys underrated Tinubu when he was not in office , again you guys are underestimating him again now that he has power, intelligence report daily and most opposition members are joining his party , I will wait till after elections in 2027 to remind you of this post , tinubu has not lost a personal political battle since 1990 and you guys still underrate him ? Infact I don't know what else to say, SMH.

Omicron007:
KWANKWASO IS MORE POPULAR.

THIS IS NOT EVEN UP FOR DEBATE.

ASIDES BUHARI, NO LIVING NORTHERNER HAS THE KIND OF CULT FOLLOWERSHIP THAT KWANKWASO HAS.

THE MAN SHOULD HAVE BEEN PRESIDENT OF NORTHERN NIGERIA WAS A COUNTRY ON ITS OWN.

AND FOR 2027, APC IS IN A BIG MESS ALREADY.
THE PARTY WILL IMPLODE INTERNALLY

Kaycee9242:
Can you point to where op wrote that Obi is more popular than Atiku. You people just read without comprehension

And Obi is more popular than Atiku in the west,

highchief1:
God bless u.God will really really bless u.u are an in-depth analyst.i don talk tire them no Dey hear.im a deltan.if sherif open em moith tell me to vote tinubu I go slap am.im not in his pay roll so how can he sway me.amd guess what?sherrif has less than 5k Aides and less than 200 elected officials.How do people think when a gov moves the entire state has moved.i no understand.I like d way u said Obi can lose his love in less than 24hrs with one miscalculation.i really enjoyed ur words

Lithiumite:
You have political heavy weights in the north and kwakwanso can be at oar with atiku if he were in a party like pdp but he still did great with is small Nnpp...it's funny how obidients think obi would get more votes than he did in 2023.... What you guys always forget is that the dynamics would be different in 2027 and so many factors would come to bear.

Power of incumbency,money and ability to galvanise support across class and ethnic lines,religion and tribalism....tinubu would still have far more appeal to any northerner than obi anytime anyday just for being Muslim and he would have far more support in his region than he did in 2023.....the battle ground are the swing states like Parts of NC and SS and many of this places especially the SS many factors that worked against the APC in 2923 won't be there In 2027.....it's obvious 2027 won't be a 2 horse race and that would work greatly in Tinubu's favour, everyone would hold their regions tight and any where your opponent is winning just try to keep the margin as tight as possible,that was how tinubu was able to beat atiku because states atiku won,he came second with very narrow margin, Katsina was just about 5k difference and even 4k in other places

It's same way obi wou6also loose votes if he decides to work with atiku rather than going it alone.... The opposition have a bigger dilemma because tinubu already knows his weaknesses and is already doing everything to work on that

Penguin2:
In all of your permutations, you didn’t factor in the hunger in the land and the general disenchantment with Tinubu.

Oh! That doesn’t matter abi?

And hey, Obi’s political stock hasn’t changed one bit.

Penguin2:
What I can tell you is that there’s always a first time.

Meanwhile, he lost in Osun.

guass:
Atiku should support Obi till 2031. Obi will then support Atiku come 2031, simple arithmetic

Olumaeme:
You missed the point when you said if not for Buhari cult like followership in 2019.

APC lost the 2019 election, it was so clear that they had to deny ever having a server in court, which they actually did.

In 2023, the Server that they denied in 2019, suddenly had a glitch and people could no longer follow live updates, cant you see that, winning elections is more than who is popular where?

If Tinubu picks a goat as Vice, he will still win because the election will be rigged.

Lithiumite:
There has always been hunger in the land.....Buhari won 2nd term with hunger and insecurity pervading the land.....votes are even easier to buy now than it was in 2015.....forget all the obidients noise in the urban centers,the real magic happens in the rural far to reach areas,how would obidients counter vote buying and under age voting in far away Katsina or Kano or deep in cross rivers jungles.

Nigerian politics is still majorly driven by the elites and they always have a say over the masses that does the voting......APC was able to proof that with Buhari in 2015 and tinubu had the majority elite consensus in 23.

ProudlyLagos:
hahaha 😂🤣😂with just 10,000 vote difference all thanks to Muslim/Muslim propaganda don’t worry the Yorubas are waiting for your agulu yes daddy packaged fraud to correct the mistake of the last election….Una go know who truly get Lagos, just reserve your tears till then

Penguin2:
That’s why there’s a coalition coming. So that areas where Obidients can’t reach, the rest of the members of the coalition will police there.

Obidients will no longer do the job alone in 2027. So, don’t bank on it.