₦airaland Forum

On one hand, Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso joining the APC would bring him short-term political advancement as he could possibly become Tinubu’s Vice President in 2027 while also retaining control of Kano state. However, the downside is that joining the APC might diminish his political value and integrity.
Just as the masses no longer sympathise with Kashim Shettima or Namadi Sambo, by 2031, in the north, all the blame for Tinubu’s administration will likely fall on Kwankwaso. The people might end up resenting him even more than Tinubu.

It’s possible that when that time comes, he will be sacrificed in a coalition arrangement. Kwankwaso must therefore be extremely cautious. Realistically, if he joins the APC, his political journey might end at the vice-presidency, not the presidency because he will bear the brunt of public anger against Tinubu.

As for Tinubu, he only cares about his own political survival. That’s why he’s sidelining Shettima not necessarily because Shettima did anything wrong and why he made Ganduje step down. Tomorrow, he could abandon anyone if it serves his political interests. He’s a politician obsessed with dominance and control. Even after leaving office, he’ll want to install someone he can manipulate as president. So, it’s unlikely he’d hand the presidential ticket to Kwankwaso. He might instead go for someone like Nuhu Ribadu or Yakubu Dogara.

On the other hand, if Kwankwaso refuses to join either a coalition or the APC and instead runs under a separate party (essentially not supporting Tinubu), then whether he wins or loses, some in the north might forever resent him for being against the coalition.

Still, joining a coalition could benefit Kwankwaso if he uses the opportunity to negotiate a strong deal. If I were Kwankwaso, I would aim for the position of senate president. Becoming senator for Kano central is an easy win for him. While the vice-presidency may seem higher, in Nigeria, the power of the senate president is often greater.

Just look at what Akpabio does compared to Shettima, or what Saraki achieved versus Osinbajo, or David Mark versus Namadi Sambo. As senate president, you’re privy to real power and decisions because your cooperation is needed.

As VP, many things happen without your knowledge. So Kwankwaso will have to do his own calculations—not necessarily for national progress, but just like other politicians do.

Gujungu can be contacted via shamsgjg@gmail.com

Views expressed by contributors are strictly personal and not of TheCable.

"As for Tinubu, he only cares about his own political survival. That’s why he’s sidelining Shettima not necessarily because Shettima did anything wrong and why he made Ganduje step down.

Tomorrow, he could abandon anyone if it serves his political interests. He’s a politician obsessed with dominance and control. Even after leaving office, he’ll want to install someone he can manipulate as president.

AMINDA:
Kwankwaso will lose half of his Kwankwasiyya supporters if he aligns with Tinubu. He knows it too hence the hesitation.

Softmirror:
The NNPP was a political strategy by Tinubu in the last election to reduce the votes that PDP would have earned for Atiku if only you know. Kwankwaso has from day one being in alignment with Tinubu. Not many of you understand this game called politics.

AMINDA:
Okay. Are you also one those who believes that the ADC is working for Tinubu?

Racoon:
Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso is no doubt a heavy weight northern political figure. His greatest undoing is overt pride and arrogance.

"I Regret Not Forming Alliance With Peter Obi – Kwankwaso."
https://www.reubenabati.com.ng/index.php/component/k2/i-regret-not-forming-alliance-with-peter-obi-kwankwaso

AMINDA:
Kwankwaso will lose half of his Kwankwasiyya supporters if he aligns with Tinubu. He knows it too hence the hesitation. On the other hand, the momentum generated by the ADC will make Tinubu reconsider replacing Shettima. Unfortunately, the damage is already done. Northeast still won't vote Tinubu in 2023. He has also gone ahead in dropping Ganduje, his last remaining loyalist in the North just to attract the now feet-dragging Kwankwaso.

Softmirror:
The NNPP was a political strategy by Tinubu in the last election to reduce the votes that PDP would have earned for Atiku if only you know. Kwankwaso has from day one being in alignment with Tinubu. Not many of you understand this game called politics.

Softmirror:
The NNPP was a political strategy by Tinubu in the last election to reduce the votes that PDP would have earned for Atiku if only you know. Kwankwaso has from day one being in alignment with Tinubu. Not many of you understand this game called politics.

Softmirror:
All I can tell you is that Tinubu have over a very, very long time planted loyalist in every sector you can think of. Him becoming Nigeria's president was based on meticulous planning and execution with a lot of foresight eve Datti made this remarks about him.

Racoon:
Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso is no doubt a heavy weight northern political figure. His greatest undoing is overt pride and arrogance.

"I Regret Not Forming Alliance With Peter Obi – Kwankwaso."
https://www.reubenabati.com.ng/index.php/component/k2/i-regret-not-forming-alliance-with-peter-obi-kwankwaso

Shawarmagirl:
Taar! If not for rigging of 2023 general election, he failed woefully. Let's tell ourselves the truth.

Typing:
Another fake analysis from Tinubu's online paid agent. Yoruba people always praise their god Tinubu. Una eyes go clear in 2027

SeeWahala:
The Andrews liver salt don hang kwakwanso for throat hahaha 🤣😂

Shawarmagirl:
Taar! If not for rigging of 2023 general election, he failed woefully. Let's tell ourselves the truth.

Racoon:
Source -
https://www.thecable.ng/kwankwasos-dilemma/

Shawarmagirl:
Taar! If not for rigging of 2023 general election, he failed woefully. Let's tell ourselves the truth.

Softmirror:
The NNPP was a political strategy by Tinubu in the last election to reduce the votes that PDP would have earned for Atiku if only you know. Kwankwaso has from day one being in alignment with Tinubu. Not many of you understand this game called politics.