₦airaland Forum

It is now clear that the ADC will give it's presidential ticket to Atiku. They plan to offer Peter Obi the running mate position as compensation.

If Obi declines the offer of a running mate and contest the presidential election under Labour or any other party, it is going be a win win for the ADC and the coalition. How?

The role of Alhaji bandit El-Rufai is to romance Mr Obi so that his ego becomes large enough to fill five 20-foot containers—large enough to make him consider contesting as a presidential candidate under a different party.

Then, the entire core north and a substantial part of the middle-belt will queue behind Atiku and give him a block bloc vote. Now that Buhari is dead, Atiku has become the defacto leader of the North. The Muslim, Fulani dominated core north see him as their only chance of reclaiming power. The Christian middle-belt see Atiku as a liberal and detribalised alternative to the Muslim Muslim ticket of Tinubu and Shetima.

In addition, the “Buhari effect” which helped APC/Tinubu in 2023 to get just enough votes in the North is no longer there. It is in fact safe to say it has now become the “Atiku effect”.

In the South however, Southwest will vote Tinubu overwhelmingly. Southeast is in the bag for Obi any time T. South-South will be shared between Tinubu, Obi and Atiku, just like in 2023. Overall, the southern votes will be dived in favour of Atiku.

Recall that in 2023, it was PDP's votes that was divided. Now it is going to be the southern votes.

With this bloc vote from the north and a divided vote from the south, the road looks clear for Atiku in 2027.

....


Ok

See how you divided the south into regiona but not the north?

Oya nah

But why is peter OBI always scared of primary election na 🤣😆🤣

yarimo:
But why is peter OBI always scared of primary election na 🤣😆🤣

He's trying to avoid Wike treatment

Tinubu is no different from Jonathan
What will it take to restructure Nigeria that Tinubu don't want to do..
If power returns to the north they'll never return it to the south in next 100yrs
I thank God I'm done with everything about Nigeria

Rutherford2019:
Tinubu is no different from Jonathan
What will it take to restructure Nigeria that Tinubu don't want to do..

I wonder o. The only thing he can do to secure his victory other than rigging is to restructure.
Rigging in the North will be difficult for Tinubu from what I am seeing.
He should just forget about 2027 electioneering and focus on restructuring.

Tinubu will get the required 25% spread in the north but Atiku won’t get the same in the south.

yarimo:
But why is peter OBI always scared of primary election na 🤣😆🤣

Because he has more than a decade long integrity to protect and a decision not to use money to buy any political position so that he won't be so much indebted or incur too much expenses that will make him compromise on his zero tolerance to corruption and looting should he emerge the President.



He is trying all he can, not to spend recklessly which may push him towards looking for ways to recoup his investment when he eventually becomes the President, which usually push politicians into corrupt practices and money laundering using political stooges, contract inflation, etc.


He also wants to change the dynamics of Nigerian politics from being a money-driven politics to an issue-based politics where contestants are assessed mostly based on their leadership plan and antecedents and not based on how much money they can dish out to political jobbers and wolves to win both party primaries and main election.

You guys won't understand the good Obi is doing to Nigerian politics until one day. Just pray for Obi to succeed so that you can see if all these things we have been saying about him is true or false. Obi will carry every region and tribe alone as a President, especially we young Nigerians, so long as you are bright and position yourself well to be seen, you have a great chance to serve Nigeria under Obi irrespective of your tribe or religion.


Honestly pray for Obi to succeed, it will change a lot for good in Nigeria.


It's not always easy for good people to overcome bad in a system, it's always hard, we just pray for God to help Nigeria sha.


Lastly, Obi is a wealthy man that made his money from sweating as a commodity trader for decades. It's not always easy for traders to spend money. Traders are usually the frugal and stingy because they need to constantly restock their goods, so it's always hard to remove money from their business capital to do other things, they usually carry this habit to even their family life lol.


So in any party primaries, people like Atiku and Tinubu will definitely win Obi because it's usually party delegates that vote in primaries and those delegates are usually after how much money they would make from the primary election, so they usually go for the highest bidder which Obi can never be, so you see why?

Sannisege:
Tinubu will get the required 25% spread in the north but Atiku won’t get the same in the south.

Only if Obi contests on his own. In this case Tinubu may not get the simple majority which will lead to a run off.

franchasng:
Snip/

He also wants to change the dynamics of Nigerian politics from being a money-driven politics to an issue-based politics where contestants are assessed mostly based on their leadership plan and antecedents and not based on how much money they can dish out to political jobbers and wolves to win both party primaries and main election.

Apt.