₦airaland Forum

Wickedtruths:
You no even sabi political analysis.
Open your eyes and look at your chart.

All those above Tinubu in the North are below him in the South.
All those above Tinubu in the South are below him in the North.

By your analysis up there, Tinubu will win by simple majority and not by majority of votes cast. That how he won in 2023.

Once Tinubu wins, Jonathan will determine the SS VP who will run with Kwankwaso in 2031. They have both delivered for Tinubu in 2027.

We will see. There is no pathway for tinubu’s victory.

Ddeliverer007:
We will see. There is no pathway for tinubu’s victory.

Na so.
Go and study the pattern of 2023 results.

Also, Peter Obi is not the only Igbo man from the SE who will contest in 2027. Yes.

Ddeliverer007:
Okay. Let’s go with you. Goodluck splits SE, SS and SW right? So how will the results be?
Jonathan > Obi > Tinubu >Atiku >kwankwoso

The northern vote is split by kwankwoso right? To favor tinubu right?
Atiku’>Kwankwoso >tinubu >Jonathan >Obi

How exactly can tinubu win? Glitching?

APC governors will deliver Tinubu in the SS irrespective of GEJ or not. Tinubu will clear SW. Obi will clear SE if he’s on the ballot as a stand-alone candidate even if GEJ is contesting. However, if Obi is a running mate to Atiku, GEJ may get some votes in SE.

Jonathan is being brought in to split the votes of the coalition. A third force is needed just in case there is an Atiku/Obi ticket.

A direct Tinubu vs Peter Obi will be an easy victory for Tinubu. The only serious challenge to Tinubu is an Atiku/Obi ticket and that’s why a third force is needed to split the opposition.

In the north, Tinubu will win north central easily. Atiku will win North East clearly with Tinubu coming second. North west will be divided between Atiku and Tinubu. If Kwakwanso works for Tinubu has been speculated and delivers Kano, then NW will go slightly to Tinubu.

Overall, Tinubu gets the highest votes no matter how slim the margin is and he will still get the required 25% of all the vote cast in 25 states.

seunmsg:
APC governors will deliver Tinubu in the SS irrespective of GEJ or not. Tinubu will clear SW. Obi will clear SE if he’s on the ballot as a stand-alone candidate even if GEJ is contesting. However, if Obi is a running mate to Atiku, GEJ may get some votes in SE.

Jonathan is being brought in to split the votes of the coalition. A third force is needed just in case there is an Atiku/Obi ticket.

A direct Tinubu vs Peter Obi will be an easy victory for Tinubu. The only serious challenge to Tinubu is an Atiku/Obi ticket and that’s why a third force is needed to split the opposition.

In the north, Tinubu will win north central easily. Atiku will win North East clearly with Tinubu coming second. North west will be divided between Atiku and Tinubu. If Kwakwanso works for Tinubu has been speculated and delivers Kano, then NW will go slightly to Tinubu.

Overall, Tinubu gets the highest votes no matter how slim the margin is and he will still get the required 25% of all the vote cast in 25 states.

APC governor will deliver S/S for tinubu just the way they delivered for him in 2023 Abi? Just Dey play…
Simply say INEC will deliver for tinubu..
tinubu will only win southwest. He will lose northcentral, he will lose north east, he will lose north west, he will lose southsouth and he will lose south east.
Anyways, we will see..

Ddeliverer007:
APC governor will deliver S/S for tinubu just the way they delivered for him in 2023 Abi? Just Dey play…
Simply say INEC will deliver for tinubu..
tinubu will only win southwest. He will lose northcentral, he will lose north east, he will lose north west, he will lose southsouth and he will lose south east.
Anyways, we will see..

APC had only one governor in the SS in 2023 and he was even relatively new in the party. Now, APC had completely taken over not just the region but also the old PDP political structure in all the states. Times are different.

Ddeliverer007:
APC governor will deliver S/S for tinubu just the way they delivered for him in 2023 Abi? Just Dey play…
Simply say INEC will deliver for tinubu..
tinubu will only win southwest. He will lose northcentral, he will lose north east, he will lose north west, he will lose southsouth and he will lose south east.
Anyways, we will see..

Allow the guy to be deceiving himself.

Even if 5 popular candidates contest and the election goes free and fair, tinubu will lose.

Tinibu knows where he depends to be able to win but may not be lucky come 2027 because no one will go to court again. Everything will be settled by election or in the street

Dopeboy8701:
Jagaban has codedly pushed the Jonathan agenda under the pdp, so as to cut obi & atiku votes into 2....making way for the APC to win, this is a game , and no be small pikin game.

...

Jagaban this
Jagaban that

Even wetin e no fit do na him do am

Una no go rest of different allegations


Even ur obi by now no still get bearing.
ADC OBI NO
PDO NO WHERE
APC MBA
LP NOT AT ALL

WHERE IS OBI

Anytime Goodluck puts on the television and sees Trump, he sees himself. Almost everyday he’s thinking ‘can I comeback like this guy?’ So I think that’s why he decided to contest in 2027.

AMINDA:
Lol. Obidients are beseeching GEJ to continue to be a statesman while Agbadorians have become emergency constitutional lawyers and are busy interpreting the constitution. GEJ contesting will be more detrimental to Tinubu than it will be to Obi.

Were Agbadorians not the same people who said that GEJ cannot do another tenure then? Did they not say that he cannot be sworn in as president more than two times?

Dopeboy8701:
Jagaban has codedly pushed the Jonathan agenda under the pdp, so as to cut obi & atiku votes into 2....making way for the APC to win, this is a game , and no be small pikin game.

Even though I don't know, but it's looking quite clear.

To me GEJ contesting is a big blow to tinubu vote in South dude may find it hard to cover out enough votes in South ohh