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GEJ, PO, Atiku And Amaechi Chances In ADC - Politics - Nairaland

Nairaland ForumNairaland GeneralPoliticsGEJ, PO, Atiku And Amaechi Chances In ADC (586 Views)

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GEJ, PO, Atiku And Amaechi Chances In ADC by netricoin(op): 11:50am On Sep 03, 2025
GEJ chances of winning in 2027 with ADC is as high as 98%
peter obi chances of winning in 2027 with ADC is as high as 80%

Atiku chances of winning with ADC in 2027 is like 55%

if rotimi amaechi VP Will be kwankwaso his chances of winning 2027 WITH ADC will b 60%
7
Re: GEJ, PO, Atiku And Amaechi Chances In ADC by ibabz(m): 12:08pm On Sep 03, 2025
netricoin:
GEJ chances of winning in 2027 with ADC is as high as 98%
peter obi chances of winning in 2027 with ADC is as high as 80%

Atiku chances of winning with ADC in 2027 is like 55%

if rotimi amaechi VP Will be kwankwaso his chances of winning 2027 WITH ADC will b 60%
7
How exactly did you arrive at these statistics? Do you genuinely believe any southern candidate can defeat Tinubu in 2027? You might need to reassess your data. At the moment, there are three major contenders from the South but only one from the North. What does that signal? The northern bloc is preparing to consolidate behind a single candidate, while the South is set to split its votes among three gladiators.

Historically, the North has always delivered the largest share of votes in Nigeria, and I don’t expect that to change in 2027. If Atiku manages to secure even 70% of the northern votes, while the southern gladiators divide the southern votes in a rough ratio of 60:30:10, Atiku’s path to victory becomes very straightforward.

The real swing factor will be the choice of running mates, that will determine how much support each candidate can attract from outside their regional base. Don’t you think so?
Re: GEJ, PO, Atiku And Amaechi Chances In ADC by Jogs1900: 1:03pm On Sep 03, 2025
ibabz:
How exactly did you arrive at these statistics? Do you genuinely believe any southern candidate can defeat Tinubu in 2027? You might need to reassess your data. At the moment, there are three major contenders from the South but only one from the North. What does that signal? The northern bloc is preparing to consolidate behind a single candidate, while the South is set to split its votes among three gladiators.

Historically, the North has always delivered the largest share of votes in Nigeria, and I don’t expect that to change in 2027. If Atiku manages to secure even 70% of the northern votes, while the southern gladiators divide the southern votes in a rough ratio of 60:30:10, Atiku’s path to victory becomes very straightforward.

The real swing factor will be the choice of running mates, that will determine how much support each candidate can attract from outside their regional base. Don’t you think so?
Do you think north central will prefer Atiku to Tinubu?
Re: GEJ, PO, Atiku And Amaechi Chances In ADC by netricoin(op):
But d data is base on pdp merging with ADC where PDP will not have a candidate in 2027, where pdp to have a candidate that is not GEJ, d governor of oyo state or PO , then a candidate from d ne or nw or NE will perform better in ADC
GEJ and PO will perform very well in ADC because d are having d highest followership
Re: GEJ, PO, Atiku And Amaechi Chances In ADC by netricoin(op): 10:58am On Sep 04, 2025
Kwankwaso is a key factor in 2027. if kwankwaso will b vp in ADC or PDP it will act as a booster to both political party, but if ADC candidate is atiku, and kwankwaso is a candidate of NNPP, d NW, NE and NC will b united in voting for kwankwaso which will destroy bat apc chances in 2027

P
Re: GEJ, PO, Atiku And Amaechi Chances In ADC by yarimo(m): 11:41am On Sep 04, 2025
Peter obi must participate in primary election with ATIKU and others, nothing like free ticket
Re: GEJ, PO, Atiku And Amaechi Chances In ADC by helinues: 11:42am On Sep 04, 2025
All of them can kuku be one and contest together... grin cheesy
Re: GEJ, PO, Atiku And Amaechi Chances In ADC by netricoin(op): 2:06pm On Sep 16, 2025
If po or GEJ will be presidential candidate in 2027 they can take Atiku as their vp or a coalition with kwankwaso NNPP

but atiku will need a vp of peter obi

g
Re: GEJ, PO, Atiku And Amaechi Chances In ADC by aswani(m): 4:59pm On Sep 16, 2025
netricoin:
GEJ chances of winning in 2027 with ADC is as high as 98%
peter obi chances of winning in 2027 with ADC is as high as 80%

Atiku chances of winning with ADC in 2027 is like 55%

if rotimi amaechi VP Will be kwankwaso his chances of winning 2027 WITH ADC will b 60%
7
ADC is presenting an Atiku and Amaechi ticket.

If they present Peter Obí, his chances of winning are pretty low, say 15% if that. His one chance at presidential glory has come and gone.
Re: GEJ, PO, Atiku And Amaechi Chances In ADC by RISQUE: 5:01pm On Sep 16, 2025
ibabz:
How exactly did you arrive at these statistics? Do you genuinely believe any southern candidate can defeat Tinubu in 2027? You might need to reassess your data. At the moment, there are three major contenders from the South but only one from the North. What does that signal? The northern bloc is preparing to consolidate behind a single candidate, while the South is set to split its votes among three gladiators.

Historically, the North has always delivered the largest share of votes in Nigeria, and I don’t expect that to change in 2027. If Atiku manages to secure even 70% of the northern votes, while the southern gladiators divide the southern votes in a rough ratio of 60:30:10, Atiku’s path to victory becomes very straightforward.

The real swing factor will be the choice of running mates, that will determine how much support each candidate can attract from outside their regional base. Don’t you think so?
What do you mean by do you think any southern candidate can defeat tinubu? Which other southern state did Tinubu Genuinely win? Aside his south western States?
Re: GEJ, PO, Atiku And Amaechi Chances In ADC by givedemwotowoto: 5:02pm On Sep 16, 2025
ibabz:
How exactly did you arrive at these statistics? Do you genuinely believe any southern candidate can defeat Tinubu in 2027? You might need to reassess your data. At the moment, there are three major contenders from the South but only one from the North. What does that signal? The northern bloc is preparing to consolidate behind a single candidate, while the South is set to split its votes among three gladiators.

Historically, the North has always delivered the largest share of votes in Nigeria, and I don’t expect that to change in 2027. If Atiku manages to secure even 70% of the northern votes, while the southern gladiators divide the southern votes in a rough ratio of 60:30:10, Atiku’s path to victory becomes very straightforward.

The real swing factor will be the choice of running mates, that will determine how much support each candidate can attract from outside their regional base. Don’t you think so?
If GEJ contests and Wike resigns or stays but doesn’t work against GEJ, what do you think will happen to Tinubu chances?
Re: GEJ, PO, Atiku And Amaechi Chances In ADC by netricoin(op): 1:00pm On Sep 18, 2025
aswani:
ADC is presenting an Atiku and Amaechi ticket.
If they present Peter Obí, his chances of winning are pretty low, say 15% if that. His one chance at presidential glory has come and gone.
Base on peter obi increasing followership, he will do well if ADC give him d ticket, po can step down for GEJ. but atiku will need kwankwaso and po to play a key role for him
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