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Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? - Politics (2) - Nairaland

Nairaland ForumNairaland GeneralPoliticsOgun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? (9452 Views)

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Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by achorladey: 8:22am On Dec 22, 2025
helinues:
Ogun central people dont like recycling of politicians. That's one of the factors that will work against Yayi.

Whether senator, House of reps or state assembly members, maximum serving term is 2 terms. Even local government chairman self.
I don't know if YAYI has served Ogun state in any capacity before politically or am I missing something here?
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by casualobserver: 8:24am On Dec 22, 2025
Without Yayi and Ogun west, Dapo would never have “won” in 2019 & 2023.

Personally, I am not a fan of Yayi but it is his turn.
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by helinues: 8:25am On Dec 22, 2025
achorladey:
I don't know of YAYI has served Ogun state in any capacity before?
No, he hasn't before just in 2023. He cross over to Ogun state to contest the senatorial seat when he realized his chances of becoming Lagos state governor is not there.

Before then, what has he done for the people of Ogun West not to talk of Ogun state people entirely? It's like he's taking the people from the state as mumu.

Sango Ota road have been in dilapidated state for decades. What's his role as a senator if not to oversight the projects in his constituency, state and beyond . The contract for that road have been awarded severally with nothing tangible done..What has he been oversighting?
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by casualobserver: 8:31am On Dec 22, 2025
helinues:
No, he hasn't before just in 2023. He cross over to Ogun state to contest the senatorial seat when he realized his chances of becoming Lagos state governor is not there.

Before then, what has he done for the people of Ogun West not to talk of Ogun state people entirely? It's like he's taking the people from the state as mumu.

Sango Ota road have been in dilapidated for decades. What's his role as a senator of not to oversight the same projects for the road that have been awarded severally. What has been oversighting?
He crossed over to contest Ogun gov

Lagos gov had never been on the cards for him. The reason he remained a Lagos senator was because Amosun was not ready to entertain him in Ogun in any form. It’s only when Amosun left office that he was able to cross over. The senate seat was his reward for helping Dapo in 2019.

Amosun never gave him the senate ticket.
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by achorladey: 8:32am On Dec 22, 2025
helinues:
Because both was supported/influenced by Ogun central people. If Egba and Yewa /Awori present a governorship candidate in 2027, Ogun central candidate will win in Ogun West because apart from them in OW not united, it's the Ogun central people that control the politics of Ogun West
Alright, we see how they align this time around.i haven't seen the hands of Amosun yet.
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by olamike02: 8:32am On Dec 22, 2025
Successive governors in OGUN State have played the godfather factor to their successors, which isn't our of place to how politics is played in the country. But I think the people of OGUN West can have their fate in their hands by unanimously present a common front in YAYI anything shot of that will amount to shooting themselves on the foot. I've seen that people like,GNI, Abiodun Isiaq Akinlade and some other OGUN West indigens have indicated interest but YAYI stands shoulder tall ahead of all of them.
Only a UNITED OGUN West approach will prevent thunder from striking the third time.
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by helinues: 8:36am On Dec 22, 2025
casualobserver:
He crossed over to contest Ogun gov

Lagos gov had never been on the cards for him. The reason he remained a Lagos senator was because Amosun was not ready to entertain him in Ogun in any form. It’s only when Amosun left office that he was able to cross over. The senate seat was his reward for helping Dapo in 2019.

Amosun never gave him the senate ticket.
So if he indeed had Ogun people at heart, how come they have not been seeing his hand when he was representing Lagos state?

If he indeed care about his own people from Ogun West, why is the Sango Ota road still in dilapidated. Even though his duty is not to build the road but to oversight. The road contract have been awarded severally, what has he Yayi been oversighting? Why has he refused to speak up on what he observed from his oversighting except if he had a share
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by helinues: 8:38am On Dec 22, 2025
achorladey:
Alright, we see how they align this time around.i haven't seen the hands of Amosun yet.
Bankole might be the one behind the Egba meeting lately. I don't have any information yet

You know he deliberately contested the Apc presidential primary and stepped down.
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by achorladey: 8:38am On Dec 22, 2025
helinues:
No, he hasn't before just in 2023. He cross over to Ogun state to contest the senatorial seat when he realized his chances of becoming Lagos state governor is not there.

Before then, what has he done for the people of Ogun West not to talk of Ogun state people entirely? It's like he's taking the people from the state as mumu.

Sango Ota road have been in dilapidated state for decades. What's his role as a senator if not to oversight the projects in his constituency, state and beyond . The contract for that road have been awarded severally with nothing tangible done..What has he been oversighting?
Since he crossed year 2023 one can cut him some slack over his senatorial district because he cannot be a senator in Lagos and be spending it on Ogun West cheesy cheesy cheesy
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by helinues: 8:40am On Dec 22, 2025
achorladey:
Since he crossed year 2023 one can cut him some slack over his senatorial district because he cannot be a senator in Lagos and be spending it on Ogun West cheesy cheesy cheesy
Spending? Nobody is expecting him to spend anything. Just oversight the federal government projects in the areas he claimed he cared about.

Lagos- Ibadan express way is another re awarded contract which is still yet to be done properly.
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by lenghtinny(m): 8:43am On Dec 22, 2025
Bostin:
It will be so hard for Yayi to become the next Governor in Ogun State because he will hardly have egba's and ijebu's votes . Yewa are divided as usual, so his chances are slim .
Yayi will win as long as Tinubu is President
Dapo is an orphan in Ogun state politics, he can’t influence shit

Even the Ijebus where he comes from do not like him
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by casualobserver:
helinues:
So if he indeed had Ogun people at heart, how come they have not been seeing his hand when he was representing Lagos state?

If he indeed care about his own people from Ogun West, why is the Sango Ota road still in dilapidated. Even though his duty is not to build the road but to oversight. The road contract have been awarded severally, what has he Yayi been oversighting? Why has he refused to speak up on what he observed from his oversighting except if he had a share
Note I said in the first post that I am not a fan of his…..just stating the politics, not whether he will be a good governor.

Politically, he is popular in Ogun west, to understand why, you would have to ask Ogun west people. I don’t know what he does. I don’t like him, I don’t like the way he carries himself, I just have a negative feel about him. He gives me bad vibes.

But without Ogun west, Dapo would not be governor and he played a major role in delivering Ogun West.
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by pdppower: 8:46am On Dec 22, 2025
No sane Ogun indigene will support the candidate of Dapo Abiodun. Everyone knows Yayi is the man for now. Only an inside candidate will contest against him in 2027, i. e if Yayi still has the support of Emi lokan o
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by achorladey: 8:46am On Dec 22, 2025
helinues:
Bankole might be the one behind the Egba meeting lately. I don't have any information yet

You know he deliberately contested the Apc presidential primary and stepped down.
I hope he was not contesting to spite Tinubu back then cheesy cheesy cheesy
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by helinues: 8:46am On Dec 22, 2025
casualobserver:
Note I said in the first post that I am not a fan of his…..just stating the politics, not whether he will be a good governor.

Politically, he is popular in Ogun west, to understand why, you would have to ask Ogun west people. I don’t know what he does. I don’t like him, I don’t like the way he carries himself, I just have a negative feel about him. He gives me bad vibes.

But without him Dapo would not be governor.
Bro, there is no sense in him contesting Ogun state governor. This same man represented Lagos senatorial district for almost a decade if not more. He didn't remember about Ogun state when he was representing Lagos state?

If he truly care about Ogun state he would have switched long time as he's currently representing Ogun West senatorial district.

What an insult to the people the state.

He should go and govern where he represented for a decade. What rubbish
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by casualobserver: 8:49am On Dec 22, 2025
helinues:
Bro, there is no ŵsense in him contesting Ogun state governor. This same man represented Lagos senatorial district for almost a decade if not more. He didn't remember about Ogun state when he was representing Lagos state?

If he truly care about Ogun state he would have switched long time as he's currently representing Ogun West senatorial district.

What an insult to the people the state.
Well there is ideal situation and there is the reality on ground.

All things being equal I expect him to be governor and I expect him to be a disaster as a governor.

Dapo may have other ideas.

PS: when you say he should have switched, he wanted to switch during Amosun’s era (2019). Amosun sent him back to Lagos with his tail between his legs and backed Odebiyi. It was only after Dapo won that he was able to secure the ticket at the next cycle (2023).
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by lenghtinny(m): 8:51am On Dec 22, 2025
helinues:
President Tinubu will not intervene in the Ogun politics in 2027. It get why
You rate yourself too high lol

He will not get involved in his Son-in-law when the plan has been in motion since the days of SIA
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by helinues: 8:52am On Dec 22, 2025
achorladey:
I hope he was not contesting to spite Tinubu back then cheesy cheesy cheesy
Hahaha, Bankole stepped down for president Tinubu including Amosun. There must be a reason for contesting in the first place
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by helinues: 8:52am On Dec 22, 2025
lenghtinny:
You rate yourself too high lol

He will not get involved in his Son-in-law when the plan has been in motion since the days of SIA
PA to Tinubu and Yayi, how you dey

I don't know about other regions I. Ogun state oo, but you see the Ogun central, it's the people that can tell president Tinubu what they want to do, not that president can tell them what to do. If their opinions merged, that's a different scenario
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by lenghtinny(m): 8:55am On Dec 22, 2025
helinues:
If Yayi is the candidate the Ogun West people will be presenting in 2027, they should forget about it

Ogun West are minority in Ogun state politics. Infact, it's Ogun central people that command the politics of the area. Find better candidate apart from Yayi or loose out
You Dey talk Ogun West, East, Central politics bla bla bla angry

Was it Ogun East turn when Dapo snatched the seat even though he was unpopular

Whoever APC presents is going to be the next governor and that is Yayi whether you like it or not
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by helinues: 8:56am On Dec 22, 2025
lenghtinny:
You Dey talk Ogun West, East, Central bla bla bla angry

Was it Ogun East turn when Dapo snatched the seat even though he was unpopular

Whoever APC presents is going to be the next governor and that is Yayi whether you like it or not
We don't have short memory here. When Amosun presented Akinlande from Ogun West as his successor before completing his second term, why did GNI from same Ogun West contest?

So which turn are you talking about?
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by deeptechcool(m): 9:04am On Dec 22, 2025
helinues:
If Yayi is the candidate the Ogun West people will be presenting in 2027, they should forget about it

Ogun West are minority in Ogun state politics. Infact, it's Ogun central people that command the politics of the area. Find better candidate apart from Yayi or loose out
You won't rest on the westerner's choice. If you have your central candidate, present it and stop hiding behind a finger. The sky is big enough for everybody to project his candidate.
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by deeptechcool(m): 9:07am On Dec 22, 2025
helinues:
Because both was supported/influenced by Ogun central people. If Egba and Yewa /Awori present a governorship candidate in 2027, Ogun central candidate will win in Ogun West because apart from them in OW not united, it's the Ogun central people that control the politics of Ogun West
Let me laugh at this. You still live in the past, I repeat.
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by helinues: 9:10am On Dec 22, 2025
deeptechcool:
You won't rest on the westerner's choice. If you have your central candidate, present it and stop hiding behind a finger. The sky is big enough for everybody to project his candidate.
No to Yayi. It's as simple as ABC
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by achorladey: 9:10am On Dec 22, 2025
helinues:
Hahaha, Bankole stepped down for president Tinubu including Amosun. There must be a reason for contesting in the first place
Definitely, a reason is behind it.
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by achorladey: 9:15am On Dec 22, 2025
helinues:
Bro, there is no sense in him contesting Ogun state governor. This same man represented Lagos senatorial district for almost a decade if not more. He didn't remember about Ogun state when he was representing Lagos state?

If he truly care about Ogun state he would have switched long time as he's currently representing Ogun West senatorial district.

What an insult to the people the state.

He should go and govern where he represented for a decade. What rubbish
The problem is politics. Politics here in Nigeria always come with numerous alignment and realignment. Some jurisdictions are sometimes not crossed if there are bigger plans to achieve using that same jurisdiction. They all count as strategies to achieve certain objectives
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by helinues: 9:16am On Dec 22, 2025
achorladey:
The problem is politics. Politics here in Nigeria always come with numerous alignment and realignment. Some jurisdictions are sometimes not crossed if there are bigger plans to achieve using that same jurisdiction. They all count as strategies to achieve certain objectives
He shouldn't have represented Lagos state for that long.

Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by achorladey: 9:18am On Dec 22, 2025
helinues:
We don't have short memory here. When Amosun presented Akinlande from Ogun West as his successor before completing his second term, why did GNI from same Ogun West contest?

So which turn are you talking about?
The clamour around that time is for power to head to Ogun West, GNI can contest no doubt since he does not align with Amosun.

Remember that was the problem leading to shared vote around that region that favours Dapo Abiodun
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by helinues: 9:20am On Dec 22, 2025
achorladey:
The clamour around that time is for power to head to Ogun West, GNI can contest no doubt since he does not align with Amosun.

Remember that was the problem leading to shared vote around that region that favours Dapo Abiodun
They divided their votes. Had they work together, their combination would have produced more than the 2 votes they received in combine as Ogun central might have a change of mind about their seriousness
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by deeptechcool(m): 9:24am On Dec 22, 2025
helinues:
No to Yayi. It's as simple as ABC
😀😀😀😀😀

It is very obvious you have a thing or two against Yayi. He is our choice. Learn to live with that.
Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by ejieddy: 9:40am On Dec 22, 2025
I
Royalty83:
These politicians do not ever learn. At the moment Yayi is even more popular than the sitting governor. Popular in all corners of the state and especially among the non-yorubas which is a significant voting block. He has a solid structure and has been spending money long before now. Only God and TINUBU can stop him.
As a non Yoruba resident in Ota for 33 years now, I know no other person apart from Yayi. We know no other person apart from Yayi. I am probably an indegene 😂
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