2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet - Politics (2) - Nairaland
Nairaland Forum › Nairaland General › Politics › 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet (1585 Views)
| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by mrvitalis(m): 8:08am On Jan 04 |
Savedday2:Tinubu can't rig core North, can't right South East... That's 3 zones he can't manipulate South South ADC have people to protect their votes Middle belt same South West is the only Place Tinubu can manipulate |
| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by Basic123: 8:26am On Jan 04 |
Godfullsam:But OBI can right SW and core North while ATIKU can rig SW and SE right You guys analysis is too watery.You are basing your analysis on just tribal factor of all the factors that influence election results. Election outcome is always multifactorial! |
| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by Ofunaofu: 9:10am On Jan 04 |
Godfullsam:If you believe my point is wrong, the proper response would have been to present verifiable counter-facts, not emotional outrage. You didn’t provide any data to disprove the substance of my argument. I may have exaggerated the 99.9% for emphasis, but the core fact remains undisputed: the South East overwhelmingly supported Obasanjo in 1999 and 2003 even when an Igbo son, Odumegwu Ojukwu, was on the ballot. The region also gave massive support to Yar’Adua in 2007, and repeated the same pattern with Goodluck Jonathan in 2011 and 2015. These are not opinions; they are reflected in election results. So instead of nitpicking a figure while ignoring the reality it represents, provide alternative facts that actually contradict the historical voting pattern, if you have any. |
| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by kunle4toyeyaho: 9:23am On Jan 04 |
Educationalserv:Haaaa! I laugh in Swahili. There is no state in the Northwest where Tinubu will not score atleast 30% of votes cast. The Southeast will give him the required 25% despite the hostility,Obi 'yes daddily' influencing the voting pattern of Igbo land would not work this time around more so he's coming as a running mate.Are you saying Atiku would win North Central? Tinubu is even more popular among Northern Christians than Atiku. I agree it would be keenly contested but Tinubu is winning this. |
| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by Godfullsam(m): 11:19am On Jan 04 |
Ofunaofu:You have already corrected yourself by saying the 99.9% votes was exergarated by you. That 99.9% votes only exist in your head and you are trying hard to pass it down for others to believe. |
| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by Godfullsam(m): 11:23am On Jan 04 |
Basic123:If you truly believe that election results are determined by many factors, why do you think that a particular candidate can not win an election because the he won't get votes from the SE ? |
| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by Ofunaofu: 11:33am On Jan 04 |
Godfullsam:Did the south east give Peter Obi 99.9% votes? |
| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by Godfullsam(m): 11:36am On Jan 04 |
Ofunaofu:Did you know one single person who did not vote for obi in the SE ? |
| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by Educationalserv: 11:44am On Jan 04 |
kunle4toyeyaho:List 3 reasons why he will get 30 percent in Northwest and 25 percent in the south east ! We have over 10 Major reason why he deserves zero . Nepotism and yorubaization Hyper Inflation Insecurity US Conviction Cost of living Crisis Baised infrastructural development of Northern Nigeria. One party state intention Devaluation of naira Removals of subsides Corruption |
| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by kunle4toyeyaho: 12:20pm On Jan 04 |
Educationalserv:Let me educate you. There is nothing like nepotism here. Appointments are done on geopolitical zone basis and not the tribe of the individual. If you agree that an Igbo man from Delta State Can take a south south slot,why should a Yoruba man from Kwara or Kogi be denied the opportunity of North Central when the need arises? Devaluation: Flotation of Naira was the only way out to manage the looming economic crisis at the time he assumed office.Between 1999 and 2023, Nigeria wasted $388billion to defend Naira and it got to a level where late Buhari was selling crude oil in advance to defend Naira and pay subsidy. Is that what your candidate plan to continue with?Hence,the devaluation Subsidy removal: Do you think a reasonable investor would bring his money into our oil sector if government still dictates the pump price through subsidy payment? The full deregulation of oil sector has brought many fortunes. Can you see the number of people trying bro establish refineries? This alone will is creating many jobse.g. the 4000trucks bought by Dangote has created atleast 4000 driving jobs Biased infrastructure: More roads are being constructed in Northern Nigeria than southern part. The Lag- Calabar coastal road connects more states in the Southsouth than Southwest. So, where is the bias? One- party state: With the new electors law,it is becoming risky to seek for PDP ticket at the moment. Which faction of the party is authentic is unknown to members. This is the reason why Osun Governor sought for Accord party's ticket instead. Above all,it is natural to gravitate towards the ruling party. Did Tinubu coerce anybody to join APC? Hyperinflation: This has since been brought down. Various fiscal and monetary policies deployed have brought down the inflation. The inflation was a resultant effect of various reforms by this government. US conviction: No record of criminal activity against him. The forfeiture was a civil matter ,which has no effect. Note: Party loyalty bis the major reason vwhy he will garner 30% and 25% in Northwest and Southeast. You think some Northern politicians would work for Atiku who will throw them out of aspiration for another? They will rather go for southerner so that they can also contest when it is the turn of the North. |
| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by Akpakomiza2: 2:21pm On Jan 04 |
Educationalserv:You did this nonsensical permutation in 2023 and failed woefully. Tinubu has gained new voters in the north central, South south and even north east. The kwankwaso votes will remain with kwankwaso or scatter like buhari votes. Atiku took a distant third in Kano which means Kano voters dislike him so nothing for him. It is a walkover for Tinubu |
| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by Akpakomiza2: 2:28pm On Jan 04 |
mrvitalis:ADC in SS does not have what it takes to match Tinubu, he will smother them. Tinubu will overrun kwara, kogi, benue, plateau, sokoto. |
| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by Akpakomiza2: 2:30pm On Jan 04 |
Educationalserv:I believe the 2023 elections and 2019 polls showed you the above factors don't matter much. Nigerians may not like Tinubu but they dont like Atiku or obi either. A larger number of voters will prefer Tinubu finish his tenure |
| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by Educationalserv: 2:47pm On Jan 04 |
Akpakomiza2:hogwash points . They don't like who are the 22m citizens that voted for them |
| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by mrvitalis(m): 2:49pm On Jan 04 |
Akpakomiza2:Ok |
| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by Akpakomiza2: 4:50pm On Jan 04 |
Educationalserv:Tinubu cannot be defeated |
| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by Burob: 4:55pm On Jan 04 |
Godfullsam:That is Orlandoo, ofunaofu, DMerciful, MrVitalis & streetinvestor2 modus operandai.
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| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by Burob: 5:00pm On Jan 04 |
Akpakomiza2:Let them be deceiving themselves, they have forgotten so suddenly the anguish of 2023.
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| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by Burob: 5:02pm On Jan 04 |
Akpakomiza2:
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| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by Burob: 5:08pm On Jan 04 |
mrvitalis:You created a lie in your head and manipulated your head to believe the lie you have created. Now you want others to believe the same lie. Please mention just 1 prominent member of the ADC that u know from the South South that can withstand the rigging machinery of The APC? |
| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by Educationalserv: 5:35pm On Jan 04 |
Akpakomiza2:yarns you think you can ambush our psychology Defeating Tinibu is a patriotic duty of all reasonable citizens |
| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by jyz200(m): 5:58pm On Jan 04 |
Everybody don turn political analyst When all stake was against jagaban he won Now as an incumbent lol he will lose very funny people |
| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by mrvitalis(m): 6:29pm On Jan 04 |
Burob:Omehia and Ameachi two former governors.. U want more? |
| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by Burob: 6:48pm On Jan 04 |
mrvitalis:Please stop clowning yourself, 2 ousted political jokers that Wike has relegated to the amateur league. Like I told u initially, you created a lie in your head and manipulated your head to believe the lie you have created, now you want others to believe the same lie. |
| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by Sheuns(m): 7:10pm On Jan 04 |
Savedday2:How is the ability to bribe your way thinking outside the box? |
| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by Akpakomiza2: 10:48pm On Jan 04 |
Educationalserv:Majority still prefer Tinubu |
| Re: 2027 Permutations: The Makinde–Bala “Spoiler” Theory Nobody Is Talking About Yet by Iamajike(f): 11:35pm On Jan 04 |
Ofunaofu:Which of the Nigerian president have ever won a free and fair election and why should Tinubu the worst of them (allegedly) be different? |
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