₦airaland Forum

No Presidential ticket for Kwankwaso in 2027 - Festus Keyamo

I have always admired Engr. Mohammed Rabi'u Musa Kwankwaso from a distance, but he appears to have boxed himself into one of the tightest corner in his political career simply because of his refusal/indecision to take the Olive Branch that was offered him by APC much earlier. Let’s break down his predicament:

1. FACT NO. 1 - Kwankwaso wants to be President, but none of the major political parties will pick him as a candidate in 2027. APC & PDP are going South & ADC’s ticket is Atiku’s to lose. Atiku is the owner of ADC (argue with your keypad, if you like). Only a major political Party can win a Presidential election in Nigeria. NNPP is still a one-State Party and with the recent wave of defections from NNPP (including the Governor himself), it is doubtful if it can maintain its grip on Kano in 2027. A leader is only as strong as his devoted lieutenants.

2. FACT NO. 2 - Kwankwaso WILL NOT support a Northern candidate because that ends his own Presidential ambition since he MAY have to wait for another 16 years after 2027 to get a shot at the Presidency - 8 likely years for the Northern Candidate and another 8 likely years when it rotates to the South again. That’s a gamble he WILL NOT TAKE. He will be 86 years old by then. So, this entirely rules out an ATIKU-Kwankwaso cooperation in 2027

3. FACT NO. 3 - Based on the above calculations, the only pathway for Kwankwaso is in 2031, but the alliance he builds in 2027 will be crucial to his ambitions in 2031. If his grip on Kano slips in 2027, it will water down his clout and influence in 2031 to be handed a Presidential ticket by any of the major Political parties. This is the time he can cash in on his presumed dominance of Kano politics and take a chance.

[b]4. FACT 4: [/b]Kwankwaso’s only chance of a realistic alliance now with a major political Party is actually narrowed down to the PDP, the APC or the Labour Party (only if Peter Obi returns there and picks the 2027 Presidential ticket and he agrees to run as VP candidate to Obi). But all three options present their own challenges:

(a) with the PDP now gasping for breath, it may be easier for Kwankwaso to return to PDP on some terms (like taking over the entire structure in Kano and some North West States and returning Kano to PDP). And that will signal the death of NNPP. But with the zoning of the Presidential ticket to the South, that would mean a suspension of his 2027 Presidential ambition till 2031.

(b) If Kwankwaso decides to pitch tent with the APC, he is in no position to dictate so much terms to the Party. With the exodus of key figures from NNPP to APC in Kano, the APC’s structure in Kano is now in better stead to challenge the NNPP in 2027. The APC is therefore not so desperate for a Kwankwaso in Kano, but would be glad to welcome him into the Party. He still remains an asset. But one thing is sure: the APC cannot throw its entire structure in Kano under the bus for a Kwankwaso, especially with the Governor parting ways with him. However, the attraction of the APC for him is that the APC still has the national spread and structures to retain power in 2031. So, an APC option for Kwankwaso will also mean a suspension of his Presidential ambition till 2031.

(c) the 2027 Labour Party option for Kwankwaso is narrower because he simply cannot and will not run as Vice-Presidential candidate to Peter Obi. Take that to the bank. His own people will not even support him to give a likely fresh 8 years to the South (forget all the noise of ‘I will serve just one term).

FACT 5: From the scenarios above, Kwankwaso is in a very difficult political crossroads . The decision he makes now may retire him permanently from politics or revive his Presidential ambition. But one fact is clear: just like late Buhari and the CPC, without a handshake with another major Party, he will remain a local champion with his NNPP, but that too may soon vanish with the present predicament of the Party in Kano.

SOURCE

What is his own business with him?

Dedicate this
F
T
C

To all good citizens of this great country

Apc just Dey fear
Any move they will react
Did Kwankwaso tell you about getting presidential ticket?

But he has every right to contest for president, or they want to swap him with shettima?

Keyamo, are you too idle as a minister? Leave politics and focus on your docket

APC is more interested in politics than they are in governance.

Can you just imagine? It's obvious that Nigeria means nothing to them than an avenue to grab onto power and hold it forever. It's really sad to see.

Tinubu has traveled. Again. The country is rife with insecurity. Inflation is unbelievable. Electricity is zero.

Na wa for APC. Na wa.

He’s free to pick the ticket of whatever is left of NNPP. In the alternative, he can forget his presidential ambition in 2027 and go for broke in Kano by joining ADC to work against both Tinubu and Abba Yusuf. If he wins back Kano, that may give him a leverage in 2031 to move to another party and negotiate for the top ticket. For now, his options are very limited.

Ogbeni close your mouth and face your ministerial job. How is Kwankwaso presidential aspiration your business? Political lords are talking errand boy that can't win his polling unit is still talking.

“Kwankwaso will not support a Northern candidate because that ends his own Presidential ambition since he may have to wait for another 16 years after 2027 to get a shot at the Presidency – 8 likely years for the Northern Candidate and another 8 likely years when it rotates to the South again.

“That’s a gamble he WILL NOT TAKE. He will be 86 years old by then. So, this entirely rules out an ATIKU-Kwankwaso cooperation in 2027”, Keyamo’s s statement continued.

Keyamo said that based on prevailing political realities, 2031 appears to be Kwankwaso’s most realistic presidential window, but warned that decisions taken in 2027 would be decisive.

He’s correct & it’s also one of the reasons why Atiku can never win..

Anybody that understands politics would know that the politics that’s going on now is about 2031..

Whatever you do in 2027 will decide where you would be at 2031..

This is real politics at play. It’s not about making noise and shouting it’s Igbos turn. As if aso rock nah traditional palace..

Anytime you see Tinubu's ministers and appointees suddenly doing media rounds and turning emergency political advisers and analysts, just know there's fire on the mountain. The same happened when Obi joined the ADC. In the last 24 hours, Hanatu Musawa, Dogara, Festus Keyamo, Onanuga, etc have been running helter-skelter from one media house to the other and typing furiously on social media. The panic is palpable.

What is the correlation between kwankwaso and your responsibilities as minister?

What has kemayo as a minister done?

Absolutely nothing! The man is busy analysing opposition and their situations. Highest height of idleness!

seunmsg:
He’s free to pick the ticket of whatever is left of NNPP. In the alternative, he can forget his presidential ambition in 2027 and go for broke in Kano by joining ADC to work against both Tinubu and Abba Yusuf. If he wins back Kano, that may give him a leverage in 2031 to move to another party and negotiate for the top ticket. For now, his options are very limited.

Same Kwankwaso whom you projected that him joining APC as Vice will singlehandedly handover victory to Tinubu? He's now the one you want to casually dismiss and expect us to believe you? What you Tinubu's lackeys fail to understand is that Kwankwaso did not eventually join APC because of a huge trust deficit. He believed Tinubu would not keep his words and would end up betraying him like he did Elrufai. Most of his political advisers and loyalists also warned him about the same. This is now the general sentiments of most core Norherners about Tinubu and even those still pretending to be with him due to fear and inducement are dining with a very long spoon. If Kwankwaso ends up joining the ADC, the elections can as well be called already because Tinubu can not win an election where the second, third and fourth candidates from last election unites against him.

Kwankwaso has a formidable foundation.

Abba has won the hearts of Kano people

Abba is the winner

Ladiesdoctor:
Kwankwaso has a formidable foundation.

Abba has won the hearts of Kano people

Abba is the winner

You are right. Abba will deliver Kano to Tinubu. We will all learn politics together!

This keyamo is urhobo version of Tinubu. Only politics inside his brain. The mammoth crowd that is still with Kwankwaso is so undeniable, the likes of Keyamo need to start spinning false Kano-is-for-APC early narratives to effectively lay rigging groundwork there. It will backfire. Kano is where Buhari was stoned at the end of his hopeless eight years.

It's really irritating that tinubu ministers are talking politics and not governance

From wike to this one etc

Tinubu is a failure that only wants to play politics, he should rather go back to opposition and be doing stupid strategy

Bentacur007:
Apc just Dey fear
Any move they will react
Did Kwankwaso tell you about getting presidential ticket?

These apc people desperately want Atiku to win the ADC ticket cos they know that campaigning against him would be easy. They will just be echoing the "Southern turn" without stating their past and future achievements because they have none.

This Chameleon keyamo has been crying heavily lately. Gani has been very restless in his grave because of keyamo. A man he trained to fight oppressors, corruption and illegalities has nlw become the cornerstone of corruption and illegalities.

This keyamo, Gabi will be wonderimg in his grave how a thing he trained acquired more than 450,000 dollars house in the US.

1. FACT NO. 1 - Kwankwaso wants to be President, but none of the major political parties will pick him as a candidate in 2027.

By the way keyamo why would political parties give Kwankwaso the presidential ticket to represent their party in 2027 when you ans your minions have been crying that it is the Southerners that have to contest the 2027 election.

All the gaslighting shows fear, anxiety that Kwankwaso rejected the devil's offer that have put the mandate snatchers in serious confusion.

APC will be disgraced and the fake certificate holder is OTP

Festus Keyamo knows how to do political permutations for other candidates but cannot permutate for himself to win a seat in any election.

Atiku and Obi meanwhile, should rest.

Obi gave Tinubu an easy pathway to the presidency the moment he started displaying the idiocy of "a new Nigeria is possible" They should just rest.

All indices points to a Tinubu victory.

I personally don't want either of them to win that primaries.

Two very useless, shortsighted, desperate, power hungry folks

The only man I respect in APC
You can never see keyamo go tribal

All his attack on Peter Obi since 2022 you can never see one with any sign of tribal inclination
Maybe that's why he is not rated in APC

Back to the topic,APC is now regretting kill Opposition...
1) Nigeria is too divided as it is today, we need someone who can unite us then proceeds to restructure Nigeria

We must not risk APC wining again in 2027 Nigeria would certainly not recover from it

Atiku/Obi ticket is the surest way to defeat Tinubu.... It's painful but that's the honest truth...

In a country where things are working then yes Obi can win but this is Nigeria

Only someone like Atiku can install someone like Obi, same way OBJ installed Yaradua

These politicians are hopelessly clueless and selfish....

aLOOTa continua

AMINDA:
Anytime you see Tinubu's ministers and appointees suddenly doing media rounds and turning emergency political advisers and analysts, just know there's fire on the mountain. The same happened when Obi joined the ADC. In the last 24 hours, Hanatu Musawa, Dogara, Festus Keyamo, Onanuga, etc have been running helter-skelter from one media house to the other and typing furiously on social media. The panic is palpable.

All this ur cho cho is too much... What you have failed to do is to analyse road map of Atiku or Obi to get the Presidency.

Willie2015:
All this ur cho cho is too much... What you have failed to do is to analyse road map of Atiku or Obi to get the Presidency.

Why not analyse Tinubu's own roadmap to re-election and leave me alone?

APC Tinubu supporters advising the opposition.

Wonders and babablu.

Goo0dHardDick:
What has kemayo as a minister done?

Absolutely nothing! The man is busy analysing opposition and their situations. Highest height of idleness!

Before keyamo, Air peace was a local molue Airline flying from otukpo to yenogoa but now with keyamo as aviation minister, Air peace is flying directly to the US, UK, Brazil and other locations worldwide. Tinubu and keyamo are masters. Gba fun oga e.

Keyamo! Keyamo! Keyamo? How many times did I call you? Be careful, kwankwaso will do APC dirty things!

You mean it's still going to be a Muslim-Muslim ticket that'll be presented by the APC in the presidential ballot come 2027?

princeade86:
But he has every right to contest for president, or they want to swap him with shettima?

Tenses:
These apc people desperately want Atiku to win the ADC ticket cos they know that campaigning against him would be easy. They will just be echoing the "Southern turn" without stating their past and future achievements because they have none.

They can only echo the southern turn to their fellow gullible APC members, not to Nigerians, because it will not fly, not with what Nigerians have been subjected to under the wicked and draconian Tinubu regime. In fact, Nigerians will remind them that Tinubu himself and his allies were at the forefront of truncating an opportunity for the South to have an unbroken eight-year tenure in 2015.

So, Tinubu and the APC do not have any moral compass or justification to say it is the South’s turn. It may have worked in 2023 because Buhari had just completed an eight-year tenure, but now it will not work.

You mean it's still going to be a Muslim-Muslim ticket that'll be presented by the APC in the presidential ballot come 2027

princeade86:
But he has every right to contest for president, or they want to swap him with shettima?

Who's known tomorrow if Nigeria can still be a country before then. Man think God decide.

Air tickets are still very high
We have no national carrier


yet this unfortunate Bingo is only interested in 2027
this guy was a two term minister under Buhari

who said Nigeria will be great again under APc