₦airaland Forum

Only if the opposition will unite, this arrogance is too much.

Face your job. Why can't we have a national carrier like Kenya, Ethiopia and others?

Says the Senior Special Consultant to Kwankwaso on Presidential Aspiration!

Apc are too naive…they talk more about their opponents than themselves..very obsolete type of politics if not that some Nigerians are foolish

AMINDA:
Anytime you see Tinubu's ministers and appointees suddenly doing media rounds and turning emergency political advisers and analysts, just know there's fire on the mountain. The same happened when Obi joined the ADC. In the last 24 hours, Hanatu Musawa, Dogara, Festus Keyamo, Onanuga, etc have been running helter-skelter from one media house to the other and typing furiously on social media. The panic is palpable.

Panic ? Do you understand what panic is ? Someone with almost 30 governors is under panic ? The Apc is boldly telling you where you guys tucked up and you are calling it panic . Wait ! You think a serious politician especially from Kano will suddenly move to the opposition party in his state ( apc) from the ruling party ( nnpp) in an election cycle year for no cogent reason or seeing that his move will give him an advance?

2014 we had governors move from pdp to apc and the following year apc won , 2022 we had governors leave Pdp for a valid reason or openly defy pdp and it's Choice and support apc , we know how it turned out
It's 2026 no governor has openly defied apc or it's leaders, instead opposition governors are queuing to join apc , not one governor has identified with the coalition and you think apc is under panic .

Honestly I pray the opposition leaders are not listening to folks like you online oh, cos the defeat will be so serious , I can assure you it will leave the opposition parties completely destroyed once they loose next year .

Is keyamo even a political analyst or a minister?

A well written article. Kwankwaso has indeed boxed himself to a corner.

But the OBJ magic may still work, and he might take the vp slot to deputise Obi. But I don't see them winning Atiku, and Kwankwaso too must have know this...exactly what Keyamo strongly pointed out in his article. If I was Obi, I would pray Kwakwanso doesn't deputise me cos it will be a tough reign for Obi. Kwankwaso can easily impeach him.

People come and go. Seems Kwankwaso has started his journey into the thin air. Anyway, he doesn't look like someone southerners will ever vote for with his Islamic and too strict style. In my view, as worse as Atiku is, he is a better choice.

So, this is going to be between Tinubu and Atiku again. And Obi may spoil the show again. Lol. Another small party will easily take him na. If he can do it with Labor, who says he can't do it with another party?

As usual, Atiku will win using his money, and I predict Obi will not take it. Atiku might (not sure, but just predicting what might happen) even use his money to make Obi accepts a VP slot. The only thing in that man's head is Obi becoming his VP. Lesson learned. You don't value what you have until you lose it. Then, he dumped Obi, and even played Wike for a weak candidate ...Okowa. Even me sef, I can't have Wike as my VP. Never. Atiku knew who he was and what he did during OBJ's regime, so he doesn't want someone to do what he did. But little did he know that what he did is why he cannot be the president. I pity people following him except those cashing out. Atiku is a failed project.

If Obi agrees to stay in ADC after losing to Atiku, he will be another failed Kwankwaso. And if he leaves for another party which I feel is what he will likely do, he will be tagged the most unfaithful politicians in 2020s. And his path to the presidency will even be extremely difficult too.

So, if I was Obi, I would start positioning myself as the eldest political man in Igbo. I don't see him in Aso Rock also now. If I were him and I lost to Atiku, claiming the whole north via Atiku would be my goal. He should just use the Jagaban style. Let him nominate a weak Igbo Osinbajo. Shikena. A weak politicians who will try the Osinbajo stunt when Atiku is leaving and fail. Then, he will come on board after 8 years. This is the path I see very clear for Obi. I pray someone shows him my post. And I pray he listens to the voice of wisdom.

Goodluck to them all.

Bentacur007:
Apc just Dey fear
Any move they will react
Did Kwankwaso tell you about getting presidential ticket?

From the message, I can see clearly they don’t want anyone to work with Atiku. APC na master strategist.

benardtotti:
Panic ? Do you understand what panic is ? Someone with almost 30 governors is under panic ? The Apc is boldly telling you where you guys tucked up and you are calling it panic . Wait ! You think a serious politician especially from Kano will suddenly move to the opposition party in his state ( apc) from the ruling party ( nnpp) in an election cycle year for no cogent reason or seeing that his move will give him an advance?

2014 we had governors move from pdp to apc and the following year apc won , 2022 we had governors leave Pdp for a valid reason or openly defy pdp and it's Choice and support apc , we know how it turned out
It's 2026 no governor has openly defied apc or it's leaders, instead opposition governors are queuing to join apc , not one governor has identified with the coalition and you think apc is under panic .

Honestly I pray the opposition leaders are not listening to folks like you online oh, cos the defeat will be so serious , I can assure you it will leave the opposition parties completely destroyed once they loose next year .

Lol. Below are the APC states that couldn't deliver Tinubu even though their governors all won the gubernatorial elections in them effortlessly.

Kaduna
Katsina
Kebbi
Yobe
Gombe
Lagos (Tinubu’s home state and political base)
Nasarawa
Plateau
Ebonyi
Imo

Also, half of the 12 states he "won" like Oyo, Rivers, Benue, etc were not APC-governed states. The influence of governors on electoral outcomes is massively overrated. The people's sentiments and economics play bigger roles, unless APC intends to spill blood.

amaridigital:
Before keyamo, Air peace was a local molue Airline flying from otukpo to yenogoa but now with keyamo as aviation minister, Air peace is flying directly to the US, UK, Brazil and other locations worldwide. Tinubu and keyamo are masters. Gba fun oga e.

Airpeace actually went international during buhari's tenure.

See wetin minister of the federal republic dey calculate n permutate what about you trying to be APC governorship candidate in Edo state in 2031?
Prices of airlines are going up and most airports terminals are nothing to write home about, na political "prophecies" and kwankwaso be your debate this time around.
Nonsnese

Bentacur007:
Apc just Dey fear
Any move they will react
Did Kwankwaso tell you about getting presidential ticket?

Not fear it's called politics.

mrvitalis:
The only man I respect in APC
You can never see keyamo go tribal

All his attack on Peter Obi since 2022 you can never see one with any sign of tribal inclination
Maybe that's why he is not rated in APC

Back to the topic,APC is now regretting kill Opposition...
1) Nigeria is too divided as it is today, we need someone who can unite us then proceeds to restructure Nigeria

We must not risk APC wining again in 2027 Nigeria would certainly not recover from it

Atiku/Obi ticket is the surest way to defeat Tinubu.... It's painful but that's the honest truth...

In a country where things are working then yes Obi can win but this is Nigeria

Only someone like Atiku can install someone like Obi, same way OBJ installed Yaradua

Well said, Obi’s pathway to presidency is to deputize for Atiku, but data boys will definitely come up with their usual useless propaganda” it’s southern turn 😀

AMINDA:
Lol. Below are the APC states that couldn't deliver Tinubu even though their governors all won the gubernatorial elections in them effortlessly.

Kaduna
Katsina
Kebbi
Yobe
Gombe
Lagos (Tinubu’s home state and political base)
Nasarawa
Plateau
Ebonyi
Imo

Also, half of the 12 states he "won" like Oyo, Rivers, Benue, etc were not APC-governed states. The influence of governors on electoral outcomes is massively overrated. The people's sentiments and economics play bigger roles, unless APC intends to spill blood.

This is the mistake you guys make , it's about getting 25% not about winning the state , it's a numbers game , the 21 governors in 2023 , win or lost gave tinubu a combined 6m votes that's 90% of his votes came from apc states.

Tinubu understood after the election that it's all about the numbers and spread so went all out to get as many governors as possible.

Seeplusplus:
Festus Keyamo knows how to do political permutations for other candidates but cannot permutate for himself to win a seat in any election.

Atiku and Obi meanwhile, should rest.

Obi gave Tinubu an easy pathway to the presidency the moment he started displaying the idiocy of "a new Nigeria is possible" They should just rest.

All indices points to a Tinubu victory.

I personally don't want either of them to win that primaries.

Two very useless, shortsighted, desperate, power hungry folks

you that is talking jargons what is tinubbu doing now that shows he has sense

I guess he should be voted because he is a Yoruba Muslim period and you worship him

Is it not the evidence of idleness that has turned keyamo to newspaper stand permunator

For those asking why Keyamo is making political analysis, they have gotten it wrong. Keyamo is a minister and a minister is a political appointment as well as governance appointment. Your job is partly to work for the country and your party. Pam Bondi, the U S Attorney General is actively working for Trump's govt and the Republican party. So anyone in Tinubus govt that is not interested in politics should resign.

benardtotti:
This is the mistake you guys make , it's about getting 25% not about winning the state , it's a numbers game , the 21 governors in 2023 , win or lost gave tinubu a combined 6m votes that's 90% of his votes came from apc states.

Tinubu understood after the election that it's all about the numbers and spread so went all out to get as many governors as possible.

It was not because of the 21 governors. Jonathan had 26 governors and still lost. It was because Northerners gave Tinubu 5.6m out of his 8m votes to pay him back for supporting Buhari in 2015. Northerners keep their words until betrayed. Fortunately, Tinubu has betrayed most of his Northern allies that made that possible. He now feels he can win the South. Time shall tell.

Hankim:
Well said, Obi’s pathway to presidency is to deputize for Atiku, but data boys will definitely come up with their usual useless propaganda” it’s southern turn 😀

which southern turn

You that is "Southern" does that gives you fuel at #250

Thedon22:
For those asking why Keyamo is making political analysis, they have gotten it wrong. Keyamo is a minister and a minister is a political appointment as well as governance appointment. Your job is partly to work for the country and your party. Pam Bondi, the U S Attorney General is actively working for Trump's govt and the Republican party. So anyone in Tinubus govt that is not interested in politics should resign.

stop talking rubbish

Keyamo is idle, what makes him different from heli.nies when dey do permutation online for a job

As buhari regime useless reach he never tolerated playing politics while in governance

Amaechi was doing rails had eyes on the seat but he had to first resign, many others

Comparison with crack head trump admin that digs all the lows in terms of professional conduct of national office is not a way out

seunmsg:
He’s free to pick the ticket of whatever is left of NNPP. In the alternative, he can forget his presidential ambition in 2027 and go for broke in Kano by joining ADC to work against both Tinubu and Abba Yusuf. If he wins back Kano, that may give him a leverage in 2031 to move to another party and negotiate for the top ticket. For now, his options are very limited.

.
He worked against Tinubu in 2023, but that didn’t stop Tinubu from winning inf tge general election, now that his party has been divided by his son in-law whom he brought in as governor, how can he stop Tinubu from winning again?

I attached our 2023 strategy, definitely our 2027 strategy is different. We will surprise you again

AMINDA:
It was not because of the 21 governors. Jonathan had 26 governors and still lost. It was because Northerners gave Tinubu 5.6m out of his 8m votes to pay him back for supporting Buhari in 2015. Northerners keep their words until betrayed. Fortunately, Tinubu has betrayed most of his Northern allies that made that possible. He now feels he can win the South. Time shall tell.

Oga , Jonathan did not loose because of the north , in 2011 Jonathan won inspite of Buhari's 15m voters cos Gej had the SW , in 2015 Gej lost the major support of the SW , please note this: since 99 the regions that determine the major swing in any election are the SW and NC ,anyone who looses one or both of them with margins is a goner .

2. Let's even humor you with your surmise that it was because gej lost the north , pdp still delivered numbers for gej even with eroded support ,which brings me to my second fact: no incumbent party in nigeria have lost an election by a wide margin no ,matter how unpopular, it will not start now in 2027 .


Finaĺy I have told you it's a numbers game whatever you think tinubu will loose in the North he has tactically made up for with the Governors from the south and north Central who have joined his party.

benardtotti:
Oga , Jonathan did not loose because of the north , in 2011 Jonathan won inspite of Buhari's 15m voters cos Gej had the SW , in 2015 Gej lost the major support of the SW , please note this: since 99 the regions that determine the major swing in any election are the SW and NC ,anyone who looses one or both of them with margins is a goner .

2. Let's even humor you with your surmise that it was because gej lost the north , pdp still delivered numbers for gej even with eroded support ,which brings me to my second fact: no incumbent party in nigeria have lost an election by a wide margin no ,matter how unpopular, it will not start now in 2027 .


Finaĺy I have told you it's a numbers game whatever you think tinubu will loose in the North he has tactically made up for with the Governors from the south and north Central who have joined his party.

In all your GEJ analysis, you forgot that Jonathan was well grounded in the South and middlebelt with undoubted support from the people of the South, not just governors. Compare with Tinubu, the so-called Southern candidate who only won elections in 4 Yoruba states across the entire South and had to be carried with 5.6m Northern votes. If you believe Tinubu now enjoys overwhelming support from the South just because their governors defected to claim 250 billion naira, then I have a very potent snake oil to sell to you. Anyways, time is a gentleman.

Goo0dHardDick:
What has kemayo as a minister done?

Absolutely nothing! The man is busy analysing opposition and their situations. Highest height of idleness!

How would you see what keyamo has done when you have never been to any airport in your life?

The PBAT Ministers don't have much work to do and this is the main reason why they are meddling into politics. The other day, the Lady minister was saying that PBAT running mate in 2027 must contain a Muslim Fulani, Hausa or Kanuri. You guys should go and face your work. The time for politics is not ripe. Bring out policies that will make the economy grow.

AMINDA:
In all your GEJ analysis, you forgot that Jonathan was well grounded in the South and middlebelt with undoubted support from the people of the South, not just governors. Compare with Tinubu, the so-called Southern candidate who only won elections in 4 Yoruba states across the entire South and had to be carried with 5.6m Northern votes. If you believe Tinubu now enjoys overwhelming support from the South just because their governors defected to claim 250 billion naira, then I have a very potent snake oil to sell to you. Anyways, time is a gentleman.

I repeat 21 apc governors spread across Nigeria delivered a total of 6m votes out of 8m for tinubu in 2023 when he had a lot of battles to face , 90% of his total vote came from party structure, if you like when e reach your coalition turn go and play with party structure next year, you will learn a bitter lesson .

Even cross river state delivered over 100k votes in 2023 for BAt, if you think the tally will be less this time then I have nothing else to tell you, I will just leave you in your delusion.

benardtotti:
I repeat 21 apc governors spread across Nigeria delivered a total of 6m votes out of 8m for tinubu in 2023 when he had a lot of battles to face , 90% of his total vote came from party structure, if you like when e reach your coalition turn go and play with party structure next year, you will learn a bitter lesson .

Even cross river state delivered over 100k votes in 2023 for BAt, if you think the tally will be less this time then I have nothing else to tell you, I will just leave you in your delusion.

You are simply going back and forth. I asked you a simple question, if governors is all it takes, why didn't 26 PDP governors deliver Jonathan in 2015? How can a
so-called Southern candidate be celebrating 100k votes in an APC-governed Southern state? Tells you all you need to know.

AMINDA:
You are simply going back and forth. I asked you a simple question, if governors is all it takes, why didn't 26 PDP governors deliver Jonathan in 2015? How can a
so-called Southern candidate be celebrating 100k votes in an APC-governed Southern state? Tells you all you need to know.

This will be my final quote to you as today is Monday and business is on ...

You have still refused to understand why structure is important ahd it's a numbers game m I have told you that even with the north not supporting Gej he still got 70% of his total votes from pdp states.

Pdp had 21 states going into the election in 2015 , 5 governors defected so there was no 26 governors as you claim.

Which still brings me back to my point, if apc have 30 governors now ahd more want to jump to apc how exactly are you expecting that apc will loose the next election with a margin ?

Learn this and know peace - politics is a game of Numbers and 1 vote for you is as important as 10 votes for another .

My problem with you guys in the opposition is you sit down without any physical experience to churn out scenarios.

In 2023 the opposition said structure is not needed , it's structure of criminality , fast forward to 2026 same guys who said structure is not needed are now looking to build structure and the structure available is no longer criminal.

Same opposition is saying governors are not important they have 1 vote , after 2027 election ,when they loose , in 2031 they will start chasing governors cos they would have learned the lesson why governors and structure is important.

Truthissupreme:
stop talking rubbish

Keyamo is idle, what makes him different from heli.nies when dey do permutation online for a job

As buhari regime useless reach he never tolerated playing politics while in governance

Amaechi was doing rails had eyes on the seat but he had to first resign, many others

Comparison with crack head trump admin that digs all the lows in terms of professional conduct of national office is not a way out

Hope you know the designation of Minister? If you don't know let me educate you. Ministerial appointment is a purely political appointment. If you agree with this every other consideration is irrelevant. Keyamo is doing his job rightly.

Thedon22:
Hope you know the designation of Minister? If you don't know let me educate you. Ministerial appointment is a purely political appointment. If you agree with this every other consideration is irrelevant. Keyamo is doing his job rightly.

yeah every thing about tinubbu na politics

He actually doesn't know what is governance

Aptly put.

I like how all tinubu supporters seem more confident in the possibility of his reelection than tinubu himself.
Reminds me of when trump of US of A was planning an ‘invasion’ of Nigeria. The data boys were so vehemently confident that trump’s decision to invade will only result in the downfall of the US empire as China and Russia were watching and seeking the opportunity to join Nigeria to collapse the US 🤣.

A myriad of analysis were regurgitated to show they meant business. Same was done when our military rats were detained and humbled under Traore’s orders. All confident threats were made by the noise makers legion. In the end both the USA and Traore would have messed tinubu up if they wanted to, and nothing would have happened. Tinubu will not take the risk of chest beating, his fans who are empty and irrelevant however, would.

Order is in the camp of the PROGRESSIVES do not mind the naysayers