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Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ - Business (75) - Nairaland

Nairaland ForumNairaland GeneralBusinessFootball (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ (111237 Views)

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Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by ispreloaded(m): 8:26pm On Jan 26
2dice01:
Just dey play

You guys think so high of United grin
If they can win 3 out of the next 5Games
I will dash you 5k wink
honestly I trust carrick....as a footballer I clearly understand this tactics if not all.... His a very ruthless coach in teams of tactics....I can bet with u we gonna win straight 5.
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by 2dice01: 8:50pm On Jan 26
ispreloaded:
honestly I trust carrick....as a footballer I clearly understand this tactics if not all.... His a very ruthless coach in teams of tactics....I can bet with u we gonna win straight 5.
Lmao grin
You trust Carrick
The club don't have what it takes 5 straight games

Oya lets bet
How much
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by 2dice01: 8:51pm On Jan 26
ispreloaded:
deal ....🤝 cool
👍🏽
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by RollinTNDA: 9:35pm On Jan 26
ispreloaded:
I no like this kind talk.... angry
u dey craze.

When una dey insult me. E dey sweet una🙄
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by RollinTNDA: 9:50pm On Jan 26
2dice01:
Lmao grin
You trust Carrick
The club don't have what it takes 5 straight games

Oya lets bet
How much
don't mind this small children.

I fucking hate when they start hyping any new man u coach that has not lasted a month angry angry

I really hate that nonesense

Just because he won arsenal and man city

Now he is the next Alex Ferguson

I swear some people are so annoying

Only 2 abi 3 matches them wan use hype finish the young man.

Let him go unbeaten for 10 matches first
Then we start giving him the Alex hype

Naso una use hype decieve Amorim when he won his first matches with man u. Nonesense
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by RollinTNDA: 9:54pm On Jan 26
Infact let me block that boy Israel.

Naso one of my guy hype Amorim first days
Then come do 360 on Amorim dey abuse am

I don't want to see any rubbish hype in carrick

You boys should learn how to shut up until carrick goes 10 games unbeaten.

Then you can praise him to the heavens.
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by RealityKings1: 10:44pm On Jan 26
Wehustle:
Follow me as i escape overty

GBB5AC
Hahahha all is well
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by ispreloaded(m): 10:49pm On Jan 26
RollinTNDA:
u dey craze.

When una dey insult me. E dey sweet una🙄
.... This one nor be insult na..... This ur own be like devil trying hard not to allow my blessings reach me....na wickedness.... If na insult I don't care...who e EPP? 🙄
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by ispreloaded(m): 10:52pm On Jan 26
RollinTNDA:
don't mind this small children.

I fucking hate when they start hyping any new man u coach that has not lasted a month angry angry

I really hate that nonesense

Just because he won arsenal and man city

Now he is the next Alex Ferguson

I swear some people are so annoying

Only 2 abi 3 matches them wan use hype finish the young man.

Let him go unbeaten for 10 matches first
Then we start giving him the Alex hype

Naso una use hype decieve Amorim when he won his first matches with man u. Nonesense
....😒😒😒
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by ForG(m): 11:05pm On Jan 26
.

Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by ispreloaded(m): 11:06pm On Jan 26
RollinTNDA:
Infact let me block that boy Israel.

Naso one of my guy hype Amorim first days
Then come do 360 on Amorim dey abuse am

I don't want to see any rubbish hype in carrick

You boys should learn how to shut up until carrick goes 10 games unbeaten.

Then you can praise him to the heavens.
u rush too much to conclude things....I never gave carrick dat credit base on that two matches.... Am judging him from the start when he was appointed caretake during the time of ole gunner.... If u're a manu fan u should be knowing what am saying...he haven't lost a single match since then ....am talking about 6-7 matches he coached under utd.... Dec 2 2021 under carrick manu 3-2 arsenal,Nov 28 2021 Chelsea 1-1 manu ,Nov 23 2021 Villarreal 0-2 manu,....then 2026 .... Mancity and arsenal.... Guy don't argue with me about football I know what am saying...
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by RollinTNDA: 11:11pm On Jan 26
ispreloaded:
u rush too much to conclude things....I never gave carrick dat credit base on that two matches.... Am judging him from the start when he was appointed caretake during the time of ole gunner.... If u're a manu fan u should be knowing what am saying...he haven't lost a single match since then ....am talking about 6-7 matches he coached under utd.... Dec 2 2021 under carrick manu 3-2 arsenal,Nov 28 2021 Chelsea 1-1 manu ,Nov 23 2021 Villarreal 0-2 manu,....then 2026 .... Mancity and arsenal.... Guy don't argue with me about football I know what am saying...
when you said he is giving Alex energy bro!!!!! It's too early naaaa

I have watched my club die and resurrect
All caused by English media hype

So please I use God take beg you leave carrick
Allow him to prove himself
Whatever record he did 6 years ago dies not matter.

What can he do now?? That's all that matters
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by ispreloaded(m): 11:14pm On Jan 26
RollinTNDA:
when you said he is giving Alex energy bro!!!!! It's too early naaaa

I have watched my club die and resurrect
All caused by English media hype

So please I use God take beg you leave carrick
Allow him to prove himself
Whatever record he did 6 years ago dies not matter.

What can he do now?? That's all that matters
where u get dat ur statement from?...I said what?
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by RollinTNDA: 11:16pm On Jan 26
Giving praise to Carrick for 2 matches
Is same as giving morroco the Afcon cup
Because they have penalty at last minute

Please and please stop the hype

You and English media are now making carrick feel like one star boy when he has not even been tested.

How can you give a soldier "medal of honor" before a battle that he has not yet fought??

Make una allow that man focus
And stop comparing him the Alex the greatest
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by ispreloaded(m): 11:20pm On Jan 26
RollinTNDA:
Giving praise to Carrick for 2 matches
Is same as giving morroco the Afcon cup
Because they have penalty at last minute

Please and please stop the hype

You and English media are now making carrick feel like one star boy when he has not even been tested.

How can you give a soldier "medal of honor" before a battle that he has not yet fought??

Make una allow that man focus
And stop comparing him the Alex the greatest
he haven't lost in 5matches not 2.... Abeg go support ur Chelsea u nor be manu fan
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by RollinTNDA: 11:22pm On Jan 26
Jafsent30:
Per your request I'll write down my FORMULA and for free with real backed evidence

WHAT YOU NEED BEFORE STARTING:

Required Resources:

1. Team Stats – Get from Basketball-Reference or ESPN
Look for: Points Per Game (PPG), Defensive Rating (DRtg), Pace

2. Injury Report – Check NBA official injury report or Twitter 2–3 hours before games

3. Starting Lineups – Check ESPN or official team Twitter accounts or NBA lineups

STEP 1: LOOK UP TEAM STATS

Go to SOFASCORE → NBA → Team Stats

Find these 3 numbers for EACH team:

A) DEFENSE (Most Important!)

Look for Defensive Rating (DRtg)
Lower number = Better defense

How to identify:
Elite Defense = Ranked 1–10 (DRtg under 116)
Examples: Thunder (109.8 ), Rockets (111.5), Heat (112.0)

Mid Defense = Ranked 11–20 (DRtg 116–119)

Weak Defense = Ranked 21–30 (DRtg 119+)
Examples: Jazz (122.7), Wizards (123.3), Bulls (120.8 )

B) PACE

Look for Pace (possessions per 48 minutes)
Higher number = Faster game

How to identify:
Fast Pace = Ranked 1–10 (102+ possessions)
Examples: Grizzlies (102.3), Pacers (103.9), Celtics (102.5)

Mid Pace = Ranked 11–20 (99–102 possessions)

Slow Pace = Ranked 21–30 (under 99)
Examples: Thunder (97.2), Bulls (97.0), Spurs (97.8 )

C) OFFENSE (Points Per Game)
Look for PTS/G (Points Per Game)

How to identify:
High Scoring = 118+ PPG

Examples: Celtics (121.3), Warriors (119.2), Knicks (117.9)
Mid Scoring = 113–118 PPG
Low Scoring = Under 113 PPG
Examples: Kings (110.8 ), Bucks (112.4)

STEP 2: IDENTIFY GAME STYLE

Use defense + pace to classify the matchup:

Type A: GRIND GAME
Both teams: Elite Defense (top 10) AND Slow Pace
Example: Lakers vs Clippers, Thunder vs Heat
BET: UNDER

Type B: SHOOTOUT
Both teams: Weak Defense (21–30) AND Fast Pace
Example: Warriors vs Jazz, Wizards vs Bulls
BET: OVER

Type C: NORMAL GAME
One elite defense controls the pace
Example: Rockets vs anyone
BET: UNDER (usually)

Type D: CHAOS GAME
Neither team has elite defense (both ranked 11–30)
Example: Hornets vs Raptors
BET: Slight OVER bias

STEP 3: CHECK FOR INJURIES

Check NBA injury report or Twitter (search “Team Name injury”)
Who to look for:
Star Players (High Impact):
Players scoring 25+ PPG

Examples: Giannis, LeBron, Curry, Embiid, Jokic, Tatum, Luka
If OUT: Expected total drops 6–8 points

Key Defenders:
Elite rim protectors or perimeter defenders

Examples: Wembanyama, Gobert, Draymond Green
If OUT: Expected total goes UP 4–6 points

How to identify a star:
Team leading scorer on ESPN
20+ PPG = important
25+ PPG = star

STEP 4: CALCULATE EXPECTED TOTAL

Base Formula:
Expected Total = Team A PPG + Team B PPG

Adjustments:
Star OUT: −6 to −8 points
Elite defender OUT: +4 to +6 points
Both fast pace: +5 points
Both slow pace: −5 points

Example:
Lakers (115) + Clippers (116) = 231
Both slow pace: 231 − 5 = 226 expected

STEP 5: CALCULATE FLOOR & CEILING

Floor: Expected − 12
Ceiling: Expected + 12

Example:
Expected = 226
Floor = 214
Ceiling = 238

STEP 6: PICK YOUR LINE

Main line ranges:
Usually Main −13 to Main +13

For UNDER bets:
Pick a line 10–12 points ABOVE your ceiling

For OVER bets:
Pick a line 10–12 points BELOW your floor

STEP 7: THE INJURY RULE (CRITICAL)

When a star is OUT:

1. Adjust expected total
2. Adjust floor & ceiling
3. DO NOT reduce cushion!!!
Increase cushion to 12–15 points when injuries exist

STEP 8: CONFIDENCE CHECK

High Confidence:

Elite defense present
10+ point cushion
Clear game style


Medium Confidence:

One elite defense
8–10 point cushion
Some injuries


Low Confidence (Skip):

Cushion under 8
Too many unknowns
Warriors or Grizzlies

QUICK CHEAT SHEET

1. Both elite defense + slow pace → DEEP UNDER
2. Spurs games → UNDER
3. No elite defense → OVER bias
4. Warriors or Grizzlies → Add +5 cushion

SAMPLE WALKTHROUGH

Game: Lakers @ Clippers (222.5)
Expected: 226
Floor: 214
Ceiling: 238
Pick: UNDER 228.5
Result: 216 total – WON

COMMON MISTAKES

1. Small cushions❌️
2. Reducing cushion on injuries❌️
3. Ignoring defense❌️
4. Betting every game❌️
5. Skipping injury checks ❌️

GOLDEN RULES

1. Minimum 10–12 point cushion

2. Elite defense = UNDER

3. No elite defense = OVER

4. Injuries = bigger cushion

5. When in doubt, skip

CURRENT PERFORMANCE

Record: 30–4 (88.2%)

Note:
“Big cushions protect your money. Perfect predictions are impossible. Play it safe and win consistently.”

THAT’S IT!

Follow the steps, respect the cushion, and bet only clear patterns.

Good luck!
Rollinmathematics started it
Now others are following grin grin grin grin

Good to know that I inspire you freaks
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by RollinTNDA: 11:25pm On Jan 26
ispreloaded:
he haven't lost in 5matches not 2.... Abeg go support ur Chelsea u nor be manu fan
I'm talking about arsenal and man city which where the 2 most prolific matches he has handled so far.
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by RollinTNDA: 11:26pm On Jan 26
ispreloaded:
he haven't lost in 5matches not 2.... Abeg go support ur Chelsea u nor be manu fan
make him reach 10 games unbeaten then I will praise him to the highest moon.

I'm very sure you made that Alex comment yesterday. Don't know why I can't find it
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by ispreloaded(m): 11:32pm On Jan 26
RollinTNDA:
make him reach 10 games unbeaten then I will praise him to the highest moon.

I'm very sure you made that Alex comment yesterday. Don't know why I can't find it
🙄
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by mceze(m): 12:11am On Jan 27
Pls, give me the code.

MoreThanGold:
wanna observe what this 1261 stake would bring, 👇🏽
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by RealityKings1: 5:06am On Jan 27
RollinTNDA:
That means I'm the last man standing grin grin

Rollinmathematics is the greatest invention
No subscription fee sir
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by Sam2310(m): 8:48am On Jan 27
Starting tomorrow 1.7 odds to 2 odds(2 Matches).

3 times Rollover and 1 time Martingale's Strategy
I'm starting with 1k.
1k Rollover to 5k in 3days

Note: Always Save your starting stake of day 1(1k) after Day 2 won...


Martingale means Doubling your next stake anytime you lose a bet...

Eg... I stake 1k and lose, my next stake will be to stake 2k.
If we lose again, we abort the strategy and move back to the beginning of staking 1k😀


100+ odds incoming by noon
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by Joeblaze26(m): 9:15am On Jan 27
Sam2310:
Starting tomorrow 1.7 odds to 2 odds(2 Matches).

3 times Rollover and 1 time Martingale's Strategy
I'm starting with 1k.
1k Rollover to 5k in 3days

Note: Always Save your starting stake of day 1(1k) after Day 2 won...


Martingale means Doubling your next stake anytime you lose a bet...

Eg... I stake 1k and lose, my next stake will be to stake 2k.
If we lose again, we abort the strategy and move back to the beginning of staking 1k😀


100+ odds incoming by noon
GL 🍀
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by WhiteIverson: 9:51am On Jan 27
JAUVDU
149 odd
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by Puntingnoob(op): 12:53pm On Jan 27
VAJ WUM

J3X7W7

SAC5YU
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by 2dice01: 1:34pm On Jan 27
RollinTNDA:
don't mind this small children.

I fucking hate when they start hyping any new man u coach that has not lasted a month angry angry

I really hate that nonesense

Just because he won arsenal and man city

Now he is the next Alex Ferguson

I swear some people are so annoying

Only 2 abi 3 matches them wan use hype finish the young man.

Let him go unbeaten for 10 matches first
Then we start giving him the Alex hype

Naso una use hype decieve Amorim when he won his first matches with man u. Nonesense
Just wait and see them cussing the young man when the real problem is the club itself not the coach
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by RollinTNDA: 1:45pm On Jan 27
2dice01:
Just wait and see them cussing the young man when the real problem is the club itself not the coach
Exactly
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by ispreloaded(m): 2:00pm On Jan 27
Most u of u don't know utd culture(especially rolling).. Carrick perfectly understand that and he'll use it to his advantage....we don't play possession ....back then utd is the number in counter football in the whole world..... That's exactly what carrick is perfectly building ....our old traditional football...think of it? About from ole gunner , which other coach appointed build the team in this way?... We score 5 goals against city ,3 goals against the strongest defense in the league...dats speak alot ...I understand Sha ...many so called utd fan na back of tv them dey watch .. it will take aromin 200yrs to understand dat. cool cool ..
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by ispreloaded(m): 2:06pm On Jan 27
2dice01:
Just wait and see them cussing the young man when the real problem is the club itself not the coach
....the real problem can't be the club itself....u have to be specific..,are u talking about the owner? Or the staff .... which one are u pointing to? Lemme counter ur judgement cool
Re: Football (+/other Sports) Betting Season 20➜ ➜ ➜ by Wehustle: 2:15pm On Jan 27
book

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