₦airaland Forum

2027: Obidients and The Illusion of Dominance

Each time I read about Obidients issuing threats of Peter Obi or nothing, I wonder whether they truly believe their principal enjoys widespread political popularity, even within what they describe as their stronghold.

During the 2023 presidential election, Peter Obi was clearly underrated, as he went on to poll an impressive 6.1 million votes nationwide. However, since that election, his political standing appears to have become overrated, as subsequent electoral outings have produced a series of disappointing outcomes.

In the Anambra State House of Assembly election, candidates of his party performed poorly, winning only 7 seats out of 30. This was an early indication that the momentum from the presidential election had faded.

Later in November of the same year, his party’s candidate in the Imo State governorship election, Athan Achonu, polled only 64,081 votes, representing about 9 percent of the total votes cast, despite an intense campaign effort. The outcomes in Kogi and Bayelsa States were even more underwhelming.

In the Edo State governorship election of 2024, Olumide Akpata, widely presented as his political protégé, managed to secure just 22,763 votes, representing about 4 percent, despite Peter Obi’s heavy personal involvement in the campaign.

This trend continued during the August 16, 2025 by election in Anambra State. In the Anambra South senatorial contest, Obi's candidate, Mr Donald Amangbo, who contested on the platform of the ADC, polled a paltry 2,889 votes. He finished far behind the APGA candidate, who scored 90,408 votes, and the APC candidate, who secured 19,847 votes. Similarly, his candidate for the Onitsha North Constituency 1 by-election in the Anambra State House of Assembly, Justina Azuka, who ran as ADC flagbearer, could only get 1,909 votes, while the APGA candidate, Barrister Ifeoma Azikiwe polled a whopping 7,774 votes.

During the 2025 Anambra State governorship election, Peter Obi took the contest personally and campaigned vigorously for the Labour Party candidate. At the end of the election, his own polling unit was won by the APC candidate, Nicholas Unachukwu. His ward in Agulu, Ward 12, and his local government area, Anaocha, were both won by the APGA candidate and incumbent governor. Overall, the Labour Party candidate finished a distant fourth, polling only 10,576 votes, representing about 1.8 percent, behind APGA with 422,664 votes, APC with 99,445 votes, and YPP with 37,753 votes.

Considering this consistent trajectory of limited electoral acceptance, political misjudgment, lack of strategic depth, and a prolonged losing streak, combined with the well documented record of underperformance during his time in government in Anambra State, one must ask what real advantage his supporters believe they hold over any serious contender in the 2027 elections. What is the driver behind the Obidient illusion?

It will be interesting to observe their reaction after their party’s primary election, where any objective observer can already identify the two candidates, neither of these is Peter Obi, most likely to emerge victorious.

'Tonye Barcanista

This is kindergarten analysis. If you understand the demography of Peter Obi's support base, you wouldn't engage in such puerile postulation.

If Peter Obi is not on the ballot, then obidients are not interested. His political currency is not transferable.

You just displayed your understanding!

Every serious contender in politics do influence performance in elections where they are not candidates. Their candidates may win or not win, but the performance is never terrible.

Think of Trump (GOP), Obama (Dems), Bubari (ANPP/CPC/APC), Asiwaju (AD, AC, ACN, APC), Wike (PDP/APC) etc. This is common politics

Hedonisco:
This is kindergarten analysis. If you understand the demography of Peter Obi's support base, you wouldn't engage in such puerile postulation.

Data boy is here

Longtime no data

9 paragraphs...you no try this time

Hehe APC dey fear Obidients pass anything lol. E go like that

Data boy don drop their usual smelly quote

Otondo analysis.

Obi remains the people's party and as long as he's not on the ballot, people don't care. Get that into your skull

They've not won any election but they are the loudest. Just like Arsenal fans, next season is always their season.

Tonye, your PDP is dead and buried! ADC ticket must go to Peter Obi or we know that the fulani cabal has you and atiku under payroll. Its the turn of the south, and right now there's global condemnation against fulani. Atiku should read the frigging room and do the needful as a patriot.

Obidients are the sensible portions/categories of the populace. The rest are sycophants, ignorant and gullible souls who prefer to maintain the status quo

TonyeBarcanista:
2027: Obidients and The Illusion of Dominance



'Tonye Barcanista

Some people blood pressure always on the rise because of The obedient.

Especially, those with moral bankruptcy.

"Illusion of dominance"? If e easy, run am!

You guys in the opposition can tear una self apart, it no concern us

There is a description given to empty barrels

thesicilian:
They've not won any election but they are the loudest. Just like Arsenal fans, next season is always their season.

The North gave Tinubu over 65% of his votes in 2023 with 5.6m votes. The North also gave Atiku close to 7m votes while giving Kwankwaso 1.5m votes. Obi also got over half of his votes from the Northcentral/middlebelt. Obi got over 90% of the votes in the SS and SE, yet it wasn't enough to see him through, whereas, Tinubu securing only 60% of Northern votes was all he needed, even though he was largely rejected in the South. No one region can make one president without a handshake across the Niger but it is undeniable that numbers don't lie. Noise must not be mistaken for numbers or strength. Oftentimes, the silence of Northerners online is borne out of the confidence that they have in their sheer numbers. The numbers are real, it's not A.I.

Esoheedos:
Some people blood pressure always on the rise because of The obedient.

Especially, those with moral bankruptcy.

Are you guys at the Obidients not even paying attention at all?

Everybody is complaining about your boring attitudes yet you people will still come up with filmsy excuses why you are like that

TonyeBarcanista:
2027: Obidients and The Illusion of Dominance



'Tonye Barcanista

ipob/obidient and delulu be like 5&6…….they keep issuing threats and bullying everyone who is not buying the failed product called bitter obi, thinking that will work for them again in 2027……ask them where will obi’s vote be coming from after they have insulted and made derogatory remarks about the same people they expecting to come and vote their lord and saviour…….they will receive the rude shock of their life’s in 2027 till then, let them continue creating their own happiness online

4 boys and girls tweeting in a room are giving landlords a headache. You'd think these obidients are noisy naughty kids but after I listened to one of them talk about their ideology on national TV, I smh for their parents and elders. They failed their children and now the children want to take their country back.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V-qgUo2mwaw

When I heard the young man say he wanted someone who represented values and they would hold the person to account, I understood why they are a headache to the establishment. Some people only want their candidates to win for power but Nigeria is beyond power grabs, what about impact with governance? You have power and you can't use it, what a waste of ambition. What Obidients represent is what they don't want ie. people asking questions, holding their leaders to account and demanding response. Look around you, they've killed all the institutions including the media, they want everyone to be bambiala and sycophants, that's a big worry to them.

Obi represents the darkest side of the status quo, especially when judging by his actions as Governor

Eriokanmi:
Obidients are the sensible portions/categories of the populace. The rest are sycophants, ignorant and gullible souls who prefer to maintain the status quo

Bring out the current president and bring him out in a straight up election without rigging and watch the president lose even his own house before 10:30 am

Hedonisco:
This is kindergarten analysis. If you understand the demography of Peter Obi's support base, you wouldn't engage in such puerile postulation.

If Peter Obi is not on the ballot, then obidients are not interested. His political currency is not transferable.

What of his governance currency?

Is that transferable, since it is not much different from the governance currency of APC leaders looters

NLCreator:
Peter Obi, presidential candidate of the Labour Party (LP) in the 2023 elections, has defended the purchase of sports utility vehicles (SUVs) for members of the national assembly.

There have been reports that the leadership of the 10th national assembly has bought SUVs for all lawmakers.

Each SUV is said to be valued at N160 million.

The LP had asked members of the party in the national assembly to kick against “wastage”.

While responding to questions during a press conference in Abuja on Monday, the former governor of Anambra said the SUVs are not personal cars of the lawmakers, noting that they are for official use.

“Let me start with the issue of Labour Party members in the house. I have actually discussed this issue with them,” Obi said.

“Surprisingly, I can tell you I heard that these vehicles are official cars. They have to use it. It is meant for office.

“So it is not as if it is their vehicle. They said it is official cars and you are meant to use it while you are in the senate.”

Obi also hinted at contesting for the country’s number one position in 2027, adding that Nigeria deserves dedicated and visionary leaders who will lead the country towards a brighter future.

https://www.thecable.ng/theyre-for-official-use-obi-defends-purchase-of-n160m-suv-for-lawmakers/amp

Journalist: how do you intend to engage members of your party who are members of the house, so that they can stand different.......?

PO: Let me start with the issue of labour party members in the house, have actually discussed this issue with them, surprisingly, I can tell you ,… pic.twitter.com/svybrcY4t3

— Beyond (@chigozie0102) November 7, 2023

The results of the election would keep humbling them. That's the truth

helinues:
Are you guys at the Obidients not even paying attention at all?

Everybody is complaining about your boring attitudes yet you people will still come up with filmsy excuses why you are like that

Someone up there said this is small pikin analysis indeed. nothing more to add.
Dead thread

Make he first go win him polling unit for Anambra

Cj4charles:
Bring out the current president and bring him out in a straight up election without rigging and watch the president lose even his own house

Same here

I know say the flogging go loud

EponObi:
Na that Abuja council election me dey wait for sha 😂

TonyeBarcanista:
You just displayed your understanding!

Every serious contender in politics do influence performance in elections where they are not candidates. Their candidates may win or not win, but the performance is never terrible.

Think of Trump (GOP), Obama (Dems), Bubari (ANPP/CPC/APC), Asiwaju (AD, AC, ACN, APC), Wike (PDP/APC) etc. This is common politics

Can you do similar analysis for Buhari through his CPC years? Well done sir.

I like as obi people take dey delusional and over rating themselves

Once they lose again, they will start to cry and wail rigging without providing any reasonable evidence just like their cult leader.

TonyeBarcanista:
Same here

I know say the flogging go loud

Ouch! When will Obi have a break? The beatings are too much. 😂

He left Labour Party but the spirit of labouring in vain didn't leave him 🤣

Abee79:
"Illusion of dominance"? If e easy, run am!

How has the running of Obidients dominance manifested in elections and decamping since May 2023